Lancashire: wards that bucked the trend
Lancashire: in 2025, 122 ward results beat the expected swing and 137 trailed it. The biggest gap was Labour in Chorley South (-37.2 pts actual vs +3.9 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Chorley South | Labour | -37.2 pts | +3.9 pts | -41.2 pts |
| 2025 | Preston Central East | Labour | -52.2 pts | -20.1 pts | -32.1 pts |
| 2025 | Nelson East | Labour | -50.4 pts | -20.1 pts | -30.3 pts |
| 2025 | Preston East | Labour | -25.8 pts | +3.9 pts | -29.7 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster South East | Labour | -25.4 pts | +3.9 pts | -29.3 pts |
| 2025 | Preston South West | Liberal Democrats | +29.0 pts | -0.1 pts | +29.0 pts |
| 2025 | Preston Central West | Labour | -23.7 pts | +3.9 pts | -27.6 pts |
| 2025 | Preston South West | Independent | -25.2 pts | +2.1 pts | -27.2 pts |
| 2025 | Whitworth and Bacup | Conservative | +3.7 pts | -22.6 pts | +26.3 pts |
| 2025 | Leyland Central | Labour | -21.9 pts | +3.9 pts | -25.9 pts |
| 2025 | Thornton and Hambleton | Conservative | -46.2 pts | -22.6 pts | -23.6 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster South East | Green | +25.1 pts | +2.2 pts | +22.9 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Central West | Conservative | -0.0 pts | -22.6 pts | +22.6 pts |
| 2025 | Accrington West and Oswaldtwistle Central | Green | +24.5 pts | +2.2 pts | +22.4 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley North East | Labour | -41.2 pts | -20.1 pts | -21.2 pts |
| 2025 | Preston Rural | Conservative | -43.8 pts | -22.6 pts | -21.2 pts |
| 2025 | Longridge with Bowland | Conservative | -43.0 pts | -22.6 pts | -20.4 pts |
| 2025 | Preston North | Liberal Democrats | +19.6 pts | -0.1 pts | +19.6 pts |
| 2025 | Ribble Valley South West | Conservative | -42.2 pts | -22.6 pts | -19.6 pts |
| 2025 | Skerton | Green | +20.7 pts | +2.2 pts | +18.6 pts |
| 2025 | Preston South East | Independent | +20.6 pts | +2.1 pts | +18.5 pts |
| 2025 | Clitheroe | Labour | -1.8 pts | -20.1 pts | +18.3 pts |
| 2025 | Pendle Rural | Labour | -2.0 pts | -20.1 pts | +18.1 pts |
| 2025 | Fylde South | Labour | -2.0 pts | -20.1 pts | +18.0 pts |
| 2025 | Preston Rural | Liberal Democrats | +17.6 pts | -0.1 pts | +17.7 pts |
| 2025 | Lytham | Labour | -2.4 pts | -20.1 pts | +17.7 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Central West | Green | -15.3 pts | +2.2 pts | -17.4 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Central East | Labour | -36.6 pts | -20.1 pts | -16.6 pts |
| 2025 | Skelmersdale Central | Conservative | -6.3 pts | -22.6 pts | +16.3 pts |
| 2025 | Lytham | Conservative | -6.4 pts | -22.6 pts | +16.3 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Central West | Labour | -3.8 pts | -20.1 pts | +16.2 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster East | Conservative | -6.5 pts | -22.6 pts | +16.1 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Rural | Green | -13.7 pts | +2.2 pts | -15.8 pts |
| 2025 | St Annes South | Labour | -4.2 pts | -20.1 pts | +15.8 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe North | Conservative | -38.2 pts | -22.6 pts | -15.6 pts |
| 2025 | Ribble Valley South West | Labour | -4.6 pts | -20.1 pts | +15.4 pts |
| 2025 | Skerton | Labour | -11.4 pts | +3.9 pts | -15.4 pts |
| 2025 | South Ribble West | Conservative | -37.9 pts | -22.6 pts | -15.3 pts |
| 2025 | Fleetwood East | Reform UK | +50.5 pts | +35.4 pts | +15.1 pts |
| 2025 | Cleveleys East | Conservative | -37.1 pts | -22.6 pts | -14.5 pts |
| 2025 | St Annes North | Labour | -5.7 pts | -20.1 pts | +14.3 pts |
| 2025 | Thornton and Hambleton | Labour | -5.8 pts | -20.1 pts | +14.3 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley South West | Conservative | -8.4 pts | -22.6 pts | +14.2 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley South | Green | +15.6 pts | +2.2 pts | +13.4 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Rural | Labour | -6.7 pts | -20.1 pts | +13.4 pts |
| 2025 | South Ribble East | Conservative | -36.0 pts | -22.6 pts | -13.3 pts |
| 2025 | Fylde West | Labour | -6.7 pts | -20.1 pts | +13.3 pts |
| 2025 | Poulton-le-Fylde | Labour | -6.9 pts | -20.1 pts | +13.2 pts |
| 2025 | Ribble Valley North East | Labour | -7.1 pts | -20.1 pts | +12.9 pts |
| 2025 | Hoghton with Wheelton | Labour | -7.2 pts | -20.1 pts | +12.9 pts |
| 2025 | Wyre Rural East | Conservative | -35.3 pts | -22.6 pts | -12.7 pts |
| 2025 | West Lancashire East | Labour | -7.4 pts | -20.1 pts | +12.6 pts |
| 2025 | Heysham | Labour | -7.4 pts | -20.1 pts | +12.6 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster Central | Conservative | -10.0 pts | -22.6 pts | +12.6 pts |
| 2025 | Nelson East | Conservative | -10.3 pts | -22.6 pts | +12.3 pts |
| 2025 | Skelmersdale West | Conservative | -10.4 pts | -22.6 pts | +12.3 pts |
| 2025 | Cleveleys South and Carleton | Conservative | -34.8 pts | -22.6 pts | -12.2 pts |
| 2025 | Skerton | Conservative | -10.5 pts | -22.6 pts | +12.1 pts |
| 2025 | Cleveleys East | Labour | -8.0 pts | -20.1 pts | +12.0 pts |
| 2025 | Ormskirk | Conservative | -10.6 pts | -22.6 pts | +12.0 pts |
| 2025 | Accrington North | Labour | -31.9 pts | -20.1 pts | -11.9 pts |
| 2025 | Fleetwood East | Conservative | -10.8 pts | -22.6 pts | +11.8 pts |
| 2025 | Preston West | Labour | -8.4 pts | -20.1 pts | +11.7 pts |
| 2025 | Fylde East | Labour | -8.4 pts | -20.1 pts | +11.7 pts |
| 2025 | Clitheroe | Independent | -9.3 pts | +2.1 pts | -11.4 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe South | Liberal Democrats | +11.2 pts | -0.1 pts | +11.3 pts |
| 2025 | Wyre Rural Central | Labour | -8.9 pts | -20.1 pts | +11.1 pts |
| 2025 | Mid-Rossendale | Conservative | -33.6 pts | -22.6 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe North | Labour | -9.2 pts | -20.1 pts | +10.9 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Central East | Conservative | -11.9 pts | -22.6 pts | +10.7 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster East | Green | +12.8 pts | +2.2 pts | +10.7 pts |
| 2025 | Euxton, Buckshaw and Astley | Labour | -9.4 pts | -20.1 pts | +10.7 pts |
| 2025 | Ribble Valley North East | Independent | -8.3 pts | +2.1 pts | -10.4 pts |
| 2025 | Pendle Central | Labour | -9.7 pts | -20.1 pts | +10.4 pts |
| 2025 | Preston South East | Conservative | -12.3 pts | -22.6 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2025 | Fleetwood West and Cleveleys West | Conservative | -32.7 pts | -22.6 pts | -10.1 pts |
| 2025 | Lytham | Independent | -8.0 pts | +2.1 pts | -10.1 pts |
| 2025 | Cleveleys South and Carleton | Labour | -10.0 pts | -20.1 pts | +10.1 pts |
| 2025 | St Annes South | Green | -7.9 pts | +2.2 pts | -10.0 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster Central | Labour | -10.3 pts | -20.1 pts | +9.7 pts |
| 2025 | Fleetwood East | Labour | -29.7 pts | -20.1 pts | -9.7 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Central East | Green | -7.5 pts | +2.2 pts | -9.7 pts |
| 2025 | Preston North | Conservative | -32.3 pts | -22.6 pts | -9.6 pts |
| 2025 | Padiham and Burnley West | Labour | -10.4 pts | -20.1 pts | +9.6 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley South West | Labour | -10.4 pts | -20.1 pts | +9.6 pts |
| 2025 | Preston Central East | Conservative | -13.1 pts | -22.6 pts | +9.5 pts |
| 2025 | Oswaldtwistle | Conservative | -13.2 pts | -22.6 pts | +9.4 pts |
| 2025 | Pendle Central | Liberal Democrats | -9.3 pts | -0.1 pts | -9.2 pts |
| 2025 | Clayton with Whittle | Labour | -10.9 pts | -20.1 pts | +9.2 pts |
| 2025 | Clitheroe | Conservative | -13.7 pts | -22.6 pts | +8.9 pts |
| 2025 | Longridge with Bowland | Green | -6.7 pts | +2.2 pts | -8.8 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley Rural West | Labour | -11.5 pts | -20.1 pts | +8.6 pts |
| 2025 | Preston City | Conservative | -14.2 pts | -22.6 pts | +8.4 pts |
| 2025 | Fylde East | Independent | -6.3 pts | +2.1 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster South East | Conservative | -14.3 pts | -22.6 pts | +8.3 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe South | Conservative | -30.4 pts | -22.6 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe Central | Conservative | -15.1 pts | -22.6 pts | +7.6 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley South West | Liberal Democrats | -7.5 pts | -0.1 pts | -7.5 pts |
| 2025 | Wyre Rural Central | Conservative | -30.0 pts | -22.6 pts | -7.4 pts |
| 2025 | Fylde South | Independent | -5.3 pts | +2.1 pts | -7.3 pts |
| 2025 | Great Harwood, Rishton and Clayton-le-Moors | Reform UK | +42.5 pts | +35.4 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley North East | Conservative | -15.7 pts | -22.6 pts | +7.0 pts |
| 2025 | Fylde South | Conservative | -29.6 pts | -22.6 pts | -6.9 pts |
| 2025 | Preston Central West | Conservative | -15.9 pts | -22.6 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2025 | St Annes North | Liberal Democrats | -6.8 pts | -0.1 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster Rural North | Green | +8.8 pts | +2.2 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2025 | Clitheroe | Liberal Democrats | -6.7 pts | -0.1 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2025 | West Lancashire West | Conservative | -29.3 pts | -22.6 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2025 | Skelmersdale Central | Green | +8.8 pts | +2.2 pts | +6.6 pts |
| 2025 | Skelmersdale Central | Liberal Democrats | +6.4 pts | -0.1 pts | +6.5 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe Central | Labour | -13.6 pts | -20.1 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster Rural East | Green | +8.5 pts | +2.2 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Central West | Liberal Democrats | -6.4 pts | -0.1 pts | -6.4 pts |
| 2025 | Wyre Rural Central | Green | -4.1 pts | +2.2 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2025 | Moss Side and Farington | Conservative | -28.8 pts | -22.6 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe North | Liberal Democrats | +6.1 pts | -0.1 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2025 | Hoghton with Wheelton | Green | -3.9 pts | +2.2 pts | -6.0 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe South | Labour | -14.2 pts | -20.1 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2025 | Rossendale South | Conservative | -28.3 pts | -22.6 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2025 | West Lancashire North | Labour | -14.4 pts | -20.1 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2025 | Accrington West and Oswaldtwistle Central | Conservative | -17.0 pts | -22.6 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2025 | Padiham and Burnley West | Conservative | -28.2 pts | -22.6 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2025 | Leyland South | Labour | -14.6 pts | -20.1 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2025 | Fleetwood West and Cleveleys West | Labour | -14.7 pts | -20.1 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2025 | Moss Side and Farington | Green | -3.1 pts | +2.2 pts | -5.3 pts |
| 2025 | Rossendale East | Conservative | -17.4 pts | -22.6 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2025 | Ribble Valley North East | Conservative | -27.8 pts | -22.6 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2025 | Wyre Rural East | Green | -3.0 pts | +2.2 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster Central | Green | -2.9 pts | +2.2 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley North | Conservative | -17.6 pts | -22.6 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2025 | Pendle Hill | Conservative | -17.6 pts | -22.6 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2025 | Accrington West and Oswaldtwistle Central | Labour | -25.0 pts | -20.1 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2025 | Hoghton with Wheelton | Conservative | -27.6 pts | -22.6 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2025 | Ribble Valley South West | Green | -2.8 pts | +2.2 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley Central | Conservative | -17.9 pts | -22.6 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley North | Green | -2.5 pts | +2.2 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2025 | Rossendale East | Green | +6.7 pts | +2.2 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2025 | Oswaldtwistle | Labour | -24.6 pts | -20.1 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley North East | Green | -2.4 pts | +2.2 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe Central | Liberal Democrats | -4.5 pts | -0.1 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2025 | Leyland South | Conservative | -27.0 pts | -22.6 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley North | Labour | -24.4 pts | -20.1 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2025 | Pendle Central | Conservative | -27.0 pts | -22.6 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2025 | Whitworth and Bacup | Labour | -15.7 pts | -20.1 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2025 | Preston East | Conservative | -26.9 pts | -22.6 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2025 | St Annes South | Liberal Democrats | +4.2 pts | -0.1 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2025 | Fylde West | Conservative | -26.7 pts | -22.6 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster Rural North | Conservative | -26.6 pts | -22.6 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2025 | Ribble Valley South West | Liberal Democrats | -4.0 pts | -0.1 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2025 | Pendle Rural | Green | -1.8 pts | +2.2 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley Rural West | Conservative | -26.4 pts | -22.6 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2025 | Brierfield and Nelson West | Conservative | -26.4 pts | -22.6 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2025 | West Lancashire North | Conservative | -26.4 pts | -22.6 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Rural | Conservative | -18.9 pts | -22.6 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2025 | Skelmersdale East | Green | -1.5 pts | +2.2 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2025 | Preston Central West | Liberal Democrats | +3.5 pts | -0.1 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2025 | Nelson East | Green | -1.4 pts | +2.2 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2025 | Preston South West | Conservative | -19.1 pts | -22.6 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2025 | Accrington South | Labour | -16.5 pts | -20.1 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2025 | Leyland Central | Conservative | -26.1 pts | -22.6 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2025 | Heysham | Green | -1.3 pts | +2.2 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2025 | Leyland South | Liberal Democrats | -3.5 pts | -0.1 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2025 | West Lancashire West | Liberal Democrats | -3.4 pts | -0.1 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2025 | Great Harwood, Rishton and Clayton-le-Moors | Conservative | -25.9 pts | -22.6 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2025 | Pendle Rural | Liberal Democrats | -3.3 pts | -0.1 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2025 | Leyland Central | Green | -1.0 pts | +2.2 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2025 | Clayton with Whittle | Conservative | -25.8 pts | -22.6 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2025 | Burscough and Rufford | Conservative | -25.7 pts | -22.6 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley Rural West | Green | -0.9 pts | +2.2 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster Rural North | Liberal Democrats | +3.0 pts | -0.1 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2025 | Euxton, Buckshaw and Astley | Conservative | -19.6 pts | -22.6 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2025 | Penwortham West | Green | -0.7 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley Rural East | Green | -0.7 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2025 | Leyland Central | Liberal Democrats | +2.8 pts | -0.1 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2025 | Ribble Valley North East | Green | +4.9 pts | +2.2 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2025 | Accrington North | Conservative | -19.8 pts | -22.6 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2025 | Whitworth and Bacup | Green | -0.5 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2025 | Brierfield and Nelson West | Green | -0.5 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2025 | Accrington North | Green | +4.8 pts | +2.2 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster South East | Liberal Democrats | -2.7 pts | -0.1 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe North | Green | -0.4 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2025 | Oswaldtwistle | Reform UK | +37.8 pts | +35.4 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2025 | West Lancashire North | Liberal Democrats | +2.4 pts | -0.1 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2025 | Preston East | Liberal Democrats | +2.4 pts | -0.1 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2025 | Pendle Hill | Liberal Democrats | -2.5 pts | -0.1 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2025 | Pendle Rural | Conservative | -25.0 pts | -22.6 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2025 | St Annes North | Conservative | -25.0 pts | -22.6 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2025 | Longridge with Bowland | Liberal Democrats | -2.4 pts | -0.1 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2025 | South Ribble West | Liberal Democrats | +2.3 pts | -0.1 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2025 | Fleetwood East | Green | -0.1 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2025 | Fylde South | Green | -0.1 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2025 | Clitheroe | Green | -0.0 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2025 | Cleveleys South and Carleton | Green | +0.0 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2025 | Heysham | Liberal Democrats | +2.1 pts | -0.1 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2025 | Poulton-le-Fylde | Green | +0.1 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2025 | Clayton with Whittle | Green | +0.2 pts | +2.2 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2025 | Fylde East | Conservative | -20.6 pts | -22.6 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2025 | Fleetwood West and Cleveleys West | Liberal Democrats | +1.9 pts | -0.1 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster Rural East | Liberal Democrats | +1.8 pts | -0.1 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2025 | Poulton-le-Fylde | Conservative | -24.5 pts | -22.6 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2025 | Rossendale West | Conservative | -24.5 pts | -22.6 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2025 | St Annes South | Conservative | -24.4 pts | -22.6 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2025 | Cleveleys East | Green | +0.4 pts | +2.2 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2025 | Preston West | Conservative | -24.4 pts | -22.6 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2025 | Preston North | Labour | -18.3 pts | -20.1 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley Central | Labour | -21.7 pts | -20.1 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2025 | Euxton, Buckshaw and Astley | Green | +0.5 pts | +2.2 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2025 | Lostock Hall and Bamber Bridge | Conservative | -21.0 pts | -22.6 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2025 | Fleetwood West and Cleveleys West | Green | +0.6 pts | +2.2 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster East | Labour | -21.7 pts | -20.1 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2025 | Rossendale South | Green | +0.6 pts | +2.2 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2025 | Penwortham West | Conservative | -21.1 pts | -22.6 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2025 | South Ribble East | Liberal Democrats | -1.5 pts | -0.1 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2025 | Penwortham East and Walton-le-Dale | Conservative | -21.3 pts | -22.6 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2025 | Euxton, Buckshaw and Astley | Liberal Democrats | +1.2 pts | -0.1 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2025 | Skerton | Liberal Democrats | +1.2 pts | -0.1 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2025 | Skelmersdale East | Conservative | -23.8 pts | -22.6 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley South West | Green | +1.0 pts | +2.2 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2025 | Cleveleys South and Carleton | Liberal Democrats | -1.2 pts | -0.1 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2025 | Clayton with Whittle | Liberal Democrats | +1.1 pts | -0.1 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe Central | Green | +1.0 pts | +2.2 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2025 | Preston City | Liberal Democrats | -1.1 pts | -0.1 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2025 | Fleetwood East | Liberal Democrats | +0.9 pts | -0.1 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2025 | Penwortham West | Liberal Democrats | +0.9 pts | -0.1 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2025 | Accrington South | Conservative | -21.7 pts | -22.6 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2025 | Oswaldtwistle | Green | +1.3 pts | +2.2 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2025 | Burnley Rural | Liberal Democrats | +0.7 pts | -0.1 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley South | Conservative | -21.8 pts | -22.6 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2025 | Nelson East | Liberal Democrats | -0.8 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2025 | Burscough and Rufford | Liberal Democrats | +0.7 pts | -0.1 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley Rural West | Liberal Democrats | +0.7 pts | -0.1 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster East | Liberal Democrats | +0.6 pts | -0.1 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2025 | Morecambe South | Green | +2.9 pts | +2.2 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley Rural East | Conservative | -21.9 pts | -22.6 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2025 | Padiham and Burnley West | Green | +1.5 pts | +2.2 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2025 | Lytham | Liberal Democrats | -0.7 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2025 | Heysham | Conservative | -23.2 pts | -22.6 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2025 | West Lancashire East | Conservative | -23.2 pts | -22.6 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2025 | Skelmersdale West | Liberal Democrats | +0.5 pts | -0.1 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2025 | Preston West | Liberal Democrats | -0.6 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2025 | Chorley Central | Green | +1.6 pts | +2.2 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2025 | Rossendale East | Labour | -20.5 pts | -20.1 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2025 | Great Harwood, Rishton and Clayton-le-Moors | Green | +1.7 pts | +2.2 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2025 | Accrington South | Green | +1.8 pts | +2.2 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2025 | Thornton and Hambleton | Liberal Democrats | -0.4 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2025 | Preston Central East | Liberal Democrats | -0.4 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2025 | Poulton-le-Fylde | Liberal Democrats | +0.3 pts | -0.1 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2025 | Lostock Hall and Bamber Bridge | Labour | -20.3 pts | -20.1 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2025 | Moss Side and Farington | Liberal Democrats | +0.2 pts | -0.1 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2025 | Penwortham East and Walton-le-Dale | Liberal Democrats | -0.3 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2025 | Lostock Hall and Bamber Bridge | Liberal Democrats | -0.3 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2025 | Preston South West | Labour | -20.2 pts | -20.1 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2025 | Lancaster Rural East | Conservative | -22.5 pts | -22.6 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2025 | Wyre Rural East | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2025 | Brierfield and Nelson West | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2025 | Preston South East | Liberal Democrats | +0.0 pts | -0.1 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2025 | Wyre Rural Central | Liberal Democrats | -0.1 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2025 | Hoghton with Wheelton | Liberal Democrats | -0.0 pts | -0.1 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2025 | Ribble Valley North East | Liberal Democrats | -0.1 pts | -0.1 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2021 | Padiham and Burnley West | Conservative | +41.0 pts | -1.2 pts | +42.2 pts |
| 2021 | Morecambe Central | Liberal Democrats | +31.6 pts | -0.4 pts | +31.9 pts |
| 2021 | Fylde West | Conservative | +28.4 pts | -1.2 pts | +29.6 pts |
| 2021 | West Lancashire North | Liberal Democrats | -25.7 pts | -0.4 pts | -25.3 pts |
| 2021 | Skelmersdale Central | Labour | -23.5 pts | -3.6 pts | -19.9 pts |
| 2021 | Rossendale East | Conservative | -20.4 pts | -1.2 pts | -19.3 pts |
| 2021 | Burnley Rural | Green | +21.3 pts | +2.5 pts | +18.8 pts |
| 2021 | Burnley Central West | Green | +21.2 pts | +2.5 pts | +18.7 pts |
| 2021 | Accrington West and Oswaldtwistle Central | Conservative | +17.5 pts | -1.2 pts | +18.7 pts |
| 2021 | Wyre Rural East | Conservative | +17.1 pts | -1.2 pts | +18.2 pts |
| 2021 | Skerton | Labour | -20.4 pts | -3.6 pts | -16.8 pts |
| 2021 | Burnley Central West | Liberal Democrats | -16.9 pts | -0.4 pts | -16.5 pts |
| 2021 | Ribble Valley North East | Conservative | -17.3 pts | -1.2 pts | -16.2 pts |
| 2021 | West Lancashire North | Labour | +12.4 pts | -3.6 pts | +16.0 pts |
| 2021 | West Lancashire North | Conservative | +13.3 pts | -1.2 pts | +14.5 pts |
| 2021 | Fylde East | Conservative | +13.3 pts | -1.2 pts | +14.5 pts |
| 2021 | Accrington West and Oswaldtwistle Central | Labour | -17.5 pts | -3.6 pts | -13.9 pts |
| 2021 | Preston Rural | Labour | +10.0 pts | -3.6 pts | +13.6 pts |
| 2021 | Morecambe Central | Conservative | -14.7 pts | -1.2 pts | -13.6 pts |
| 2021 | Fylde West | Labour | +9.9 pts | -3.6 pts | +13.5 pts |
| 2021 | Fylde East | Independent | -12.4 pts | +1.0 pts | -13.4 pts |
| 2021 | Ormskirk | Conservative | -14.4 pts | -1.2 pts | -13.2 pts |
| 2021 | Burnley North East | Liberal Democrats | -13.5 pts | -0.4 pts | -13.2 pts |
| 2021 | Oswaldtwistle | Labour | +9.0 pts | -3.6 pts | +12.6 pts |
| 2021 | Burnley South West | Liberal Democrats | -12.9 pts | -0.4 pts | -12.5 pts |
| 2021 | Heysham | Conservative | -13.4 pts | -1.2 pts | -12.3 pts |
| 2021 | Pendle Central | Conservative | +11.0 pts | -1.2 pts | +12.1 pts |
| 2021 | Pendle Hill | Conservative | -13.3 pts | -1.2 pts | -12.1 pts |
| 2021 | Clitheroe | Liberal Democrats | -12.4 pts | -0.4 pts | -12.0 pts |
| 2021 | South Ribble East | Labour | +8.3 pts | -3.6 pts | +11.9 pts |
| 2021 | Whitworth and Bacup | Labour | -15.4 pts | -3.6 pts | -11.7 pts |
| 2021 | Wyre Rural East | Labour | +8.0 pts | -3.6 pts | +11.6 pts |
| 2021 | Rossendale West | Conservative | -12.3 pts | -1.2 pts | -11.2 pts |
| 2021 | Clitheroe | Conservative | -12.2 pts | -1.2 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2021 | Preston South West | Liberal Democrats | -11.3 pts | -0.4 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2021 | Clayton with Whittle | Labour | +7.3 pts | -3.6 pts | +11.0 pts |
| 2021 | Lancaster East | Green | -8.4 pts | +2.5 pts | -10.9 pts |
| 2021 | Skerton | Conservative | -12.0 pts | -1.2 pts | -10.8 pts |
| 2021 | Preston North | Labour | +7.1 pts | -3.6 pts | +10.7 pts |
| 2021 | Lancaster East | Labour | +6.7 pts | -3.6 pts | +10.4 pts |
| 2021 | Preston North | Liberal Democrats | +9.8 pts | -0.4 pts | +10.2 pts |