Glasgow: wards that bucked the trend
Glasgow: in 2022, 64 ward results beat the expected swing and 53 trailed it. The biggest gap was SNP in Baillieston (-20.0 pts actual vs -6.5 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Baillieston | SNP | -20.0 pts | -6.5 pts | -13.6 pts |
| 2022 | Baillieston | Labour | +16.6 pts | +3.8 pts | +12.8 pts |
| 2022 | Langside | Green | +16.1 pts | +4.5 pts | +11.6 pts |
| 2022 | Partick East/Kelvindale | Labour | +14.7 pts | +3.8 pts | +10.9 pts |
| 2022 | North East | SNP | +3.0 pts | -6.5 pts | +9.4 pts |
| 2022 | Southside Central | Labour | -3.2 pts | +3.8 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2022 | Newlands/Auldburn | Conservative | -10.6 pts | -3.8 pts | -6.8 pts |
| 2022 | Pollokshields | Conservative | -10.5 pts | -3.8 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2022 | Anderston/City/Yorkhill | SNP | -13.1 pts | -6.5 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2022 | Hillhead | Green | +10.6 pts | +4.5 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2022 | Dennistoun | Labour | -2.3 pts | +3.8 pts | -6.1 pts |
| 2022 | Canal | Independent | +6.6 pts | +0.6 pts | +6.0 pts |
| 2022 | Govan | Labour | -2.0 pts | +3.8 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2022 | Maryhill | Conservative | +1.7 pts | -3.8 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2022 | Victoria Park | Green | +9.9 pts | +4.5 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2022 | Anderston/City/Yorkhill | Green | +9.6 pts | +4.5 pts | +5.1 pts |
| 2022 | Partick East/Kelvindale | Conservative | -8.9 pts | -3.8 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2022 | North East | Labour | +8.8 pts | +3.8 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2022 | Victoria Park | Labour | +8.4 pts | +3.8 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2022 | Baillieston | Conservative | +0.8 pts | -3.8 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2022 | Springburn/Robroyston | SNP | -1.8 pts | -6.5 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2022 | Partick East/Kelvindale | Liberal Democrats | -4.7 pts | -0.3 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2022 | Greater Pollok | SNP | -2.1 pts | -6.5 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2022 | Maryhill | Labour | -0.6 pts | +3.8 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Linn | SNP | -2.1 pts | -6.5 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Langside | SNP | -10.8 pts | -6.5 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Maryhill | SNP | -2.2 pts | -6.5 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2022 | Shettleston | SNP | -2.4 pts | -6.5 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2022 | Victoria Park | Conservative | -7.9 pts | -3.8 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2022 | Pollokshields | Green | +8.5 pts | +4.5 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2022 | North East | Green | +0.7 pts | +4.5 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2022 | East Centre | Green | +0.8 pts | +4.5 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2022 | Springburn/Robroyston | Green | +0.8 pts | +4.5 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2022 | Pollokshields | Labour | +0.1 pts | +3.8 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2022 | Victoria Park | SNP | -9.9 pts | -6.5 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2022 | Hillhead | Labour | +0.4 pts | +3.8 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2022 | Langside | Labour | +0.4 pts | +3.8 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2022 | East Centre | SNP | -3.3 pts | -6.5 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2022 | Drumchapel/Anniesland | Labour | +0.8 pts | +3.8 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2022 | Greater Pollok | Green | +1.6 pts | +4.5 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2022 | Canal | Labour | +0.9 pts | +3.8 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2022 | Calton | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -3.8 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2022 | Dennistoun | SNP | -3.7 pts | -6.5 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2022 | Southside Central | SNP | -9.2 pts | -6.5 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2022 | Drumchapel/Anniesland | Green | +1.8 pts | +4.5 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2022 | East Centre | Labour | +1.1 pts | +3.8 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2022 | Calton | Labour | +6.4 pts | +3.8 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2022 | Springburn/Robroyston | Conservative | -1.3 pts | -3.8 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2022 | Shettleston | Conservative | -1.4 pts | -3.8 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2022 | Govan | Conservative | -1.5 pts | -3.8 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2022 | Garscadden/Scotstounhill | SNP | -4.1 pts | -6.5 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2022 | Southside Central | Green | +6.8 pts | +4.5 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2022 | Dennistoun | Conservative | -1.6 pts | -3.8 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2022 | Dennistoun | Green | +6.7 pts | +4.5 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2022 | Canal | SNP | -4.3 pts | -6.5 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2022 | Baillieston | Green | +2.4 pts | +4.5 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2022 | Hillhead | SNP | -8.5 pts | -6.5 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2022 | Garscadden/Scotstounhill | Conservative | -1.9 pts | -3.8 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2022 | East Centre | Independent | +2.4 pts | +0.6 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Greater Pollok | Labour | +5.5 pts | +3.8 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Drumchapel/Anniesland | Conservative | -2.1 pts | -3.8 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Anderston/City/Yorkhill | Conservative | -2.1 pts | -3.8 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2022 | Springburn/Robroyston | Labour | +2.0 pts | +3.8 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2022 | Linn | Green | +2.8 pts | +4.5 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2022 | Cardonald | Green | +2.8 pts | +4.5 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2022 | Baillieston | Liberal Democrats | +1.4 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Cardonald | SNP | -5.0 pts | -6.5 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2022 | Calton | SNP | -7.9 pts | -6.5 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2022 | Victoria Park | Liberal Democrats | -1.6 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2022 | Garscadden/Scotstounhill | Green | +3.2 pts | +4.5 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2022 | Hillhead | Liberal Democrats | +1.0 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2022 | Shettleston | Labour | +2.5 pts | +3.8 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Garscadden/Scotstounhill | Labour | +5.0 pts | +3.8 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Southside Central | Conservative | -2.6 pts | -3.8 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Linn | Labour | +5.0 pts | +3.8 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Govan | Green | +5.7 pts | +4.5 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Langside | Conservative | -5.0 pts | -3.8 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Springburn/Robroyston | Liberal Democrats | +0.8 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Linn | Liberal Democrats | -1.3 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Langside | Liberal Democrats | -1.3 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2022 | Newlands/Auldburn | Liberal Democrats | -1.3 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2022 | Anderston/City/Yorkhill | Labour | +4.7 pts | +3.8 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2022 | Govan | SNP | -5.5 pts | -6.5 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2022 | Southside Central | Independent | -0.3 pts | +0.6 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Pollokshields | SNP | -5.7 pts | -6.5 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Greater Pollok | Conservative | -4.6 pts | -3.8 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2022 | Cardonald | Conservative | -3.1 pts | -3.8 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2022 | Calton | Green | +3.8 pts | +4.5 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2022 | Shettleston | Liberal Democrats | +0.3 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2022 | Drumchapel/Anniesland | SSP | +0.8 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2022 | Govan | SSP | +0.8 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2022 | Newlands/Auldburn | SNP | -7.0 pts | -6.5 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2022 | Linn | Conservative | -4.3 pts | -3.8 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Partick East/Kelvindale | SNP | -5.9 pts | -6.5 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Anderston/City/Yorkhill | Liberal Democrats | +0.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Newlands/Auldburn | Labour | +4.2 pts | +3.8 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Canal | Liberal Democrats | +0.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Greater Pollok | TUSC | -0.3 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Dennistoun | Liberal Democrats | -0.7 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Govan | Liberal Democrats | -0.7 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Anderston/City/Yorkhill | Independent | +0.2 pts | +0.6 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Hillhead | Conservative | -3.4 pts | -3.8 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Linn | Independent | +0.2 pts | +0.6 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2022 | East Centre | TUSC | -0.2 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2022 | North East | Conservative | -3.5 pts | -3.8 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2022 | East Centre | Conservative | -3.5 pts | -3.8 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Pollokshields | Liberal Democrats | +0.0 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Langside | TUSC | +0.4 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Calton | Liberal Democrats | -0.6 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Cardonald | Labour | +3.5 pts | +3.8 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Southside Central | Liberal Democrats | -0.0 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Canal | Conservative | -3.7 pts | -3.8 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2022 | Greater Pollok | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2022 | Garscadden/Scotstounhill | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2022 | Maryhill | Liberal Democrats | -0.3 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2022 | Drumchapel/Anniesland | SNP | -6.5 pts | -6.5 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2022 | Partick East/Kelvindale | Green | +4.5 pts | +4.5 pts | +0.0 pts |