Great Yarmouth: wards that bucked the trend
Great Yarmouth: in 2019, 16 ward results beat the expected swing and 11 trailed it. The biggest gap was Labour in Claydon (+12.8 pts actual vs -4.4 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Claydon | Labour | +12.8 pts | -4.4 pts | +17.1 pts |
| 2019 | Caister North | Conservative | +18.5 pts | +4.1 pts | +14.4 pts |
| 2019 | Southtown & Cobholm | Labour | +9.2 pts | -4.4 pts | +13.6 pts |
| 2019 | Magdalen | Labour | +8.8 pts | -4.4 pts | +13.2 pts |
| 2019 | Bradwell North | Conservative | +16.2 pts | +4.1 pts | +12.1 pts |
| 2019 | Bradwell North | Labour | -16.2 pts | -4.4 pts | -11.9 pts |
| 2019 | LOTHINGLAND | Conservative | -6.2 pts | +4.1 pts | -10.3 pts |
| 2019 | Bradwell South & Hopton | Conservative | +14.0 pts | +4.1 pts | +9.9 pts |
| 2019 | Central & Northgate | Conservative | -5.6 pts | +4.1 pts | -9.7 pts |
| 2019 | Gorleston | Conservative | +13.8 pts | +4.1 pts | +9.7 pts |
| 2019 | Bradwell South & Hopton | Labour | -14.0 pts | -4.4 pts | -9.6 pts |
| 2019 | Caister South | Conservative | +13.4 pts | +4.1 pts | +9.3 pts |
| 2019 | Nelson | Conservative | -4.0 pts | +4.1 pts | -8.1 pts |
| 2019 | East Flegg | Conservative | +12.1 pts | +4.1 pts | +8.0 pts |
| 2019 | East Flegg | Labour | -12.1 pts | -4.4 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2019 | Yarmouth North | Conservative | -3.5 pts | +4.1 pts | -7.6 pts |
| 2019 | Caister South | Labour | +3.1 pts | -4.4 pts | +7.5 pts |
| 2019 | Southtown & Cobholm | Conservative | +10.8 pts | +4.1 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2019 | Claydon | Conservative | +0.0 pts | +4.1 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2019 | Yarmouth North | Labour | -0.5 pts | -4.4 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2019 | Nelson | Labour | -5.9 pts | -4.4 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Magdalen | Conservative | +2.6 pts | +4.1 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Gorleston | Labour | -3.1 pts | -4.4 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2019 | Central & Northgate | Labour | -3.3 pts | -4.4 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2019 | LOTHINGLAND | Labour | -3.9 pts | -4.4 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2019 | Central & Northgate | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.3 pts | -2.6 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Caister North | Labour | -4.5 pts | -4.4 pts | -0.1 pts |