Clackmannanshire: wards that bucked the trend
Clackmannanshire: in 2022, 10 ward results beat the expected swing and 11 trailed it. The biggest gap was SNP in Clackmannanshire West (+7.1 pts actual vs +2.2 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire West | SNP | +7.1 pts | +2.2 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire South | Green | +4.4 pts | -0.1 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire South | SNP | -2.1 pts | +2.2 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire South | Labour | +0.2 pts | -4.0 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire North | Labour | -8.0 pts | -4.0 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire East | Labour | -0.6 pts | -4.0 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire West | Conservative | +1.4 pts | -1.7 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire Central | SNP | +5.2 pts | +2.2 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire East | Green | +2.5 pts | -0.1 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire East | Conservative | -4.2 pts | -1.7 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire Central | Conservative | +0.7 pts | -1.7 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire West | Labour | -5.8 pts | -4.0 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire East | SNP | +0.6 pts | +2.2 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire South | Conservative | -3.1 pts | -1.7 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire Central | Labour | -5.3 pts | -4.0 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire North | SNP | +1.1 pts | +2.2 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire West | Liberal Democrats | -0.3 pts | -1.1 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire North | Liberal Democrats | -1.9 pts | -1.1 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire East | Liberal Democrats | -0.6 pts | -1.1 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire North | Conservative | -2.1 pts | -1.7 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Clackmannanshire West | Green | -0.2 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.1 pts |