East Dunbartonshire: wards that bucked the trend
East Dunbartonshire: in 2022, 19 ward results beat the expected swing and 15 trailed it. The biggest gap was Liberal Democrats in Milngavie (-11.1 pts actual vs +1.2 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Milngavie | Liberal Democrats | -11.1 pts | +1.2 pts | -12.4 pts |
| 2022 | Bishopbriggs South | Labour | -3.7 pts | +5.3 pts | -9.1 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden North | Independent | +5.1 pts | -3.5 pts | +8.6 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden North | Liberal Democrats | -5.5 pts | +1.2 pts | -6.8 pts |
| 2022 | Milngavie | SNP | -5.0 pts | +1.2 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2022 | Kirkintilloch East and North and Twechar | Conservative | -1.2 pts | -6.6 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2022 | Bishopbriggs North and Campsie | Conservative | -11.7 pts | -6.6 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2022 | Milngavie | Green | +5.2 pts | +0.3 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2022 | Lenzie and Kirkintilloch South | Labour | +10.0 pts | +5.3 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2022 | Kirkintilloch East and North and Twechar | Labour | +9.8 pts | +5.3 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden South | SNP | +5.3 pts | +1.2 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2022 | Lenzie and Kirkintilloch South | Liberal Democrats | +5.3 pts | +1.2 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2022 | Kirkintilloch East and North and Twechar | SNP | +4.8 pts | +1.2 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2022 | Lenzie and Kirkintilloch South | Green | +3.3 pts | +0.3 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2022 | Bishopbriggs South | Conservative | -9.5 pts | -6.6 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden South | Independent | -6.1 pts | -3.5 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2022 | Bishopbriggs North and Campsie | Liberal Democrats | +3.8 pts | +1.2 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2022 | Lenzie and Kirkintilloch South | Conservative | -4.2 pts | -6.6 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2022 | Bishopbriggs South | SNP | -0.9 pts | +1.2 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2022 | Lenzie and Kirkintilloch South | SNP | +3.1 pts | +1.2 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden South | Green | -1.6 pts | +0.3 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden South | Conservative | -4.8 pts | -6.6 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Bishopbriggs North and Campsie | Labour | +6.6 pts | +5.3 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden North | Labour | +4.1 pts | +5.3 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Kirkintilloch East and North and Twechar | Liberal Democrats | +2.4 pts | +1.2 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Bishopbriggs North and Campsie | Green | +1.3 pts | +0.3 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden North | Conservative | -5.8 pts | -6.6 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Milngavie | Labour | +4.6 pts | +5.3 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2022 | Bishopbriggs North and Campsie | SNP | +0.8 pts | +1.2 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Milngavie | Conservative | -7.0 pts | -6.6 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden South | Labour | +5.7 pts | +5.3 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden North | SNP | +0.9 pts | +1.2 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Bearsden South | Liberal Democrats | +1.5 pts | +1.2 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Bishopbriggs South | Green | +0.2 pts | +0.3 pts | -0.1 pts |