Psephology.AI

    By-election preview · Thursday, 22 October 2026

    Saron by-election previewPlaid Cymru 0.5 points ahead in 2022

    Saron (ward)

    Saron votes on 22 October 2026 in a Carmarthenshire by-election. Plaid Cymru topped the poll in May 2022 with 39.7%, 0.5 points ahead of Labour.

    Last time (5 May 2022)2 seats

    • Karen Denise Lawrence Davies (Plaid Cymru)Won668 votes · 30.4%
    • Alan Peter Cooper (Labour)Won660 votes · 30.0%
    • Darran Jones (Plaid Cymru)516 votes · 23.5%
    • Nigel Evans (Independent)225 votes · 10.2%
    • Caryl Evelyn Tandy (Liberal Democrats)130 votes · 5.9%

    Standing1 seat (by-election)

    • Nicholas Craig DaviesPlaid Cymru
    • Richard GalvinReform UK
    • Craig GriffithsConservative
    • Owen JenkinsIndependent
    • Anthony Wyn JonesLabour
    • Caryl Evelyn TandyLiberal Democrats

    Sources: Previous result and candidates from Democracy Club.

    Transcript (show)

    On Thursday the 22nd of October, Saron goes to the polls. It's a Carmarthenshire by-election, and in May 2022 Plaid Cymru topped the poll here with 39.7 percent. Labour were second on 39.2, a gap of 0.5 points. To take it, Labour would need a swing of 0.2 points. 6 candidates are standing, with the Conservatives and Reform UK new to the ballot here. Follow the result on Psephology.AI.

    Explore the data

    Ask AI About This Video

    Get AI-powered insights about Saron by-election preview: Plaid Cymru 0.5 points ahead in 2022

    More videos

    All videos