Inverclyde: wards that bucked the trend
Inverclyde: in 2022, 16 ward results beat the expected swing and 10 trailed it. The biggest gap was Independent in Inverclyde West (-17.7 pts actual vs -0.1 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Inverclyde West | Independent | -17.7 pts | -0.1 pts | -17.6 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde South West | Liberal Democrats | -12.8 pts | -2.1 pts | -10.7 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde West | Labour | +14.1 pts | +5.4 pts | +8.6 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde West | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -8.5 pts | +7.5 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde North | SNP | -3.3 pts | +3.5 pts | -6.8 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde South | Conservative | -2.0 pts | -8.5 pts | +6.5 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde East Central | Labour | -0.8 pts | +5.4 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde South West | SNP | +9.6 pts | +3.5 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde South | Labour | -0.4 pts | +5.4 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde South West | Conservative | -3.0 pts | -8.5 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde Central | Conservative | -3.2 pts | -8.5 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde North | Liberal Democrats | +2.7 pts | -2.1 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde Central | Labour | +0.9 pts | +5.4 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde South West | Labour | +9.8 pts | +5.4 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde East Central | Independent | +4.1 pts | -0.1 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde South West | Independent | -3.6 pts | -0.1 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde South | Independent | +2.2 pts | -0.1 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde Central | SNP | +1.4 pts | +3.5 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde West | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | -2.1 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde East Central | Conservative | -7.0 pts | -8.5 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde North | Independent | +1.4 pts | -0.1 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde North | Labour | +4.0 pts | +5.4 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde North | Conservative | -7.7 pts | -8.5 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde West | SNP | +2.6 pts | +3.5 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde East Central | SNP | +4.3 pts | +3.5 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Inverclyde South | SNP | +3.8 pts | +3.5 pts | +0.4 pts |