Elmbridge: wards that bucked the trend
Elmbridge: in 2024, 29 ward results beat the expected swing and 22 trailed it. The biggest gap was The Molesey Residents Association in Molesey West (+26.3 pts actual vs -1.3 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Molesey West | The Molesey Residents Association | +26.3 pts | -1.3 pts | +27.7 pts |
| 2024 | Weybridge St George's Hill | Weybridge & St. George's Independents | +26.2 pts | +0.8 pts | +25.4 pts |
| 2024 | Claygate | Liberal Democrats | -17.7 pts | +1.4 pts | -19.1 pts |
| 2024 | Molesey East | Conservative | +10.7 pts | -4.1 pts | +14.8 pts |
| 2024 | Cobham & Downside | Conservative | -14.4 pts | -4.1 pts | -10.4 pts |
| 2024 | Claygate | Conservative | +5.9 pts | -4.1 pts | +9.9 pts |
| 2024 | Walton North | Conservative | -13.9 pts | -4.1 pts | -9.8 pts |
| 2024 | Thames Ditton | Thames Ditton / Weston Green Residents' Association | -7.4 pts | +0.1 pts | -7.5 pts |
| 2024 | Molesey East | Liberal Democrats | +8.9 pts | +1.4 pts | +7.5 pts |
| 2024 | Molesey West | Liberal Democrats | -5.9 pts | +1.4 pts | -7.3 pts |
| 2024 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Liberal Democrats | -5.0 pts | +1.4 pts | -6.4 pts |
| 2024 | Esher | Labour | -5.3 pts | +1.0 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2024 | Weybridge Riverside | Liberal Democrats | +7.5 pts | +1.4 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2024 | Thames Ditton | Conservative | +1.8 pts | -4.1 pts | +5.9 pts |
| 2024 | Molesey East | Labour | +6.7 pts | +1.0 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2024 | Esher | Esher Residents Association | -4.8 pts | +0.0 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2024 | Hinchley Wood & Weston Green | Conservative | +0.7 pts | -4.1 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2024 | Thames Ditton | Liberal Democrats | +6.1 pts | +1.4 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2024 | Cobham & Downside | Liberal Democrats | +5.9 pts | +1.4 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2024 | Hinchley Wood & Weston Green | Liberal Democrats | -2.8 pts | +1.4 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2024 | Walton Central | Labour | +5.2 pts | +1.0 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2024 | Walton Central | The Walton Society | -3.9 pts | +0.1 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2024 | Hersham Village | Conservative | -0.2 pts | -4.1 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2024 | Long Ditton | Conservative | -0.3 pts | -4.1 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2024 | Hersham Village | Labour | -2.5 pts | +1.0 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2024 | Walton North | Labour | -2.2 pts | +1.0 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2024 | Molesey West | Labour | +4.1 pts | +1.0 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2024 | Walton South | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -4.1 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2024 | Weybridge Riverside | Conservative | -6.9 pts | -4.1 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2024 | Walton South | Labour | -1.5 pts | +1.0 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2024 | Long Ditton | Liberal Democrats | -1.1 pts | +1.4 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2024 | Molesey West | Conservative | -6.4 pts | -4.1 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2024 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Labour | -1.2 pts | +1.0 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2024 | Walton South | Liberal Democrats | -0.6 pts | +1.4 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2024 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Labour | +2.8 pts | +1.0 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2024 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Conservative | -2.3 pts | -4.1 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2024 | Walton North | Liberal Democrats | -0.4 pts | +1.4 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2024 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Liberal Democrats | +3.0 pts | +1.4 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2024 | Weybridge Riverside | Labour | -0.7 pts | +0.6 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2024 | Hersham Village | Liberal Democrats | +2.6 pts | +1.4 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2024 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Conservative | -3.0 pts | -4.1 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2024 | Weybridge St George's Hill | Labour | +1.5 pts | +0.6 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2024 | Claygate | Labour | +0.1 pts | +1.0 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2024 | Cobham & Downside | Labour | +1.9 pts | +1.0 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2024 | Walton Central | Conservative | -3.2 pts | -4.1 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2024 | Esher | Conservative | -3.4 pts | -4.1 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2024 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | HER | -0.4 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2024 | Walton Central | Liberal Democrats | +1.9 pts | +1.4 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2024 | Long Ditton | Labour | +1.5 pts | +1.0 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2024 | Thames Ditton | Labour | +1.1 pts | +1.0 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2024 | Hinchley Wood & Weston Green | Labour | +1.0 pts | +1.0 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2023 | Cobham & Downside | Liberal Democrats | -13.7 pts | +1.0 pts | -14.7 pts |
| 2023 | Molesey West | Liberal Democrats | +15.4 pts | +1.0 pts | +14.3 pts |
| 2023 | Cobham & Downside | Conservative | +12.7 pts | -1.5 pts | +14.3 pts |
| 2023 | Walton Central | Liberal Democrats | +15.1 pts | +1.0 pts | +14.1 pts |
| 2023 | Molesey East | Conservative | -15.2 pts | -1.5 pts | -13.6 pts |
| 2023 | Molesey West | RES | -24.5 pts | -13.0 pts | -11.5 pts |
| 2023 | Weybridge St George's Hill | Conservative | -12.8 pts | -1.5 pts | -11.2 pts |
| 2023 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Liberal Democrats | -9.1 pts | +1.0 pts | -10.1 pts |
| 2023 | Claygate | Liberal Democrats | +9.9 pts | +1.0 pts | +8.9 pts |
| 2023 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Conservative | +4.1 pts | -1.5 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2023 | Molesey East | Liberal Democrats | +6.4 pts | +1.0 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2023 | Walton Central | Conservative | -6.8 pts | -1.5 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2023 | Molesey West | Labour | -4.2 pts | +0.1 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2023 | Thames Ditton | Liberal Democrats | -3.3 pts | +1.0 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2023 | Walton South | Liberal Democrats | -3.0 pts | +1.0 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2023 | Long Ditton | Liberal Democrats | -2.9 pts | +1.0 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2023 | Hinchley Wood & Weston Green | Liberal Democrats | -2.6 pts | +1.0 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2023 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Liberal Democrats | -2.4 pts | +1.0 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2023 | Molesey West | Conservative | -4.9 pts | -1.5 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2023 | Hinchley Wood & Weston Green | Conservative | +1.5 pts | -1.5 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2023 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Conservative | +1.2 pts | -1.5 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2023 | Walton North | Conservative | +1.0 pts | -1.5 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2023 | Walton South | Labour | +2.6 pts | +0.1 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2023 | Walton South | Conservative | +0.8 pts | -1.5 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2023 | Long Ditton | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -1.5 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2023 | Esher | Labour | +2.3 pts | +0.1 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2023 | Esher | Conservative | +0.5 pts | -1.5 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2023 | Walton Central | Labour | -1.8 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2023 | Hersham Village | Labour | -1.5 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2023 | Walton North | Liberal Democrats | -0.6 pts | +1.0 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2023 | Hersham Village | Conservative | +0.0 pts | -1.5 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2023 | Cobham & Downside | Labour | -1.3 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2023 | Molesey East | Labour | +1.4 pts | +0.1 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2023 | Weybridge Riverside | Conservative | -2.7 pts | -1.5 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2023 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Labour | -0.9 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2023 | Walton North | Labour | -0.5 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2023 | Weybridge Riverside | Liberal Democrats | +0.5 pts | +1.0 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2023 | Hersham Village | Liberal Democrats | +1.5 pts | +1.0 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2023 | Thames Ditton | Conservative | -2.0 pts | -1.5 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2023 | Claygate | Conservative | -1.5 pts | -1.5 pts | 0.0 pts |
| 2019 | Hersham Village | Conservative | +14.5 pts | -7.2 pts | +21.7 pts |
| 2019 | Molesey West | The Molesey Residents Association | +17.0 pts | +1.6 pts | +15.4 pts |
| 2019 | Weybridge St George's Hill | WSTGI | +15.7 pts | +1.1 pts | +14.6 pts |
| 2019 | Walton Central | The Walton Society | +15.0 pts | +1.0 pts | +14.0 pts |
| 2019 | Cobham & Downside | Conservative | -19.0 pts | -7.2 pts | -11.8 pts |
| 2019 | Weybridge Riverside | Conservative | +4.2 pts | -7.2 pts | +11.4 pts |
| 2019 | Cobham & Downside | Liberal Democrats | +17.5 pts | +6.3 pts | +11.2 pts |
| 2019 | Molesey West | Conservative | -17.8 pts | -7.2 pts | -10.5 pts |
| 2019 | Molesey East | The Molesey Residents Association | +11.3 pts | +1.6 pts | +9.7 pts |
| 2019 | Molesey East | Conservative | -16.9 pts | -7.2 pts | -9.7 pts |
| 2019 | Esher | Esher Residents Association | +10.5 pts | +1.0 pts | +9.4 pts |
| 2019 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Liberal Democrats | +14.2 pts | +6.3 pts | +7.9 pts |
| 2019 | Walton North | Conservative | +0.5 pts | -7.2 pts | +7.7 pts |
| 2019 | Weybridge St George's Hill | Conservative | -14.5 pts | -7.2 pts | -7.3 pts |
| 2019 | Walton North | Liberal Democrats | +12.3 pts | +6.3 pts | +6.0 pts |
| 2019 | Cobham & Downside | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +5.9 pts | +0.1 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2019 | Long Ditton | Liberal Democrats | +12.0 pts | +6.3 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2019 | Hersham Village | Labour | +1.7 pts | -3.0 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2019 | Walton Central | Conservative | -11.8 pts | -7.2 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2019 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Conservative | -11.1 pts | -7.2 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2019 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Liberal Democrats | +2.5 pts | +6.3 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2019 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Labour | -6.4 pts | -3.0 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2019 | Walton South | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -7.2 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2019 | Weybridge Riverside | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +3.3 pts | +0.1 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2019 | Walton North | Labour | -5.9 pts | -3.0 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2019 | Molesey West | Liberal Democrats | +3.8 pts | +6.3 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2019 | Esher | Conservative | -9.7 pts | -7.2 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2019 | Claygate | Conservative | -4.8 pts | -7.2 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2019 | Walton South | Labour | -0.5 pts | -3.0 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2019 | Thames Ditton | Conservative | -4.8 pts | -7.2 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2019 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Labour | -0.9 pts | -3.0 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2019 | Weybridge Riverside | Liberal Democrats | +8.4 pts | +6.3 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2019 | Esher | Green | +2.6 pts | +0.6 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2019 | Walton South | Liberal Democrats | +4.4 pts | +6.3 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2019 | Weybridge St George's Hill | Labour | -1.2 pts | -3.0 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2019 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Conservative | -8.8 pts | -7.2 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2019 | Molesey East | Labour | -4.6 pts | -3.0 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2019 | Long Ditton | Conservative | -8.8 pts | -7.2 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2019 | Cobham & Downside | Labour | -4.4 pts | -3.0 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2019 | Hinchley Wood & Weston Green | Conservative | -6.1 pts | -7.2 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2019 | Claygate | Labour | -1.9 pts | -3.0 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Molesey East | Green | +1.5 pts | +0.6 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2019 | Hinchley Wood & Weston Green | Liberal Democrats | +5.6 pts | +6.3 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2019 | Thames Ditton | Liberal Democrats | +5.7 pts | +6.3 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Weybridge Riverside | Labour | -2.5 pts | -3.0 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2019 | Esher | Labour | -3.4 pts | -3.0 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Claygate | Liberal Democrats | +6.7 pts | +6.3 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Walton Central | Labour | -3.2 pts | -3.0 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Thames Ditton | Labour | -2.7 pts | -3.0 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2019 | Long Ditton | Labour | -3.2 pts | -3.0 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2019 | Molesey West | Labour | -3.1 pts | -3.0 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2018 | Walton South | Conservative | -23.7 pts | +1.9 pts | -25.7 pts |
| 2018 | Long Ditton | Liberal Democrats | -22.6 pts | +2.2 pts | -24.8 pts |
| 2018 | Walton South | Liberal Democrats | +20.7 pts | +2.2 pts | +18.5 pts |
| 2018 | Molesey West | Conservative | +20.4 pts | +1.9 pts | +18.5 pts |
| 2018 | Long Ditton | Conservative | +18.6 pts | +1.9 pts | +16.7 pts |
| 2018 | Walton North | Conservative | -14.5 pts | +1.9 pts | -16.4 pts |
| 2018 | Walton North | Labour | +17.9 pts | +4.9 pts | +13.0 pts |
| 2018 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Labour | -6.1 pts | +4.9 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2018 | Weybridge St George's Hill | WSTGI | -11.6 pts | -0.8 pts | -10.8 pts |
| 2018 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | Conservative | -8.0 pts | +1.9 pts | -9.9 pts |
| 2018 | Molesey East | Conservative | +11.1 pts | +1.9 pts | +9.2 pts |
| 2018 | Walton Central | Conservative | +10.7 pts | +1.9 pts | +8.8 pts |
| 2018 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Liberal Democrats | +9.4 pts | +2.2 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2018 | Cobham & Downside | Conservative | -5.1 pts | +1.9 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2018 | Weybridge Riverside | Conservative | -5.1 pts | +1.9 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2018 | Claygate | Liberal Democrats | -4.6 pts | +2.2 pts | -6.8 pts |
| 2018 | Hersham Village | Conservative | -4.8 pts | +1.9 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2018 | Weybridge Riverside | Labour | -1.7 pts | +4.9 pts | -6.6 pts |
| 2018 | Walton North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -8.0 pts | -1.7 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2018 | Weybridge St George's Hill | Conservative | +7.6 pts | +1.9 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2018 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -7.2 pts | -1.7 pts | -5.5 pts |
| 2018 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Conservative | -3.2 pts | +1.9 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2018 | Weybridge Riverside | Independent | +5.3 pts | +0.3 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2018 | Claygate | Conservative | +6.8 pts | +1.9 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2018 | Thames Ditton | Conservative | -2.8 pts | +1.9 pts | -4.7 pts |
| 2018 | Claygate | Labour | +0.5 pts | +4.9 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2018 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Labour | +1.0 pts | +4.9 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2018 | Hinchley Wood & Weston Green | Conservative | -1.8 pts | +1.9 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2018 | Molesey West | Liberal Democrats | +4.9 pts | +2.2 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2018 | Thames Ditton | Liberal Democrats | +4.8 pts | +2.2 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2018 | Walton Central | Labour | +7.4 pts | +4.9 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2018 | Weybridge Riverside | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2018 | Molesey East | Green | +2.6 pts | +0.4 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2018 | Molesey West | Labour | +7.1 pts | +4.9 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2018 | Walton South | Labour | +3.1 pts | +4.9 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2018 | Esher | Green | +1.9 pts | +0.4 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2018 | Hersham Village | Labour | +3.7 pts | +4.9 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2018 | Oatlands and Burwood Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.9 pts | -1.7 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2018 | Cobham & Downside | Liberal Democrats | +1.3 pts | +2.2 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2018 | Weybridge St George's Hill | Labour | +4.0 pts | +4.9 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2018 | Molesey East | Labour | +5.5 pts | +4.9 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2018 | Walton North | Liberal Democrats | +2.5 pts | +2.2 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2018 | Cobham & Downside | Labour | +5.2 pts | +4.9 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2018 | Cobham & Downside | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -1.4 pts | -1.7 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2018 | Esher | Conservative | +1.9 pts | +1.9 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2018 | Hersham Village | Green | +0.4 pts | +0.4 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2015 | Long Ditton | Liberal Democrats | +48.0 pts | -0.4 pts | +48.4 pts |
| 2015 | Oatlands Park | Conservative | -14.0 pts | +2.2 pts | -16.2 pts |
| 2015 | Esher | Esher | -10.6 pts | -0.8 pts | -9.8 pts |
| 2015 | Cobham & Downside | Liberal Democrats | +6.8 pts | -0.4 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2015 | Cobham & Downside | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -9.8 pts | -2.6 pts | -7.2 pts |
| 2015 | Hersham South | Conservative | -4.2 pts | +2.2 pts | -6.4 pts |
| 2015 | Hersham South | Labour | -7.9 pts | -1.6 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2015 | Hersham North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -8.8 pts | -2.6 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2015 | Hersham North | Labour | -7.4 pts | -1.6 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2015 | Hersham South | Liberal Democrats | -5.8 pts | -0.4 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2015 | Walton Central | Conservative | +7.4 pts | +2.2 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2015 | Walton Ambleside | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -7.5 pts | -2.6 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey North | Labour | +3.1 pts | -1.6 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2015 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -7.2 pts | -2.6 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2015 | Thames Ditton | Conservative | +6.6 pts | +2.2 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey East | Liberal Democrats | +3.2 pts | -0.4 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2015 | Oatlands Park | Labour | -5.2 pts | -1.6 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2015 | Claygate | Conservative | +5.5 pts | +2.2 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey East | Molesey | -2.1 pts | +1.3 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2015 | Claygate | Liberal Democrats | -3.7 pts | -0.4 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey East | Labour | +1.7 pts | -1.6 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey East | Conservative | -1.0 pts | +2.2 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey South | Conservative | -0.9 pts | +2.2 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2015 | Oatlands Park | Liberal Democrats | -3.5 pts | -0.4 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2015 | St. Georges Hill | Conservative | -0.7 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2015 | Walton Central | Walton | +2.4 pts | -0.4 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2015 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Conservative | +4.9 pts | +2.2 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey North | Conservative | -0.4 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2015 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Labour | +0.8 pts | -1.6 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2015 | Cobham & Downside | Conservative | +4.5 pts | +2.2 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2015 | Walton Ambleside | Conservative | +0.2 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2015 | Walton North | Labour | -3.5 pts | -1.6 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2015 | Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon | Liberal Democrats | +1.5 pts | -0.4 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2015 | Walton North | Conservative | +0.5 pts | +2.2 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2015 | St. Georges Hill | Labour | -0.1 pts | -1.6 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2015 | Esher | Conservative | +1.0 pts | +2.2 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2015 | St. Georges Hill | StGHI | +0.8 pts | -0.4 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2015 | Hinchley Wood | Conservative | +3.3 pts | +2.2 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2015 | Walton North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -1.6 pts | -2.6 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey North | Liberal Democrats | +0.5 pts | -0.4 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2015 | Walton Ambleside | Labour | -0.7 pts | -1.6 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2015 | Thames Ditton | Labour | -0.7 pts | -1.6 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey South | Labour | -2.4 pts | -1.6 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey East | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -1.8 pts | -2.6 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2015 | Claygate | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -1.8 pts | -2.6 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey North | Molesey | +0.8 pts | +1.3 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2015 | Molesey North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.9 pts | -2.6 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2015 | Thames Ditton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.3 pts | -2.6 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2015 | Hersham North | Conservative | +1.9 pts | +2.2 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2015 | Walton Central | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.4 pts | -2.6 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2015 | Cobham & Downside | Labour | -1.6 pts | -1.6 pts | +0.0 pts |