Darlington: wards that bucked the trend
Darlington: in 2019, 32 ward results beat the expected swing and 35 trailed it. The biggest gap was Green in College (+44.1 pts actual vs +4.6 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | College | Green | +44.1 pts | +4.6 pts | +39.5 pts |
| 2019 | College | Conservative | -18.1 pts | +7.9 pts | -26.1 pts |
| 2019 | Cockerton | Conservative | +31.8 pts | +7.9 pts | +23.8 pts |
| 2019 | Eastbourne | Independent | +26.4 pts | +3.7 pts | +22.8 pts |
| 2019 | Hurworth | Conservative | +27.9 pts | +7.9 pts | +20.0 pts |
| 2019 | Hurworth | Liberal Democrats | -23.2 pts | -3.5 pts | -19.7 pts |
| 2019 | Whinfield | Conservative | +27.6 pts | +7.9 pts | +19.7 pts |
| 2019 | Northgate | Labour | +7.8 pts | -10.7 pts | +18.5 pts |
| 2019 | Eastbourne | Labour | -29.0 pts | -10.7 pts | -18.3 pts |
| 2019 | Park East | Labour | +5.1 pts | -10.7 pts | +15.8 pts |
| 2019 | Park West | Conservative | -6.3 pts | +7.9 pts | -14.2 pts |
| 2019 | Cockerton | Labour | -24.9 pts | -10.7 pts | -14.2 pts |
| 2019 | Haughton & Springfield | Conservative | +22.1 pts | +7.9 pts | +14.2 pts |
| 2019 | Park West | Green | +18.6 pts | +4.6 pts | +14.0 pts |
| 2019 | Hummersknott | Conservative | -5.6 pts | +7.9 pts | -13.5 pts |
| 2019 | Bank Top & Lascelles | Labour | -21.6 pts | -10.7 pts | -10.9 pts |
| 2019 | College | Labour | -21.2 pts | -10.7 pts | -10.5 pts |
| 2019 | Brinkburn & Faverdale | Green | -5.5 pts | +4.6 pts | -10.1 pts |
| 2019 | Pierremont | Labour | -0.9 pts | -10.7 pts | +9.8 pts |
| 2019 | Pierremont | Conservative | -1.8 pts | +7.9 pts | -9.7 pts |
| 2019 | Red Hall & Lingfield | Labour | -1.5 pts | -10.7 pts | +9.2 pts |
| 2019 | North Road | Liberal Democrats | +5.5 pts | -3.5 pts | +9.0 pts |
| 2019 | Haughton & Springfield | Labour | -19.0 pts | -10.7 pts | -8.3 pts |
| 2019 | Stephenson | Labour | -18.8 pts | -10.7 pts | -8.1 pts |
| 2019 | Haughton & Springfield | Green | -3.1 pts | +4.6 pts | -7.6 pts |
| 2019 | North Road | Green | -2.7 pts | +4.6 pts | -7.2 pts |
| 2019 | Sadberge & Middleton St George | Labour | -3.5 pts | -10.7 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2019 | Cockerton | Green | -2.4 pts | +4.6 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2019 | Park East | Liberal Democrats | +3.3 pts | -3.5 pts | +6.8 pts |
| 2019 | Brinkburn & Faverdale | Labour | -4.1 pts | -10.7 pts | +6.6 pts |
| 2019 | Park East | Green | -1.8 pts | +4.6 pts | -6.4 pts |
| 2019 | Stephenson | Conservative | +14.1 pts | +7.9 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2019 | Hurworth | Labour | -5.0 pts | -10.7 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2019 | Whinfield | Labour | -16.4 pts | -10.7 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2019 | Harrowgate Hill | Conservative | +13.4 pts | +7.9 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2019 | Bank Top & Lascelles | Conservative | +13.3 pts | +7.9 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2019 | Eastbourne | Conservative | +2.6 pts | +7.9 pts | -5.3 pts |
| 2019 | Heighington & Coniscliffe | Conservative | +2.7 pts | +7.9 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2019 | Harrowgate Hill | Labour | -5.6 pts | -10.7 pts | +5.1 pts |
| 2019 | Mowden | Conservative | +12.9 pts | +7.9 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2019 | Red Hall & Lingfield | Conservative | +3.2 pts | +7.9 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2019 | Northgate | Conservative | +3.3 pts | +7.9 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2019 | Hurworth | Green | +0.3 pts | +4.6 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2019 | Bank Top & Lascelles | Green | +0.3 pts | +4.6 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2019 | Northgate | Green | +0.8 pts | +4.6 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2019 | North Road | Labour | -7.3 pts | -10.7 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2019 | Pierremont | Green | +1.6 pts | +4.6 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2019 | Heighington & Coniscliffe | Labour | -7.8 pts | -10.7 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2019 | Mowden | Green | +7.1 pts | +4.6 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2019 | North Road | Conservative | +5.5 pts | +7.9 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2019 | Harrowgate Hill | Green | +2.3 pts | +4.6 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2019 | Whinfield | Green | +2.5 pts | +4.6 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2019 | Sadberge & Middleton St George | Conservative | +9.8 pts | +7.9 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2019 | North Road | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -1.0 pts | -2.7 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2019 | Park West | Labour | -12.3 pts | -10.7 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2019 | Park East | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -4.3 pts | -2.7 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2019 | Hummersknott | Labour | -9.6 pts | -10.7 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2019 | Brinkburn & Faverdale | Conservative | +8.9 pts | +7.9 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Cockerton | Liberal Democrats | -4.5 pts | -3.5 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Hummersknott | Green | +5.5 pts | +4.6 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2019 | Red Hall & Lingfield | Green | +5.3 pts | +4.6 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2019 | Eastbourne | Green | +4.0 pts | +4.6 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Heighington & Coniscliffe | Green | +5.1 pts | +4.6 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2019 | Mowden | Labour | -11.1 pts | -10.7 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Sadberge & Middleton St George | Green | +4.3 pts | +4.6 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Park East | Conservative | +7.7 pts | +7.9 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2019 | Stephenson | Green | +4.8 pts | +4.6 pts | +0.2 pts |