Hammersmith and Fulham: wards that bucked the trend
Hammersmith and Fulham: in 2018, 27 ward results beat the expected swing and 22 trailed it. The biggest gap was Liberal Democrats in Town (-9.1 pts actual vs +3.7 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Town | Liberal Democrats | -9.1 pts | +3.7 pts | -12.8 pts |
| 2018 | Ravenscourt Park | Liberal Democrats | +12.3 pts | +3.7 pts | +8.6 pts |
| 2018 | Town | Labour | +16.4 pts | +8.0 pts | +8.4 pts |
| 2018 | North End | Conservative | -15.8 pts | -8.0 pts | -7.9 pts |
| 2018 | North End | Labour | +15.1 pts | +8.0 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2018 | Parsons Green and Walham | Labour | +0.9 pts | +8.0 pts | -7.1 pts |
| 2018 | Fulham Reach | Conservative | -15.0 pts | -8.0 pts | -7.1 pts |
| 2018 | COLLEGE PARK & OLD OAK | Conservative | -1.1 pts | -8.0 pts | +6.9 pts |
| 2018 | Addison | Conservative | -14.0 pts | -8.0 pts | -6.0 pts |
| 2018 | Fulham Reach | Labour | +12.8 pts | +8.0 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2018 | Ravenscourt Park | Conservative | -12.3 pts | -8.0 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2018 | Fulham Broadway | Labour | +3.7 pts | +8.0 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2018 | Sands End | Conservative | -3.8 pts | -8.0 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2018 | Shepherd's Bush Green | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -8.0 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2018 | Palace Riverside | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -8.0 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2018 | Wormholt and White City | Labour | +4.1 pts | +8.0 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2018 | Palace Riverside | Labour | +4.1 pts | +8.0 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2018 | Sands End | Labour | +11.8 pts | +8.0 pts | +3.8 pts |
| 2018 | Shepherd's Bush Green | Liberal Democrats | +7.4 pts | +3.7 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2018 | Avonmore and Brook Green | Liberal Democrats | +0.3 pts | +3.7 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2018 | Palace Riverside | Liberal Democrats | +6.7 pts | +3.7 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2018 | Wormholt and White City | Conservative | -5.1 pts | -8.0 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2018 | Sands End | Liberal Democrats | +1.0 pts | +3.7 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2018 | Addison | Labour | +5.4 pts | +8.0 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2018 | Fulham Broadway | Conservative | -5.6 pts | -8.0 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2018 | Town | Conservative | -5.7 pts | -8.0 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2018 | Hammersmith Broadway | Liberal Democrats | +5.8 pts | +3.7 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2018 | Fulham Reach | Liberal Democrats | +1.6 pts | +3.7 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2018 | Avonmore and Brook Green | Labour | +10.0 pts | +8.0 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2018 | Parsons Green and Walham | Conservative | -6.0 pts | -8.0 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2018 | Munster | Liberal Democrats | +5.5 pts | +3.7 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2018 | Askew | Conservative | -6.1 pts | -8.0 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2018 | Fulham Broadway | Liberal Democrats | +1.9 pts | +3.7 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2018 | Askew | Labour | +9.6 pts | +8.0 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2018 | Hammersmith Broadway | Conservative | -9.6 pts | -8.0 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2018 | COLLEGE PARK & OLD OAK | Liberal Democrats | +2.2 pts | +3.7 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2018 | Parsons Green and Walham | Liberal Democrats | +5.1 pts | +3.7 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2018 | North End | Liberal Democrats | +2.5 pts | +3.7 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2018 | Ravenscourt Park | Labour | +6.7 pts | +8.0 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2018 | Munster | Labour | +7.0 pts | +8.0 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2018 | Askew | Liberal Democrats | +4.6 pts | +3.7 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2018 | Shepherd's Bush Green | Labour | +7.1 pts | +8.0 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2018 | Hammersmith Broadway | Labour | +8.8 pts | +8.0 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2018 | Wormholt and White City | Liberal Democrats | +4.5 pts | +3.7 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2018 | North End | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -1.8 pts | -1.3 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2018 | COLLEGE PARK & OLD OAK | Labour | +8.4 pts | +8.0 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2018 | Munster | Conservative | -8.3 pts | -8.0 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2018 | Avonmore and Brook Green | Conservative | -7.8 pts | -8.0 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2018 | Addison | Liberal Democrats | +3.7 pts | +3.7 pts | +0.0 pts |