Psephology.AI

    By-election preview · Thursday, 29 October 2026

    St James's by-election preview: Reform UK 27 points clear in May

    St. James's (ward)

    Free to use with credit: Source: Psephology.AI (psephology.ai)

    St James's in Dudley votes on 29 October 2026. Reform UK won in May 2026 with 48.9%, 27.1 points ahead of Labour, and Restore Britain stand for the first time.

    Last time (2026-05-07)

    • Ivor John Lawrence Robinson (Reform UK)Won1,630 votes · 48.9%
    • Caroline Ann Reid (Labour)727 votes · 21.8%
    • Carole Blackmore (Conservative)462 votes · 13.9%
    • Katherine Alice Poole (Green)355 votes · 10.6%
    • Mollie Jo Priest (Liberal Democrats)130 votes · 3.9%
    • David Reynolds (TUSC)30 votes · 0.9%

    Standing

    • Chris ChiversReform UK
    • Sam FirmstoneConservative
    • Tristian OwensRestore Britain
    • Katherine Alice PooleGreen
    • Caroline Ann ReidLabour

    Sources: Previous result and candidates from Democracy Club.

    Transcript (show)

    On Thursday the 29th of October, St James's in Dudley goes to the polls. In May, Reform UK won here with 48.9 percent. Labour were a distant second on 21.8, a gap of 27.1 points. Labour would need a swing of more than 13 points. Restore Britain are standing here for the first time. Last time, 32.9 percent of voters turned out. Follow the result on Psephology.AI.

    Explore the data

    Ask AI About This Video

    Get AI-powered insights about St James's by-election preview: Reform UK 27 points clear in May

    More videos

    All videos