North East Lincolnshire: wards that bucked the trend
North East Lincolnshire: in 2024, 18 ward results beat the expected swing and 15 trailed it. The biggest gap was Conservative in Humberston and New Waltham (-63.6 pts actual vs -9.0 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Humberston and New Waltham | Conservative | -63.6 pts | -9.0 pts | -54.6 pts |
| 2024 | Humberston and New Waltham | Labour | +32.4 pts | +11.7 pts | +20.7 pts |
| 2024 | Heneage | Labour | -8.1 pts | +11.7 pts | -19.8 pts |
| 2024 | Freshney | Labour | -4.0 pts | +11.7 pts | -15.6 pts |
| 2024 | Sidney Sussex | Labour | -3.3 pts | +11.7 pts | -15.0 pts |
| 2024 | South | Labour | -3.2 pts | +11.7 pts | -14.9 pts |
| 2024 | East Marsh | Liberal Democrats | +20.7 pts | +6.2 pts | +14.4 pts |
| 2024 | South | Conservative | +1.5 pts | -9.0 pts | +10.5 pts |
| 2024 | Immingham | Labour | +1.3 pts | +11.7 pts | -10.4 pts |
| 2024 | Heneage | Liberal Democrats | +14.9 pts | +6.2 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2024 | Park | Liberal Democrats | -2.5 pts | +6.2 pts | -8.7 pts |
| 2024 | East Marsh | Conservative | -0.7 pts | -9.0 pts | +8.3 pts |
| 2024 | Freshney | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -9.0 pts | +8.0 pts |
| 2024 | Park | Conservative | -1.8 pts | -9.0 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2024 | Yarborough | Independent | +5.9 pts | -0.2 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2024 | Haverstoe | Conservative | -3.8 pts | -9.0 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2024 | South | Independent | -4.9 pts | -0.2 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2024 | Yarborough | Conservative | -5.4 pts | -9.0 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2024 | Sidney Sussex | Conservative | -6.1 pts | -9.0 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2024 | Croft Baker | Conservative | -11.4 pts | -9.0 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2024 | Immingham | Conservative | -11.3 pts | -9.0 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2024 | Park | Labour | +9.4 pts | +11.7 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2024 | Haverstoe | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | -1.7 pts | +0.2 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2024 | Freshney | Independent | +1.3 pts | -0.2 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2024 | Heneage | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | +1.5 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2024 | Immingham | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | +1.3 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2024 | Heneage | Conservative | -8.3 pts | -9.0 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2024 | Scartho | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | -0.1 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2024 | South | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | +0.6 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2024 | Sidney Sussex | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | -0.0 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2024 | Yarborough | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | -0.0 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2024 | South | TUSC | +0.6 pts | +0.4 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2024 | Scartho | Conservative | -9.0 pts | -9.0 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2023 | West Marsh | Independent | -24.1 pts | +4.4 pts | -28.5 pts |
| 2023 | East Marsh | Labour | +16.2 pts | -9.7 pts | +25.9 pts |
| 2023 | Heneage | Labour | +15.6 pts | -9.7 pts | +25.2 pts |
| 2023 | Yarborough | Conservative | -27.5 pts | -4.3 pts | -23.3 pts |
| 2023 | Heneage | Liberal Democrats | -22.6 pts | -3.0 pts | -19.7 pts |
| 2023 | Humberston and New Waltham | Labour | +6.8 pts | -9.7 pts | +16.5 pts |
| 2023 | Wolds | Liberal Democrats | +12.5 pts | -3.0 pts | +15.5 pts |
| 2023 | South | Labour | +5.7 pts | -9.7 pts | +15.3 pts |
| 2023 | Sidney Sussex | Labour | +5.2 pts | -9.7 pts | +14.9 pts |
| 2023 | East Marsh | Liberal Democrats | -16.4 pts | -3.0 pts | -13.5 pts |
| 2023 | Freshney | Independent | +17.8 pts | +4.4 pts | +13.5 pts |
| 2023 | Park | Conservative | +8.2 pts | -4.3 pts | +12.5 pts |
| 2023 | Immingham | Labour | +1.8 pts | -9.7 pts | +11.5 pts |
| 2023 | Freshney | Conservative | -14.3 pts | -4.3 pts | -10.0 pts |
| 2023 | South | Conservative | -13.5 pts | -4.3 pts | -9.3 pts |
| 2023 | Heneage | Conservative | +4.9 pts | -4.3 pts | +9.1 pts |
| 2023 | East Marsh | Conservative | +4.6 pts | -4.3 pts | +8.9 pts |
| 2023 | East Marsh | Independent | -4.4 pts | +4.4 pts | -8.8 pts |
| 2023 | Waltham | Labour | -1.0 pts | -9.7 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2023 | Yarborough | Labour | -17.9 pts | -9.7 pts | -8.2 pts |
| 2023 | Wolds | Labour | -2.7 pts | -9.7 pts | +7.0 pts |
| 2023 | Freshney | Labour | -3.6 pts | -9.7 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2023 | Wolds | Conservative | -8.2 pts | -4.3 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2023 | Waltham | Conservative | -7.6 pts | -4.3 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2023 | Sidney Sussex | Conservative | -7.4 pts | -4.3 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2023 | Croft Baker | Conservative | -7.2 pts | -4.3 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2023 | Humberston and New Waltham | Conservative | -6.8 pts | -4.3 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2023 | South | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | -0.2 pts | +2.3 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2023 | Immingham | Conservative | -6.5 pts | -4.3 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2023 | Park | Liberal Democrats | -5.0 pts | -3.0 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2023 | Wolds | Green | -1.6 pts | +0.2 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2023 | Scartho | Conservative | -2.8 pts | -4.3 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2023 | South | TUSC | -0.2 pts | -1.1 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2023 | Haverstoe | Conservative | -5.0 pts | -4.3 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2023 | Immingham | Independent | +4.0 pts | +4.4 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2023 | Park | Labour | -9.3 pts | -9.7 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2023 | East Marsh | TUSC | -1.4 pts | -1.1 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Heneage | Liberal Democrats | +26.4 pts | +0.6 pts | +25.8 pts |
| 2022 | Croft Baker | Conservative | +13.9 pts | -8.4 pts | +22.3 pts |
| 2022 | Scartho | Labour | +27.3 pts | +7.5 pts | +19.8 pts |
| 2022 | Croft Baker | Labour | -11.9 pts | +7.5 pts | -19.4 pts |
| 2022 | Immingham | Conservative | +7.2 pts | -8.4 pts | +15.6 pts |
| 2022 | Freshney | Conservative | -23.8 pts | -8.4 pts | -15.3 pts |
| 2022 | Freshney | Labour | -7.8 pts | +7.5 pts | -15.3 pts |
| 2022 | Heneage | Conservative | -22.7 pts | -8.4 pts | -14.3 pts |
| 2022 | East Marsh | Liberal Democrats | -13.3 pts | +0.6 pts | -13.9 pts |
| 2022 | Immingham | Independent | -11.3 pts | +1.9 pts | -13.2 pts |
| 2022 | Yarborough | Labour | +18.4 pts | +7.5 pts | +10.9 pts |
| 2022 | Park | Liberal Democrats | +9.8 pts | +0.6 pts | +9.2 pts |
| 2022 | Scartho | Conservative | -16.8 pts | -8.4 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2022 | East Marsh | Labour | +14.9 pts | +7.5 pts | +7.4 pts |
| 2022 | Haverstoe | Labour | +14.2 pts | +7.5 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2022 | Heneage | Labour | +1.2 pts | +7.5 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2022 | South | Labour | +13.6 pts | +7.5 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2022 | Haverstoe | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -8.4 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2022 | Sidney Sussex | TUSC | +3.8 pts | -0.6 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2022 | East Marsh | Conservative | -4.0 pts | -8.4 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2022 | Sidney Sussex | Conservative | -4.2 pts | -8.4 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2022 | Immingham | Labour | +3.5 pts | +7.5 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2022 | Park | Labour | +4.3 pts | +7.5 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2022 | Sidney Sussex | Labour | +10.7 pts | +7.5 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2022 | Humberston and New Waltham | Labour | +10.6 pts | +7.5 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2022 | Yarborough | Conservative | -5.5 pts | -8.4 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2022 | Humberston and New Waltham | Conservative | -6.0 pts | -8.4 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2022 | East Marsh | Independent | -0.1 pts | +1.9 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2022 | South | TUSC | +1.0 pts | -0.6 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2022 | South | Conservative | -6.8 pts | -8.4 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Park | Conservative | -9.9 pts | -8.4 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2022 | Croft Baker | TUSC | +0.8 pts | -0.6 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2022 | Immingham | TUSC | +0.6 pts | -0.6 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2022 | Heneage | TUSC | -1.8 pts | -0.6 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Park | TUSC | +0.1 pts | -0.6 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2021 | South | Conservative | +31.6 pts | +5.3 pts | +26.2 pts |
| 2021 | Park | Labour | +24.0 pts | +1.8 pts | +22.2 pts |
| 2021 | Immingham | Conservative | -12.7 pts | +5.3 pts | -18.0 pts |
| 2021 | Croft Baker | Conservative | -11.4 pts | +5.3 pts | -16.7 pts |
| 2021 | Freshney | Conservative | +21.6 pts | +5.3 pts | +16.3 pts |
| 2021 | Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -26.2 pts | -11.8 pts | -14.4 pts |
| 2021 | Heneage | Conservative | +19.5 pts | +5.3 pts | +14.2 pts |
| 2021 | Park | Liberal Democrats | -10.9 pts | +3.0 pts | -13.9 pts |
| 2021 | East Marsh | Labour | -11.8 pts | +1.8 pts | -13.6 pts |
| 2021 | Sidney Sussex | Conservative | +18.0 pts | +5.3 pts | +12.7 pts |
| 2021 | Humberston and New Waltham | Conservative | -6.2 pts | +5.3 pts | -11.6 pts |
| 2021 | Haverstoe | Conservative | -6.0 pts | +5.3 pts | -11.3 pts |
| 2021 | Immingham | Labour | -8.9 pts | +1.8 pts | -10.7 pts |
| 2021 | East Marsh | Liberal Democrats | +13.3 pts | +3.0 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2021 | Scartho | Conservative | +15.1 pts | +5.3 pts | +9.7 pts |
| 2021 | Croft Baker | Labour | +11.4 pts | +1.8 pts | +9.6 pts |
| 2021 | South | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -21.3 pts | -11.8 pts | -9.4 pts |
| 2021 | Freshney | Labour | +10.3 pts | +1.8 pts | +8.6 pts |
| 2021 | South | Independent | -8.1 pts | +0.1 pts | -8.2 pts |
| 2021 | Yarborough | Conservative | +12.3 pts | +5.3 pts | +7.0 pts |
| 2021 | Croft Baker | Liberal Democrats | -4.0 pts | +3.0 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2021 | Haverstoe | Labour | -4.4 pts | +1.8 pts | -6.1 pts |
| 2021 | Scartho | Labour | -4.2 pts | +1.8 pts | -6.0 pts |
| 2021 | Yarborough | Labour | -3.2 pts | +1.8 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Park | Conservative | +10.0 pts | +5.3 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2021 | Sidney Sussex | Labour | -2.2 pts | +1.8 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2021 | Heneage | Labour | -1.6 pts | +1.8 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2021 | South | Labour | +4.8 pts | +1.8 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2021 | East Marsh | Conservative | +3.1 pts | +5.3 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2021 | Scartho | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -12.7 pts | -11.8 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2021 | Humberston and New Waltham | Labour | +1.6 pts | +1.8 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2019 | Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +24.4 pts | +7.7 pts | +16.7 pts |
| 2019 | Immingham | Conservative | +14.9 pts | -1.7 pts | +16.5 pts |
| 2019 | East Marsh | Liberal Democrats | -14.6 pts | +0.2 pts | -14.8 pts |
| 2019 | Sidney Sussex | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +18.8 pts | +7.7 pts | +11.0 pts |
| 2019 | West Marsh | Independent | +9.1 pts | +0.4 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2019 | Immingham | Labour | +3.3 pts | -5.2 pts | +8.5 pts |
| 2019 | South | Conservative | -10.1 pts | -1.7 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2019 | Haverstoe | Conservative | +6.7 pts | -1.7 pts | +8.4 pts |
| 2019 | Freshney | Conservative | -9.7 pts | -1.7 pts | -8.0 pts |
| 2019 | Park | Labour | -13.0 pts | -5.2 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2019 | East Marsh | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +15.6 pts | +7.7 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2019 | Sidney Sussex | Labour | -12.2 pts | -5.2 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2019 | Freshney | Labour | -11.9 pts | -5.2 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2019 | East Marsh | Labour | +1.3 pts | -5.2 pts | +6.5 pts |
| 2019 | Scartho | Liberal Democrats | -5.4 pts | +0.2 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2019 | West Marsh | Labour | -10.6 pts | -5.2 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2019 | Haverstoe | Labour | -0.2 pts | -5.2 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2019 | Heneage | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +12.6 pts | +7.7 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2019 | Scartho | Conservative | +3.2 pts | -1.7 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2019 | South | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +12.3 pts | +7.7 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2019 | Waltham | Conservative | +2.4 pts | -1.7 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2019 | South | Green | +1.8 pts | -2.0 pts | +3.8 pts |
| 2019 | Yarborough | Labour | -1.6 pts | -5.2 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2019 | Humberston and New Waltham | Labour | -1.6 pts | -5.2 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2019 | Park | Liberal Democrats | -3.3 pts | +0.2 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2019 | Wolds | Conservative | +1.8 pts | -1.7 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2019 | East Marsh | Conservative | +1.7 pts | -1.7 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2019 | Wolds | Labour | -1.8 pts | -5.2 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2019 | Humberston and New Waltham | Conservative | +1.6 pts | -1.7 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2019 | West Marsh | Conservative | -4.8 pts | -1.7 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2019 | Waltham | Labour | -2.4 pts | -5.2 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Heneage | Labour | -7.6 pts | -5.2 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2019 | South | Independent | +2.6 pts | +0.4 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2019 | Scartho | Labour | -7.0 pts | -5.2 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2019 | Park | Conservative | -3.3 pts | -1.7 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2019 | South | Labour | -6.7 pts | -5.2 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Scartho | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +9.1 pts | +7.7 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2019 | Heneage | Conservative | -2.7 pts | -1.7 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2019 | Croft Baker | Conservative | -0.6 pts | -1.7 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Freshney | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +8.8 pts | +7.7 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Croft Baker | Labour | -5.8 pts | -5.2 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2019 | West Marsh | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +8.3 pts | +7.7 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Sidney Sussex | Conservative | -2.3 pts | -1.7 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Yarborough | Conservative | -1.9 pts | -1.7 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2018 | East Marsh | Conservative | -1.1 pts | +20.4 pts | -21.5 pts |
| 2018 | East Marsh | Liberal Democrats | +11.0 pts | -4.6 pts | +15.6 pts |
| 2018 | Immingham | Conservative | +5.7 pts | +20.4 pts | -14.7 pts |
| 2018 | South | Conservative | +8.2 pts | +20.4 pts | -12.2 pts |
| 2018 | Haverstoe | Conservative | +9.3 pts | +20.4 pts | -11.1 pts |
| 2018 | Croft Baker | Conservative | +31.5 pts | +20.4 pts | +11.1 pts |
| 2018 | Yarborough | Labour | -14.2 pts | -3.2 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2018 | South | Labour | -14.0 pts | -3.2 pts | -10.8 pts |
| 2018 | Sidney Sussex | Labour | +6.9 pts | -3.2 pts | +10.1 pts |
| 2018 | Park | Labour | +6.1 pts | -3.2 pts | +9.3 pts |
| 2018 | East Marsh | Labour | -12.0 pts | -3.2 pts | -8.8 pts |
| 2018 | Yarborough | TUSC | +6.4 pts | -1.7 pts | +8.1 pts |
| 2018 | Sidney Sussex | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -21.1 pts | -13.5 pts | -7.6 pts |
| 2018 | Humberston and New Waltham | Conservative | +27.8 pts | +20.4 pts | +7.4 pts |
| 2018 | Scartho | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -19.2 pts | -13.5 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2018 | Scartho | Liberal Democrats | +1.0 pts | -4.6 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2018 | Croft Baker | Labour | +2.2 pts | -3.2 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2018 | Yarborough | Conservative | +25.7 pts | +20.4 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2018 | Freshney | Labour | -8.2 pts | -3.2 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2018 | Park | Conservative | +15.6 pts | +20.4 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2018 | Heneage | Labour | +1.4 pts | -3.2 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2018 | Yarborough | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -17.9 pts | -13.5 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2018 | Heneage | Conservative | +16.1 pts | +20.4 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2018 | Haverstoe | Labour | +1.1 pts | -3.2 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2018 | Heneage | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -9.2 pts | -13.5 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2018 | Humberston and New Waltham | Labour | +0.2 pts | -3.2 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2018 | Immingham | Labour | -6.4 pts | -3.2 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2018 | Croft Baker | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -16.7 pts | -13.5 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2018 | Freshney | Conservative | +23.5 pts | +20.4 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2018 | South | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -10.5 pts | -13.5 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2018 | Immingham | Green | -2.3 pts | +0.2 pts | -2.5 pts |
| 2018 | Scartho | Labour | -0.8 pts | -3.2 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2018 | Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -15.8 pts | -13.5 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2018 | Sidney Sussex | Conservative | +18.7 pts | +20.4 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2018 | Freshney | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -15.0 pts | -13.5 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2018 | Heneage | TUSC | -0.3 pts | -1.7 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2018 | Haverstoe | Green | +1.4 pts | +0.2 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2018 | Freshney | TUSC | -0.7 pts | -1.7 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2018 | Park | Green | -0.7 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2018 | Croft Baker | Green | +1.0 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2018 | Scartho | Conservative | +19.7 pts | +20.4 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2018 | Park | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | -0.2 pts | -0.8 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2018 | Park | Liberal Democrats | -5.0 pts | -4.6 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2018 | Freshney | Green | +0.5 pts | +0.2 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2016 | Croft Baker | Labour | -47.0 pts | +1.4 pts | -48.5 pts |
| 2016 | East Marsh | Liberal Democrats | +26.8 pts | +3.0 pts | +23.9 pts |
| 2016 | Haverstoe | Conservative | +13.6 pts | -0.6 pts | +14.2 pts |
| 2016 | Immingham | Conservative | +12.9 pts | -0.6 pts | +13.6 pts |
| 2016 | Sidney Sussex | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +4.2 pts | -5.6 pts | +9.8 pts |
| 2016 | South | Labour | +11.2 pts | +1.4 pts | +9.8 pts |
| 2016 | Sidney Sussex | Conservative | -9.2 pts | -0.6 pts | -8.6 pts |
| 2016 | Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +2.8 pts | -5.6 pts | +8.4 pts |
| 2016 | Immingham | TUSC | +9.0 pts | +0.8 pts | +8.3 pts |
| 2016 | Heneage | Labour | +7.8 pts | +1.4 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2016 | Yarborough | Labour | +7.8 pts | +1.4 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2016 | East Marsh | Labour | -4.7 pts | +1.4 pts | -6.1 pts |
| 2016 | Freshney | Labour | +7.0 pts | +1.4 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2016 | Humberston and New Waltham | Conservative | +4.8 pts | -0.6 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2016 | Humberston and New Waltham | Labour | -4.0 pts | +1.4 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2016 | Sidney Sussex | Labour | +6.0 pts | +1.4 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2016 | Freshney | Conservative | -5.0 pts | -0.6 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2016 | Yarborough | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -1.5 pts | -5.6 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2016 | South | Conservative | -4.0 pts | -0.6 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2016 | Humberston and New Waltham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -2.2 pts | -5.6 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2016 | Heneage | Conservative | -3.7 pts | -0.6 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2016 | Park | Liberal Democrats | +0.0 pts | +3.0 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2016 | Croft Baker | TUSC | -2.1 pts | +0.8 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2016 | Immingham | Green | +3.4 pts | +1.0 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2016 | Haverstoe | Labour | -0.8 pts | +1.4 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2016 | Freshney | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -3.4 pts | -5.6 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2016 | East Marsh | Conservative | -2.7 pts | -0.6 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2016 | Park | Labour | -0.6 pts | +1.4 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2016 | East Marsh | TUSC | +2.8 pts | +0.8 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2016 | Croft Baker | Liberal Democrats | +4.9 pts | +3.0 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2016 | Scartho | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -3.8 pts | -5.6 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2016 | Heneage | Liberal Democrats | +1.3 pts | +3.0 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2016 | South | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -3.9 pts | -5.6 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2016 | Park | Green | -0.6 pts | +1.0 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2016 | Scartho | TUSC | -0.5 pts | +0.8 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2016 | Humberston and New Waltham | TUSC | -0.5 pts | +0.8 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2016 | Sidney Sussex | Liberal Democrats | +1.7 pts | +3.0 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2016 | Sidney Sussex | TUSC | +2.0 pts | +0.8 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2016 | Park | Conservative | -1.8 pts | -0.6 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2016 | Yarborough | Conservative | -1.8 pts | -0.6 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2016 | Scartho | Conservative | +0.4 pts | -0.6 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2016 | Haverstoe | Liberal Democrats | +2.1 pts | +3.0 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2016 | Scartho | Labour | +0.8 pts | +1.4 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2016 | Heneage | TUSC | +0.1 pts | +0.8 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2016 | Immingham | Labour | +0.9 pts | +1.4 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2016 | Freshney | Green | +0.6 pts | +1.0 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2016 | Scartho | Liberal Democrats | +3.1 pts | +3.0 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2016 | Yarborough | TUSC | +0.9 pts | +0.8 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2016 | Heneage | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -5.5 pts | -5.6 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2016 | Freshney | TUSC | +0.8 pts | +0.8 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2015 | Croft Baker | Labour | +50.6 pts | +8.4 pts | +42.2 pts |
| 2015 | East Marsh | Liberal Democrats | -21.0 pts | +0.1 pts | -21.1 pts |
| 2015 | Humberston and New Waltham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -21.6 pts | -11.2 pts | -10.4 pts |
| 2015 | Humberston and New Waltham | Conservative | +14.4 pts | +5.2 pts | +9.2 pts |
| 2015 | West Marsh | Independent | -10.8 pts | -2.4 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2015 | South | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -3.3 pts | -11.2 pts | +7.9 pts |
| 2015 | West Marsh | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -3.4 pts | -11.2 pts | +7.7 pts |
| 2015 | East Marsh | Labour | +16.0 pts | +8.4 pts | +7.6 pts |
| 2015 | Croft Baker | Liberal Democrats | +7.1 pts | +0.1 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2015 | Waltham | Labour | +2.0 pts | +8.4 pts | -6.4 pts |
| 2015 | Waltham | Conservative | +10.7 pts | +5.2 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2015 | Immingham | Conservative | -0.3 pts | +5.2 pts | -5.5 pts |
| 2015 | East Marsh | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -6.0 pts | -11.2 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2015 | Wolds | Labour | +3.3 pts | +8.4 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2015 | Park | Labour | +3.7 pts | +8.4 pts | -4.7 pts |
| 2015 | West Marsh | Labour | +3.7 pts | +8.4 pts | -4.7 pts |
| 2015 | Park | Conservative | +1.0 pts | +5.2 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2015 | Sidney Sussex | TUSC | -3.9 pts | +0.2 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2015 | Immingham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -7.1 pts | -11.2 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2015 | Sidney Sussex | Labour | +12.4 pts | +8.4 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2015 | Haverstoe | Labour | +4.4 pts | +8.4 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2015 | Park | Liberal Democrats | +3.8 pts | +0.1 pts | +3.8 pts |
| 2015 | Haverstoe | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -7.6 pts | -11.2 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2015 | Sidney Sussex | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -14.7 pts | -11.2 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2015 | Scartho | Conservative | +1.9 pts | +5.2 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2015 | Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -7.9 pts | -11.2 pts | +3.2 pts |