Hinckley And Bosworth: wards that bucked the trend

Name: Hinckley And Bosworth trend-bucking wards
Creator: Psephology.AI

Hinckley And Bosworth: in 2019, 26 ward results beat the expected swing and 28 trailed it. The biggest gap was Liberal Democrats in Markfield, Stanton and Fieldhead (-4.7 pts actual vs +17.0 pts expected).

Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.

Hinckley And Bosworth: ward results against the expected swing
Year	Ward	Party	Actual swing	Expected swing	Gap
2019	Markfield, Stanton and Fieldhead	Liberal Democrats	-4.7 pts	+17.0 pts	-21.7 pts
2019	Ambien	Liberal Democrats	+0.2 pts	+17.0 pts	-16.7 pts
2019	Markfield, Stanton and Fieldhead	Labour	+12.3 pts	-3.7 pts	+16.0 pts
2019	Ratby, Bagworth and Thornton	Conservative	+12.7 pts	-1.7 pts	+14.4 pts
2019	Cadeby, Carlton and Market Bosworth with Shackerstone	Liberal Democrats	+3.7 pts	+17.0 pts	-13.3 pts
2019	Cadeby, Carlton and Market Bosworth with Shackerstone	Conservative	+9.9 pts	-1.7 pts	+11.6 pts
2019	Twycross and Witherley with Sheepy	Liberal Democrats	+6.9 pts	+17.0 pts	-10.1 pts
2019	Twycross and Witherley with Sheepy	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	+0.1 pts	-9.9 pts	+10.0 pts
2019	Newbold Verdon with Desford and Peckleton	Conservative	-11.3 pts	-1.7 pts	-9.6 pts
2019	Ratby, Bagworth and Thornton	Liberal Democrats	+7.7 pts	+17.0 pts	-9.3 pts
2019	Hinckley De Montfort	Conservative	-10.9 pts	-1.7 pts	-9.2 pts
2019	Hinckley Clarendon	Liberal Democrats	+25.9 pts	+17.0 pts	+8.9 pts
2019	Ambien	Conservative	+6.7 pts	-1.7 pts	+8.4 pts
2019	Hinckley Trinity	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	-1.9 pts	-9.9 pts	+8.0 pts
2019	Hinckley De Montfort	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	-2.2 pts	-9.9 pts	+7.7 pts
2019	Barwell	Conservative	+5.4 pts	-1.7 pts	+7.1 pts
2019	Hinckley Trinity	Conservative	-8.3 pts	-1.7 pts	-6.6 pts
2019	Barwell	Labour	+2.6 pts	-3.7 pts	+6.3 pts
2019	BARLESTONE NAILSTONE & OSBASTON	Conservative	-7.4 pts	-1.7 pts	-5.8 pts
2019	Newbold Verdon with Desford and Peckleton	Liberal Democrats	+22.7 pts	+17.0 pts	+5.7 pts
2019	Hinckley Clarendon	Conservative	-7.2 pts	-1.7 pts	-5.6 pts
2019	Burbage St Catherines and Lash Hill	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	-4.5 pts	-9.9 pts	+5.4 pts
2019	Ratby, Bagworth and Thornton	Labour	-9.0 pts	-3.7 pts	-5.3 pts
2019	Burbage Sketchley and Stretton	Conservative	-6.9 pts	-1.7 pts	-5.2 pts
2019	Ambien	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	-4.7 pts	-9.9 pts	+5.2 pts
2019	Hinckley Castle	Labour	+0.9 pts	-3.7 pts	+4.6 pts
2019	Hinckley De Montfort	Liberal Democrats	+21.4 pts	+17.0 pts	+4.5 pts
2019	Newbold Verdon with Desford and Peckleton	Labour	-8.1 pts	-3.7 pts	-4.4 pts
2019	Burbage St Catherines and Lash Hill	Liberal Democrats	+12.7 pts	+17.0 pts	-4.3 pts
2019	Markfield, Stanton and Fieldhead	Conservative	-5.9 pts	-1.7 pts	-4.2 pts
2019	Earl Shilton	Conservative	+2.3 pts	-1.7 pts	+4.0 pts
2019	Cadeby, Carlton and Market Bosworth with Shackerstone	Labour	-0.1 pts	-3.7 pts	+3.6 pts
2019	Earl Shilton	Liberal Democrats	+20.2 pts	+17.0 pts	+3.2 pts
2019	Hinckley De Montfort	Labour	-6.7 pts	-3.7 pts	-3.0 pts
2019	Hinckley Clarendon	Independent	+0.7 pts	-2.2 pts	+2.8 pts
2019	Twycross and Witherley with Sheepy	Labour	-6.5 pts	-3.7 pts	-2.8 pts
2019	Earl Shilton	Labour	-6.2 pts	-3.7 pts	-2.5 pts
2019	BARLESTONE NAILSTONE & OSBASTON	Labour	-1.5 pts	-3.7 pts	+2.2 pts
2019	BARLESTONE NAILSTONE & OSBASTON	Liberal Democrats	+18.8 pts	+17.0 pts	+1.8 pts
2019	Hinckley Trinity	Liberal Democrats	+15.3 pts	+17.0 pts	-1.7 pts
2019	Ambien	Labour	-2.2 pts	-3.7 pts	+1.5 pts
2019	Burbage St Catherines and Lash Hill	Conservative	-3.2 pts	-1.7 pts	-1.5 pts
2019	Hinckley Trinity	Labour	-5.2 pts	-3.7 pts	-1.5 pts
2019	Groby	Labour	-5.1 pts	-3.7 pts	-1.4 pts
2019	Burbage St Catherines and Lash Hill	Labour	-5.0 pts	-3.7 pts	-1.3 pts
2019	Burbage Sketchley and Stretton	Liberal Democrats	+15.7 pts	+17.0 pts	-1.3 pts
2019	Twycross and Witherley with Sheepy	Conservative	-0.5 pts	-1.7 pts	+1.2 pts
2019	Hinckley Clarendon	Labour	-4.8 pts	-3.7 pts	-1.1 pts
2019	Hinckley Castle	Liberal Democrats	+16.4 pts	+17.0 pts	-0.6 pts
2019	Groby	Liberal Democrats	+16.5 pts	+17.0 pts	-0.5 pts
2019	Markfield, Stanton and Fieldhead	Independent	-1.7 pts	-2.2 pts	+0.5 pts
2019	Burbage Sketchley and Stretton	Labour	-3.3 pts	-3.7 pts	+0.4 pts
2019	Hinckley Castle	Conservative	-2.0 pts	-1.7 pts	-0.3 pts
2019	Barwell	Liberal Democrats	+17.1 pts	+17.0 pts	+0.1 pts