Bracknell Forest: wards that bucked the trend
Bracknell Forest: in 2019, 19 ward results beat the expected swing and 30 trailed it. The biggest gap was Liberal Democrats in Wildridings and Central (+28.5 pts actual vs +7.5 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Wildridings and Central | Liberal Democrats | +28.5 pts | +7.5 pts | +21.1 pts |
| 2019 | Central Sandhurst | Conservative | -22.0 pts | -1.9 pts | -20.1 pts |
| 2019 | Great Hollands North | Conservative | -20.5 pts | -1.9 pts | -18.6 pts |
| 2019 | Great Hollands North | Labour | +24.0 pts | +5.9 pts | +18.1 pts |
| 2019 | Wildridings and Central | Labour | -11.1 pts | +5.9 pts | -17.0 pts |
| 2019 | Central Sandhurst | Liberal Democrats | +22.7 pts | +7.5 pts | +15.2 pts |
| 2019 | Hanworth | Conservative | +12.8 pts | -1.9 pts | +14.7 pts |
| 2019 | Central Sandhurst | Labour | -7.9 pts | +5.9 pts | -13.8 pts |
| 2019 | Bullbrook | Labour | -6.2 pts | +5.9 pts | -12.1 pts |
| 2019 | Wildridings and Central | Conservative | -13.0 pts | -1.9 pts | -11.2 pts |
| 2019 | Owlsmoor | Liberal Democrats | -3.0 pts | +7.5 pts | -10.4 pts |
| 2019 | Owlsmoor | Conservative | +7.1 pts | -1.9 pts | +9.0 pts |
| 2019 | Bullbrook | Conservative | +6.8 pts | -1.9 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2019 | Bullbrook | Liberal Democrats | -0.7 pts | +7.5 pts | -8.1 pts |
| 2019 | College Town | Labour | -1.9 pts | +5.9 pts | -7.9 pts |
| 2019 | Old Bracknell | Conservative | +4.2 pts | -1.9 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2019 | Great Hollands South | Liberal Democrats | +1.6 pts | +7.5 pts | -5.9 pts |
| 2019 | Hanworth | Labour | +11.8 pts | +5.9 pts | +5.9 pts |
| 2019 | Harmans Water | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -12.6 pts | -6.9 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2019 | Great Hollands South | Green | +4.6 pts | -0.9 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2019 | Crowthorne | Conservative | -6.9 pts | -1.9 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2019 | Harmans Water | Conservative | +3.0 pts | -1.9 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2019 | Crown Wood | Labour | +10.3 pts | +5.9 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2019 | Ascot | Liberal Democrats | +3.3 pts | +7.5 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2019 | Binfield with Warfield | Conservative | -5.7 pts | -1.9 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2019 | Crowthorne | Labour | +2.3 pts | +5.9 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2019 | Crown Wood | Conservative | +1.5 pts | -1.9 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2019 | Winkfield and Cranbourne | Labour | +2.7 pts | +5.9 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2019 | Winkfield and Cranbourne | Conservative | +1.2 pts | -1.9 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2019 | Crowthorne | Liberal Democrats | +4.6 pts | +7.5 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Priestwood & Garth | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -9.8 pts | -6.9 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Old Bracknell | Labour | +8.5 pts | +5.9 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2019 | Hanworth | Liberal Democrats | +4.9 pts | +7.5 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2019 | Little Sandhurst and Wellington | Liberal Democrats | +5.1 pts | +7.5 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2019 | College Town | Conservative | -4.2 pts | -1.9 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2019 | Great Hollands South | Conservative | +0.3 pts | -1.9 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2019 | Great Hollands South | Labour | +3.9 pts | +5.9 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2019 | Owlsmoor | Labour | +7.8 pts | +5.9 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2019 | Warfield Harvest Ride | Labour | +7.4 pts | +5.9 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Little Sandhurst and Wellington | Conservative | -0.5 pts | -1.9 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2019 | College Town | Liberal Democrats | +6.2 pts | +7.5 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2019 | Ascot | Conservative | -0.8 pts | -1.9 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2019 | Ascot | Labour | +4.9 pts | +5.9 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Little Sandhurst and Wellington | Labour | +5.2 pts | +5.9 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2019 | Priestwood & Garth | Labour | +5.2 pts | +5.9 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2019 | Priestwood & Garth | Conservative | -2.4 pts | -1.9 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2019 | Harmans Water | Labour | +5.5 pts | +5.9 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Binfield with Warfield | Labour | +5.7 pts | +5.9 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Warfield Harvest Ride | Conservative | -2.0 pts | -1.9 pts | -0.1 pts |