Harlow: wards that bucked the trend
Harlow: in 2023, 18 ward results beat the expected swing and 16 trailed it. The biggest gap was Labour in Little Parndon and Hare Street (+14.2 pts actual vs -5.6 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Labour | +14.2 pts | -5.6 pts | +19.9 pts |
| 2023 | Little Parndon and Town Centre | Labour | +14.2 pts | -5.6 pts | +19.9 pts |
| 2023 | Old Harlow | Labour | +5.0 pts | -5.6 pts | +10.6 pts |
| 2023 | Church Langley | Labour | +4.9 pts | -5.6 pts | +10.5 pts |
| 2023 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Labour | +4.4 pts | -5.6 pts | +10.0 pts |
| 2023 | Netteswell | Labour | +2.3 pts | -5.6 pts | +7.9 pts |
| 2023 | Harlow Common | Labour | +2.1 pts | -5.6 pts | +7.7 pts |
| 2023 | Bush Fair | Conservative | -11.2 pts | -3.6 pts | -7.6 pts |
| 2023 | Mark Hall | Labour | -12.8 pts | -5.6 pts | -7.2 pts |
| 2023 | Great Parndon | Labour | +0.8 pts | -5.6 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2023 | Little Parndon and Town Centre | Green | -6.0 pts | +0.2 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2023 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Green | -6.0 pts | +0.2 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2023 | Staple Tye | Conservative | -9.6 pts | -3.6 pts | -5.9 pts |
| 2023 | Little Parndon and Town Centre | Conservative | -8.3 pts | -3.6 pts | -4.7 pts |
| 2023 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Conservative | -8.3 pts | -3.6 pts | -4.7 pts |
| 2023 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Conservative | -8.1 pts | -3.6 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2023 | Toddbrook | Conservative | +0.5 pts | -3.6 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2023 | Toddbrook | Green | +4.0 pts | +0.2 pts | +3.8 pts |
| 2023 | Great Parndon | Conservative | -0.2 pts | -3.6 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2023 | Netteswell | Green | -3.0 pts | +0.2 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2023 | Harlow Common | Green | +3.0 pts | +0.2 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2023 | Bush Fair | Green | +2.9 pts | +0.2 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2023 | Netteswell | Conservative | -6.0 pts | -3.6 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2023 | Mark Hall | Green | +2.3 pts | +0.2 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2023 | Church Langley | Conservative | -5.3 pts | -3.6 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2023 | Harlow Common | Conservative | -5.1 pts | -3.6 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2023 | Old Harlow | Green | -1.1 pts | +0.2 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2023 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Green | +1.4 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2023 | Toddbrook | Labour | -4.5 pts | -5.6 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2023 | Staple Tye | Green | -0.8 pts | +0.2 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2023 | Mark Hall | Conservative | -4.1 pts | -3.6 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2023 | Bush Fair | Liberal Democrats | +1.6 pts | +1.1 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2023 | Old Harlow | Conservative | -3.8 pts | -3.6 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2023 | Church Langley | Green | +0.4 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2022 | Mark Hall | Conservative | -32.6 pts | -12.5 pts | -20.1 pts |
| 2022 | Mark Hall | Labour | +28.6 pts | +8.6 pts | +19.9 pts |
| 2022 | Bush Fair | Labour | -2.0 pts | +8.6 pts | -10.6 pts |
| 2022 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Labour | -0.7 pts | +8.6 pts | -9.3 pts |
| 2022 | Little Parndon and Town Centre | Labour | -0.7 pts | +8.6 pts | -9.3 pts |
| 2022 | Church Langley | Labour | +0.2 pts | +8.6 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2022 | Bush Fair | Conservative | -4.1 pts | -12.5 pts | +8.3 pts |
| 2022 | Toddbrook | Conservative | -19.7 pts | -12.5 pts | -7.2 pts |
| 2022 | Old Harlow | Labour | +1.6 pts | +8.6 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2022 | Staple Tye | Conservative | -5.8 pts | -12.5 pts | +6.6 pts |
| 2022 | Harlow Common | Labour | +2.9 pts | +8.6 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2022 | Great Parndon | Conservative | -6.8 pts | -12.5 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2022 | Staple Tye | Labour | +3.0 pts | +8.6 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2022 | Great Parndon | Labour | +3.6 pts | +8.6 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2022 | Great Parndon | HALL | +3.1 pts | -1.7 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2022 | Toddbrook | Labour | +12.5 pts | +8.6 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2022 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Conservative | -9.6 pts | -12.5 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2022 | Little Parndon and Town Centre | Conservative | -9.6 pts | -12.5 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2022 | Church Langley | Conservative | -9.7 pts | -12.5 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2022 | Harlow Common | Conservative | -9.8 pts | -12.5 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2022 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Labour | +6.3 pts | +8.6 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2022 | Bush Fair | Liberal Democrats | -1.5 pts | -3.3 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2022 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Conservative | -11.0 pts | -12.5 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2022 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | HALL | -0.5 pts | -1.7 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2022 | Old Harlow | Conservative | -13.1 pts | -12.5 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2022 | Netteswell | Conservative | -12.8 pts | -12.5 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Old Harlow | TUSC | +0.4 pts | 0.0 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Netteswell | Labour | +8.6 pts | +8.6 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2021 | Mark Hall | Labour | -27.8 pts | -0.7 pts | -27.1 pts |
| 2021 | Mark Hall | Conservative | +44.7 pts | +22.4 pts | +22.3 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow Common | Conservative | +32.9 pts | +22.4 pts | +10.5 pts |
| 2021 | Great Parndon | Conservative | +13.1 pts | +22.4 pts | -9.3 pts |
| 2021 | Old Harlow | Conservative | +13.6 pts | +22.4 pts | -8.8 pts |
| 2021 | Netteswell | Conservative | +27.4 pts | +22.4 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Bush Fair | Labour | +4.0 pts | -0.7 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2021 | Netteswell | Liberal Democrats | -3.9 pts | +0.6 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2021 | Staple Tye | Conservative | +26.6 pts | +22.4 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2021 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Labour | -4.6 pts | -0.7 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2021 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Labour | -4.5 pts | -0.7 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2021 | Bush Fair | Conservative | +18.6 pts | +22.4 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2021 | Staple Tye | Labour | -4.3 pts | -0.7 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2021 | Toddbrook | Conservative | +25.9 pts | +22.4 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2021 | Netteswell | Labour | -3.9 pts | -0.7 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2021 | Church Langley | Labour | -3.6 pts | -0.7 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2021 | Church Langley | Conservative | +25.0 pts | +22.4 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2021 | Old Harlow | Labour | -3.2 pts | -0.7 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2021 | Bush Fair | Liberal Democrats | -1.7 pts | +0.6 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2021 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Conservative | +23.7 pts | +22.4 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2021 | Great Parndon | Labour | +0.1 pts | -0.7 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2021 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Conservative | +21.7 pts | +22.4 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2021 | Harlow Common | Labour | -0.4 pts | -0.7 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2021 | Mark Hall | Liberal Democrats | +0.3 pts | +0.6 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Mark Hall | Labour | +9.8 pts | -6.7 pts | +16.5 pts |
| 2019 | Great Parndon | Harlow Alliance Party | +16.2 pts | +6.4 pts | +9.8 pts |
| 2019 | Old Harlow | Labour | +1.7 pts | -6.7 pts | +8.4 pts |
| 2019 | Toddbrook | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +16.0 pts | +8.6 pts | +7.3 pts |
| 2019 | Staple Tye | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +15.9 pts | +8.6 pts | +7.3 pts |
| 2019 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Labour | -12.4 pts | -6.7 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2019 | Netteswell | Liberal Democrats | +6.1 pts | +0.6 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2019 | Church Langley | Labour | -1.4 pts | -6.7 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2019 | Netteswell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +13.3 pts | +8.6 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2019 | Harlow Common | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +13.1 pts | +8.6 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Great Parndon | Conservative | -7.9 pts | -12.3 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2019 | Mark Hall | Conservative | -16.7 pts | -12.3 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2019 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +12.9 pts | +8.6 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2019 | Bush Fair | Labour | -2.5 pts | -6.7 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2019 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Conservative | -16.3 pts | -12.3 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2019 | Toddbrook | Conservative | -8.4 pts | -12.3 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2019 | Bush Fair | Conservative | -8.7 pts | -12.3 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2019 | Staple Tye | Labour | -3.5 pts | -6.7 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2019 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Conservative | -9.2 pts | -12.3 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2019 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Labour | -3.7 pts | -6.7 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2019 | Church Langley | Conservative | -14.2 pts | -12.3 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2019 | Mark Hall | Liberal Democrats | -1.2 pts | +0.6 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2019 | Harlow Common | Labour | -5.1 pts | -6.7 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Great Parndon | Labour | -8.2 pts | -6.7 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Netteswell | Conservative | -13.8 pts | -12.3 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2019 | Bush Fair | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +9.8 pts | +8.6 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2019 | Netteswell | Labour | -5.6 pts | -6.7 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2019 | Bush Fair | Liberal Democrats | +1.3 pts | +0.6 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2019 | Mark Hall | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +8.1 pts | +8.6 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Church Langley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +9.0 pts | +8.6 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Old Harlow | Conservative | -12.2 pts | -12.3 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2019 | Harlow Common | Conservative | -12.4 pts | -12.3 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2019 | Staple Tye | Conservative | -12.4 pts | -12.3 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2018 | Old Harlow | Labour | -4.9 pts | +3.3 pts | -8.2 pts |
| 2018 | Harlow Common | Conservative | +4.0 pts | +11.7 pts | -7.7 pts |
| 2018 | Old Harlow | Conservative | +18.3 pts | +11.7 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2018 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Labour | +9.1 pts | +3.3 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2018 | Staple Tye | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -11.6 pts | -17.2 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2018 | Bush Fair | Conservative | +17.2 pts | +11.7 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2018 | Harlow Common | Labour | +8.6 pts | +3.3 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2018 | Bush Fair | Labour | -1.7 pts | +3.3 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2018 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Conservative | +7.1 pts | +11.7 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2018 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -13.1 pts | -17.2 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2018 | Netteswell | Conservative | +15.0 pts | +11.7 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2018 | Bush Fair | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -14.1 pts | -17.2 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2018 | Church Langley | Labour | +6.4 pts | +3.3 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2018 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Labour | +6.0 pts | +3.3 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2018 | Great Parndon | Conservative | +9.1 pts | +11.7 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2018 | Church Langley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -19.8 pts | -17.2 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2018 | Old Harlow | Liberal Democrats | +2.8 pts | +0.3 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2018 | Staple Tye | Conservative | +9.1 pts | +11.7 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2018 | Mark Hall | Labour | +5.6 pts | +3.3 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2018 | Toddbrook | Conservative | +9.7 pts | +11.7 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2018 | Netteswell | Liberal Democrats | -1.5 pts | +0.3 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2018 | Bush Fair | Liberal Democrats | -1.5 pts | +0.3 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2018 | Church Langley | Conservative | +13.4 pts | +11.7 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2018 | Mark Hall | Conservative | +10.0 pts | +11.7 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2018 | Mark Hall | Liberal Democrats | +1.8 pts | +0.3 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2018 | Great Parndon | Labour | +2.0 pts | +3.3 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2018 | Toddbrook | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -18.2 pts | -17.2 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2018 | Staple Tye | Labour | +2.5 pts | +3.3 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2018 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Conservative | +11.2 pts | +11.7 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2018 | Netteswell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -16.7 pts | -17.2 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2018 | Harlow Common | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -17.4 pts | -17.2 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2018 | Mark Hall | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -17.3 pts | -17.2 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2018 | Netteswell | Labour | +3.2 pts | +3.3 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2018 | Toddbrook | Labour | +3.2 pts | +3.3 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2016 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Conservative | +2.6 pts | -6.5 pts | +9.1 pts |
| 2016 | Old Harlow | Labour | +11.7 pts | +4.8 pts | +6.9 pts |
| 2016 | Staple Tye | Conservative | -0.1 pts | -6.5 pts | +6.5 pts |
| 2016 | Church Langley | Labour | -0.5 pts | +4.8 pts | -5.3 pts |
| 2016 | Church Langley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +7.3 pts | +2.1 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2016 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.7 pts | +2.1 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2016 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Labour | +0.1 pts | +4.8 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2016 | Old Harlow | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.0 pts | +2.1 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2016 | Bush Fair | Conservative | -10.4 pts | -6.5 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2016 | Great Parndon | Labour | +1.1 pts | +4.8 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2016 | Harlow Common | Conservative | -3.1 pts | -6.5 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2016 | Mark Hall | Conservative | -9.5 pts | -6.5 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2016 | Netteswell | Conservative | -9.4 pts | -6.5 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2016 | Harlow Common | Labour | +2.1 pts | +4.8 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2016 | Netteswell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +4.6 pts | +2.1 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2016 | Bush Fair | Labour | +7.3 pts | +4.8 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2016 | Bush Fair | Liberal Democrats | +1.8 pts | -0.7 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2016 | Church Langley | Conservative | -4.2 pts | -6.5 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2016 | Great Parndon | Conservative | -4.3 pts | -6.5 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2016 | Mark Hall | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +4.1 pts | +2.1 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2016 | Toddbrook | Conservative | -8.4 pts | -6.5 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2016 | Harlow Common | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +0.3 pts | +2.1 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2016 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +0.4 pts | +2.1 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2016 | Toddbrook | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +3.7 pts | +2.1 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2016 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Labour | +6.3 pts | +4.8 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2016 | Netteswell | Liberal Democrats | +0.8 pts | -0.7 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2016 | Mark Hall | Liberal Democrats | +0.8 pts | -0.7 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2016 | Old Harlow | Liberal Democrats | -2.1 pts | -0.7 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2016 | Staple Tye | Labour | +3.6 pts | +4.8 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2016 | Great Parndon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +3.2 pts | +2.1 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2016 | Old Harlow | Conservative | -7.6 pts | -6.5 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2016 | Bush Fair | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +1.2 pts | +2.1 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2016 | Netteswell | Labour | +4.0 pts | +4.8 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2016 | Staple Tye | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +1.4 pts | +2.1 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2016 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Conservative | -6.7 pts | -6.5 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2016 | Mark Hall | Labour | +4.6 pts | +4.8 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2016 | Toddbrook | Labour | +4.8 pts | +4.8 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2015 | Old Harlow | Labour | -5.3 pts | +1.9 pts | -7.2 pts |
| 2015 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Conservative | +6.8 pts | +13.8 pts | -7.1 pts |
| 2015 | Old Harlow | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -7.3 pts | -13.6 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2015 | Great Parndon | Conservative | +19.7 pts | +13.8 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2015 | Toddbrook | Labour | +7.2 pts | +1.9 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2015 | Toddbrook | Conservative | +8.7 pts | +13.8 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2015 | Staple Tye | Labour | +6.6 pts | +1.9 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2015 | Netteswell | Conservative | +10.5 pts | +13.8 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2015 | Mark Hall | Labour | +5.0 pts | +1.9 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2015 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Conservative | +10.8 pts | +13.8 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2015 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -10.7 pts | -13.6 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2015 | Church Langley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -16.5 pts | -13.6 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2015 | Toddbrook | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -15.9 pts | -13.6 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2015 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | Labour | +4.2 pts | +1.9 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2015 | Old Harlow | Conservative | +11.7 pts | +13.8 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2015 | Sumners and Kingsmoor | Labour | +3.9 pts | +1.9 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2015 | Church Langley | Labour | +0.1 pts | +1.9 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2015 | Bush Fair | Labour | +3.7 pts | +1.9 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2015 | Mark Hall | Liberal Democrats | -2.2 pts | -0.4 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2015 | Mark Hall | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -15.4 pts | -13.6 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2015 | Harlow Common | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -12.0 pts | -13.6 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2015 | Harlow Common | Labour | +0.3 pts | +1.9 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2015 | Bush Fair | Conservative | +15.3 pts | +13.8 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2015 | Little Parndon and Hare Street | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -15.0 pts | -13.6 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2015 | Mark Hall | Conservative | +12.5 pts | +13.8 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2015 | Staple Tye | Conservative | +12.5 pts | +13.8 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2015 | Old Harlow | Liberal Democrats | +0.9 pts | -0.4 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2015 | Netteswell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -12.5 pts | -13.6 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2015 | Harlow Common | Liberal Democrats | +0.5 pts | -0.4 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2015 | Harlow Common | Conservative | +14.7 pts | +13.8 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2015 | Bush Fair | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -14.3 pts | -13.6 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2015 | Netteswell | Liberal Democrats | -0.0 pts | -0.4 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2015 | Staple Tye | Liberal Democrats | -0.7 pts | -0.4 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2015 | Staple Tye | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -13.4 pts | -13.6 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2015 | Great Parndon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -13.5 pts | -13.6 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2015 | Bush Fair | Liberal Democrats | -0.6 pts | -0.4 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2015 | Netteswell | Labour | +2.0 pts | +1.9 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2015 | Church Langley | Conservative | +13.8 pts | +13.8 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2015 | Great Parndon | Labour | +1.9 pts | +1.9 pts | -0.0 pts |