North East Derbyshire: wards that bucked the trend
North East Derbyshire: in 2019, 22 ward results beat the expected swing and 23 trailed it. The biggest gap was Conservative in Eckington North (+47.4 pts actual vs +2.8 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Eckington North | Conservative | +47.4 pts | +2.8 pts | +44.6 pts |
| 2019 | Wingerworth | Conservative | -22.9 pts | +2.8 pts | -25.7 pts |
| 2019 | Tupton | Labour | -39.0 pts | -14.6 pts | -24.4 pts |
| 2019 | Grassmoor | Labour | +8.6 pts | -14.6 pts | +23.2 pts |
| 2019 | Pilsley & Morton | Independent | +23.3 pts | +0.2 pts | +23.1 pts |
| 2019 | Unstone | Conservative | +24.2 pts | +2.8 pts | +21.4 pts |
| 2019 | Killamarsh West | Conservative | +22.1 pts | +2.8 pts | +19.2 pts |
| 2019 | Brampton & Walton | Labour | +3.0 pts | -14.6 pts | +17.6 pts |
| 2019 | Coal Aston | Labour | +2.4 pts | -14.6 pts | +16.9 pts |
| 2019 | Killamarsh East | Conservative | +19.0 pts | +2.8 pts | +16.2 pts |
| 2019 | Pilsley & Morton | Conservative | -12.0 pts | +2.8 pts | -14.8 pts |
| 2019 | North Wingfield Central | Conservative | -10.8 pts | +2.8 pts | -13.6 pts |
| 2019 | Holmewood & Heath | Labour | -2.0 pts | -14.6 pts | +12.6 pts |
| 2019 | Shirland | Conservative | +14.1 pts | +2.8 pts | +11.3 pts |
| 2019 | Ridgeway & Marsh Lane | Conservative | +13.5 pts | +2.8 pts | +10.7 pts |
| 2019 | Grassmoor | Conservative | -7.4 pts | +2.8 pts | -10.2 pts |
| 2019 | Wingerworth | Labour | -4.4 pts | -14.6 pts | +10.2 pts |
| 2019 | Barlow & Holmesfield | Labour | -4.6 pts | -14.6 pts | +10.0 pts |
| 2019 | Clay Cross South | Conservative | -6.1 pts | +2.8 pts | -8.9 pts |
| 2019 | North Wingfield Central | Labour | -5.8 pts | -14.6 pts | +8.8 pts |
| 2019 | Eckington North | Labour | -23.1 pts | -14.6 pts | -8.5 pts |
| 2019 | Ridgeway & Marsh Lane | Labour | -22.6 pts | -14.6 pts | -8.0 pts |
| 2019 | Clay Cross North | Labour | -6.8 pts | -14.6 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2019 | Tupton | Conservative | -4.8 pts | +2.8 pts | -7.6 pts |
| 2019 | Holmewood & Heath | Conservative | -4.3 pts | +2.8 pts | -7.1 pts |
| 2019 | Dronfield South | Labour | -21.6 pts | -14.6 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2019 | Coal Aston | Conservative | -2.4 pts | +2.8 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2019 | Clay Cross South | Labour | -9.4 pts | -14.6 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2019 | Barlow & Holmesfield | Conservative | -1.6 pts | +2.8 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2019 | Killamarsh East | Labour | -19.0 pts | -14.6 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2019 | Dronfield Woodhouse | Conservative | -1.4 pts | +2.8 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2019 | Shirland | Labour | -10.5 pts | -14.6 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2019 | Gosforth Valley | Conservative | -0.7 pts | +2.8 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2019 | Clay Cross North | Conservative | -0.6 pts | +2.8 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2019 | Ashover | Conservative | +5.4 pts | +2.8 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2019 | Dronfield South | Conservative | +0.3 pts | +2.8 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2019 | Eckington North | Independent | -1.8 pts | +0.2 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2019 | Pilsley & Morton | Labour | -16.6 pts | -14.6 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2019 | Gosforth Valley | Labour | -16.1 pts | -14.6 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Brampton & Walton | Conservative | +1.5 pts | +2.8 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2019 | Killamarsh West | Labour | -13.5 pts | -14.6 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2019 | Ashover | Labour | -13.9 pts | -14.6 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2019 | Dronfield North | Labour | -14.9 pts | -14.6 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Dronfield North | Conservative | +3.0 pts | +2.8 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2019 | Dronfield Woodhouse | Labour | -14.5 pts | -14.6 pts | +0.0 pts |