Bolton: wards that bucked the trend
Bolton: in 2024, 52 ward results beat the expected swing and 39 trailed it. The biggest gap was Labour in Queens Park and Central (-71.7 pts actual vs -15.2 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Queens Park and Central | Labour | -71.7 pts | -15.2 pts | -56.4 pts |
| 2024 | Kearsley | Farnworth and Kearsley First Party | +39.4 pts | +2.4 pts | +37.0 pts |
| 2024 | Halliwell | Green | +43.8 pts | +7.7 pts | +36.0 pts |
| 2024 | Halliwell | Labour | -48.6 pts | -15.2 pts | -33.3 pts |
| 2024 | Kearsley | Labour | +17.1 pts | -15.2 pts | +32.3 pts |
| 2024 | Rumworth | Conservative | -42.7 pts | -12.9 pts | -29.8 pts |
| 2024 | Rumworth | Green | +36.7 pts | +7.7 pts | +29.0 pts |
| 2024 | Breightmet | Labour | -44.0 pts | -15.2 pts | -28.8 pts |
| 2024 | Halliwell | Conservative | -38.6 pts | -12.9 pts | -25.7 pts |
| 2024 | Astley Bridge | Labour | -40.8 pts | -15.2 pts | -25.6 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth South | Farnworth and Kearsley First Party | +26.0 pts | +2.4 pts | +23.6 pts |
| 2024 | Great Lever | Green | +29.6 pts | +7.7 pts | +21.8 pts |
| 2024 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Labour | +5.9 pts | -15.2 pts | +21.1 pts |
| 2024 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Labour | -10.3 pts | +10.2 pts | -20.4 pts |
| 2024 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +21.8 pts | +4.0 pts | +17.8 pts |
| 2024 | Horwich South and Blackrod | Labour | +2.1 pts | -15.2 pts | +17.3 pts |
| 2024 | Bromley Cross | Labour | +1.4 pts | -15.2 pts | +16.7 pts |
| 2024 | Rumworth | Labour | +0.7 pts | -15.2 pts | +15.9 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth North | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | -11.4 pts | +4.0 pts | -15.4 pts |
| 2024 | Westhoughton South | Conservative | +1.4 pts | -12.9 pts | +14.3 pts |
| 2024 | Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill | Labour | -1.7 pts | -15.2 pts | +13.5 pts |
| 2024 | Horwich North | Labour | -2.7 pts | -15.2 pts | +12.5 pts |
| 2024 | Heaton, Lostock and Chew Moor | Labour | -27.7 pts | -15.2 pts | -12.5 pts |
| 2024 | Smithills | Labour | -2.9 pts | -15.2 pts | +12.4 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth North | Labour | -27.0 pts | -15.2 pts | -11.8 pts |
| 2024 | Bradshaw | Conservative | -24.7 pts | -12.9 pts | -11.7 pts |
| 2024 | Westhoughton South | Labour | -3.7 pts | -15.2 pts | +11.5 pts |
| 2024 | Great Lever | Conservative | -23.1 pts | -12.9 pts | -10.2 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth North | Conservative | -2.7 pts | -12.9 pts | +10.2 pts |
| 2024 | Smithills | Conservative | -3.6 pts | -12.9 pts | +9.4 pts |
| 2024 | Kearsley | Conservative | -3.7 pts | -12.9 pts | +9.2 pts |
| 2024 | Hulton | Green | -1.5 pts | +7.7 pts | -9.2 pts |
| 2024 | Horwich North | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -12.9 pts | +9.1 pts |
| 2024 | Bradshaw | Labour | -7.1 pts | -15.2 pts | +8.1 pts |
| 2024 | Horwich North | Green | -0.1 pts | +7.7 pts | -7.9 pts |
| 2024 | Hulton | Conservative | -20.6 pts | -12.9 pts | -7.7 pts |
| 2024 | Heaton, Lostock and Chew Moor | Conservative | -5.5 pts | -12.9 pts | +7.4 pts |
| 2024 | Smithills | Liberal Democrats | -9.0 pts | -1.7 pts | -7.3 pts |
| 2024 | Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill | Green | +0.9 pts | +7.7 pts | -6.8 pts |
| 2024 | Horwich South and Blackrod | Green | +1.0 pts | +7.7 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2024 | Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill | REF and BFC | +6.5 pts | -0.0 pts | +6.5 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth South | Conservative | -6.8 pts | -12.9 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth South | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +10.1 pts | +4.0 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2024 | Bromley Cross | Green | +1.9 pts | +7.7 pts | -5.9 pts |
| 2024 | Bromley Cross | Conservative | -7.3 pts | -12.9 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2024 | Westhoughton South | Liberal Democrats | -7.4 pts | -1.7 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2024 | Breightmet | Conservative | -7.4 pts | -12.9 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2024 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Liberal Democrats | +3.5 pts | -1.7 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth South | Green | +2.9 pts | +7.7 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2024 | Horwich South and Blackrod | Conservative | -8.2 pts | -12.9 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth South | Labour | -19.7 pts | -15.2 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2024 | Great Lever | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +8.3 pts | +4.0 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2024 | Astley Bridge | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +8.3 pts | +4.0 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2024 | Queens Park and Central | Conservative | -8.7 pts | -12.9 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2024 | Halliwell | Liberal Democrats | +2.4 pts | -1.7 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2024 | Horwich South and Blackrod | Liberal Democrats | +2.0 pts | -1.7 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2024 | Hulton | Labour | -11.6 pts | -15.2 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2024 | Bradshaw | Liberal Democrats | -5.0 pts | -1.7 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth North | Green | +4.5 pts | +7.7 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2024 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Liberal Democrats | -5.0 pts | -1.7 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2024 | Astley Bridge | Conservative | -9.8 pts | -12.9 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2024 | Great Lever | Labour | -12.1 pts | -15.2 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2024 | Rumworth | Liberal Democrats | +1.2 pts | -1.7 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2024 | Bromley Cross | Liberal Democrats | +0.9 pts | -1.7 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2024 | Queens Park and Central | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +1.7 pts | +4.0 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2024 | Smithills | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +6.2 pts | +4.0 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2024 | Breightmet | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +1.9 pts | +4.0 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2024 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Conservative | -10.9 pts | -12.9 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2024 | Astley Bridge | Green | +9.8 pts | +7.7 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2024 | Kearsley | Liberal Democrats | +0.3 pts | -1.7 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2024 | Breightmet | Liberal Democrats | +0.2 pts | -1.7 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2024 | Horwich North | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +2.1 pts | +4.0 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2024 | Smithills | Green | +9.3 pts | +7.7 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2024 | Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill | Liberal Democrats | -3.1 pts | -1.7 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2024 | Bradshaw | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +5.4 pts | +4.0 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2024 | Queens Park and Central | Liberal Democrats | -3.0 pts | -1.7 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2024 | Westhoughton South | Westhoughton First Independents | +1.4 pts | +0.3 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2024 | Bromley Cross | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +3.0 pts | +4.0 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2024 | Heaton, Lostock and Chew Moor | Liberal Democrats | -2.7 pts | -1.7 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth South | Liberal Democrats | -2.7 pts | -1.7 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2024 | Farnworth North | Liberal Democrats | -2.7 pts | -1.7 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2024 | Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill | Conservative | -12.0 pts | -12.9 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2024 | Horwich North | Liberal Democrats | -0.8 pts | -1.7 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2024 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Conservative | -12.0 pts | -12.9 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2024 | Hulton | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +3.2 pts | +4.0 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2024 | Westhoughton South | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +3.2 pts | +4.0 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2024 | Horwich North | Horwich & Blackrod First Independents | +5.4 pts | +4.6 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2024 | Kearsley | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +3.3 pts | +4.0 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2024 | Halliwell | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +3.3 pts | +4.0 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2024 | Hulton | Liberal Democrats | -2.2 pts | -1.7 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2024 | Rumworth | Reform UK and Bolton For Change | +4.1 pts | +4.0 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2022 | Crompton | Conservative | +13.1 pts | -4.1 pts | +17.2 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich North | Liberal Democrats | -14.1 pts | -0.6 pts | -13.5 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich North East | Liberal Democrats | -14.1 pts | -0.6 pts | -13.5 pts |
| 2022 | Kearsley | Liberal Democrats | -13.3 pts | -0.6 pts | -12.7 pts |
| 2022 | Bradshaw | Conservative | -16.3 pts | -4.1 pts | -12.3 pts |
| 2022 | Crompton | Labour | -8.9 pts | +2.6 pts | -11.6 pts |
| 2022 | Rumworth | Labour | -8.4 pts | +2.6 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2022 | Rumworth | Conservative | +6.5 pts | -4.1 pts | +10.6 pts |
| 2022 | Great Lever | Conservative | -14.4 pts | -4.1 pts | -10.4 pts |
| 2022 | Harper Green | Labour | +12.0 pts | +2.6 pts | +9.4 pts |
| 2022 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Labour | -5.7 pts | +2.6 pts | -8.3 pts |
| 2022 | Great Lever | Labour | +10.4 pts | +2.6 pts | +7.7 pts |
| 2022 | Bradshaw | Liberal Democrats | +6.6 pts | -0.6 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2022 | Bradshaw | Labour | +9.7 pts | +2.6 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2022 | Smithills | Liberal Democrats | +6.5 pts | -0.6 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2022 | Hulton | Green | -8.8 pts | -1.8 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2022 | Westhoughton South | Liberal Democrats | +5.4 pts | -0.6 pts | +6.0 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich North East | Horwich & Blackrod First Independents | +7.8 pts | +1.9 pts | +5.9 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich North East | Conservative | +1.7 pts | -4.1 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich North | Conservative | +1.7 pts | -4.1 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2022 | Astley Bridge | Conservative | -9.6 pts | -4.1 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2022 | Kearsley | Conservative | -9.3 pts | -4.1 pts | -5.3 pts |
| 2022 | Bromley Cross | Green | -6.9 pts | -1.8 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2022 | Farnworth | Labour | +7.7 pts | +2.6 pts | +5.1 pts |
| 2022 | Astley Bridge | Labour | +7.5 pts | +2.6 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2022 | Harper Green | Conservative | -8.8 pts | -4.1 pts | -4.7 pts |
| 2022 | Bromley Cross | Conservative | +0.4 pts | -4.1 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2022 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Liberal Democrats | +3.7 pts | -0.6 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill | Liberal Democrats | +3.7 pts | -0.6 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich South and Blackrod | B and D IND | -2.5 pts | +1.8 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Heaton and Lostock | Labour | -1.5 pts | +2.6 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2022 | Hulton | Liberal Democrats | +3.4 pts | -0.6 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2022 | Breightmet | Conservative | -0.1 pts | -4.1 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2022 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Conservative | -0.2 pts | -4.1 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich South and Blackrod | Conservative | -0.6 pts | -4.1 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich and Blackrod | Conservative | -0.6 pts | -4.1 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2022 | Hulton | Labour | +6.1 pts | +2.6 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2022 | Astley Bridge | Liberal Democrats | -3.9 pts | -0.6 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2022 | Halliwell | Liberal Democrats | +2.6 pts | -0.6 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2022 | Farnworth | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -4.1 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2022 | Heaton and Lostock | Liberal Democrats | -3.6 pts | -0.6 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2022 | Breightmet | Liberal Democrats | +2.3 pts | -0.6 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2022 | Rumworth | Green | +1.0 pts | -1.8 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2022 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Liberal Democrats | +2.0 pts | -0.6 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2022 | Smithills | Conservative | -6.5 pts | -4.1 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich North East | Green | +0.6 pts | -1.8 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich North | Green | +0.6 pts | -1.8 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2022 | Halliwell | Conservative | -6.3 pts | -4.1 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2022 | Kearsley | Labour | +4.9 pts | +2.6 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2022 | Smithills | Labour | +0.5 pts | +2.6 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich and Blackrod | Green | +0.4 pts | -1.8 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich South and Blackrod | Green | +0.4 pts | -1.8 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2022 | Westhoughton South | Labour | +4.6 pts | +2.6 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2022 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Liberal Democrats | -2.6 pts | -0.6 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2022 | Bromley Cross | Liberal Democrats | -2.4 pts | -0.6 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Bromley Cross | Labour | +4.4 pts | +2.6 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Harper Green | Liberal Democrats | +1.2 pts | -0.6 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Labour | +1.0 pts | +2.6 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill | Labour | +1.0 pts | +2.6 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Labour | +1.1 pts | +2.6 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Halliwell | Labour | +1.1 pts | +2.6 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2022 | Breightmet | Labour | +1.3 pts | +2.6 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2022 | Crompton | Liberal Democrats | +0.6 pts | -0.6 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Westhoughton South | Conservative | -5.2 pts | -4.1 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich South and Blackrod | Labour | +1.5 pts | +2.6 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich and Blackrod | Labour | +1.5 pts | +2.6 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Smithills | Green | -0.7 pts | -1.8 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Westhoughton First Independents | +0.9 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Great Lever | Liberal Democrats | +0.1 pts | -0.6 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2022 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Conservative | -4.7 pts | -4.1 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2022 | Heaton and Lostock | Conservative | -4.6 pts | -4.1 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2022 | Great Lever | Green | -1.2 pts | -1.8 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2022 | Farnworth | Liberal Democrats | -0.1 pts | -0.6 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Halliwell | Independent | +0.6 pts | +0.0 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich South and Blackrod | Liberal Democrats | -0.1 pts | -0.6 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich and Blackrod | Liberal Democrats | -0.1 pts | -0.6 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2022 | Hulton | Conservative | -3.6 pts | -4.1 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich North East | Labour | +2.9 pts | +2.6 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Horwich North | Labour | +2.9 pts | +2.6 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Rumworth | Liberal Democrats | -0.9 pts | -0.6 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -4.1 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2022 | Westhoughton North and Hunger Hill | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -4.1 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Astley Bridge | Liberal Democrats | -21.7 pts | -1.8 pts | -19.9 pts |
| 2021 | Kearsley | FKF | -15.4 pts | +1.4 pts | -16.8 pts |
| 2021 | Bromley Cross | Conservative | -6.5 pts | +9.3 pts | -15.8 pts |
| 2021 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -23.0 pts | -10.0 pts | -13.1 pts |
| 2021 | Rumworth | Labour | -9.3 pts | +3.5 pts | -12.8 pts |
| 2021 | Kearsley | Liberal Democrats | +10.9 pts | -1.8 pts | +12.7 pts |
| 2021 | Hulton | Green | +12.9 pts | +0.9 pts | +11.9 pts |
| 2021 | Great Lever | Conservative | -1.3 pts | +9.3 pts | -10.6 pts |
| 2021 | Bradshaw | Conservative | +19.8 pts | +9.3 pts | +10.6 pts |
| 2021 | Astley Bridge | Conservative | +19.6 pts | +9.3 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2021 | Horwich North East | Labour | +13.1 pts | +3.5 pts | +9.6 pts |
| 2021 | Astley Bridge | Labour | +12.7 pts | +3.5 pts | +9.2 pts |
| 2021 | Rumworth | Conservative | +18.0 pts | +9.3 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2021 | Hulton | Conservative | +0.6 pts | +9.3 pts | -8.7 pts |
| 2021 | Harper Green | Conservative | +17.5 pts | +9.3 pts | +8.2 pts |
| 2021 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Liberal Democrats | -10.0 pts | -1.8 pts | -8.2 pts |
| 2021 | Horwich North East | Horwich & Blackrod First Independents | -10.7 pts | -3.0 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2021 | Crompton | Conservative | +1.6 pts | +9.3 pts | -7.7 pts |
| 2021 | Westhoughton South | Conservative | +16.8 pts | +9.3 pts | +7.5 pts |
| 2021 | Hulton | Labour | -3.2 pts | +3.5 pts | -6.8 pts |
| 2021 | Heaton and Lostock | Conservative | +2.8 pts | +9.3 pts | -6.5 pts |
| 2021 | Halliwell | Labour | +9.8 pts | +3.5 pts | +6.3 pts |
| 2021 | Smithills | Liberal Democrats | -8.0 pts | -1.8 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2021 | Bromley Cross | Labour | +9.7 pts | +3.5 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2021 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Conservative | +14.9 pts | +9.3 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2021 | Breightmet | Green | -4.4 pts | +0.9 pts | -5.3 pts |
| 2021 | Westhoughton South | Labour | -1.5 pts | +3.5 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Harper Green | Labour | -1.5 pts | +3.5 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Bradshaw | Labour | -1.2 pts | +3.5 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2021 | Farnworth | Conservative | +4.9 pts | +9.3 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2021 | Halliwell | Conservative | +5.1 pts | +9.3 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2021 | Breightmet | Labour | +7.5 pts | +3.5 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2021 | Westhoughton South | Liberal Democrats | -5.8 pts | -1.8 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2021 | Rumworth | Green | -2.7 pts | +0.9 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2021 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Conservative | +12.8 pts | +9.3 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2021 | Bromley Cross | Green | +4.3 pts | +0.9 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2021 | Kearsley | Labour | +0.4 pts | +3.5 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2021 | Kearsley | Conservative | +12.2 pts | +9.3 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2021 | Great Lever | Labour | +6.2 pts | +3.5 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2021 | Horwich North East | Conservative | +6.6 pts | +9.3 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2021 | Great Lever | Liberal Democrats | +0.8 pts | -1.8 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2021 | Bromley Cross | Liberal Democrats | +0.8 pts | -1.8 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2021 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Westhoughton First Independents | -3.1 pts | -0.7 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2021 | Halliwell | Green | -1.5 pts | +0.9 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2021 | Farnworth | Liberal Democrats | +0.4 pts | -1.8 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2021 | Rumworth | Liberal Democrats | +0.3 pts | -1.8 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2021 | Heaton and Lostock | Green | -1.1 pts | +0.9 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2021 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Labour | +1.5 pts | +3.5 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2021 | Crompton | Green | -1.0 pts | +0.9 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2021 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Labour | +1.6 pts | +3.5 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2021 | Horwich North East | Liberal Democrats | -3.7 pts | -1.8 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2021 | Crompton | Liberal Democrats | -0.0 pts | -1.8 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2021 | Breightmet | Liberal Democrats | -3.6 pts | -1.8 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2021 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Liberal Democrats | -0.1 pts | -1.8 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2021 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Liberal Democrats | -3.5 pts | -1.8 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2021 | Heaton and Lostock | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | -1.8 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2021 | Horwich and Blackrod | Conservative | +7.9 pts | +9.3 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2021 | Horwich North East | Green | -0.4 pts | +0.9 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2021 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Conservative | +10.6 pts | +9.3 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2021 | Harper Green | Liberal Democrats | -0.5 pts | -1.8 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2021 | Smithills | Labour | +2.3 pts | +3.5 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2021 | Smithills | Conservative | +10.5 pts | +9.3 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2021 | Horwich and Blackrod | Labour | +2.3 pts | +3.5 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2021 | Breightmet | Conservative | +10.4 pts | +9.3 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2021 | Bradshaw | Liberal Democrats | -2.6 pts | -1.8 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2021 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Labour | +4.2 pts | +3.5 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2021 | Halliwell | Independent | -0.5 pts | -1.1 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2021 | Farnworth | Labour | +4.1 pts | +3.5 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2021 | Great Lever | Green | +1.5 pts | +0.9 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2021 | Crompton | Labour | +4.1 pts | +3.5 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2021 | Halliwell | Liberal Democrats | -2.3 pts | -1.8 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2021 | Horwich and Blackrod | Liberal Democrats | -1.3 pts | -1.8 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2021 | Horwich and Blackrod | Green | +0.5 pts | +0.9 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2021 | Hulton | Liberal Democrats | -1.6 pts | -1.8 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2021 | Bradshaw | Green | +1.2 pts | +0.9 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2021 | Harper Green | Green | +0.8 pts | +0.9 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2019 | Great Lever | Conservative | +21.4 pts | -5.8 pts | +27.2 pts |
| 2019 | Westhoughton South | Liberal Democrats | -20.1 pts | -1.1 pts | -19.0 pts |
| 2019 | Crompton | Conservative | +11.6 pts | -5.8 pts | +17.3 pts |
| 2019 | Horwich and Blackrod | Conservative | -22.9 pts | -5.8 pts | -17.1 pts |
| 2019 | Great Lever | Labour | -24.3 pts | -8.2 pts | -16.1 pts |
| 2019 | Kearsley | FKF | +15.5 pts | +0.8 pts | +14.7 pts |
| 2019 | Kearsley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -3.1 pts | +7.6 pts | -10.8 pts |
| 2019 | Horwich North East | Liberal Democrats | -11.1 pts | -1.1 pts | -9.9 pts |
| 2019 | Westhoughton South | Labour | +1.7 pts | -8.2 pts | +9.8 pts |
| 2019 | Horwich North East | Conservative | -15.0 pts | -5.8 pts | -9.2 pts |
| 2019 | Tonge with the Haulgh | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +15.8 pts | +7.6 pts | +8.2 pts |
| 2019 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Liberal Democrats | +6.8 pts | -1.1 pts | +7.9 pts |
| 2019 | Farnworth | Labour | -1.3 pts | -8.2 pts | +6.9 pts |
| 2019 | Horwich and Blackrod | Labour | -14.7 pts | -8.2 pts | -6.6 pts |
| 2019 | Heaton and Lostock | Conservative | -12.3 pts | -5.8 pts | -6.5 pts |
| 2019 | Bradshaw | Labour | -1.7 pts | -8.2 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2019 | Hulton | Green | +7.0 pts | +0.6 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2019 | Horwich North East | Labour | -14.0 pts | -8.2 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2019 | Halliwell | Conservative | -0.1 pts | -5.8 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2019 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Conservative | -0.2 pts | -5.8 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2019 | Farnworth | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +2.1 pts | +7.6 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2019 | Rumworth | Conservative | -0.3 pts | -5.8 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2019 | Heaton and Lostock | Liberal Democrats | +4.2 pts | -1.1 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2019 | Rumworth | Labour | -2.8 pts | -8.2 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2019 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Conservative | -10.9 pts | -5.8 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2019 | Farnworth | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -5.8 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2019 | Breightmet | Liberal Democrats | +3.6 pts | -1.1 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2019 | Halliwell | Independent | -5.4 pts | -0.9 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Smithills | Liberal Democrats | +3.3 pts | -1.1 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Westhoughton North and Chew Moor | Labour | -4.1 pts | -8.2 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2019 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +11.5 pts | +7.6 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2019 | Harper Green | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +3.9 pts | +7.6 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2019 | Bromley Cross | Conservative | -2.3 pts | -5.8 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2019 | Harper Green | Farnworth and Kearsley First Party | +3.8 pts | +0.4 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2019 | Great Lever | Green | -2.7 pts | +0.6 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2019 | Little Lever & Darcy Lever | Labour | -11.3 pts | -8.2 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2019 | Kearsley | Conservative | -2.7 pts | -5.8 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2019 | Breightmet | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +10.7 pts | +7.6 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2019 | Horwich North East | Green | -2.4 pts | +0.6 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2019 | Westhoughton South | Conservative | -2.9 pts | -5.8 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2019 | Breightmet | Conservative | -8.6 pts | -5.8 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Hulton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +4.9 pts | +7.6 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Astley Bridge | Liberal Democrats | -3.9 pts | -1.1 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2019 | Astley Bridge | Conservative | -3.1 pts | -5.8 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2019 | Tonge with the Haulgh | Liberal Democrats | +1.5 pts | -1.1 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2019 | Hulton | Liberal Democrats | +1.5 pts | -1.1 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2019 | Bradshaw | Conservative | -8.1 pts | -5.8 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2019 | Breightmet | Green | +2.8 pts | +0.6 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2019 | Horwich and Blackrod | Green | -1.5 pts | +0.6 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2019 | Horwich and Blackrod | Liberal Democrats | -3.2 pts | -1.1 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2019 | Bromley Cross | Green | +2.5 pts | +0.6 pts | +1.9 pts |