Rushmoor: wards that bucked the trend
Rushmoor: in 2024, 11 ward results beat the expected swing and 21 trailed it. The biggest gap was Labour in Manor Park (-54.4 pts actual vs +1.7 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Manor Park | Labour | -54.4 pts | +1.7 pts | -56.1 pts |
| 2024 | Manor Park | Conservative | +28.8 pts | +3.0 pts | +25.8 pts |
| 2024 | Cherrywood | Labour | -19.0 pts | +1.7 pts | -20.7 pts |
| 2024 | North Town | Labour | +8.9 pts | -5.3 pts | +14.2 pts |
| 2024 | Rowhill | Conservative | -10.3 pts | +3.0 pts | -13.3 pts |
| 2024 | Cherrywood | Conservative | +12.8 pts | +3.0 pts | +9.8 pts |
| 2024 | Fernhill | Labour | -7.5 pts | +1.7 pts | -9.2 pts |
| 2024 | Cove and Southwood | Labour | +10.2 pts | +1.7 pts | +8.5 pts |
| 2024 | North Town | Conservative | -4.1 pts | +3.0 pts | -7.1 pts |
| 2024 | West Heath | Conservative | -3.5 pts | +3.0 pts | -6.6 pts |
| 2024 | Empress | Liberal Democrats | -9.2 pts | -3.0 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2024 | St John's | Conservative | -2.6 pts | +3.0 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2024 | Fernhill | Conservative | +8.3 pts | +3.0 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2024 | Rowhill | Liberal Democrats | -7.5 pts | -3.0 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2024 | Empress | Labour | +5.0 pts | +1.7 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2024 | Knellwood | Liberal Democrats | -6.3 pts | -3.0 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2024 | St. Marks | Liberal Democrats | -6.0 pts | -3.0 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2024 | Fernhill | Liberal Democrats | -0.8 pts | -3.0 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2024 | Empress | Conservative | +1.2 pts | +3.0 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2024 | Cove and Southwood | Conservative | +1.2 pts | +3.0 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2024 | St John's | Liberal Democrats | -1.3 pts | -3.0 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2024 | Rowhill | Labour | +3.2 pts | +1.7 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2024 | St. Marks | Conservative | +1.6 pts | +3.0 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2024 | Cove and Southwood | Liberal Democrats | -4.3 pts | -3.0 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2024 | Knellwood | Heritage Party | -1.2 pts | -0.1 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2024 | Knellwood | Conservative | +2.0 pts | +3.0 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2024 | Wellington | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | +1.9 pts | +0.9 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2024 | Wellington | Labour | +0.9 pts | +1.7 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2024 | Empress | Reform UK | +3.0 pts | +3.3 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2024 | Aldershot Park | Conservative | +2.7 pts | +3.0 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2024 | West Heath | Liberal Democrats | -2.8 pts | -3.0 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2024 | Wellington | Conservative | +2.9 pts | +3.0 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2023 | Fernhill | Labour | +24.7 pts | -6.6 pts | +31.3 pts |
| 2023 | Cherrywood | Labour | +22.5 pts | -6.6 pts | +29.1 pts |
| 2023 | Manor Park | Labour | +13.1 pts | -6.6 pts | +19.7 pts |
| 2023 | Aldershot Park | Labour | +12.1 pts | -6.6 pts | +18.8 pts |
| 2023 | Rowhill | Labour | +10.6 pts | -6.6 pts | +17.3 pts |
| 2023 | St John's | Conservative | +8.7 pts | -8.4 pts | +17.1 pts |
| 2023 | Empress | Labour | +8.0 pts | -6.6 pts | +14.6 pts |
| 2023 | Cherrywood | Conservative | -22.5 pts | -8.4 pts | -14.1 pts |
| 2023 | Cove and Southwood | Labour | +4.6 pts | -6.6 pts | +11.2 pts |
| 2023 | Aldershot Park | Conservative | -18.3 pts | -8.4 pts | -9.9 pts |
| 2023 | Fernhill | Liberal Democrats | -11.4 pts | -1.6 pts | -9.8 pts |
| 2023 | Manor Park | Conservative | -0.3 pts | -8.4 pts | +8.1 pts |
| 2023 | Wellington | Labour | +0.1 pts | -6.6 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2023 | Cove and Southwood | Liberal Democrats | -7.6 pts | -1.6 pts | -6.0 pts |
| 2023 | St. Marks | Liberal Democrats | +4.0 pts | -1.6 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2023 | Rowhill | Liberal Democrats | -7.2 pts | -1.6 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2023 | Rowhill | Conservative | -3.5 pts | -8.4 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2023 | Fernhill | Conservative | -13.3 pts | -8.4 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2023 | West Heath | Liberal Democrats | -6.5 pts | -1.6 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2023 | Cove and Southwood | Conservative | -4.1 pts | -8.4 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2023 | Empress | Conservative | -12.7 pts | -8.4 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2023 | Knellwood | Conservative | -11.6 pts | -8.4 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2023 | St. Marks | Conservative | -5.9 pts | -8.4 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2023 | West Heath | Conservative | -10.4 pts | -8.4 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2023 | Empress | Liberal Democrats | +0.0 pts | -1.6 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2023 | Knellwood | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | -1.6 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2023 | Wellington | Conservative | -7.7 pts | -8.4 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2023 | North Town | Conservative | -8.6 pts | -8.4 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2022 | St John's | Conservative | -30.9 pts | -7.6 pts | -23.2 pts |
| 2022 | St John's | Labour | +30.9 pts | +8.4 pts | +22.4 pts |
| 2022 | Fernhill | Conservative | -21.5 pts | -7.6 pts | -13.9 pts |
| 2022 | Wellington | Labour | +18.8 pts | +8.4 pts | +10.4 pts |
| 2022 | St. Marks | Labour | -0.4 pts | +8.4 pts | -8.8 pts |
| 2022 | Fernhill | Labour | +0.4 pts | +8.4 pts | -8.0 pts |
| 2022 | Cove and Southwood | Liberal Democrats | +8.0 pts | +0.3 pts | +7.7 pts |
| 2022 | Rowhill | Labour | +1.3 pts | +8.4 pts | -7.1 pts |
| 2022 | Aldershot Park | Conservative | -1.7 pts | -7.6 pts | +5.9 pts |
| 2022 | West Heath | Labour | +2.7 pts | +8.4 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2022 | Cove and Southwood | Conservative | -12.5 pts | -7.6 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2022 | North Town | Conservative | -3.2 pts | -7.6 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2022 | St. Marks | Liberal Democrats | +4.4 pts | +0.3 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2022 | Cove and Southwood | Labour | +4.5 pts | +8.4 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2022 | St. Marks | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -7.6 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2022 | Wellington | Conservative | -11.3 pts | -7.6 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2022 | Manor Park | Conservative | -11.1 pts | -7.6 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2022 | West Heath | Conservative | -4.3 pts | -7.6 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2022 | Knellwood | Labour | +5.2 pts | +8.4 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2022 | Empress | Conservative | -4.4 pts | -7.6 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2022 | Cherrywood | Conservative | -10.7 pts | -7.6 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2022 | Rowhill | Conservative | -4.6 pts | -7.6 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2022 | Rowhill | Liberal Democrats | +3.2 pts | +0.3 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2022 | Knellwood | Liberal Democrats | +2.9 pts | +0.3 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2022 | Cherrywood | Labour | +10.7 pts | +8.4 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2022 | Knellwood | Conservative | -5.4 pts | -7.6 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2022 | North Town | Labour | +6.4 pts | +8.4 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2022 | Empress | Labour | +10.2 pts | +8.4 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Manor Park | Liberal Democrats | +1.9 pts | +0.3 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2022 | West Heath | Liberal Democrats | +1.5 pts | +0.3 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2022 | Manor Park | Labour | +9.2 pts | +8.4 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2022 | Empress | Liberal Democrats | +0.5 pts | +0.3 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2022 | Aldershot Park | Labour | +8.3 pts | +8.4 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Empress | Labour | -16.9 pts | +3.8 pts | -20.7 pts |
| 2021 | Cherrywood | Conservative | +27.9 pts | +7.8 pts | +20.1 pts |
| 2021 | West Heath | Conservative | +25.2 pts | +7.8 pts | +17.3 pts |
| 2021 | Rowhill | Labour | +19.1 pts | +3.8 pts | +15.2 pts |
| 2021 | Aldershot Park | Conservative | +22.4 pts | +7.8 pts | +14.6 pts |
| 2021 | Rowhill | Conservative | -6.6 pts | +7.8 pts | -14.5 pts |
| 2021 | St. Marks | Conservative | -5.8 pts | +7.8 pts | -13.7 pts |
| 2021 | St John's | Conservative | -4.9 pts | +7.8 pts | -12.7 pts |
| 2021 | Empress | Conservative | +20.4 pts | +7.8 pts | +12.6 pts |
| 2021 | North Town | Conservative | -4.1 pts | +7.8 pts | -11.9 pts |
| 2021 | Cove and Southwood | Liberal Democrats | -5.9 pts | +4.8 pts | -10.7 pts |
| 2021 | Aldershot Park | Labour | -5.6 pts | +3.8 pts | -9.4 pts |
| 2021 | Wellington | Liberal Democrats | -4.6 pts | +4.8 pts | -9.4 pts |
| 2021 | Cove and Southwood | Conservative | +15.6 pts | +7.8 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2021 | Fernhill | Conservative | +15.4 pts | +7.8 pts | +7.6 pts |
| 2021 | Wellington | Labour | -3.3 pts | +3.8 pts | -7.2 pts |
| 2021 | West Heath | Labour | +10.7 pts | +3.8 pts | +6.9 pts |
| 2021 | St. Marks | Liberal Democrats | +11.6 pts | +4.8 pts | +6.8 pts |
| 2021 | Knellwood | Conservative | +14.3 pts | +7.8 pts | +6.4 pts |
| 2021 | Manor Park | Labour | -2.4 pts | +3.8 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2021 | Cherrywood | Labour | -2.1 pts | +3.8 pts | -5.9 pts |
| 2021 | Knellwood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -14.1 pts | -9.0 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2021 | Manor Park | Conservative | +3.9 pts | +7.8 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2021 | North Town | Labour | +0.9 pts | +3.8 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2021 | Fernhill | Labour | +6.5 pts | +3.8 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2021 | Rowhill | Liberal Democrats | +2.3 pts | +4.8 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2021 | Knellwood | Liberal Democrats | +6.9 pts | +4.8 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2021 | Cove and Southwood | Labour | +5.2 pts | +3.8 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2021 | West Heath | Liberal Democrats | +3.5 pts | +4.8 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2021 | St John's | Labour | +4.9 pts | +3.8 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2021 | Knellwood | Labour | +4.8 pts | +3.8 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2021 | St. Marks | Labour | +3.7 pts | +3.8 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Wellington | Conservative | +7.9 pts | +7.8 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2019 | Aldershot Park | Conservative | -20.5 pts | -1.8 pts | -18.6 pts |
| 2019 | Knellwood | Conservative | -17.6 pts | -1.8 pts | -15.8 pts |
| 2019 | St. Marks | Conservative | +13.6 pts | -1.8 pts | +15.5 pts |
| 2019 | Rowhill | Conservative | +13.6 pts | -1.8 pts | +15.4 pts |
| 2019 | Rowhill | Liberal Democrats | -19.1 pts | -4.1 pts | -15.0 pts |
| 2019 | North Town | Conservative | +12.9 pts | -1.8 pts | +14.7 pts |
| 2019 | Empress | Green | +14.8 pts | +0.9 pts | +13.9 pts |
| 2019 | St John's | Labour | +5.3 pts | -7.3 pts | +12.6 pts |
| 2019 | Cove and Southwood | Liberal Democrats | +6.4 pts | -4.1 pts | +10.5 pts |
| 2019 | St John's | Conservative | +8.0 pts | -1.8 pts | +9.8 pts |
| 2019 | Fernhill | Conservative | -11.6 pts | -1.8 pts | -9.8 pts |
| 2019 | Wellington | Conservative | +7.9 pts | -1.8 pts | +9.7 pts |
| 2019 | West Heath | Conservative | -10.5 pts | -1.8 pts | -8.7 pts |
| 2019 | Cherrywood | Conservative | -10.2 pts | -1.8 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2019 | Wellington | Liberal Democrats | +3.5 pts | -4.1 pts | +7.7 pts |
| 2019 | Manor Park | Labour | -14.9 pts | -7.3 pts | -7.6 pts |
| 2019 | St. Marks | Liberal Democrats | -10.5 pts | -4.1 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2019 | Empress | Conservative | -8.0 pts | -1.8 pts | -6.1 pts |
| 2019 | West Heath | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +0.6 pts | +6.6 pts | -6.0 pts |
| 2019 | Cherrywood | Liberal Democrats | +1.1 pts | -4.1 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2019 | St. Marks | British Unionist Party - B.U.P. | +5.6 pts | +0.6 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2019 | Cove and Southwood | Conservative | -6.4 pts | -1.8 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2019 | Manor Park | Conservative | +2.5 pts | -1.8 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2019 | Aldershot Park | Labour | -3.0 pts | -7.3 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2019 | Wellington | Labour | -11.4 pts | -7.3 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2019 | Fernhill | Labour | -10.3 pts | -7.3 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2019 | West Heath | Liberal Democrats | -6.4 pts | -4.1 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2019 | West Heath | Labour | -9.2 pts | -7.3 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2019 | Knellwood | Liberal Democrats | -2.3 pts | -4.1 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2019 | Rowhill | Labour | -9.2 pts | -7.3 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2019 | Knellwood | Labour | -8.8 pts | -7.3 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2019 | St. Marks | Labour | -8.8 pts | -7.3 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2019 | Empress | Labour | -6.1 pts | -7.3 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2019 | North Town | Labour | -6.2 pts | -7.3 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2019 | Cove and Southwood | Labour | -6.6 pts | -7.3 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2019 | Cherrywood | Labour | -7.0 pts | -7.3 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Cove and Southwood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +6.6 pts | +6.6 pts | +0.0 pts |
| 2016 | North Town | Labour | +19.9 pts | +4.2 pts | +15.8 pts |
| 2016 | West Heath | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +15.1 pts | +0.5 pts | +14.5 pts |
| 2016 | Fernhill | Conservative | +3.8 pts | -7.5 pts | +11.3 pts |
| 2016 | Manor Park | Labour | -6.7 pts | +4.2 pts | -10.8 pts |
| 2016 | Wellington | Labour | +14.6 pts | +4.2 pts | +10.4 pts |
| 2016 | Empress | Green | +9.4 pts | -0.2 pts | +9.6 pts |
| 2016 | Manor Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -7.5 pts | +0.5 pts | -8.0 pts |
| 2016 | St. Marks | Green | -8.1 pts | -0.2 pts | -7.9 pts |
| 2016 | North Town | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -6.7 pts | +0.5 pts | -7.3 pts |
| 2016 | Aldershot Park | Conservative | -14.6 pts | -7.5 pts | -7.2 pts |
| 2016 | Aldershot Park | Labour | +11.1 pts | +4.2 pts | +6.9 pts |
| 2016 | Rowhill | Conservative | -0.7 pts | -7.5 pts | +6.8 pts |
| 2016 | St. Marks | Labour | -2.6 pts | +4.2 pts | -6.8 pts |
| 2016 | Wellington | Conservative | -14.0 pts | -7.5 pts | -6.5 pts |
| 2016 | Cove and Southwood | Labour | -1.8 pts | +4.2 pts | -5.9 pts |
| 2016 | North Town | Conservative | -13.2 pts | -7.5 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2016 | West Heath | Liberal Democrats | -2.7 pts | +2.9 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2016 | West Heath | Conservative | -12.8 pts | -7.5 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2016 | West Heath | Labour | -0.7 pts | +4.2 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2016 | Empress | Labour | -0.6 pts | +4.2 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2016 | St. Marks | Liberal Democrats | +7.6 pts | +2.9 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2016 | Empress | Conservative | -12.1 pts | -7.5 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2016 | Knellwood | Green | -4.8 pts | -0.2 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2016 | Knellwood | Labour | +8.7 pts | +4.2 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2016 | Knellwood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -3.8 pts | +0.5 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2016 | St John's | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +4.8 pts | +0.5 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2016 | St. Marks | Conservative | -11.1 pts | -7.5 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2016 | Cherrywood | Labour | +7.6 pts | +4.2 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2016 | Cherrywood | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | +2.9 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2016 | Fernhill | Green | +2.2 pts | -0.2 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2016 | St John's | Conservative | -9.8 pts | -7.5 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2016 | Manor Park | Conservative | -5.2 pts | -7.5 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2016 | Fernhill | Labour | +2.2 pts | +4.2 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2016 | Cherrywood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -1.1 pts | +0.5 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2016 | Rowhill | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -1.0 pts | +0.5 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2016 | Rowhill | Green | -1.6 pts | -0.2 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2016 | Cove and Southwood | Green | +1.2 pts | -0.2 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2016 | West Heath | Green | +1.1 pts | -0.2 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2016 | Fernhill | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -0.6 pts | +0.5 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2016 | Cove and Southwood | Conservative | -8.6 pts | -7.5 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2016 | Cherrywood | Conservative | -6.4 pts | -7.5 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2016 | Cove and Southwood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -0.4 pts | +0.5 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2016 | Rowhill | Labour | +3.3 pts | +4.2 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2016 | St John's | Labour | +3.5 pts | +4.2 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2016 | Aldershot Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -0.0 pts | +0.5 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2016 | Knellwood | Conservative | -7.2 pts | -7.5 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2015 | Empress | Conservative | +17.4 pts | +1.9 pts | +15.5 pts |
| 2015 | Aldershot Park | Labour | -21.0 pts | -5.9 pts | -15.1 pts |
| 2015 | Knellwood | Conservative | -12.0 pts | +1.9 pts | -14.0 pts |
| 2015 | Wellington | Conservative | +15.2 pts | +1.9 pts | +13.3 pts |
| 2015 | Wellington | Labour | +6.5 pts | -5.9 pts | +12.4 pts |
| 2015 | North Town | Labour | -17.9 pts | -5.9 pts | -12.0 pts |
| 2015 | Cove and Southwood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -10.4 pts | +0.9 pts | -11.3 pts |
| 2015 | Manor Park | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -10.0 pts | +0.9 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2015 | St John's | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -9.7 pts | +0.9 pts | -10.6 pts |
| 2015 | Cherrywood | Conservative | -8.5 pts | +1.9 pts | -10.5 pts |
| 2015 | West Heath | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -9.4 pts | +0.9 pts | -10.3 pts |
| 2015 | St. Marks | Conservative | +11.3 pts | +1.9 pts | +9.4 pts |
| 2015 | Empress | Labour | +2.5 pts | -5.9 pts | +8.5 pts |
| 2015 | Aldershot Park | Conservative | -6.4 pts | +1.9 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2015 | Cherrywood | Liberal Democrats | -8.3 pts | +0.0 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2015 | Manor Park | Conservative | +10.3 pts | +1.9 pts | +8.3 pts |
| 2015 | St. Marks | Green | -5.0 pts | +3.1 pts | -8.1 pts |
| 2015 | St. Marks | Labour | +2.1 pts | -5.9 pts | +8.0 pts |
| 2015 | Knellwood | Labour | -13.9 pts | -5.9 pts | -8.0 pts |
| 2015 | Rowhill | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -7.1 pts | +0.9 pts | -8.0 pts |
| 2015 | Fernhill | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -5.3 pts | +0.9 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2015 | Empress | Green | -2.6 pts | +3.1 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2015 | Manor Park | Labour | -0.2 pts | -5.9 pts | +5.7 pts |
| 2015 | St. Marks | Liberal Democrats | -5.0 pts | +0.0 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2015 | West Heath | Conservative | +6.8 pts | +1.9 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2015 | Fernhill | Conservative | -2.8 pts | +1.9 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2015 | St John's | Conservative | +6.6 pts | +1.9 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2015 | Cherrywood | Labour | -10.4 pts | -5.9 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2015 | West Heath | Labour | -1.6 pts | -5.9 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2015 | North Town | Conservative | -2.2 pts | +1.9 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2015 | Cove and Southwood | Labour | -2.2 pts | -5.9 pts | +3.8 pts |
| 2015 | Cove and Southwood | Conservative | +5.1 pts | +1.9 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2015 | Rowhill | Labour | -2.9 pts | -5.9 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2015 | St John's | Labour | -3.3 pts | -5.9 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2015 | Rowhill | Conservative | -0.2 pts | +1.9 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2015 | Empress | Liberal Democrats | +1.4 pts | +0.0 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2015 | Fernhill | Labour | -5.0 pts | -5.9 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2015 | West Heath | Liberal Democrats | +0.4 pts | +0.0 pts | +0.4 pts |