Oadby And Wigston: wards that bucked the trend
Oadby And Wigston: in 2019, 14 ward results beat the expected swing and 11 trailed it. The biggest gap was Liberal Democrats in South Wigston (-11.9 pts actual vs +9.6 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | South Wigston | Liberal Democrats | -11.9 pts | +9.6 pts | -21.5 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby Uplands | Liberal Democrats | -11.4 pts | +9.6 pts | -21.0 pts |
| 2019 | Wigston St Wolstan's | Liberal Democrats | +28.3 pts | +9.6 pts | +18.7 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby Brocks Hill | Liberal Democrats | +28.2 pts | +9.6 pts | +18.6 pts |
| 2019 | Wigston St Wolstan's | Conservative | -18.1 pts | -0.5 pts | -17.6 pts |
| 2019 | Wigston Meadowcourt | Conservative | +14.9 pts | -0.5 pts | +15.4 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby St Peter's | Labour | +8.5 pts | -6.4 pts | +14.9 pts |
| 2019 | South Wigston | Labour | +6.9 pts | -6.4 pts | +13.3 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby St Peter's | Liberal Democrats | -2.3 pts | +9.6 pts | -11.9 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby Uplands | Labour | +3.5 pts | -6.4 pts | +9.9 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby Grange | Conservative | +8.6 pts | -0.5 pts | +9.2 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby Uplands | Conservative | +7.8 pts | -0.5 pts | +8.4 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby Brocks Hill | Conservative | -7.8 pts | -0.5 pts | -7.2 pts |
| 2019 | Wigston Fields | Liberal Democrats | +16.7 pts | +9.6 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby Grange | Liberal Democrats | +16.7 pts | +9.6 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2019 | Wigston All Saints | Conservative | -6.8 pts | -0.5 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2019 | Wigston All Saints | Liberal Democrats | +15.3 pts | +9.6 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2019 | South Wigston | Conservative | +5.0 pts | -0.5 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2019 | Wigston Meadowcourt | Liberal Democrats | +4.6 pts | +9.6 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby St Peter's | Conservative | +4.5 pts | -0.5 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby Woodlands | Conservative | -5.5 pts | -0.5 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2019 | Wigston Meadowcourt | Labour | -1.8 pts | -6.4 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2019 | Wigston Fields | Conservative | -4.2 pts | -0.5 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby Woodlands | Liberal Democrats | +6.5 pts | +9.6 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2019 | Oadby Woodlands | Labour | -6.8 pts | -6.4 pts | -0.5 pts |