Essex: wards that bucked the trend
Essex: in 2021, 128 ward results beat the expected swing and 120 trailed it. The biggest gap was Green in Braintree Eastern (+35.2 pts actual vs +1.1 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Braintree Eastern | Green | +35.2 pts | +1.1 pts | +34.1 pts |
| 2021 | Rayleigh South | Liberal Democrats | +27.1 pts | +0.1 pts | +27.0 pts |
| 2021 | Mersea and Tiptree | Conservative | +22.8 pts | -0.3 pts | +23.1 pts |
| 2021 | Braintree Eastern | Conservative | -22.2 pts | -0.3 pts | -21.9 pts |
| 2021 | Thundersley | Conservative | -19.7 pts | -0.3 pts | -19.4 pts |
| 2021 | Thaxted | Conservative | -19.5 pts | -0.3 pts | -19.2 pts |
| 2021 | Southminster | Independent | +22.5 pts | +3.4 pts | +19.0 pts |
| 2021 | Abbey | Liberal Democrats | -18.9 pts | +0.1 pts | -18.9 pts |
| 2021 | Rochford South | Conservative | +17.9 pts | -0.3 pts | +18.2 pts |
| 2021 | Wivenhoe St Andrew | Liberal Democrats | +17.5 pts | +0.1 pts | +17.4 pts |
| 2021 | Bocking | Green | +17.6 pts | +1.1 pts | +16.5 pts |
| 2021 | Buckhurst Hill and Loughton South | Conservative | -16.3 pts | -0.3 pts | -16.0 pts |
| 2021 | South Benfleet | Conservative | -16.2 pts | -0.3 pts | -16.0 pts |
| 2021 | Tendring Rural East | Conservative | +15.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +15.5 pts |
| 2021 | Hadleigh | Conservative | -15.6 pts | -0.3 pts | -15.3 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood Hutton | Conservative | -15.6 pts | -0.3 pts | -15.3 pts |
| 2021 | Halstead | Conservative | -15.4 pts | -0.3 pts | -15.1 pts |
| 2021 | Billericay and Burstead | Liberal Democrats | +14.6 pts | +0.1 pts | +14.5 pts |
| 2021 | Rayleigh North | Liberal Democrats | +14.4 pts | +0.1 pts | +14.3 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Laindon Park and Fryerns | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -20.8 pts | -7.7 pts | -13.1 pts |
| 2021 | Abbey | Labour | +12.2 pts | +0.2 pts | +12.1 pts |
| 2021 | Tendring Rural West | Conservative | +11.8 pts | -0.3 pts | +12.0 pts |
| 2021 | Chigwell and Loughton Broadway | Liberal Democrats | -11.7 pts | +0.1 pts | -11.8 pts |
| 2021 | Wivenhoe St Andrew | Conservative | -11.8 pts | -0.3 pts | -11.5 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood South | Liberal Democrats | -10.9 pts | +0.1 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2021 | Drury | Labour | +10.9 pts | +0.2 pts | +10.7 pts |
| 2021 | Parsons Heath and East Gates | Liberal Democrats | -10.3 pts | +0.1 pts | -10.4 pts |
| 2021 | South Woodham Ferrers | Conservative | +10.0 pts | -0.3 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmer | Liberal Democrats | +10.2 pts | +0.1 pts | +10.2 pts |
| 2021 | Rochford South | Liberal Democrats | +10.2 pts | +0.1 pts | +10.1 pts |
| 2021 | Rochford West | Conservative | -10.2 pts | -0.3 pts | -9.9 pts |
| 2021 | Thaxted | Liberal Democrats | -9.7 pts | +0.1 pts | -9.8 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton West | Labour | -9.5 pts | +0.2 pts | -9.7 pts |
| 2021 | Broomfield and Writtle | Conservative | +9.3 pts | -0.3 pts | +9.6 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Pitsea | Conservative | +9.3 pts | -0.3 pts | +9.6 pts |
| 2021 | Harwich | Conservative | +9.1 pts | -0.3 pts | +9.4 pts |
| 2021 | Buckhurst Hill and Loughton South | Labour | -9.2 pts | +0.2 pts | -9.3 pts |
| 2021 | Wickford Crouch | Conservative | +8.8 pts | -0.3 pts | +9.1 pts |
| 2021 | Maldon | Liberal Democrats | +9.1 pts | +0.1 pts | +9.0 pts |
| 2021 | Drury | Liberal Democrats | -8.9 pts | +0.1 pts | -9.0 pts |
| 2021 | Southminster | Conservative | -9.2 pts | -0.3 pts | -9.0 pts |
| 2021 | Three Fields with Great Notley | Conservative | -9.2 pts | -0.3 pts | -8.9 pts |
| 2021 | Maldon | Conservative | -9.2 pts | -0.3 pts | -8.9 pts |
| 2021 | Great Baddow | Liberal Democrats | -8.4 pts | +0.1 pts | -8.5 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Laindon Park and Fryerns | Conservative | +8.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +8.5 pts |
| 2021 | Great Baddow | Conservative | -8.7 pts | -0.3 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2021 | Braintree Eastern | Liberal Democrats | -8.2 pts | +0.1 pts | -8.3 pts |
| 2021 | Parsons Heath and East Gates | Conservative | +7.1 pts | -0.3 pts | +7.4 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton West | Conservative | +7.1 pts | -0.3 pts | +7.4 pts |
| 2021 | Stansted | Liberal Democrats | -7.2 pts | +0.1 pts | -7.3 pts |
| 2021 | Ongar and Rural | Liberal Democrats | -7.0 pts | +0.1 pts | -7.1 pts |
| 2021 | Witham Northern | Conservative | +6.7 pts | -0.3 pts | +7.0 pts |
| 2021 | Mersea and Tiptree | Green | +8.0 pts | +1.1 pts | +6.9 pts |
| 2021 | Hedingham | Green | +8.0 pts | +1.1 pts | +6.8 pts |
| 2021 | Witham Southern | Green | +7.9 pts | +1.1 pts | +6.8 pts |
| 2021 | Mile End and Highwoods | Liberal Democrats | -6.6 pts | +0.1 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2021 | Maldon | Labour | -6.6 pts | +0.2 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2021 | Abbey | Green | +7.8 pts | +1.1 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2021 | Mile End and Highwoods | Labour | +6.7 pts | +0.2 pts | +6.6 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Pitsea | Labour | +6.6 pts | +0.2 pts | +6.5 pts |
| 2021 | Wivenhoe St Andrew | Labour | -6.2 pts | +0.2 pts | -6.4 pts |
| 2021 | Buckhurst Hill and Loughton South | Liberal Democrats | -6.2 pts | +0.1 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2021 | Broomfield and Writtle | Green | +7.4 pts | +1.1 pts | +6.3 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow North | Conservative | +5.9 pts | -0.3 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2021 | Thundersley | Labour | -6.1 pts | +0.2 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2021 | Stanway and Pyefleet | Labour | +6.3 pts | +0.2 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood South | Labour | +6.1 pts | +0.2 pts | +6.0 pts |
| 2021 | Brightlingsea | Liberal Democrats | -5.7 pts | +0.1 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2021 | Braintree Town | Conservative | +5.5 pts | -0.3 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2021 | Billericay and Burstead | Conservative | -6.0 pts | -0.3 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2021 | North Weald and Nazeing | Conservative | -5.9 pts | -0.3 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2021 | Parsons Heath and East Gates | Green | +6.7 pts | +1.1 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow West | Labour | -5.4 pts | +0.2 pts | -5.5 pts |
| 2021 | Witham Southern | Conservative | +5.1 pts | -0.3 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford Central | Liberal Democrats | +5.5 pts | +0.1 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2021 | Tendring Rural West | Labour | -5.2 pts | +0.2 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2021 | Braintree Town | Labour | -5.1 pts | +0.2 pts | -5.3 pts |
| 2021 | Constable | Liberal Democrats | -5.2 pts | +0.1 pts | -5.3 pts |
| 2021 | Harwich | Labour | +5.4 pts | +0.2 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2021 | Brightlingsea | Labour | -5.1 pts | +0.2 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2021 | Halstead | Liberal Democrats | -4.9 pts | +0.1 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood Rural | Liberal Democrats | +5.1 pts | +0.1 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow West | Conservative | +4.7 pts | -0.3 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow North | Labour | -4.8 pts | +0.2 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Dunmow | Conservative | -5.2 pts | -0.3 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2021 | Epping and Theydon Bois | Conservative | +4.5 pts | -0.3 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2021 | Waltham Abbey | Labour | +5.0 pts | +0.2 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton North | Labour | -4.7 pts | +0.2 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2021 | Wivenhoe St Andrew | Green | +5.7 pts | +1.1 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2021 | Broomfield and Writtle | Labour | +4.8 pts | +0.2 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmer | Conservative | -4.9 pts | -0.3 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2021 | Rayleigh South | Labour | +4.7 pts | +0.2 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2021 | Halstead | Labour | -4.3 pts | +0.2 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2021 | Rochford North | Conservative | -4.6 pts | -0.3 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2021 | Witham Southern | Liberal Democrats | -4.1 pts | +0.1 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford West | Labour | -4.0 pts | +0.2 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2021 | Tendring Rural West | Green | -3.0 pts | +1.1 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford West | Green | +5.2 pts | +1.1 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2021 | Thaxted | Labour | -3.9 pts | +0.2 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2021 | Loughton Central | Labour | +4.2 pts | +0.2 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2021 | Canvey Island East | CIIP | +4.0 pts | +0.0 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow South East | Conservative | +3.7 pts | -0.3 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2021 | Bocking | Labour | -3.8 pts | +0.2 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2021 | Frinton and Walton | Conservative | +3.7 pts | -0.3 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2021 | Canvey Island East | Conservative | +3.6 pts | -0.3 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2021 | Chigwell and Loughton Broadway | Labour | +4.0 pts | +0.2 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2021 | Tendring Rural West | Liberal Democrats | +3.9 pts | +0.1 pts | +3.8 pts |
| 2021 | Rayleigh North | Labour | +3.9 pts | +0.2 pts | +3.8 pts |
| 2021 | Broomfield and Writtle | Liberal Democrats | -3.7 pts | +0.1 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood North | Green | +4.8 pts | +1.1 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford West | Liberal Democrats | +3.8 pts | +0.1 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2021 | North Weald and Nazeing | Labour | +3.8 pts | +0.2 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2021 | Southminster | Labour | -3.4 pts | +0.2 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2021 | Stanway and Pyefleet | Conservative | -3.8 pts | -0.3 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood Hutton | Liberal Democrats | -3.3 pts | +0.1 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood North | Liberal Democrats | -3.3 pts | +0.1 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Laindon Park and Fryerns | Labour | +3.4 pts | +0.2 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2021 | Waltham Abbey | Conservative | -3.4 pts | -0.3 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2021 | Heybridge and Tollesbury | Green | +4.2 pts | +1.1 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2021 | Witham Northern | Labour | -2.9 pts | +0.2 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2021 | Parsons Heath and East Gates | Labour | +3.2 pts | +0.2 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2021 | Ongar and Rural | English Democrats Party - Putting England First | +3.1 pts | +0.0 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford Central | Conservative | -3.3 pts | -0.3 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2021 | Witham Southern | Labour | +3.2 pts | +0.2 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2021 | Bocking | Conservative | -3.3 pts | -0.3 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow South East | Liberal Democrats | -2.8 pts | +0.1 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton East | Labour | -2.8 pts | +0.2 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2021 | Stansted | Green | +3.9 pts | +1.1 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2021 | Witham Northern | Green | +3.9 pts | +1.1 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford Central | Green | +3.8 pts | +1.1 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2021 | Drury | Green | +3.8 pts | +1.1 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2021 | Harwich | Liberal Democrats | +2.7 pts | +0.1 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood Rural | Green | +3.8 pts | +1.1 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2021 | Dunmow | Green | +3.7 pts | +1.1 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2021 | Brightlingsea | Conservative | -2.9 pts | -0.3 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2021 | Billericay and Burstead | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -5.2 pts | -7.7 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2021 | Stock | Labour | +2.7 pts | +0.2 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2021 | Waltham Abbey | Green | +3.7 pts | +1.1 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2021 | Great Baddow | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -5.2 pts | -7.7 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2021 | Springfield | Green | +3.6 pts | +1.1 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood North | Labour | +2.6 pts | +0.2 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford North | Green | +3.5 pts | +1.1 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow South East | Labour | -2.2 pts | +0.2 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2021 | Wickford Crouch | Liberal Democrats | +2.4 pts | +0.1 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2021 | Dunmow | Liberal Democrats | -2.1 pts | +0.1 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2021 | Southminster | Liberal Democrats | -2.1 pts | +0.1 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2021 | Great Baddow | Green | +3.2 pts | +1.1 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2021 | Hedingham | Liberal Democrats | -2.0 pts | +0.1 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2021 | Chigwell and Loughton Broadway | Conservative | -2.4 pts | -0.3 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2021 | North Weald and Nazeing | Liberal Democrats | +2.1 pts | +0.1 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2021 | Rochford South | Labour | -1.9 pts | +0.2 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Westley Heights | Liberal Democrats | -1.9 pts | +0.1 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton East | Independent | +1.5 pts | +3.4 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2021 | Drury | Conservative | -2.2 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2021 | Canvey Island West | Labour | +2.1 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Westley Heights | Independent | +1.5 pts | +3.4 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2021 | Stanway and Pyefleet | Liberal Democrats | +2.0 pts | +0.1 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton North | Green | +3.0 pts | +1.1 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford Central | Labour | -1.7 pts | +0.2 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2021 | South Benfleet | Liberal Democrats | -1.8 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2021 | Great Baddow | Labour | -1.7 pts | +0.2 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2021 | Heybridge and Tollesbury | Liberal Democrats | -1.8 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2021 | Maypole | Labour | -1.7 pts | +0.2 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2021 | Three Fields with Great Notley | Labour | -1.6 pts | +0.2 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford North | Conservative | +1.5 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2021 | Three Fields with Great Notley | Liberal Democrats | -1.7 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford West | Conservative | +1.4 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2021 | Southminster | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -9.4 pts | -7.7 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2021 | Ongar and Rural | Conservative | +1.4 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2021 | Stock | Green | +2.8 pts | +1.1 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2021 | Constable | Green | +2.7 pts | +1.1 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2021 | Waltham Abbey | Liberal Democrats | -1.5 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2021 | Rayleigh South | Conservative | -1.8 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2021 | Constable | Labour | +1.7 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2021 | Stock | Conservative | +1.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2021 | Maypole | Green | +2.6 pts | +1.1 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2021 | Frinton and Walton | Green | +2.6 pts | +1.1 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton East | Conservative | +1.1 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmer | Labour | -1.2 pts | +0.2 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2021 | South Woodham Ferrers | Labour | +1.5 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2021 | Canvey Island West | Conservative | -1.6 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2021 | Braintree Eastern | Labour | +1.4 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2021 | Mile End and Highwoods | Green | +2.4 pts | +1.1 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow North | Liberal Democrats | -1.1 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2021 | Constable | Conservative | -1.5 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2021 | Wickford Crouch | Labour | +1.3 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2021 | Hedingham | Conservative | -1.4 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2021 | Stansted | Labour | +1.3 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood Hutton | Green | -0.0 pts | +1.1 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Pitsea | Liberal Democrats | +1.2 pts | +0.1 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2021 | Bocking | Liberal Democrats | -1.0 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2021 | South Woodham Ferrers | Green | +2.2 pts | +1.1 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmer | Green | +2.2 pts | +1.1 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2021 | Ongar and Rural | Labour | +1.2 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2021 | Hadleigh | Labour | +1.2 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2021 | Mersea and Tiptree | Liberal Democrats | -1.0 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2021 | Loughton Central | Conservative | -1.3 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton North | Conservative | +0.7 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2021 | Thaxted | Green | +0.2 pts | +1.1 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2021 | Maypole | Liberal Democrats | +1.0 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow West | Liberal Democrats | +1.0 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2021 | Stansted | Conservative | +0.6 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2021 | Frinton and Walton | Labour | -0.7 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2021 | Maypole | Conservative | +0.5 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton West | Green | +1.9 pts | +1.1 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2021 | Tendring Rural East | Liberal Democrats | +0.9 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2021 | Epping and Theydon Bois | Labour | +0.9 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood South | Conservative | +0.5 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2021 | Heybridge and Tollesbury | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2021 | Canvey Island East | Labour | +0.9 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood South | Green | +1.9 pts | +1.1 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2021 | Mersea and Tiptree | Labour | -0.6 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2021 | Dunmow | Labour | -0.5 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2021 | Mile End and Highwoods | Conservative | -0.9 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood Hutton | Labour | -0.4 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2021 | Epping and Theydon Bois | Liberal Democrats | -0.5 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Westley Heights | Conservative | -0.9 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2021 | Southminster | Green | +1.7 pts | +1.1 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2021 | South Benfleet | Labour | -0.4 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2021 | Springfield | Conservative | +0.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2021 | Billericay and Burstead | Labour | +0.7 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2021 | South Woodham Ferrers | Liberal Democrats | -0.4 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood North | Conservative | -0.7 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2021 | Rayleigh North | Conservative | -0.7 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2021 | Tendring Rural East | Labour | -0.3 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood Rural | Conservative | -0.7 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2021 | Abbey | Conservative | +0.1 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2021 | Heybridge and Tollesbury | Labour | -0.2 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton West | Liberal Democrats | -0.3 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2021 | Hadleigh | Liberal Democrats | +0.4 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Westley Heights | Labour | +0.5 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2021 | Basildon Laindon Park and Fryerns | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2021 | Braintree Town | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2021 | Stock | Liberal Democrats | +0.4 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2021 | Frinton and Walton | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2021 | Rochford North | Labour | +0.3 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2021 | Springfield | Liberal Democrats | -0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2021 | Tendring Rural East | Green | +1.0 pts | +1.1 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton East | Liberal Democrats | -0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2021 | Loughton Central | Liberal Democrats | +0.2 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford North | Liberal Democrats | -0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Maldon | Green | +1.3 pts | +1.1 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Buckhurst Hill and Loughton South | Green | +1.0 pts | +1.1 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Clacton East | Green | +1.0 pts | +1.1 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Rochford West | Labour | +0.3 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Chelmsford North | Labour | +0.2 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Stanway and Pyefleet | Green | +1.1 pts | +1.1 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Brentwood Rural | Labour | +0.2 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2021 | Canvey Island East | Liberal Democrats | +0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | 0.0 pts |
| 2017 | Basildon Westley Heights | Independent | +60.1 pts | +2.2 pts | +57.9 pts |
| 2017 | Basildon Westley Heights | Liberal Democrats | -17.4 pts | +2.7 pts | -20.1 pts |
| 2017 | Stansted | Conservative | -3.3 pts | +15.2 pts | -18.4 pts |
| 2017 | Abbey | Labour | +17.0 pts | -0.6 pts | +17.5 pts |
| 2017 | Rayleigh North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.6 pts | -20.0 pts | +17.4 pts |
| 2017 | Clacton North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.9 pts | -20.0 pts | +17.1 pts |
| 2017 | Basildon Westley Heights | Conservative | -1.9 pts | +15.2 pts | -17.1 pts |
| 2017 | Thundersley | Conservative | +31.0 pts | +15.2 pts | +15.8 pts |
| 2017 | North Weald and Nazeing | Conservative | +30.9 pts | +15.2 pts | +15.7 pts |
| 2017 | South Woodham Ferrers | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -4.5 pts | -20.0 pts | +15.5 pts |
| 2017 | Buckhurst Hill and Loughton South | Green | +13.4 pts | -0.2 pts | +13.6 pts |
| 2017 | South Benfleet | Conservative | +28.4 pts | +15.2 pts | +13.2 pts |
| 2017 | Mersea and Tiptree | Conservative | +2.0 pts | +15.2 pts | -13.2 pts |
| 2017 | Rochford North | Conservative | +2.0 pts | +15.2 pts | -13.2 pts |
| 2017 | Maypole | Liberal Democrats | -10.4 pts | +2.7 pts | -13.1 pts |
| 2017 | Chigwell and Loughton Broadway | Conservative | +27.7 pts | +15.2 pts | +12.5 pts |
| 2017 | Canvey Island West | Conservative | +2.7 pts | +15.2 pts | -12.4 pts |
| 2017 | Waltham Abbey | Labour | +11.8 pts | -0.6 pts | +12.3 pts |
| 2017 | Chigwell and Loughton Broadway | Liberal Democrats | +14.5 pts | +2.7 pts | +11.8 pts |
| 2017 | Witham Northern | Green | +11.5 pts | -0.2 pts | +11.7 pts |
| 2017 | Dunmow | Conservative | +3.5 pts | +15.2 pts | -11.6 pts |
| 2017 | Rochford South | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -8.9 pts | -20.0 pts | +11.1 pts |
| 2017 | Harwich | Labour | +10.3 pts | -0.6 pts | +10.8 pts |
| 2017 | Clacton East | Conservative | +4.4 pts | +15.2 pts | -10.7 pts |
| 2017 | Abbey | Liberal Democrats | -8.0 pts | +2.7 pts | -10.7 pts |
| 2017 | Southminster | Conservative | +4.7 pts | +15.2 pts | -10.4 pts |
| 2017 | Harlow South East | Conservative | +25.5 pts | +15.2 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2017 | Clacton East | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -9.7 pts | -20.0 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2017 | Buckhurst Hill and Loughton South | Labour | +9.7 pts | -0.6 pts | +10.2 pts |
| 2017 | Basildon Westley Heights | Labour | -10.4 pts | -0.6 pts | -9.8 pts |
| 2017 | Constable | Conservative | +24.8 pts | +15.2 pts | +9.6 pts |
| 2017 | Rochford South | Labour | -10.1 pts | -0.6 pts | -9.6 pts |
| 2017 | Maypole | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -10.6 pts | -20.0 pts | +9.4 pts |
| 2017 | Wivenhoe St Andrew | Labour | -9.8 pts | -0.6 pts | -9.3 pts |
| 2017 | Chelmsford Central | Liberal Democrats | +11.7 pts | +2.7 pts | +9.0 pts |
| 2017 | Tendring Rural West | Liberal Democrats | -6.2 pts | +2.7 pts | -8.9 pts |
| 2017 | Brentwood Hutton | Conservative | +24.1 pts | +15.2 pts | +8.9 pts |
| 2017 | Rayleigh South | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -28.7 pts | -20.0 pts | -8.7 pts |
| 2017 | Wivenhoe St Andrew | Liberal Democrats | +11.4 pts | +2.7 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2017 | Chelmsford Central | Conservative | +6.7 pts | +15.2 pts | -8.5 pts |
| 2017 | Basildon Laindon Park and Fryerns | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -11.8 pts | -20.0 pts | +8.2 pts |
| 2017 | Harwich | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -11.8 pts | -20.0 pts | +8.2 pts |
| 2017 | Maypole | Labour | +7.5 pts | -0.6 pts | +8.1 pts |
| 2017 | Harlow North | Conservative | +23.2 pts | +15.2 pts | +8.0 pts |
| 2017 | Bocking | Conservative | +23.1 pts | +15.2 pts | +7.9 pts |
| 2017 | Springfield | Liberal Democrats | +10.6 pts | +2.7 pts | +7.9 pts |
| 2017 | Chelmsford West | Liberal Democrats | +10.5 pts | +2.7 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2017 | Rochford North | Liberal Democrats | -5.1 pts | +2.7 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2017 | Brightlingsea | Conservative | +22.9 pts | +15.2 pts | +7.7 pts |
| 2017 | Loughton Central | Conservative | +7.5 pts | +15.2 pts | -7.7 pts |
| 2017 | Harwich | Conservative | +7.8 pts | +15.2 pts | -7.4 pts |