Basildon: wards that bucked the trend
Basildon: in 2024, 18 ward results beat the expected swing and 30 trailed it. The biggest gap was Wickford Independents in Wickford Park (+20.0 pts actual vs -1.1 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Wickford Park | Wickford Independents | +20.0 pts | -1.1 pts | +21.1 pts |
| 2024 | Billericay East | Conservative | -18.3 pts | +2.4 pts | -20.6 pts |
| 2024 | Wickford North | Wickford Independents | -19.3 pts | -1.1 pts | -18.2 pts |
| 2024 | Fryerns | Conservative | -15.7 pts | +2.4 pts | -18.0 pts |
| 2024 | Pitsea North West | Labour | -18.1 pts | -2.1 pts | -16.0 pts |
| 2024 | Pitsea North West | Conservative | +17.0 pts | +2.4 pts | +14.6 pts |
| 2024 | Fryerns | Labour | +12.1 pts | -2.1 pts | +14.2 pts |
| 2024 | Burstead | Conservative | -10.2 pts | +2.4 pts | -12.6 pts |
| 2024 | Nethermayne | Conservative | +13.3 pts | +2.4 pts | +10.9 pts |
| 2024 | Laindon Park | Labour | +8.7 pts | -2.1 pts | +10.9 pts |
| 2024 | Lee Chapel North | Conservative | -8.3 pts | +2.4 pts | -10.6 pts |
| 2024 | Wickford Park | Conservative | +12.6 pts | +2.4 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2024 | Lee Chapel North | Labour | +8.1 pts | -2.1 pts | +10.2 pts |
| 2024 | St Martin's | Labour | +7.3 pts | -2.1 pts | +9.4 pts |
| 2024 | Billericay East | Labour | -11.4 pts | -2.1 pts | -9.3 pts |
| 2024 | Pitsea South East | Labour | +6.8 pts | -2.1 pts | +8.9 pts |
| 2024 | Laindon Park | Green | -3.7 pts | +4.8 pts | -8.5 pts |
| 2024 | Pitsea South East | Independent | -10.9 pts | -2.5 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2024 | St Martin's | Liberal Democrats | -8.4 pts | -0.3 pts | -8.2 pts |
| 2024 | Pitsea North West | Green | -2.8 pts | +4.8 pts | -7.5 pts |
| 2024 | Wickford North | Conservative | +9.7 pts | +2.4 pts | +7.4 pts |
| 2024 | St Martin's | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | -6.8 pts | +0.4 pts | -7.2 pts |
| 2024 | Billericay East | Liberal Democrats | +5.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2024 | Billericay West | Labour | -7.5 pts | -2.1 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2024 | Nethermayne | Independent | -7.8 pts | -2.5 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2024 | Lee Chapel North | Liberal Democrats | -4.8 pts | -0.3 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2024 | Burstead | Labour | +2.3 pts | -2.1 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2024 | Nethermayne | Labour | -6.5 pts | -2.1 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2024 | St Martin's | Conservative | -1.8 pts | +2.4 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2024 | Burstead | Green | +8.7 pts | +4.8 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2024 | Wickford North | Labour | -5.6 pts | -2.1 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2024 | Billericay West | Conservative | +5.8 pts | +2.4 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2024 | Pitsea South East | Green | +1.8 pts | +4.8 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2024 | Billericay West | Green | +2.2 pts | +4.8 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2024 | Wickford Park | Liberal Democrats | +2.0 pts | -0.3 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2024 | Pitsea South East | Conservative | +4.4 pts | +2.4 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2024 | Pitsea South East | Liberal Democrats | -2.0 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2024 | Laindon Park | Conservative | +3.9 pts | +2.4 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2024 | Wickford Park | Labour | -3.6 pts | -2.1 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2024 | Nethermayne | Liberal Democrats | +0.9 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2024 | Fryerns | Liberal Democrats | -1.4 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2024 | Laindon Park | Liberal Democrats | -1.3 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2024 | Wickford North | Reform UK | -0.9 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2024 | Wickford North | Liberal Democrats | -1.0 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2024 | Laindon Park | Independent | -3.2 pts | -2.5 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2024 | Burstead | Liberal Democrats | -0.8 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2024 | Pitsea North West | Liberal Democrats | -0.7 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2024 | Billericay West | Liberal Democrats | -0.4 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2023 | Wickford Park | Wickford Independents | -18.6 pts | +4.7 pts | -23.3 pts |
| 2023 | Wickford Castledon | Liberal Democrats | +18.6 pts | -0.4 pts | +19.1 pts |
| 2023 | Burstead | Conservative | +7.4 pts | -10.1 pts | +17.6 pts |
| 2023 | Burstead | Liberal Democrats | -17.0 pts | -0.4 pts | -16.6 pts |
| 2023 | Wickford Castledon | Labour | -8.1 pts | +5.5 pts | -13.6 pts |
| 2023 | Pitsea South East | Conservative | -23.0 pts | -10.1 pts | -12.9 pts |
| 2023 | Billericay West | Conservative | -0.8 pts | -10.1 pts | +9.3 pts |
| 2023 | Billericay East | Conservative | -1.1 pts | -10.1 pts | +9.0 pts |
| 2023 | Laindon Park | Conservative | -19.0 pts | -10.1 pts | -8.8 pts |
| 2023 | Billericay West | Liberal Democrats | -8.9 pts | -0.4 pts | -8.5 pts |
| 2023 | Wickford Park | Labour | -3.0 pts | +5.5 pts | -8.5 pts |
| 2023 | Billericay East | Liberal Democrats | -8.2 pts | -0.4 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2023 | Nethermayne | Conservative | -2.4 pts | -10.1 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2023 | Laindon Park | Labour | -1.2 pts | +5.5 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2023 | Wickford North | Labour | -1.1 pts | +5.5 pts | -6.6 pts |
| 2023 | Pitsea North West | Conservative | -15.6 pts | -10.1 pts | -5.5 pts |
| 2023 | Wickford Park | Conservative | -15.4 pts | -10.1 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2023 | Pitsea South East | Labour | +0.5 pts | +5.5 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2023 | Fryerns | Conservative | -5.1 pts | -10.1 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2023 | Wickford North | Conservative | -15.1 pts | -10.1 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2023 | Wickford Castledon | Conservative | -14.3 pts | -10.1 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2023 | Pitsea North West | Liberal Democrats | +3.7 pts | -0.4 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2023 | Billericay East | Labour | +9.4 pts | +5.5 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2023 | Lee Chapel North | Conservative | -6.6 pts | -10.1 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2023 | Nethermayne | Independent | -3.5 pts | -0.6 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2023 | Wickford North | Liberal Democrats | +2.3 pts | -0.4 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2023 | Burstead | Labour | +3.2 pts | +5.5 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2023 | Fryerns | Labour | +7.3 pts | +5.5 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2023 | Fryerns | Liberal Democrats | -2.2 pts | -0.4 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2023 | Nethermayne | Liberal Democrats | +1.1 pts | -0.4 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2023 | Lee Chapel North | Labour | +4.0 pts | +5.5 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2023 | Billericay West | Labour | +6.9 pts | +5.5 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2023 | Laindon Park | Liberal Democrats | -1.7 pts | -0.4 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2023 | Nethermayne | Labour | +4.7 pts | +5.5 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2023 | Pitsea North West | Labour | +6.3 pts | +5.5 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2019 | Billericay West | Conservative | -28.0 pts | -6.8 pts | -21.2 pts |
| 2019 | Pitsea South East | Conservative | +12.6 pts | -6.8 pts | +19.5 pts |
| 2019 | Pitsea North West | Conservative | +5.8 pts | -6.8 pts | +12.6 pts |
| 2019 | Wickford Park | Conservative | -19.1 pts | -6.8 pts | -12.3 pts |
| 2019 | Pitsea South East | Labour | -10.6 pts | -1.5 pts | -9.1 pts |
| 2019 | Fryerns | Labour | +6.7 pts | -1.5 pts | +8.2 pts |
| 2019 | Wickford North | Conservative | -14.7 pts | -6.8 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2019 | Billericay East | Labour | -8.9 pts | -1.5 pts | -7.4 pts |
| 2019 | Nethermayne | Conservative | +0.2 pts | -6.8 pts | +7.0 pts |
| 2019 | Billericay East | Conservative | -13.6 pts | -6.8 pts | -6.8 pts |
| 2019 | Lee Chapel North | Conservative | -0.1 pts | -6.8 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2019 | Burstead | Conservative | -0.1 pts | -6.8 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2019 | Wickford Castledon | Wickford Independents | +6.1 pts | -0.4 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2019 | Billericay West | Labour | -7.8 pts | -1.5 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2019 | Burstead | Labour | +3.4 pts | -1.5 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2019 | Laindon Park | Conservative | -10.6 pts | -6.8 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2019 | Fryerns | Conservative | -3.8 pts | -6.8 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2019 | Pitsea North West | Labour | +1.3 pts | -1.5 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Wickford North | Wickford Independents | +2.2 pts | -0.4 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2019 | Wickford Castledon | Conservative | -4.5 pts | -6.8 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2019 | Lee Chapel North | Labour | -3.2 pts | -1.5 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2019 | Nethermayne | Independent | +0.4 pts | +0.8 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Nethermayne | Labour | -1.3 pts | -1.5 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2019 | Wickford Castledon | Labour | -1.5 pts | -1.5 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2019 | Laindon Park | Labour | -1.5 pts | -1.5 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2018 | Nethermayne | Independent | +62.0 pts | +8.6 pts | +53.4 pts |
| 2018 | Langdon Hills | Conservative | -9.9 pts | +13.5 pts | -23.5 pts |
| 2018 | Nethermayne | Conservative | -9.0 pts | +13.5 pts | -22.5 pts |
| 2018 | Langdon Hills | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -32.5 pts | -19.4 pts | -13.2 pts |
| 2018 | Lee Chapel North | Labour | +10.3 pts | -2.8 pts | +13.1 pts |
| 2018 | Laindon Park | Labour | +10.1 pts | -2.8 pts | +12.9 pts |
| 2018 | Billericay West | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -11.9 pts | -19.4 pts | +7.4 pts |
| 2018 | Burstead | Conservative | +20.6 pts | +13.5 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2018 | Fryerns | Labour | +4.3 pts | -2.8 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2018 | Crouch | Conservative | +19.8 pts | +13.5 pts | +6.3 pts |
| 2018 | Pitsea North West | Labour | +2.8 pts | -2.8 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2018 | Nethermayne | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -24.7 pts | -19.4 pts | -5.3 pts |
| 2018 | Nethermayne | Labour | -7.9 pts | -2.8 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2018 | Billericay East | Conservative | +17.6 pts | +13.5 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2018 | Pitsea South East | Conservative | +17.5 pts | +13.5 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2018 | Pitsea North West | Conservative | +10.0 pts | +13.5 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2018 | Lee Chapel North | Conservative | +10.1 pts | +13.5 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2018 | Billericay East | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -16.0 pts | -19.4 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2018 | Crouch | Labour | +0.3 pts | -2.8 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2018 | Pitsea North West | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -16.5 pts | -19.4 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2018 | Langdon Hills | Labour | -0.0 pts | -2.8 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2018 | Wickford North | Conservative | +16.1 pts | +13.5 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2018 | Laindon Park | Conservative | +15.9 pts | +13.5 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2018 | Fryerns | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -17.1 pts | -19.4 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2018 | Pitsea South East | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -17.5 pts | -19.4 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2018 | Burstead | Labour | -1.4 pts | -2.8 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2018 | Billericay West | Conservative | +15.0 pts | +13.5 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2018 | Laindon Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -18.2 pts | -19.4 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2018 | Billericay East | Labour | -1.6 pts | -2.8 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2018 | Pitsea South East | Labour | -1.8 pts | -2.8 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2018 | Crouch | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -20.1 pts | -19.4 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2018 | Fryerns | Conservative | +12.8 pts | +13.5 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2018 | Billericay West | Labour | -3.0 pts | -2.8 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2018 | Lee Chapel North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -19.2 pts | -19.4 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2018 | Burstead | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -19.2 pts | -19.4 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2016 | Pitsea South East | Labour | +21.6 pts | +4.7 pts | +16.9 pts |
| 2016 | Nethermayne | Independent | +12.2 pts | +0.9 pts | +11.3 pts |
| 2016 | Nethermayne | Labour | -5.6 pts | +4.7 pts | -10.3 pts |
| 2016 | Wickford North | Labour | -4.5 pts | +4.7 pts | -9.2 pts |
| 2016 | Nethermayne | Liberal Democrats | +7.5 pts | -1.6 pts | +9.1 pts |
| 2016 | Laindon Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +6.1 pts | -1.8 pts | +7.9 pts |
| 2016 | Billericay West | Conservative | +1.4 pts | -6.1 pts | +7.5 pts |
| 2016 | Billericay East | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +5.6 pts | -1.8 pts | +7.4 pts |
| 2016 | Vange | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +5.6 pts | -1.8 pts | +7.4 pts |
| 2016 | Nethermayne | Conservative | -13.5 pts | -6.1 pts | -7.4 pts |
| 2016 | Pitsea South East | Conservative | -13.4 pts | -6.1 pts | -7.3 pts |
| 2016 | Pitsea North West | Labour | +11.5 pts | +4.7 pts | +6.8 pts |
| 2016 | Burstead | Conservative | -0.1 pts | -6.1 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2016 | Fryerns | Labour | +10.7 pts | +4.7 pts | +6.0 pts |
| 2016 | Burstead | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +4.0 pts | -1.8 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2016 | Billericay East | Conservative | -0.5 pts | -6.1 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2016 | Fryerns | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +2.7 pts | -1.8 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2016 | Laindon Park | Labour | +0.4 pts | +4.7 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2016 | St Martin's | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +2.2 pts | -1.8 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2016 | Lee Chapel North | Labour | +8.1 pts | +4.7 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2016 | Fryerns | Conservative | -9.2 pts | -6.1 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2016 | Pitsea South East | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -4.8 pts | -1.8 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2016 | Burstead | Labour | +1.9 pts | +4.7 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2016 | Lee Chapel North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +0.9 pts | -1.8 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2016 | St Martin's | Conservative | -3.8 pts | -6.1 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2016 | Billericay West | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +0.1 pts | -1.8 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2016 | Laindon Park | Conservative | -7.5 pts | -6.1 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2016 | Nethermayne | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.6 pts | -1.8 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2016 | St Martin's | Labour | +5.4 pts | +4.7 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2016 | Billericay East | Labour | +5.3 pts | +4.7 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2016 | Pitsea North West | Conservative | -6.7 pts | -6.1 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2016 | Vange | Labour | +5.3 pts | +4.7 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2016 | Vange | Conservative | -6.7 pts | -6.1 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2016 | Laindon Park | Liberal Democrats | -1.1 pts | -1.6 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2016 | Wickford North | Conservative | -6.5 pts | -6.1 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2016 | Lee Chapel North | Conservative | -5.9 pts | -6.1 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2016 | Pitsea North West | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -1.8 pts | -1.8 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2016 | Billericay West | Labour | +4.7 pts | +4.7 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2015 | Nethermayne | Liberal Democrats | -11.9 pts | -0.3 pts | -11.6 pts |
| 2015 | Laindon Park | Labour | -5.8 pts | +2.1 pts | -7.9 pts |
| 2015 | Pitsea South East | Labour | -4.4 pts | +2.1 pts | -6.5 pts |
| 2015 | Nethermayne | Labour | +8.6 pts | +2.1 pts | +6.5 pts |
| 2015 | Nethermayne | Conservative | +15.0 pts | +8.8 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2015 | Lee Chapel North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -5.3 pts | -10.7 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2015 | Pitsea North West | Labour | -2.6 pts | +2.1 pts | -4.7 pts |
| 2015 | Lee Chapel North | Labour | -2.5 pts | +2.1 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2015 | Laindon Park | Conservative | +13.4 pts | +8.8 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2015 | Pitsea South East | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -6.6 pts | -10.7 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2015 | Fryerns | Labour | -1.5 pts | +2.1 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2015 | Pitsea North West | Conservative | +12.3 pts | +8.8 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2015 | Fryerns | Conservative | +12.1 pts | +8.8 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2015 | Nethermayne | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -13.6 pts | -10.7 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2015 | Billericay East | Liberal Democrats | +2.6 pts | -0.3 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2015 | Billericay East | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -13.1 pts | -10.7 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2015 | Billericay West | Conservative | +6.5 pts | +8.8 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2015 | Wickford North | Conservative | +6.8 pts | +8.8 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2015 | Billericay West | Labour | +3.8 pts | +2.1 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2015 | Nethermayne | Independent | +1.9 pts | +0.3 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2015 | Wickford Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -12.3 pts | -10.7 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2015 | Wickford Castledon | Labour | +3.6 pts | +2.1 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2015 | Wickford Castledon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -12.2 pts | -10.7 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2015 | Pitsea South East | Liberal Democrats | +1.1 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2015 | Burstead | Conservative | +7.4 pts | +8.8 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2015 | Burstead | Liberal Democrats | +1.0 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2015 | Billericay East | Labour | +0.8 pts | +2.1 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2015 | Laindon Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -9.5 pts | -10.7 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2015 | Pitsea South East | Conservative | +9.9 pts | +8.8 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2015 | Wickford North | Labour | +3.2 pts | +2.1 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2015 | Billericay East | Conservative | +9.7 pts | +8.8 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2015 | Wickford Park | Labour | +2.9 pts | +2.1 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2015 | Pitsea North West | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -9.9 pts | -10.7 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2015 | Wickford North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -10.0 pts | -10.7 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2015 | Fryerns | Liberal Democrats | +0.5 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2015 | Burstead | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -10.0 pts | -10.7 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2015 | Lee Chapel North | Conservative | +9.5 pts | +8.8 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2015 | Wickford Park | Conservative | +9.4 pts | +8.8 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2015 | Billericay West | Liberal Democrats | +0.3 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2015 | Burstead | Labour | +1.6 pts | +2.1 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2015 | Pitsea North West | Liberal Democrats | +0.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2015 | Laindon Park | Liberal Democrats | +0.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2015 | Lee Chapel North | Liberal Democrats | +0.1 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2015 | Fryerns | TUSC | -0.3 pts | +0.0 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2015 | Wickford Castledon | Conservative | +8.6 pts | +8.8 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2015 | Fryerns | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -10.8 pts | -10.7 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2015 | Billericay West | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -10.7 pts | -10.7 pts | +0.0 pts |