Psephology.AI

    Blackburn with Darwen: wards that bucked the trend

    Blackburn with Darwen: in 2024, 16 ward results beat the expected swing and 18 trailed it. The biggest gap was Labour in Shear Brow and Corporation Park (-63.7 pts actual vs -16.3 pts expected).

    Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.

    Blackburn with Darwen: ward results against the expected swing
    YearWardPartyActual swingExpected swingGap
    2024Shear Brow and Corporation ParkLabour-63.7 pts-16.3 pts-47.5 pts
    2024Little Harwood and WhitebirkLabour-58.6 pts-16.3 pts-42.3 pts
    2024Audley and Queen's ParkIndependent-8.4 pts+27.3 pts-35.7 pts
    2024Wensley FoldLabour-48.4 pts-16.3 pts-32.2 pts
    2024West PennineLabour+13.4 pts-16.3 pts+29.6 pts
    2024Darwen WestLabour+12.6 pts-16.3 pts+28.8 pts
    2024Darwen EastConservative+22.0 pts-4.0 pts+26.1 pts
    2024Blackburn South & Lower DarwenLabour+9.8 pts-16.3 pts+26.0 pts
    2024Bastwell and DaisyfieldLabour+9.5 pts-16.3 pts+25.7 pts
    2024Billinge & BeardwoodLabour-40.9 pts-16.3 pts-24.7 pts
    2024Blackburn CentralLabour-38.2 pts-16.3 pts-21.9 pts
    2024Mill Hill and MoorgateConservative+17.8 pts-4.0 pts+21.8 pts
    2024Darwen SouthLabour+3.7 pts-16.3 pts+20.0 pts
    2024Roe LeeLabour-33.4 pts-16.3 pts-17.1 pts
    2024Billinge & BeardwoodConservative-16.6 pts-4.0 pts-12.5 pts
    2024Livesey with PleasingtonConservative+7.3 pts-4.0 pts+11.3 pts
    2024EwoodLabour-5.4 pts-16.3 pts+10.9 pts
    2024Audley and Queen's ParkLabour-7.0 pts-16.3 pts+9.3 pts
    2024Livesey with PleasingtonLabour-7.3 pts-16.3 pts+9.0 pts
    2024Bastwell and DaisyfieldConservative-12.9 pts-4.0 pts-8.9 pts
    2024West PennineConservative+2.0 pts-4.0 pts+6.1 pts
    2024EwoodConservative-9.9 pts-4.0 pts-5.9 pts
    2024Blackburn South & Lower DarwenConservative-9.8 pts-4.0 pts-5.7 pts
    2024Darwen WestConservative+1.5 pts-4.0 pts+5.5 pts
    2024Blackburn South EastConservative-8.9 pts-4.0 pts-4.9 pts
    2024Shear Brow and Corporation ParkConservative-7.1 pts-4.0 pts-3.1 pts
    2024Darwen SouthConservative-1.0 pts-4.0 pts+3.1 pts
    2024Audley and Queen's ParkConservative-6.7 pts-4.0 pts-2.7 pts
    2024Wensley FoldConservative-1.9 pts-4.0 pts+2.2 pts
    2024Little Harwood and WhitebirkConservative-5.7 pts-4.0 pts-1.6 pts
    2024Blackburn CentralConservative-5.5 pts-4.0 pts-1.4 pts
    2024Mill Hill and MoorgateLabour-17.6 pts-16.3 pts-1.3 pts
    2024Roe LeeConservative-4.7 pts-4.0 pts-0.7 pts
    2024Darwen EastLabour-15.6 pts-16.3 pts+0.7 pts
    2023Audley and Queen's ParkIndependent-39.3 pts-3.5 pts-35.9 pts
    2023Audley and Queen's ParkLabour+27.6 pts+1.3 pts+26.3 pts
    2023Roe LeeConservative-20.6 pts-4.1 pts-16.5 pts
    2023Little Harwood and WhitebirkConservative-15.5 pts-4.1 pts-11.4 pts
    2023Roe LeeLabour+11.8 pts+1.3 pts+10.5 pts
    2023Mill Hill and MoorgateConservative-14.5 pts-4.1 pts-10.4 pts
    2023Audley and Queen's ParkConservative+5.7 pts-4.1 pts+9.8 pts
    2023Billinge & BeardwoodConservative+5.0 pts-4.1 pts+9.1 pts
    2023Little Harwood and WhitebirkLabour+9.1 pts+1.3 pts+7.8 pts
    2023Darwen WestLiberal Democrats+10.4 pts+2.8 pts+7.6 pts
    2023Blackburn CentralLabour+8.9 pts+1.3 pts+7.6 pts
    2023Darwen SouthLiberal Democrats-4.8 pts+2.8 pts-7.6 pts
    2023EwoodConservative+2.2 pts-4.1 pts+6.3 pts
    2023Darwen WestLabour-4.5 pts+1.3 pts-5.8 pts
    2023Darwen SouthLabour+7.0 pts+1.3 pts+5.7 pts
    2023Livesey with PleasingtonConservative+1.5 pts-4.1 pts+5.6 pts
    2023Darwen EastLiberal Democrats-1.9 pts+2.8 pts-4.7 pts
    2023Shear Brow and Corporation ParkConservative+0.4 pts-4.1 pts+4.5 pts
    2023Mill Hill and MoorgateLabour+5.6 pts+1.3 pts+4.3 pts
    2023Billinge & BeardwoodLabour-2.7 pts+1.3 pts-4.0 pts
    2023Blackburn South EastConservative-0.3 pts-4.1 pts+3.8 pts
    2023EwoodLabour-2.2 pts+1.3 pts-3.5 pts
    2023Darwen EastLabour+4.6 pts+1.3 pts+3.3 pts
    2023Wensley FoldConservative-1.1 pts-4.1 pts+3.0 pts
    2023Livesey with PleasingtonLabour-1.5 pts+1.3 pts-2.8 pts
    2023Bastwell and DaisyfieldLabour+4.0 pts+1.3 pts+2.7 pts
    2023Blackburn South & Lower DarwenLabour+4.0 pts+1.3 pts+2.7 pts
    2023Darwen WestConservative-6.0 pts-4.1 pts-1.9 pts
    2023Shear Brow and Corporation ParkLabour-0.4 pts+1.3 pts-1.7 pts
    2023West PennineLiberal Democrats+4.3 pts+2.8 pts+1.5 pts
    2023Darwen EastConservative-2.7 pts-4.1 pts+1.4 pts
    2023West PennineLabour+0.0 pts+1.3 pts-1.2 pts
    2023Darwen SouthConservative-5.3 pts-4.1 pts-1.2 pts
    2023West PennineConservative-4.4 pts-4.1 pts-0.3 pts
    2023Wensley FoldLabour+1.1 pts+1.3 pts-0.2 pts
    2023Blackburn South & Lower DarwenConservative-4.0 pts-4.1 pts+0.1 pts
    2023Bastwell and DaisyfieldConservative-4.0 pts-4.1 pts+0.1 pts
    2023Blackburn CentralConservative-4.1 pts-4.1 pts-0.0 pts
    2022Audley and Queen's ParkConservative-39.7 pts-3.8 pts-35.9 pts
    2022Bastwell and DaisyfieldConservative+8.5 pts-3.8 pts+12.3 pts
    2022Blackburn South EastLabour+14.1 pts+2.2 pts+11.8 pts
    2022Bastwell and DaisyfieldLabour-8.5 pts+2.2 pts-10.7 pts
    2022Audley and Queen's ParkLabour-8.1 pts+2.2 pts-10.3 pts
    2022Blackburn CentralLabour-7.7 pts+2.2 pts-9.9 pts
    2022Blackburn South & Lower DarwenConservative+6.0 pts-3.8 pts+9.8 pts
    2022Darwen SouthLabour+11.8 pts+2.2 pts+9.5 pts
    2022EwoodLabour+11.5 pts+2.2 pts+9.2 pts
    2022Darwen EastConservative+5.1 pts-3.8 pts+8.9 pts
    2022Billinge & BeardwoodConservative-12.6 pts-3.8 pts-8.8 pts
    2022Billinge & BeardwoodLabour+10.7 pts+2.2 pts+8.4 pts
    2022Blackburn South & Lower DarwenLabour-6.0 pts+2.2 pts-8.2 pts
    2022West PennineLabour+10.0 pts+2.2 pts+7.8 pts
    2022EwoodConservative-11.5 pts-3.8 pts-7.7 pts
    2022Roe LeeConservative+3.4 pts-3.8 pts+7.2 pts
    2022Darwen WestLabour+8.7 pts+2.2 pts+6.4 pts
    2022Mill Hill and MoorgateLabour+8.3 pts+2.2 pts+6.1 pts
    2022Roe LeeLabour-3.4 pts+2.2 pts-5.7 pts
    2022Little Harwood and WhitebirkConservative+1.6 pts-3.8 pts+5.4 pts
    2022Livesey with PleasingtonLabour+7.4 pts+2.2 pts+5.2 pts
    2022West PennineLiberal Democrats-6.3 pts-1.6 pts-4.7 pts
    2022Mill Hill and MoorgateConservative-8.3 pts-3.8 pts-4.5 pts
    2022Darwen SouthConservative-7.9 pts-3.8 pts-4.1 pts
    2022Shear Brow and Corporation ParkConservative+0.2 pts-3.8 pts+4.0 pts
    2022Darwen WestConservative-7.7 pts-3.8 pts-3.9 pts
    2022Little Harwood and WhitebirkLabour-1.6 pts+2.2 pts-3.8 pts
    2022Livesey with PleasingtonConservative-7.4 pts-3.8 pts-3.6 pts
    2022Darwen EastLabour-0.7 pts+2.2 pts-3.0 pts
    2022Darwen EastLiberal Democrats+1.1 pts-1.6 pts+2.8 pts
    2022Wensley FoldConservative-1.1 pts-3.8 pts+2.7 pts
    2022Shear Brow and Corporation ParkLabour-0.2 pts+2.2 pts-2.4 pts
    2022Darwen SouthLiberal Democrats-3.8 pts-1.6 pts-2.2 pts
    2022Blackburn South EastConservative-5.2 pts-3.8 pts-1.4 pts
    2022Billinge & BeardwoodIndependent+1.9 pts+3.2 pts-1.3 pts
    2022Wensley FoldLabour+1.1 pts+2.2 pts-1.1 pts
    2022Blackburn CentralConservative-4.6 pts-3.8 pts-0.8 pts
    2022Darwen WestLiberal Democrats-1.0 pts-1.6 pts+0.6 pts
    2022West PennineConservative-3.6 pts-3.8 pts+0.2 pts
    2021Shear Brow and Corporation ParkLabour+37.9 pts+1.9 pts+35.9 pts
    2021Audley and Queen's ParkConservative+43.9 pts+8.7 pts+35.2 pts
    2021Darwen EastLiberal Democrats-20.3 pts+1.7 pts-21.9 pts
    2021Blackburn South & Lower DarwenConservative-12.0 pts+8.7 pts-20.7 pts
    2021Audley and Queen's ParkLabour-17.4 pts+1.9 pts-19.3 pts
    2021Mill Hill and MoorgateConservative+27.1 pts+8.7 pts+18.4 pts
    2021Darwen WestConservative-7.1 pts+8.7 pts-15.8 pts
    2021Darwen EastLabour+14.2 pts+1.9 pts+12.2 pts
    2021EwoodLabour-10.0 pts+1.9 pts-11.9 pts
    2021West PennineConservative+20.5 pts+8.7 pts+11.9 pts
    2021Livesey with PleasingtonConservative-2.7 pts+8.7 pts-11.4 pts
    2021Darwen SouthLabour-9.2 pts+1.9 pts-11.1 pts
    2021Bastwell and DaisyfieldConservative-1.6 pts+8.7 pts-10.3 pts
    2021Blackburn South EastConservative+18.8 pts+8.7 pts+10.1 pts
    2021Blackburn South & Lower DarwenLabour+12.0 pts+1.9 pts+10.0 pts
    2021Roe LeeLabour-7.4 pts+1.9 pts-9.4 pts
    2021Shear Brow and Corporation ParkConservative-0.1 pts+8.7 pts-8.8 pts
    2021Blackburn CentralLabour-6.5 pts+1.9 pts-8.5 pts
    2021Little Harwood and WhitebirkConservative+17.0 pts+8.7 pts+8.3 pts
    2021Darwen EastConservative+0.6 pts+8.7 pts-8.1 pts
    2021Wensley FoldConservative+1.3 pts+8.7 pts-7.4 pts
    2021Billinge & BeardwoodIndependent-15.5 pts-8.2 pts-7.3 pts
    2021Darwen SouthConservative+1.8 pts+8.7 pts-6.9 pts
    2021Little Harwood and WhitebirkLabour-4.4 pts+1.9 pts-6.3 pts
    2021West PennineLabour+6.9 pts+1.9 pts+5.0 pts
    2021Mill Hill and MoorgateLabour+6.7 pts+1.9 pts+4.8 pts
    2021Billinge & BeardwoodLabour+5.9 pts+1.9 pts+4.0 pts
    2021West PennineLiberal Democrats+5.3 pts+1.7 pts+3.6 pts
    2021Wensley FoldLabour-1.3 pts+1.9 pts-3.3 pts
    2021Blackburn CentralConservative+6.5 pts+8.7 pts-2.2 pts
    2021EwoodConservative+10.0 pts+8.7 pts+1.3 pts
    2021Roe LeeConservative+7.4 pts+8.7 pts-1.2 pts
    2021Billinge & BeardwoodConservative+9.6 pts+8.7 pts+0.9 pts
    2021Livesey with PleasingtonLabour+2.7 pts+1.9 pts+0.8 pts
    2021Darwen WestLabour+2.5 pts+1.9 pts+0.6 pts
    2021Bastwell and DaisyfieldLabour+1.6 pts+1.9 pts-0.3 pts
    2021Blackburn South EastLabour+1.7 pts+1.9 pts-0.2 pts
    2019Mill Hill and MoorgateUK Independence Party (UKIP)+28.6 pts+2.6 pts+26.1 pts
    2019Blackburn South EastUK Independence Party (UKIP)+20.9 pts+2.6 pts+18.3 pts
    2019Shear Brow and Corporation ParkIndependent+25.6 pts+8.0 pts+17.6 pts
    2019West PennineConservative-22.7 pts-5.7 pts-16.9 pts
    2019Shear Brow and Corporation ParkLabour-19.8 pts-4.6 pts-15.2 pts
    2019Bastwell and DaisyfieldConservative+8.9 pts-5.7 pts+14.6 pts
    2019Wensley FoldLabour+9.6 pts-4.6 pts+14.2 pts
    2019Darwen EastLiberal Democrats+13.8 pts-0.1 pts+13.9 pts
    2019Billinge & BeardwoodConservative-17.9 pts-5.7 pts-12.2 pts
    2019Blackburn South EastLabour-15.8 pts-4.6 pts-11.1 pts
    2019Darwen SouthConservative+4.9 pts-5.7 pts+10.6 pts
    2019Roe LeeLabour+5.9 pts-4.6 pts+10.6 pts
    2019Audley and Queen's ParkLabour-14.8 pts-4.6 pts-10.1 pts
    2019Blackburn South & Lower DarwenConservative+3.4 pts-5.7 pts+9.2 pts
    2019Mill Hill and MoorgateConservative-14.9 pts-5.7 pts-9.1 pts
    2019Mill Hill and MoorgateLabour-13.8 pts-4.6 pts-9.1 pts
    2019West PennineLabour-13.8 pts-4.6 pts-9.1 pts
    2019Livesey with PleasingtonConservative+2.8 pts-5.7 pts+8.6 pts
    2019Darwen SouthLabour+3.2 pts-4.6 pts+7.9 pts
    2019Little Harwood and WhitebirkUK Independence Party (UKIP)+9.3 pts+2.6 pts+6.7 pts
    2019EwoodConservative+0.8 pts-5.7 pts+6.5 pts
    2019Darwen WestConservative+0.6 pts-5.7 pts+6.3 pts
    2019Darwen WestLabour+1.3 pts-4.6 pts+6.0 pts
    2019Blackburn CentralConservative+0.2 pts-5.7 pts+5.9 pts
    2019Little Harwood and WhitebirkLabour-0.1 pts-4.6 pts+4.5 pts
    2019Blackburn CentralLabour-0.2 pts-4.6 pts+4.5 pts
    2019Bastwell and DaisyfieldLabour-8.9 pts-4.6 pts-4.2 pts
    2019EwoodLabour-0.8 pts-4.6 pts+3.9 pts
    2019West PennineLiberal Democrats+3.7 pts-0.1 pts+3.9 pts
    2019Little Harwood and WhitebirkConservative-9.2 pts-5.7 pts-3.4 pts
    2019Darwen EastLabour-7.5 pts-4.6 pts-2.9 pts
    2019Wensley FoldConservative-3.6 pts-5.7 pts+2.1 pts
    2019Livesey with PleasingtonLabour-2.8 pts-4.6 pts+1.8 pts
    2019Billinge & BeardwoodLabour-3.2 pts-4.6 pts+1.4 pts
    2019Blackburn South & Lower DarwenLabour-3.4 pts-4.6 pts+1.2 pts
    2019Blackburn South EastConservative-5.1 pts-5.7 pts+0.7 pts
    2019Darwen EastConservative-6.2 pts-5.7 pts-0.5 pts
    2019Audley and Queen's ParkConservative-6.2 pts-5.7 pts-0.4 pts
    2019Roe LeeConservative-5.9 pts-5.7 pts-0.2 pts
    2019Shear Brow and Corporation ParkConservative-5.7 pts-5.7 pts+0.0 pts
    2016Higher CroftLabour+27.7 pts+3.6 pts+24.1 pts
    2016North Turton with TockholesLabour-18.1 pts+3.6 pts-21.7 pts
    2016SudellLiberal Democrats+22.8 pts+3.1 pts+19.7 pts
    2016FernhurstConservative+13.8 pts-5.3 pts+19.1 pts
    2016Mill HillLabour-13.9 pts+3.6 pts-17.5 pts
    2016North Turton with TockholesConservative-22.4 pts-5.3 pts-17.1 pts
    2016Roe LeeConservative+9.6 pts-5.3 pts+14.9 pts
    2016EarcroftConservative+6.2 pts-5.3 pts+11.5 pts
    2016Higher CroftConservative+5.6 pts-5.3 pts+10.9 pts
    2016BastwellConservative+4.6 pts-5.3 pts+9.9 pts
    2016Shear BrowLabour+12.5 pts+3.6 pts+9.0 pts
    2016Little HarwoodConservative-13.6 pts-5.3 pts-8.3 pts
    2016BastwellLabour-4.6 pts+3.6 pts-8.2 pts
    2016Little HarwoodLabour+11.1 pts+3.6 pts+7.6 pts
    2016SunnyhurstConservative-12.8 pts-5.3 pts-7.5 pts
    2016MeadowheadConservative+2.2 pts-5.3 pts+7.4 pts
    2016Mill HillConservative-12.6 pts-5.3 pts-7.4 pts
    2016Shear BrowConservative-12.5 pts-5.3 pts-7.3 pts
    2016Roe LeeLabour+10.5 pts+3.6 pts+7.0 pts
    2016EwoodLabour+10.3 pts+3.6 pts+6.7 pts
    2016Marsh HouseLiberal Democrats+9.6 pts+3.1 pts+6.5 pts
    2016Livesey with PleasingtonConservative+0.8 pts-5.3 pts+6.1 pts
    2016Little HarwoodUK Independence Party (UKIP)+2.4 pts-3.6 pts+6.0 pts
    2016SunnyhurstUK Independence Party (UKIP)+2.3 pts-3.6 pts+5.9 pts
    2016MeadowheadLabour-2.2 pts+3.6 pts-5.7 pts
    2016SunnyhurstLabour+9.3 pts+3.6 pts+5.7 pts
    2016Marsh HouseLabour-1.9 pts+3.6 pts-5.5 pts
    2016AudleyLabour-1.8 pts+3.6 pts-5.4 pts
    2016EwoodConservative-10.3 pts-5.3 pts-5.0 pts
    2016Livesey with PleasingtonLabour-0.8 pts+3.6 pts-4.4 pts
    2016SudellLabour-0.6 pts+3.6 pts-4.1 pts
    2016Beardwood with LammackConservative-1.3 pts-5.3 pts+3.9 pts
    2016Shadsworth with WhitebirkLabour+7.0 pts+3.6 pts+3.5 pts
    2016EarcroftLiberal Democrats+6.3 pts+3.1 pts+3.3 pts
    2016Shadsworth with WhitebirkUK Independence Party (UKIP)-1.0 pts-3.6 pts+2.6 pts
    2016Beardwood with LammackLabour+1.3 pts+3.6 pts-2.2 pts
    2016Marsh HouseUK Independence Party (UKIP)-1.4 pts-3.6 pts+2.2 pts
    2016EarcroftLabour+5.7 pts+3.6 pts+2.1 pts
    2016Corporation ParkLabour+5.7 pts+3.6 pts+2.1 pts
    2016SunnyhurstLiberal Democrats+1.2 pts+3.1 pts-1.9 pts
    2016FernhurstLabour+5.3 pts+3.6 pts+1.8 pts
    2016Queens ParkConservative-3.7 pts-5.3 pts+1.6 pts
    2016Wensley FoldLabour+5.1 pts+3.6 pts+1.5 pts
    2016AudleyConservative-3.9 pts-5.3 pts+1.4 pts
    2016Marsh HouseConservative-6.3 pts-5.3 pts-1.0 pts
    2016Shadsworth with WhitebirkConservative-6.1 pts-5.3 pts-0.8 pts
    2016SudellConservative-6.0 pts-5.3 pts-0.7 pts
    2016Corporation ParkConservative-5.7 pts-5.3 pts-0.4 pts
    2016Wensley FoldConservative-5.1 pts-5.3 pts+0.2 pts
    2016Queens ParkLabour+3.7 pts+3.6 pts+0.1 pts
    2015Higher CroftLabour-36.0 pts-7.9 pts-28.1 pts
    2015Mill HillLabour+15.9 pts-7.9 pts+23.8 pts
    2015Roe LeeConservative-11.2 pts+7.5 pts-18.7 pts
    2015Corporation ParkLabour+9.2 pts-7.9 pts+17.1 pts
    2015Shadsworth with WhitebirkLabour-22.7 pts-7.9 pts-14.8 pts
    2015Marsh HouseLiberal Democrats-14.9 pts-2.1 pts-12.8 pts
    2015Shadsworth with WhitebirkConservative-4.9 pts+7.5 pts-12.4 pts
    2015FernhurstUK Independence Party (UKIP)-7.8 pts+3.8 pts-11.6 pts
    2015SunnyhurstConservative+18.3 pts+7.5 pts+10.9 pts
    2015Little HarwoodLabour+2.4 pts-7.9 pts+10.3 pts
    2015BastwellLabour+1.3 pts-7.9 pts+9.2 pts
    2015BastwellConservative-1.3 pts+7.5 pts-8.8 pts
    2015Little HarwoodConservative-0.8 pts+7.5 pts-8.3 pts
    2015SudellLabour-15.4 pts-7.9 pts-7.5 pts
    2015SunnyhurstLabour-15.1 pts-7.9 pts-7.3 pts
    2015SunnyhurstUK Independence Party (UKIP)-3.4 pts+3.8 pts-7.2 pts
    2015Mill HillConservative+14.4 pts+7.5 pts+7.0 pts
    2015AudleyConservative+14.2 pts+7.5 pts+6.7 pts
    2015AudleyLabour-14.2 pts-7.9 pts-6.3 pts
    2015Marsh HouseConservative+1.5 pts+7.5 pts-6.0 pts
    2015MeadowheadLabour-1.9 pts-7.9 pts+5.9 pts
    2015Corporation ParkConservative+1.6 pts+7.5 pts-5.9 pts
    2015MeadowheadConservative+1.9 pts+7.5 pts-5.6 pts
    2015Little HarwoodUK Independence Party (UKIP)-1.6 pts+3.8 pts-5.4 pts
    2015EwoodLabour-2.5 pts-7.9 pts+5.4 pts
    2015EwoodConservative+2.5 pts+7.5 pts-5.0 pts
    2015Higher CroftConservative+2.6 pts+7.5 pts-4.9 pts
    2015SudellConservative+2.9 pts+7.5 pts-4.6 pts
    2015Marsh HouseLabour-3.5 pts-7.9 pts+4.3 pts
    2015FernhurstConservative+11.8 pts+7.5 pts+4.3 pts
    2015FernhurstLabour-4.0 pts-7.9 pts+3.9 pts
    2015Beardwood with LammackConservative+10.9 pts+7.5 pts+3.4 pts
    2015Beardwood with LammackLabour-10.9 pts-7.9 pts-3.0 pts
    2015SunnyhurstLiberal Democrats+0.2 pts-2.1 pts+2.3 pts
    2015SudellLiberal Democrats-3.8 pts-2.1 pts-1.7 pts
    2015Shear BrowConservative+9.1 pts+7.5 pts+1.6 pts
    2015Wensley FoldLabour-6.6 pts-7.9 pts+1.3 pts
    2015Shear BrowLabour-9.1 pts-7.9 pts-1.2 pts
    2015Roe LeeLabour-8.9 pts-7.9 pts-1.1 pts
    2015Wensley FoldConservative+6.6 pts+7.5 pts-0.9 pts
    2015Livesey with PleasingtonLabour-7.1 pts-7.9 pts+0.8 pts
    2015Livesey with PleasingtonConservative+7.1 pts+7.5 pts-0.4 pts
    2015Queens ParkConservative+7.7 pts+7.5 pts+0.3 pts
    2015Queens ParkLabour-7.7 pts-7.9 pts+0.1 pts