Psephology.AI

    East Renfrewshire: wards that bucked the trend

    East Renfrewshire: in 2022, 9 ward results beat the expected swing and 9 trailed it. The biggest gap was Independent in Barrhead, Liboside and Uplawmoor (+5.3 pts actual vs -1.8 pts expected).

    Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.

    East Renfrewshire: ward results against the expected swing
    YearWardPartyActual swingExpected swingGap
    2022Barrhead, Liboside and UplawmoorIndependent+5.3 pts-1.8 pts+7.1 pts
    2022Newton Mearns South and EagleshamLabour+8.8 pts+2.9 pts+5.9 pts
    2022Giffnock and ThornliebankIndependent+2.0 pts-1.8 pts+3.8 pts
    2022Newton Mearns South and EagleshamConservative-12.6 pts-8.8 pts-3.8 pts
    2022Barrhead, Liboside and UplawmoorGreen+0.3 pts+4.0 pts-3.7 pts
    2022Barrhead, Liboside and UplawmoorLabour+0.1 pts+2.9 pts-2.8 pts
    2022Giffnock and ThornliebankSNP+1.7 pts+4.3 pts-2.6 pts
    2022Barrhead, Liboside and UplawmoorSNP+1.7 pts+4.3 pts-2.6 pts
    2022Clarkston, Netherlee and WilliamwoodLabour+0.3 pts+2.9 pts-2.5 pts
    2022Clarkston, Netherlee and WilliamwoodSNP+6.3 pts+4.3 pts+2.0 pts
    2022Clarkston, Netherlee and WilliamwoodLiberal Democrats+0.2 pts-1.7 pts+1.9 pts
    2022Barrhead, Liboside and UplawmoorConservative-7.5 pts-8.8 pts+1.3 pts
    2022Giffnock and ThornliebankConservative-9.8 pts-8.8 pts-1.0 pts
    2022Giffnock and ThornliebankLabour+3.4 pts+2.9 pts+0.5 pts
    2022Newton Mearns South and EagleshamSNP+4.8 pts+4.3 pts+0.5 pts
    2022Clarkston, Netherlee and WilliamwoodIndependent-2.3 pts-1.8 pts-0.5 pts
    2022Clarkston, Netherlee and WilliamwoodConservative-8.7 pts-8.8 pts+0.1 pts
    2022Clarkston, Netherlee and WilliamwoodGreen+3.9 pts+4.0 pts-0.1 pts