Psephology.AI

    Lincoln: wards that bucked the trend

    Lincoln: in 2024, 10 ward results beat the expected swing and 29 trailed it. The biggest gap was Labour in Park (-16.3 pts actual vs +8.5 pts expected).

    Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.

    Lincoln: ward results against the expected swing
    YearWardPartyActual swingExpected swingGap
    2024ParkLabour-16.3 pts+8.5 pts-24.8 pts
    2024CarholmeLabour-37.0 pts-16.3 pts-20.7 pts
    2024GlebeLabour+2.3 pts-16.3 pts+18.6 pts
    2024HartsholmeConservative+14.8 pts-0.3 pts+15.1 pts
    2024BirchwoodLabour-1.3 pts-16.3 pts+14.9 pts
    2024ParkLiberal Democrats+16.3 pts+2.3 pts+13.9 pts
    2024CastleLabour-2.5 pts-16.3 pts+13.8 pts
    2024CarholmeConservative+9.7 pts-0.3 pts+10.0 pts
    2024ParkConservative-10.2 pts-0.3 pts-9.9 pts
    2024MoorlandConservative+8.5 pts-0.3 pts+8.8 pts
    2024GlebeLiberal Democrats-6.0 pts+2.3 pts-8.3 pts
    2024BoulthamConservative-8.2 pts-0.3 pts-7.9 pts
    2024MinsterConservative-8.0 pts-0.3 pts-7.7 pts
    2024MoorlandLabour-24.0 pts-16.3 pts-7.7 pts
    2024AbbeyLiberal Democrats-3.8 pts+2.3 pts-6.1 pts
    2024CarholmeLiberal Democrats+8.2 pts+2.3 pts+5.9 pts
    2024CastleConservative-5.3 pts-0.3 pts-5.0 pts
    2024CastleLiberal Democrats-2.0 pts+2.3 pts-4.4 pts
    2024MoorlandLiberal Democrats-1.9 pts+2.3 pts-4.2 pts
    2024CarholmeGreen-3.2 pts+0.3 pts-3.5 pts
    2024BirchwoodLiberal Democrats-0.9 pts+2.3 pts-3.2 pts
    2024AbbeyConservative-3.0 pts-0.3 pts-2.7 pts
    2024HartsholmeReform UK+7.1 pts+4.5 pts+2.6 pts
    2024AbbeyReform UK+2.3 pts+4.5 pts-2.2 pts
    2024ParkGreen-1.6 pts+0.3 pts-2.0 pts
    2024GlebeConservative-2.2 pts-0.3 pts-1.9 pts
    2024CarholmeTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition-1.6 pts+0.1 pts-1.7 pts
    2024MinsterLiberal Democrats+0.6 pts+2.3 pts-1.7 pts
    2024BirchwoodConservative-2.0 pts-0.3 pts-1.7 pts
    2024HartsholmeLiberal Democrats+1.2 pts+2.3 pts-1.1 pts
    2024BoulthamLiberal Democrats+1.2 pts+2.3 pts-1.1 pts
    2024HartsholmeLabour-17.3 pts-16.3 pts-1.0 pts
    2024HartsholmeGreen+1.3 pts+0.3 pts+1.0 pts
    2024CastleGreen-0.6 pts+0.3 pts-0.9 pts
    2024BoulthamGreen-0.1 pts+0.3 pts-0.4 pts
    2024MinsterGreen-0.1 pts+0.3 pts-0.4 pts
    2024AbbeyGreen+0.0 pts+0.3 pts-0.3 pts
    2024BirchwoodReform UK+4.2 pts+4.5 pts-0.3 pts
    2024MinsterReform UK+4.3 pts+4.5 pts-0.2 pts
    2023GlebeLiberal Democrats+31.5 pts+0.1 pts+31.4 pts
    2023MoorlandLabour+23.6 pts-1.8 pts+25.4 pts
    2023HartsholmeLabour+22.1 pts-1.8 pts+23.9 pts
    2023HartsholmeConservative-29.4 pts-10.2 pts-19.2 pts
    2023AbbeyConservative-0.8 pts-10.2 pts+9.4 pts
    2023GlebeLabour-10.6 pts-1.8 pts-8.8 pts
    2023MoorlandConservative-18.0 pts-10.2 pts-7.8 pts
    2023GlebeConservative-17.7 pts-10.2 pts-7.5 pts
    2023MinsterConservative-3.1 pts-10.2 pts+7.1 pts
    2023CastleConservative-3.8 pts-10.2 pts+6.4 pts
    2023AbbeyLiberal Democrats-6.3 pts+0.1 pts-6.4 pts
    2023HartsholmeLiberal Democrats-6.2 pts+0.1 pts-6.3 pts
    2023BirchwoodLabour+4.1 pts-1.8 pts+5.9 pts
    2023BoulthamLabour+3.7 pts-1.8 pts+5.5 pts
    2023CastleLabour+3.5 pts-1.8 pts+5.3 pts
    2023CarholmeConservative-6.0 pts-10.2 pts+4.2 pts
    2023BoulthamConservative-6.0 pts-10.2 pts+4.2 pts
    2023ParkConservative-6.6 pts-10.2 pts+3.6 pts
    2023CarholmeLiberal Democrats-3.6 pts+0.1 pts-3.6 pts
    2023CarholmeLabour+1.3 pts-1.8 pts+3.1 pts
    2023BoulthamGreen+1.8 pts-1.2 pts+3.0 pts
    2023BirchwoodLiberal Democrats+2.9 pts+0.1 pts+2.9 pts
    2023CarholmeGreen-4.0 pts-1.2 pts-2.9 pts
    2023GlebeGreen-3.2 pts-1.2 pts-2.0 pts
    2023BirchwoodConservative-8.8 pts-10.2 pts+1.4 pts
    2023MinsterLiberal Democrats-1.3 pts+0.1 pts-1.4 pts
    2023CastleGreen-0.0 pts-1.2 pts+1.1 pts
    2023ParkGreen-0.2 pts-1.2 pts+0.9 pts
    2023MoorlandLiberal Democrats+0.9 pts+0.1 pts+0.9 pts
    2023AbbeyLabour-1.0 pts-1.8 pts+0.8 pts
    2023MinsterGreen-0.6 pts-1.2 pts+0.6 pts
    2023ParkLiberal Democrats+0.6 pts+0.1 pts+0.5 pts
    2023BoulthamLiberal Democrats+0.5 pts+0.1 pts+0.4 pts
    2023CastleLiberal Democrats+0.4 pts+0.1 pts+0.3 pts
    2022GlebeLabour-7.6 pts+3.7 pts-11.2 pts
    2022MinsterLiberal Democrats-0.3 pts+8.7 pts-9.1 pts
    2022ParkGreen+7.0 pts-1.4 pts+8.4 pts
    2022BirchwoodLiberal Democrats+1.5 pts+8.7 pts-7.3 pts
    2022BoulthamLiberal Democrats+1.7 pts+8.7 pts-7.0 pts
    2022MoorlandLiberal Democrats+2.1 pts+8.7 pts-6.6 pts
    2022MinsterLabour+9.6 pts+3.7 pts+5.9 pts
    2022ParkConservative-4.8 pts-10.5 pts+5.7 pts
    2022CastleLiberal Democrats+3.1 pts+8.7 pts-5.6 pts
    2022CastleLabour+9.2 pts+3.7 pts+5.5 pts
    2022HartsholmeLabour+9.2 pts+3.7 pts+5.5 pts
    2022ParkLiberal Democrats+3.2 pts+8.7 pts-5.5 pts
    2022ParkLabour-1.7 pts+3.7 pts-5.3 pts
    2022GlebeGreen-6.3 pts-1.4 pts-4.9 pts
    2022MoorlandConservative-5.7 pts-10.5 pts+4.8 pts
    2022BirchwoodLabour+8.1 pts+3.7 pts+4.5 pts
    2022CarholmeLiberal Democrats+4.3 pts+8.7 pts-4.4 pts
    2022AbbeyLiberal Democrats+13.1 pts+8.7 pts+4.3 pts
    2022AbbeyConservative-6.3 pts-10.5 pts+4.2 pts
    2022CarholmeConservative-14.6 pts-10.5 pts-4.2 pts
    2022BoulthamLabour+7.8 pts+3.7 pts+4.1 pts
    2022CarholmeGreen+2.7 pts-1.4 pts+4.1 pts
    2022AbbeyLabour+0.1 pts+3.7 pts-3.6 pts
    2022BoulthamConservative-7.0 pts-10.5 pts+3.4 pts
    2022MinsterGreen+1.7 pts-1.4 pts+3.0 pts
    2022HartsholmeConservative-7.5 pts-10.5 pts+2.9 pts
    2022CastleConservative-13.2 pts-10.5 pts-2.8 pts
    2022CarholmeTUSC+2.9 pts+0.2 pts+2.7 pts
    2022CarholmeLabour+6.2 pts+3.7 pts+2.5 pts
    2022CastleGreen+0.9 pts-1.4 pts+2.3 pts
    2022GlebeConservative-12.3 pts-10.5 pts-1.8 pts
    2022BirchwoodGreen+0.4 pts-1.4 pts+1.8 pts
    2022HartsholmeLiberal Democrats+7.4 pts+8.7 pts-1.3 pts
    2022MoorlandGreen-0.2 pts-1.4 pts+1.2 pts
    2022BoulthamGreen-2.5 pts-1.4 pts-1.1 pts
    2022MinsterConservative-10.9 pts-10.5 pts-0.4 pts
    2022BirchwoodConservative-10.0 pts-10.5 pts+0.4 pts
    2022MoorlandLabour+3.8 pts+3.7 pts+0.1 pts
    2021AbbeyLiberal Democrats+20.3 pts-5.0 pts+25.3 pts
    2021CarholmeLiberal Democrats-28.2 pts-5.0 pts-23.2 pts
    2021MoorlandLabour-20.3 pts-0.9 pts-19.4 pts
    2021HartsholmeLabour-18.1 pts-0.9 pts-17.1 pts
    2021AbbeyConservative-0.4 pts+15.2 pts-15.6 pts
    2021AbbeyLabour-13.7 pts-0.9 pts-12.7 pts
    2021CarholmeLabour+8.1 pts-0.9 pts+9.0 pts
    2021MoorlandConservative+23.2 pts+15.2 pts+8.0 pts
    2021HartsholmeConservative+22.5 pts+15.2 pts+7.3 pts
    2021ParkGreen-12.1 pts-4.9 pts-7.2 pts
    2021CarholmeConservative+22.2 pts+15.2 pts+7.0 pts
    2021BoulthamConservative+8.5 pts+15.2 pts-6.6 pts
    2021BirchwoodConservative+20.6 pts+15.2 pts+5.4 pts
    2021CarholmeGreen+0.4 pts-4.9 pts+5.4 pts
    2021GlebeConservative+10.0 pts+15.2 pts-5.2 pts
    2021ParkLabour+3.8 pts-0.9 pts+4.7 pts
    2021ParkConservative+10.5 pts+15.2 pts-4.7 pts
    2021HartsholmeLiberal Democrats-0.4 pts-5.0 pts+4.7 pts
    2021CastleConservative+10.8 pts+15.2 pts-4.4 pts
    2021MoorlandLiberal Democrats-1.3 pts-5.0 pts+3.7 pts
    2021BirchwoodLiberal Democrats-1.6 pts-5.0 pts+3.4 pts
    2021MoorlandGreen-1.6 pts-4.9 pts+3.3 pts
    2021AbbeyGreen-8.1 pts-4.9 pts-3.2 pts
    2021CastleGreen-7.9 pts-4.9 pts-3.0 pts
    2021MinsterGreen-7.3 pts-4.9 pts-2.3 pts
    2021GlebeGreen-2.7 pts-4.9 pts+2.2 pts
    2021MinsterLiberal Democrats-3.0 pts-5.0 pts+2.1 pts
    2021MinsterConservative+13.2 pts+15.2 pts-2.0 pts
    2021MinsterLabour-2.9 pts-0.9 pts-2.0 pts
    2021CastleLiberal Democrats-3.1 pts-5.0 pts+1.9 pts
    2021GlebeLabour+0.9 pts-0.9 pts+1.8 pts
    2021BoulthamLiberal Democrats-3.5 pts-5.0 pts+1.6 pts
    2021CastleLabour+0.2 pts-0.9 pts+1.1 pts
    2021BoulthamLabour+0.1 pts-0.9 pts+1.0 pts
    2021ParkLiberal Democrats-5.9 pts-5.0 pts-0.9 pts
    2021HartsholmeGreen-4.1 pts-4.9 pts+0.9 pts
    2021BirchwoodGreen-4.3 pts-4.9 pts+0.6 pts
    2021BoulthamGreen-5.1 pts-4.9 pts-0.2 pts
    2019AbbeyLabour-10.4 pts+5.6 pts-15.9 pts
    2019GlebeLabour-7.2 pts+5.6 pts-12.8 pts
    2019CastleLabour-4.8 pts+5.6 pts-10.4 pts
    2019ParkLabour-4.5 pts+5.6 pts-10.1 pts
    2019MoorlandConservative-17.0 pts-7.8 pts-9.2 pts
    2019HartsholmeConservative-15.3 pts-7.8 pts-7.5 pts
    2019BoulthamConservative-1.4 pts-7.8 pts+6.5 pts
    2019ParkConservative-1.4 pts-7.8 pts+6.4 pts
    2019AbbeyLiberal Democrats+10.3 pts+3.9 pts+6.3 pts
    2019MoorlandLabour+11.6 pts+5.6 pts+6.0 pts
    2019CarholmeLiberal Democrats+8.4 pts+3.9 pts+4.4 pts
    2019HartsholmeLabour+9.2 pts+5.6 pts+3.6 pts
    2019MoorlandLiberal Democrats+0.6 pts+3.9 pts-3.3 pts
    2019CastleGreen+9.8 pts+6.7 pts+3.1 pts
    2019BirchwoodLiberal Democrats+0.9 pts+3.9 pts-3.1 pts
    2019MinsterLabour+2.6 pts+5.6 pts-2.9 pts
    2019GlebeConservative-4.9 pts-7.8 pts+2.9 pts
    2019CarholmeConservative-5.0 pts-7.8 pts+2.8 pts
    2019HartsholmeLiberal Democrats+1.2 pts+3.9 pts-2.7 pts
    2019ParkGreen+9.3 pts+6.7 pts+2.6 pts
    2019CarholmeGreen+4.1 pts+6.7 pts-2.6 pts
    2019AbbeyConservative-5.3 pts-7.8 pts+2.5 pts
    2019BoulthamGreen+9.0 pts+6.7 pts+2.3 pts
    2019MoorlandGreen+4.8 pts+6.7 pts-1.9 pts
    2019HartsholmeGreen+4.9 pts+6.7 pts-1.8 pts
    2019GlebeGreen+8.2 pts+6.7 pts+1.6 pts
    2019BirchwoodConservative-9.4 pts-7.8 pts-1.6 pts
    2019MinsterGreen+8.2 pts+6.7 pts+1.5 pts
    2019AbbeyGreen+5.4 pts+6.7 pts-1.3 pts
    2019MinsterConservative-6.6 pts-7.8 pts+1.2 pts
    2019CastleLiberal Democrats+3.0 pts+3.9 pts-1.0 pts
    2019BoulthamLiberal Democrats+3.8 pts+3.9 pts-0.2 pts
    2019MinsterLiberal Democrats+4.1 pts+3.9 pts+0.2 pts
    2019BirchwoodGreen+6.5 pts+6.7 pts-0.2 pts
    2019CastleConservative-7.9 pts-7.8 pts-0.1 pts
    2019ParkLiberal Democrats+4.0 pts+3.9 pts+0.0 pts
    2019GlebeLiberal Democrats+3.9 pts+3.9 pts-0.0 pts
    2018BirchwoodLabour+28.2 pts-11.0 pts+39.2 pts
    2018ParkLabour+7.6 pts-11.0 pts+18.7 pts
    2018CarholmeLiberal Democrats+20.4 pts+2.6 pts+17.7 pts
    2018HartsholmeLabour+2.7 pts-11.0 pts+13.7 pts
    2018GlebeLabour-0.4 pts-11.0 pts+10.6 pts
    2018CarholmeConservative-5.0 pts+5.5 pts-10.5 pts
    2018MoorlandConservative+15.4 pts+5.5 pts+9.9 pts
    2018CarholmeGreen-8.1 pts+0.7 pts-8.9 pts
    2018ParkLiberal Democrats-5.7 pts+2.6 pts-8.4 pts
    2018BirchwoodConservative+13.7 pts+5.5 pts+8.1 pts
    2018AbbeyLiberal Democrats+10.7 pts+2.6 pts+8.0 pts
    2018AbbeyLabour-3.0 pts-11.0 pts+8.0 pts
    2018HartsholmeConservative+13.4 pts+5.5 pts+7.9 pts
    2018MinsterConservative-2.0 pts+5.5 pts-7.5 pts
    2018ParkGreen-6.4 pts+0.7 pts-7.2 pts
    2018ParkUK Independence Party (UKIP)+0.7 pts-5.5 pts+6.2 pts
    2018AbbeyConservative-0.1 pts+5.5 pts-5.6 pts
    2018MinsterLiberal Democrats-2.7 pts+2.6 pts-5.4 pts
    2018GlebeGreen-4.5 pts+0.7 pts-5.3 pts
    2018BoulthamLiberal Democrats-1.9 pts+2.6 pts-4.5 pts
    2018HartsholmeLiberal Democrats-1.8 pts+2.6 pts-4.4 pts
    2018HartsholmeGreen+4.7 pts+0.7 pts+3.9 pts
    2018MinsterLabour-7.1 pts-11.0 pts+3.9 pts
    2018MoorlandLiberal Democrats-0.8 pts+2.6 pts-3.4 pts
    2018BirchwoodUK Independence Party (UKIP)-8.2 pts-5.5 pts-2.8 pts
    2018CastleLabour-8.3 pts-11.0 pts+2.7 pts
    2018CastleConservative+7.8 pts+5.5 pts+2.3 pts
    2018CastleLiberal Democrats+0.4 pts+2.6 pts-2.2 pts
    2018ParkConservative+3.8 pts+5.5 pts-1.7 pts
    2018AbbeyGreen+2.3 pts+0.7 pts+1.5 pts
    2018GlebeConservative+4.6 pts+5.5 pts-1.0 pts
    2018BirchwoodGreen-0.1 pts+0.7 pts-0.8 pts
    2018MoorlandLabour-11.9 pts-11.0 pts-0.8 pts
    2018GlebeLiberal Democrats+2.0 pts+2.6 pts-0.6 pts
    2018BirchwoodLiberal Democrats+2.1 pts+2.6 pts-0.5 pts
    2018BoulthamConservative+5.1 pts+5.5 pts-0.5 pts
    2016BirchwoodLabour-24.2 pts+9.1 pts-33.3 pts
    2016CastleLabour+21.4 pts+9.1 pts+12.3 pts
    2016MoorlandLabour+21.1 pts+9.1 pts+12.0 pts
    2016MinsterConservative+6.5 pts-5.0 pts+11.5 pts
    2016HartsholmeUK Independence Party (UKIP)+3.0 pts-7.1 pts+10.1 pts
    2016CarholmeLabour+18.6 pts+9.1 pts+9.5 pts
    2016GlebeGreen+7.3 pts-1.8 pts+9.2 pts
    2016ParkGreen+5.3 pts-1.8 pts+7.1 pts
    2016BoulthamLabour+15.8 pts+9.1 pts+6.7 pts
    2016HartsholmeConservative-9.8 pts-5.0 pts-4.8 pts
    2016MoorlandConservative-9.3 pts-5.0 pts-4.3 pts
    2016CarholmeLiberal Democrats-3.1 pts+1.2 pts-4.3 pts
    2016HartsholmeLabour+5.2 pts+9.1 pts-3.9 pts
    2016ParkLiberal Democrats+5.0 pts+1.2 pts+3.8 pts
    2016BirchwoodUK Independence Party (UKIP)-3.7 pts-7.1 pts+3.4 pts
    2016ParkConservative-8.4 pts-5.0 pts-3.4 pts
    2016BirchwoodConservative-8.4 pts-5.0 pts-3.4 pts
    2016AbbeyGreen-4.9 pts-1.8 pts-3.1 pts
    2016GlebeLiberal Democrats-1.9 pts+1.2 pts-3.1 pts
    2016GlebeConservative-2.0 pts-5.0 pts+3.0 pts
    2016AbbeyLabour+12.1 pts+9.1 pts+3.0 pts
    2016AbbeyTUSC+2.1 pts-0.3 pts+2.4 pts
    2016CarholmeGreen+0.4 pts-1.8 pts+2.2 pts
    2016HartsholmeGreen+0.3 pts-1.8 pts+2.2 pts
    2016MinsterLabour+6.9 pts+9.1 pts-2.1 pts
    2016AbbeyLiberal Democrats+3.2 pts+1.2 pts+2.0 pts
    2016CastleLiberal Democrats-0.7 pts+1.2 pts-1.9 pts
    2016GlebeLabour+10.9 pts+9.1 pts+1.9 pts
    2016MoorlandUK Independence Party (UKIP)-8.6 pts-7.1 pts-1.5 pts
    2016ParkLabour+7.7 pts+9.1 pts-1.4 pts
    2016CarholmeConservative-6.2 pts-5.0 pts-1.2 pts
    2016ParkUK Independence Party (UKIP)-8.3 pts-7.1 pts-1.2 pts
    2016CastleUK Independence Party (UKIP)-6.0 pts-7.1 pts+1.1 pts
    2016AbbeyUK Independence Party (UKIP)-8.1 pts-7.1 pts-1.0 pts
    2016BoulthamLiberal Democrats+2.2 pts+1.2 pts+1.0 pts
    2016BoulthamUK Independence Party (UKIP)-8.1 pts-7.1 pts-1.0 pts
    2016CastleConservative-5.8 pts-5.0 pts-0.8 pts
    2016AbbeyConservative-4.3 pts-5.0 pts+0.7 pts
    2016GlebeTUSC+0.2 pts-0.3 pts+0.5 pts
    2016BirchwoodGreen-1.3 pts-1.8 pts+0.5 pts
    2016MoorlandLiberal Democrats+0.9 pts+1.2 pts-0.3 pts
    2016BoulthamConservative-4.8 pts-5.0 pts+0.3 pts
    2016HartsholmeLiberal Democrats+1.3 pts+1.2 pts+0.1 pts
    2015CarholmeLabour-8.4 pts-0.0 pts-8.4 pts
    2015GlebeGreen-2.4 pts+4.6 pts-7.0 pts
    2015CastleGreen-1.3 pts+4.6 pts-5.9 pts
    2015MinsterLabour+5.3 pts-0.0 pts+5.3 pts
    2015BoulthamConservative+10.6 pts+6.8 pts+3.8 pts
    2015HartsholmeLabour-3.6 pts-0.0 pts-3.6 pts
    2015GlebeLabour+3.4 pts-0.0 pts+3.4 pts
    2015CastleLabour+3.1 pts-0.0 pts+3.2 pts
    2015ParkGreen+1.4 pts+4.6 pts-3.1 pts
    2015BirchwoodUK Independence Party (UKIP)-12.4 pts-9.3 pts-3.1 pts
    2015MinsterGreen+1.7 pts+4.6 pts-2.9 pts
    2015BracebridgeUK Independence Party (UKIP)-12.0 pts-9.3 pts-2.7 pts
    2015AbbeyTUSC-3.6 pts-1.0 pts-2.5 pts
    2015AbbeyLiberal Democrats-2.9 pts-0.4 pts-2.4 pts
    2015BoulthamLabour-2.4 pts-0.0 pts-2.4 pts
    2015HartsholmeUK Independence Party (UKIP)-6.9 pts-9.3 pts+2.4 pts
    2015MinsterConservative+4.5 pts+6.8 pts-2.3 pts
    2015AbbeyConservative+4.5 pts+6.8 pts-2.3 pts
    2015CastleConservative+9.0 pts+6.8 pts+2.2 pts
    2015GlebeConservative+9.0 pts+6.8 pts+2.2 pts
    2015MoorlandLabour-2.2 pts-0.0 pts-2.1 pts
    2015BirchwoodConservative+8.8 pts+6.8 pts+2.0 pts
    2015BirchwoodLabour+1.9 pts-0.0 pts+2.0 pts
    2015CarholmeUK Independence Party (UKIP)-7.4 pts-9.3 pts+1.9 pts
    2015ParkConservative+8.6 pts+6.8 pts+1.8 pts
    2015BracebridgeLiberal Democrats+1.2 pts-0.4 pts+1.6 pts
    2015ParkLiberal Democrats+1.2 pts-0.4 pts+1.6 pts
    2015MoorlandUK Independence Party (UKIP)-7.7 pts-9.3 pts+1.6 pts
    2015MinsterUK Independence Party (UKIP)-7.7 pts-9.3 pts+1.6 pts
    2015BoulthamUK Independence Party (UKIP)-10.7 pts-9.3 pts-1.4 pts
    2015GlebeTUSC+0.4 pts-1.0 pts+1.4 pts
    2015BracebridgeConservative+5.6 pts+6.8 pts-1.3 pts
    2015MoorlandLiberal Democrats+0.6 pts-0.4 pts+1.1 pts
    2015AbbeyUK Independence Party (UKIP)-8.2 pts-9.3 pts+1.0 pts
    2015ParkLabour+1.0 pts-0.0 pts+1.0 pts