Rochdale: wards that bucked the trend
Rochdale: in 2024, 38 ward results beat the expected swing and 27 trailed it. The biggest gap was Conservative in Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough (-59.5 pts actual vs -6.8 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Conservative | -59.5 pts | -6.8 pts | -52.7 pts |
| 2024 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Labour | -58.4 pts | -9.1 pts | -49.3 pts |
| 2024 | Bamford | Conservative | -53.7 pts | -6.8 pts | -47.0 pts |
| 2024 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Labour | -55.5 pts | -9.1 pts | -46.4 pts |
| 2024 | Littleborough Lakeside | Labour | -44.0 pts | -9.1 pts | -35.0 pts |
| 2024 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Labour | +17.0 pts | -9.1 pts | +26.0 pts |
| 2024 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Liberal Democrats | +25.9 pts | +1.7 pts | +24.2 pts |
| 2024 | Norden | Labour | +8.9 pts | -9.1 pts | +18.0 pts |
| 2024 | Kingsway | Labour | -26.9 pts | -9.1 pts | -17.8 pts |
| 2024 | Central Rochdale | Liberal Democrats | -13.8 pts | +1.7 pts | -15.6 pts |
| 2024 | East Middleton | Conservative | +8.3 pts | -6.8 pts | +15.1 pts |
| 2024 | West Middleton | Middleton Independents Party | +12.1 pts | -1.0 pts | +13.0 pts |
| 2024 | Spotland & Falinge | Liberal Democrats | -10.3 pts | +1.7 pts | -12.0 pts |
| 2024 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Green | +11.7 pts | -0.0 pts | +11.7 pts |
| 2024 | East Middleton | Middleton Independents Party | -11.7 pts | -1.0 pts | -10.8 pts |
| 2024 | East Middleton | Labour | -18.9 pts | -9.1 pts | -9.8 pts |
| 2024 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Conservative | +2.9 pts | -6.8 pts | +9.7 pts |
| 2024 | South Middleton | Labour | -0.8 pts | -9.1 pts | +8.3 pts |
| 2024 | Norden | Liberal Democrats | -6.3 pts | +1.7 pts | -8.0 pts |
| 2024 | Bamford | Liberal Democrats | -6.1 pts | +1.7 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2024 | North Middleton | Conservative | +1.0 pts | -6.8 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2024 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Liberal Democrats | +9.0 pts | +1.7 pts | +7.3 pts |
| 2024 | Spotland & Falinge | Conservative | +0.2 pts | -6.8 pts | +7.0 pts |
| 2024 | Castleton | Liberal Democrats | -5.0 pts | +1.7 pts | -6.8 pts |
| 2024 | North Middleton | WICK IND | -7.7 pts | -1.0 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2024 | Healey | Liberal Democrats | +8.4 pts | +1.7 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2024 | Milnrow & Newhey | Liberal Democrats | +8.3 pts | +1.7 pts | +6.6 pts |
| 2024 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Liberal Democrats | -4.6 pts | +1.7 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2024 | Milnrow & Newhey | Labour | -3.2 pts | -9.1 pts | +5.9 pts |
| 2024 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Labour | -3.2 pts | -9.1 pts | +5.9 pts |
| 2024 | West Middleton | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -6.8 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2024 | Hopwood Hall | Labour | -14.8 pts | -9.1 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2024 | Healey | Conservative | -1.1 pts | -6.8 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2024 | West Heywood | Liberal Democrats | +7.1 pts | +1.7 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2024 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Conservative | -2.2 pts | -6.8 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2024 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Conservative | -11.3 pts | -6.8 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2024 | Castleton | Labour | -4.7 pts | -9.1 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2024 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Green | -3.5 pts | -0.0 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2024 | West Heywood | Conservative | -3.7 pts | -6.8 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2024 | South Middleton | Conservative | -3.8 pts | -6.8 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2024 | Littleborough Lakeside | Green | -2.7 pts | -0.0 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2024 | South Middleton | Middleton Independents Party | +1.7 pts | -1.0 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2024 | Castleton | Green | -2.4 pts | -0.0 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2024 | Spotland & Falinge | Labour | -6.7 pts | -9.1 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2024 | West Middleton | Liberal Democrats | -0.5 pts | +1.7 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2024 | Hopwood Hall | Conservative | -4.5 pts | -6.8 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2024 | Milnrow & Newhey | Green | -2.3 pts | -0.0 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2024 | Norden | Green | -2.1 pts | -0.0 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2024 | Milnrow & Newhey | Conservative | -5.0 pts | -6.8 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2024 | West Heywood | Labour | -7.4 pts | -9.1 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2024 | Castleton | Conservative | -5.2 pts | -6.8 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2024 | Littleborough Lakeside | Liberal Democrats | +0.2 pts | +1.7 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2024 | Hopwood Hall | Middleton Independents Party | +0.6 pts | -1.0 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2024 | Kingsway | Green | +1.4 pts | -0.0 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2024 | Hopwood Hall | Liberal Democrats | +3.2 pts | +1.7 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2024 | Norden | Conservative | -5.4 pts | -6.8 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2024 | Littleborough Lakeside | Conservative | -8.2 pts | -6.8 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2024 | North Middleton | Liberal Democrats | +3.1 pts | +1.7 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2024 | Kingsway | Liberal Democrats | +2.9 pts | +1.7 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2024 | Kingsway | Conservative | -5.6 pts | -6.8 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2024 | Castleton | Independent | +2.2 pts | +1.2 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2024 | North Heywood | Conservative | -6.2 pts | -6.8 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2024 | North Middleton | Labour | -9.3 pts | -9.1 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2024 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Green | -0.1 pts | -0.0 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2024 | Central Rochdale | Conservative | -6.7 pts | -6.8 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2023 | Hopwood Hall | Labour | +29.7 pts | -5.8 pts | +35.5 pts |
| 2023 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Labour | +23.4 pts | -5.8 pts | +29.2 pts |
| 2023 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Liberal Democrats | -30.4 pts | -5.4 pts | -25.0 pts |
| 2023 | North Middleton | Labour | +12.0 pts | -5.8 pts | +17.8 pts |
| 2023 | East Middleton | Labour | +12.0 pts | -5.8 pts | +17.8 pts |
| 2023 | Milnrow & Newhey | Labour | +12.0 pts | -5.8 pts | +17.8 pts |
| 2023 | Spotland & Falinge | Liberal Democrats | +11.4 pts | -5.4 pts | +16.8 pts |
| 2023 | West Middleton | Middleton Independents Party | -11.3 pts | +2.8 pts | -14.1 pts |
| 2023 | Milnrow & Newhey | Liberal Democrats | -19.0 pts | -5.4 pts | -13.6 pts |
| 2023 | Hopwood Hall | Conservative | -10.7 pts | +1.9 pts | -12.6 pts |
| 2023 | Castleton | Labour | -17.7 pts | -5.8 pts | -11.9 pts |
| 2023 | Central Rochdale | Liberal Democrats | -17.2 pts | -5.4 pts | -11.8 pts |
| 2023 | West Heywood | Conservative | -9.1 pts | +1.9 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2023 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Labour | +4.8 pts | -5.8 pts | +10.6 pts |
| 2023 | Healey | Liberal Democrats | -15.0 pts | -5.4 pts | -9.5 pts |
| 2023 | Castleton | Conservative | -7.6 pts | +1.9 pts | -9.5 pts |
| 2023 | West Middleton | Labour | +3.7 pts | -5.8 pts | +9.5 pts |
| 2023 | South Middleton | Labour | +3.5 pts | -5.8 pts | +9.3 pts |
| 2023 | West Middleton | Liberal Democrats | +3.3 pts | -5.4 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2023 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Conservative | -5.8 pts | +1.9 pts | -7.7 pts |
| 2023 | South Middleton | Middleton Independents Party | -4.9 pts | +2.8 pts | -7.7 pts |
| 2023 | Healey | Conservative | +9.5 pts | +1.9 pts | +7.6 pts |
| 2023 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Liberal Democrats | +2.1 pts | -5.4 pts | +7.5 pts |
| 2023 | Bamford | Labour | +1.3 pts | -5.8 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2023 | Bamford | Liberal Democrats | -0.3 pts | -5.4 pts | +5.1 pts |
| 2023 | Central Rochdale | Conservative | +6.7 pts | +1.9 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2023 | North Middleton | Conservative | +6.3 pts | +1.9 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2023 | Kingsway | Conservative | +6.1 pts | +1.9 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2023 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Conservative | +6.0 pts | +1.9 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2023 | Littleborough Lakeside | Labour | -2.3 pts | -5.8 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2023 | Norden | Conservative | -1.4 pts | +1.9 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2023 | West Heywood | Labour | -2.8 pts | -5.8 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2023 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Conservative | +4.9 pts | +1.9 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2023 | Littleborough Lakeside | Green | +3.8 pts | +1.0 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2023 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Green | +3.5 pts | +1.0 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2023 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Labour | -8.2 pts | -5.8 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2023 | Spotland & Falinge | Labour | -8.2 pts | -5.8 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2023 | Norden | Liberal Democrats | -3.0 pts | -5.4 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2023 | West Middleton | Conservative | +4.3 pts | +1.9 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2023 | Littleborough Lakeside | Liberal Democrats | -3.2 pts | -5.4 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2023 | Spotland & Falinge | Green | -1.1 pts | +1.0 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2023 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Green | -1.1 pts | +1.0 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2023 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Liberal Democrats | -7.4 pts | -5.4 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2023 | East Middleton | Conservative | +3.9 pts | +1.9 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2023 | Norden | Labour | -4.0 pts | -5.8 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2023 | Kingsway | Liberal Democrats | -3.7 pts | -5.4 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2023 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Labour | -7.3 pts | -5.8 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2023 | Castleton | Liberal Democrats | -4.1 pts | -5.4 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2023 | Kingsway | Labour | -4.5 pts | -5.8 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2023 | Kingsway | Green | +2.1 pts | +1.0 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2023 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Conservative | +3.1 pts | +1.9 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2023 | Milnrow & Newhey | Conservative | +1.0 pts | +1.9 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2023 | Spotland & Falinge | Conservative | +2.6 pts | +1.9 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2023 | South Middleton | Conservative | +1.4 pts | +1.9 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2023 | Bamford | Conservative | +2.3 pts | +1.9 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2023 | Littleborough Lakeside | Conservative | +1.7 pts | +1.9 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Littleborough Lakeside | Liberal Democrats | -23.5 pts | +5.1 pts | -28.6 pts |
| 2022 | Central Rochdale | Liberal Democrats | +31.2 pts | +5.1 pts | +26.1 pts |
| 2022 | Central Rochdale | Labour | -22.2 pts | +1.4 pts | -23.6 pts |
| 2022 | North Heywood | Labour | +24.6 pts | +1.4 pts | +23.2 pts |
| 2022 | Littleborough Lakeside | Conservative | +8.4 pts | -14.2 pts | +22.6 pts |
| 2022 | West Heywood | Conservative | +8.2 pts | -14.2 pts | +22.4 pts |
| 2022 | Spotland & Falinge | Labour | +18.0 pts | +1.4 pts | +16.6 pts |
| 2022 | North Middleton | Labour | -14.5 pts | +1.4 pts | -15.9 pts |
| 2022 | West Heywood | Labour | +17.0 pts | +1.4 pts | +15.6 pts |
| 2022 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Liberal Democrats | +20.2 pts | +5.1 pts | +15.1 pts |
| 2022 | Hopwood Hall | Labour | -13.6 pts | +1.4 pts | -15.0 pts |
| 2022 | East Middleton | Conservative | -28.9 pts | -14.2 pts | -14.7 pts |
| 2022 | Norden | Labour | +13.7 pts | +1.4 pts | +12.2 pts |
| 2022 | Castleton | Conservative | -2.2 pts | -14.2 pts | +12.0 pts |
| 2022 | North Heywood | Liberal Democrats | +17.0 pts | +5.1 pts | +11.9 pts |
| 2022 | North Middleton | Conservative | -26.0 pts | -14.2 pts | -11.9 pts |
| 2022 | West Middleton | Liberal Democrats | -5.8 pts | +5.1 pts | -10.9 pts |
| 2022 | Central Rochdale | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -14.2 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2022 | West Middleton | Conservative | -24.4 pts | -14.2 pts | -10.2 pts |
| 2022 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Liberal Democrats | +15.2 pts | +5.1 pts | +10.1 pts |
| 2022 | Spotland & Falinge | Liberal Democrats | -5.0 pts | +5.1 pts | -10.1 pts |
| 2022 | East Middleton | Liberal Democrats | -4.9 pts | +5.1 pts | -10.0 pts |
| 2022 | Healey | Liberal Democrats | +14.9 pts | +5.1 pts | +9.9 pts |
| 2022 | Bamford | Conservative | -4.5 pts | -14.2 pts | +9.7 pts |
| 2022 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Conservative | -4.6 pts | -14.2 pts | +9.6 pts |
| 2022 | Kingsway | Conservative | -5.0 pts | -14.2 pts | +9.2 pts |
| 2022 | Milnrow & Newhey | Conservative | -5.2 pts | -14.2 pts | +9.0 pts |
| 2022 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Labour | -6.8 pts | +1.4 pts | -8.2 pts |
| 2022 | West Middleton | Labour | -6.7 pts | +1.4 pts | -8.1 pts |
| 2022 | Littleborough Lakeside | Labour | +9.4 pts | +1.4 pts | +8.0 pts |
| 2022 | Norden | Conservative | -6.4 pts | -14.2 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2022 | South Middleton | Labour | -6.0 pts | +1.4 pts | -7.4 pts |
| 2022 | Healey | Labour | +8.8 pts | +1.4 pts | +7.4 pts |
| 2022 | Milnrow & Newhey | Labour | -5.1 pts | +1.4 pts | -6.5 pts |
| 2022 | Hopwood Hall | Conservative | -7.9 pts | -14.2 pts | +6.3 pts |
| 2022 | East Middleton | Labour | -4.6 pts | +1.4 pts | -6.0 pts |
| 2022 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Labour | +6.7 pts | +1.4 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2022 | Milnrow & Newhey | Liberal Democrats | +10.3 pts | +5.1 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2022 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Liberal Democrats | +0.3 pts | +5.1 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2022 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Green | +1.6 pts | -3.2 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2022 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Conservative | -9.7 pts | -14.2 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2022 | South Middleton | Conservative | -18.7 pts | -14.2 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2022 | Healey | Conservative | -18.2 pts | -14.2 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2022 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Conservative | -10.3 pts | -14.2 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2022 | Hopwood Hall | Independent | -4.3 pts | -1.1 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2022 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Labour | +3.5 pts | +1.4 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2022 | Norden | Liberal Democrats | +7.2 pts | +5.1 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2022 | Castleton | Liberal Democrats | +7.0 pts | +5.1 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2022 | Bamford | Labour | +3.3 pts | +1.4 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2022 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Green | -1.4 pts | -3.2 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2022 | Kingsway | Green | -1.5 pts | -3.2 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Conservative | -12.6 pts | -14.2 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Wardle, Shore & West Littleborough | Labour | +2.6 pts | +1.4 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Spotland & Falinge | Conservative | -15.2 pts | -14.2 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2022 | North Middleton | Green | -2.2 pts | -3.2 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2022 | East Middleton | Green | -2.3 pts | -3.2 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | FREE | -0.9 pts | -0.0 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Spotland & Falinge | Green | -2.4 pts | -3.2 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Bamford | Liberal Democrats | +4.5 pts | +5.1 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2022 | Kingsway | Liberal Democrats | +5.3 pts | +5.1 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2022 | Kingsway | Labour | +1.2 pts | +1.4 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2022 | Castleton | Labour | +1.5 pts | +1.4 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2022 | Bamford | Green | -3.2 pts | -3.2 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Spotland & Falinge | Liberal Democrats | +24.6 pts | +0.3 pts | +24.3 pts |
| 2021 | Spotland & Falinge | Labour | -22.1 pts | -1.1 pts | -21.0 pts |
| 2021 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Labour | -20.4 pts | -1.1 pts | -19.3 pts |
| 2021 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Liberal Democrats | +14.3 pts | +0.3 pts | +14.0 pts |
| 2021 | Central Rochdale | Conservative | -0.2 pts | +12.6 pts | -12.7 pts |
| 2021 | Littleborough Lakeside | Liberal Democrats | +12.1 pts | +0.3 pts | +11.8 pts |
| 2021 | North Heywood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -26.3 pts | -14.8 pts | -11.5 pts |
| 2021 | Central Rochdale | Liberal Democrats | -10.9 pts | +0.3 pts | -11.2 pts |
| 2021 | Wardle and West Littleborough | Liberal Democrats | -10.2 pts | +0.3 pts | -10.5 pts |
| 2021 | Healey | Labour | +8.5 pts | -1.1 pts | +9.6 pts |
| 2021 | Kingsway | Liberal Democrats | -9.3 pts | +0.3 pts | -9.6 pts |
| 2021 | Castleton | Labour | +8.1 pts | -1.1 pts | +9.2 pts |
| 2021 | Spotland & Falinge | Conservative | +3.6 pts | +12.6 pts | -9.0 pts |
| 2021 | West Middleton | Labour | +7.7 pts | -1.1 pts | +8.9 pts |
| 2021 | Kingsway | Labour | +7.4 pts | -1.1 pts | +8.5 pts |
| 2021 | Wardle and West Littleborough | Conservative | +20.7 pts | +12.6 pts | +8.1 pts |
| 2021 | South Middleton | Labour | +6.6 pts | -1.1 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2021 | Spotland & Falinge | Green | -6.1 pts | +1.5 pts | -7.5 pts |
| 2021 | Milnrow & Newhey | Labour | +6.3 pts | -1.1 pts | +7.5 pts |
| 2021 | Kingsway | Conservative | +5.1 pts | +12.6 pts | -7.4 pts |
| 2021 | Central Rochdale | Labour | +5.9 pts | -1.1 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2021 | East Middleton | Conservative | +19.3 pts | +12.6 pts | +6.8 pts |
| 2021 | Norden | Conservative | +6.5 pts | +12.6 pts | -6.0 pts |
| 2021 | Littleborough Lakeside | Conservative | +6.6 pts | +12.6 pts | -6.0 pts |
| 2021 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Liberal Democrats | +6.2 pts | +0.3 pts | +5.9 pts |
| 2021 | Healey | Liberal Democrats | -5.6 pts | +0.3 pts | -5.9 pts |
| 2021 | Norden | Green | +7.2 pts | +1.5 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2021 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Labour | +4.5 pts | -1.1 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2021 | South Middleton | Liberal Democrats | -4.7 pts | +0.3 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Conservative | +7.6 pts | +12.6 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2021 | South Middleton | Conservative | +7.6 pts | +12.6 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2021 | Kingsway | Green | -3.2 pts | +1.5 pts | -4.7 pts |
| 2021 | North Middleton | Labour | +3.4 pts | -1.1 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2021 | Milnrow & Newhey | Liberal Democrats | -4.1 pts | +0.3 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2021 | Bamford | Conservative | +8.2 pts | +12.6 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2021 | Castleton | Green | -2.8 pts | +1.5 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2021 | North Middleton | Conservative | +16.9 pts | +12.6 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2021 | Healey | Conservative | +8.7 pts | +12.6 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2021 | Castleton | Conservative | +8.9 pts | +12.6 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2021 | Norden | Labour | -4.8 pts | -1.1 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2021 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Conservative | +16.1 pts | +12.6 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2021 | Littleborough Lakeside | Labour | +2.3 pts | -1.1 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2021 | Wardle and West Littleborough | Labour | -4.3 pts | -1.1 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2021 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Conservative | +9.4 pts | +12.6 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2021 | Hopwood Hall | Conservative | +15.6 pts | +12.6 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2021 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Green | -1.6 pts | +1.5 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2021 | Castleton | Liberal Democrats | +3.1 pts | +0.3 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2021 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Labour | -3.7 pts | -1.1 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2021 | North Heywood | Conservative | +15.0 pts | +12.6 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2021 | Bamford | Liberal Democrats | +2.4 pts | +0.3 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2021 | Milnrow & Newhey | Conservative | +10.5 pts | +12.6 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2021 | West Middleton | Conservative | +14.6 pts | +12.6 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2021 | West Heywood | Labour | -3.1 pts | -1.1 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2021 | East Middleton | Labour | -3.1 pts | -1.1 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2021 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Green | -0.2 pts | +1.5 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2021 | Bamford | Labour | -2.8 pts | -1.1 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2021 | Hopwood Hall | Labour | -2.7 pts | -1.1 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2021 | Bamford | Green | +0.2 pts | +1.5 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2021 | West Heywood | Conservative | +13.8 pts | +12.6 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2021 | Norden | Liberal Democrats | +1.5 pts | +0.3 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2021 | North Heywood | Labour | -1.2 pts | -1.1 pts | -0.0 pts |
| 2019 | Norden | Labour | -24.8 pts | -3.2 pts | -21.6 pts |
| 2019 | Central Rochdale | Labour | +14.8 pts | -3.2 pts | +18.0 pts |
| 2019 | Milnrow & Newhey | Liberal Democrats | +10.5 pts | -2.2 pts | +12.7 pts |
| 2019 | Castleton | Conservative | -17.6 pts | -5.2 pts | -12.4 pts |
| 2019 | Central Rochdale | Liberal Democrats | -14.1 pts | -2.2 pts | -11.9 pts |
| 2019 | Norden | Conservative | +6.7 pts | -5.2 pts | +11.9 pts |
| 2019 | Wardle and West Littleborough | Conservative | -16.8 pts | -5.2 pts | -11.6 pts |
| 2019 | Spotland & Falinge | Conservative | +6.1 pts | -5.2 pts | +11.3 pts |
| 2019 | West Heywood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +21.2 pts | +11.0 pts | +10.2 pts |
| 2019 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Labour | +6.2 pts | -3.2 pts | +9.4 pts |
| 2019 | Castleton | Labour | +6.2 pts | -3.2 pts | +9.3 pts |
| 2019 | Milnrow & Newhey | Labour | -12.4 pts | -3.2 pts | -9.2 pts |
| 2019 | Spotland & Falinge | Labour | +5.7 pts | -3.2 pts | +8.9 pts |
| 2019 | Littleborough Lakeside | Labour | -11.5 pts | -3.2 pts | -8.3 pts |
| 2019 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Labour | -11.4 pts | -3.2 pts | -8.2 pts |
| 2019 | South Middleton | Conservative | -12.2 pts | -5.2 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2019 | Central Rochdale | Conservative | +1.4 pts | -5.2 pts | +6.6 pts |
| 2019 | North Heywood | Labour | -9.6 pts | -3.2 pts | -6.4 pts |
| 2019 | Kingsway | Conservative | +1.2 pts | -5.2 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2019 | Norden | Liberal Democrats | +4.0 pts | -2.2 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2019 | Wardle and West Littleborough | Liberal Democrats | +4.0 pts | -2.2 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2019 | Kingsway | Liberal Democrats | -8.4 pts | -2.2 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2019 | North Heywood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +17.2 pts | +11.0 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2019 | North Middleton | Conservative | +0.8 pts | -5.2 pts | +6.0 pts |
| 2019 | North Middleton | Labour | +2.5 pts | -3.2 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2019 | Milnrow & Newhey | Conservative | -10.8 pts | -5.2 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2019 | Healey | Conservative | -10.6 pts | -5.2 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2019 | South Middleton | Liberal Democrats | +3.1 pts | -2.2 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2019 | North Middleton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +16.3 pts | +11.0 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2019 | Bamford | Labour | -8.0 pts | -3.2 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2019 | Milkstone & Deeplish | Conservative | -0.6 pts | -5.2 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2019 | Healey | Labour | +1.3 pts | -3.2 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Kingsway | Green | +6.7 pts | +2.2 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Conservative | -9.5 pts | -5.2 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2019 | West Middleton | Labour | -7.4 pts | -3.2 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2019 | Hopwood Hall | Conservative | -9.1 pts | -5.2 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2019 | Kingsway | Labour | +0.5 pts | -3.2 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2019 | Balderstone & Kirkholt | Green | -1.3 pts | +2.2 pts | -3.5 pts |
| 2019 | Wardle and West Littleborough | Labour | -0.2 pts | -3.2 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2019 | South Middleton | Labour | -0.2 pts | -3.2 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2019 | North Heywood | Conservative | -2.9 pts | -5.2 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2019 | East Middleton | Conservative | -7.3 pts | -5.2 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2019 | West Middleton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +13.0 pts | +11.0 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2019 | Hopwood Hall | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +12.9 pts | +11.0 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2019 | Spotland & Falinge | Liberal Democrats | -0.5 pts | -2.2 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2019 | South Middleton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +9.4 pts | +11.0 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2019 | Littleborough Lakeside | Conservative | -6.7 pts | -5.2 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Norden | Green | +3.7 pts | +2.2 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Smallbridge & Firgrove | Liberal Democrats | -1.0 pts | -2.2 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2019 | West Heywood | Labour | -4.3 pts | -3.2 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2019 | East Middleton | Labour | -4.3 pts | -3.2 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2019 | Healey | Liberal Democrats | -3.2 pts | -2.2 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2019 | West Heywood | Conservative | -6.2 pts | -5.2 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Bamford | Conservative | -4.4 pts | -5.2 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2019 | Hopwood Hall | Labour | -3.8 pts | -3.2 pts | -0.6 pts |