Blaby: wards that bucked the trend
Blaby: in 2019, 12 ward results beat the expected swing and 11 trailed it. The biggest gap was Conservative in Enderby and St John's (+19.5 pts actual vs -9.7 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Enderby and St John's | Conservative | +19.5 pts | -9.7 pts | +29.2 pts |
| 2019 | Winstanley | Labour | -29.3 pts | -4.4 pts | -24.9 pts |
| 2019 | Winstanley | Conservative | +10.9 pts | -9.7 pts | +20.6 pts |
| 2019 | Blaby South | Liberal Democrats | +24.8 pts | +4.9 pts | +19.9 pts |
| 2019 | Normanton | Conservative | +8.2 pts | -9.7 pts | +17.8 pts |
| 2019 | Saxondale | Liberal Democrats | +16.5 pts | +4.9 pts | +11.6 pts |
| 2019 | COUNTESTHORPE | Conservative | +1.1 pts | -9.7 pts | +10.8 pts |
| 2019 | Croft Hill | Conservative | -19.6 pts | -9.7 pts | -9.9 pts |
| 2019 | Enderby and St John's | Labour | +5.4 pts | -4.4 pts | +9.8 pts |
| 2019 | Cosby with South Whetstone | Labour | -13.2 pts | -4.4 pts | -8.8 pts |
| 2019 | Ellis | Conservative | -18.4 pts | -9.7 pts | -8.7 pts |
| 2019 | Saxondale | Labour | +3.9 pts | -4.4 pts | +8.3 pts |
| 2019 | Fairestone | Conservative | -17.8 pts | -9.7 pts | -8.1 pts |
| 2019 | Cosby with South Whetstone | Conservative | -1.9 pts | -9.7 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2019 | COUNTESTHORPE | Liberal Democrats | +9.5 pts | +4.9 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2019 | Fairestone | Labour | -8.8 pts | -4.4 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2019 | Normanton | Labour | -8.2 pts | -4.4 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2019 | Croft Hill | Labour | -7.4 pts | -4.4 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2019 | Narborough & Littlethorpe | Conservative | -8.8 pts | -9.7 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2019 | North Whetstone | Conservative | -10.4 pts | -9.7 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2019 | Blaby South | Conservative | -9.0 pts | -9.7 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2019 | North Whetstone | Labour | -4.8 pts | -4.4 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Saxondale | Conservative | -10.0 pts | -9.7 pts | -0.4 pts |