Chesterfield: wards that bucked the trend
Chesterfield: in 2019, 28 ward results beat the expected swing and 28 trailed it. The biggest gap was Liberal Democrats in Hasland (-13.1 pts actual vs +14.9 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Hasland | Liberal Democrats | -13.1 pts | +14.9 pts | -28.0 pts |
| 2019 | Hollingwood and Inkersall | Independent | +26.3 pts | +2.0 pts | +24.3 pts |
| 2019 | St Helen's | Labour | +11.4 pts | -8.9 pts | +20.3 pts |
| 2019 | Middlecroft and Poolsbrook | Labour | -29.1 pts | -8.9 pts | -20.2 pts |
| 2019 | Middlecroft and Poolsbrook | Liberal Democrats | -3.3 pts | +14.9 pts | -18.2 pts |
| 2019 | Barrow Hill and New Whittington | Liberal Democrats | +31.8 pts | +14.9 pts | +16.9 pts |
| 2019 | Loundsley Green | Labour | +7.8 pts | -8.9 pts | +16.7 pts |
| 2019 | Moor | Labour | -25.5 pts | -8.9 pts | -16.6 pts |
| 2019 | Brimington South | Liberal Democrats | -1.6 pts | +14.9 pts | -16.6 pts |
| 2019 | Brimington South | Labour | +7.2 pts | -8.9 pts | +16.1 pts |
| 2019 | Hollingwood and Inkersall | Liberal Democrats | -0.3 pts | +14.9 pts | -15.3 pts |
| 2019 | Dunston | Labour | +4.8 pts | -8.9 pts | +13.6 pts |
| 2019 | Linacre | Liberal Democrats | +28.4 pts | +14.9 pts | +13.5 pts |
| 2019 | Hasland | Labour | +4.1 pts | -8.9 pts | +13.0 pts |
| 2019 | Hollingwood and Inkersall | Labour | -21.7 pts | -8.9 pts | -12.8 pts |
| 2019 | Barrow Hill and New Whittington | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -17.0 pts | -6.0 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2019 | Lowgates and Woodthorpe | Labour | -18.9 pts | -8.9 pts | -10.0 pts |
| 2019 | Moor | Liberal Democrats | +23.6 pts | +14.9 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2019 | Brimington North | Liberal Democrats | +7.2 pts | +14.9 pts | -7.7 pts |
| 2019 | Loundsley Green | Liberal Democrats | +7.7 pts | +14.9 pts | -7.3 pts |
| 2019 | West | Liberal Democrats | +22.2 pts | +14.9 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2019 | Holmebrook | Liberal Democrats | +22.1 pts | +14.9 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2019 | Old Whittington | Liberal Democrats | +20.8 pts | +14.9 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2019 | Walton | Labour | -14.7 pts | -8.9 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2019 | Holmebrook | Labour | -14.4 pts | -8.9 pts | -5.5 pts |
| 2019 | Brockwell | Liberal Democrats | +20.2 pts | +14.9 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2019 | Walton | Conservative | -8.3 pts | -3.4 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2019 | Lowgates and Woodthorpe | Conservative | -8.3 pts | -3.4 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2019 | St Helen's | Liberal Democrats | +10.5 pts | +14.9 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2019 | Hasland | Conservative | +0.5 pts | -3.4 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2019 | St Helen's | Conservative | +0.3 pts | -3.4 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2019 | Loundsley Green | Conservative | +0.3 pts | -3.4 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2019 | Lowgates and Woodthorpe | Independent | +5.3 pts | +2.0 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2019 | Dunston | Conservative | -0.0 pts | -3.4 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2019 | St Leonard's | Labour | -5.6 pts | -8.9 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2019 | Brimington North | Labour | -5.7 pts | -8.9 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2019 | Walton | Liberal Democrats | +17.3 pts | +14.9 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2019 | Linacre | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -3.4 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2019 | Moor | Conservative | -5.6 pts | -3.4 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2019 | Brimington South | Conservative | -5.6 pts | -3.4 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2019 | Barrow Hill and New Whittington | Labour | -11.0 pts | -8.9 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2019 | Brimington North | Conservative | -1.5 pts | -3.4 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2019 | Middlecroft and Poolsbrook | Conservative | -5.1 pts | -3.4 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2019 | West | Labour | -7.2 pts | -8.9 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2019 | Linacre | Labour | -7.2 pts | -8.9 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2019 | St Leonard's | Liberal Democrats | +16.4 pts | +14.9 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Old Whittington | Labour | -10.2 pts | -8.9 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2019 | Barrow Hill and New Whittington | Conservative | -2.1 pts | -3.4 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2019 | Dunston | Liberal Democrats | +13.8 pts | +14.9 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2019 | Hollingwood and Inkersall | Conservative | -4.3 pts | -3.4 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2019 | St Leonard's | Conservative | -4.1 pts | -3.4 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2019 | Brockwell | Labour | -9.3 pts | -8.9 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2019 | West | Conservative | -3.7 pts | -3.4 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Holmebrook | Conservative | -3.7 pts | -3.4 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Old Whittington | Conservative | -3.2 pts | -3.4 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2019 | Brockwell | Conservative | -3.4 pts | -3.4 pts | -0.1 pts |