Orkney Islands: wards that bucked the trend
Orkney Islands: in 2022, 3 ward results beat the expected swing and 4 trailed it. The biggest gap was Independent in Kirkwall East (-28.1 pts actual vs +2.2 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Kirkwall East | Independent | -28.1 pts | +2.2 pts | -30.3 pts |
| 2022 | West Mainland | Independent | +22.4 pts | +2.2 pts | +20.2 pts |
| 2022 | East Mainland, South Ronaldsay and Burray | Green | -5.4 pts | +9.9 pts | -15.3 pts |
| 2022 | Kirkwall West and Orphir | Independent | +9.3 pts | +2.2 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2022 | East Mainland, South Ronaldsay and Burray | Independent | +5.4 pts | +2.2 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2022 | North Isles | Independent | 0.0 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2022 | West Mainland | Green | +8.2 pts | +9.9 pts | -1.7 pts |