Psephology.AI

    Sefton: wards that bucked the trend

    Sefton: in 2024, 32 ward results beat the expected swing and 40 trailed it. The biggest gap was Labour in Manor (-59.8 pts actual vs +3.5 pts expected).

    Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.

    Sefton: ward results against the expected swing
    YearWardPartyActual swingExpected swingGap
    2024ManorLabour-59.8 pts+3.5 pts-63.3 pts
    2024CHURCHLabour-53.5 pts+3.5 pts-57.1 pts
    2024KewLabour-48.8 pts+3.5 pts-52.4 pts
    2024ManorConservative+22.2 pts-2.9 pts+25.1 pts
    2024ManorLiberal Democrats+25.2 pts+0.5 pts+24.7 pts
    2024KewLiberal Democrats+17.1 pts+0.5 pts+16.6 pts
    2024AinsdaleLiberal Democrats+16.3 pts+0.5 pts+15.8 pts
    2024ParkLydiate and Maghull Community Independents-17.9 pts-2.3 pts-15.6 pts
    2024SudellLydiate and Maghull Community Independents-15.5 pts-2.3 pts-13.2 pts
    2024Netherton & OrrellLabour-6.8 pts+3.5 pts-10.4 pts
    2024MeolsConservative-12.3 pts-2.9 pts-9.4 pts
    2024MeolsLiberal Democrats-8.9 pts+0.5 pts-9.3 pts
    2024HaringtonFormby Residents Action Group-10.0 pts-0.9 pts-9.2 pts
    2024MeolsGreen+9.1 pts+0.1 pts+9.0 pts
    2024CHURCHGreen+8.6 pts+0.1 pts+8.5 pts
    2024MeolsLabour+12.0 pts+3.5 pts+8.5 pts
    2024AinsdaleConservative-11.1 pts-2.9 pts-8.2 pts
    2024KewGreen-8.0 pts+0.1 pts-8.1 pts
    2024AinsdaleLabour-4.5 pts+3.5 pts-8.0 pts
    2024VictoriaLiberal Democrats-7.2 pts+0.5 pts-7.6 pts
    2024NorwoodLabour-3.9 pts+3.5 pts-7.5 pts
    2024St OswaldLabour-3.5 pts+3.5 pts-7.1 pts
    2024RavenmeolsFormby Residents Action Group-7.5 pts-0.9 pts-6.6 pts
    2024Duke'sConservative-9.2 pts-2.9 pts-6.3 pts
    2024HaringtonConservative+3.1 pts-2.9 pts+6.0 pts
    2024LinacreLabour+9.5 pts+3.5 pts+6.0 pts
    2024RavenmeolsLabour+9.3 pts+3.5 pts+5.7 pts
    2024DerbyLabour-2.0 pts+3.5 pts-5.5 pts
    2024Duke'sLabour+8.9 pts+3.5 pts+5.4 pts
    2024SudellConservative+2.4 pts-2.9 pts+5.3 pts
    2024CHURCHConservative+2.0 pts-2.9 pts+4.9 pts
    2024NorwoodGreen+5.0 pts+0.1 pts+4.9 pts
    2024ParkConservative+1.6 pts-2.9 pts+4.5 pts
    2024NorwoodConservative+1.4 pts-2.9 pts+4.3 pts
    2024LitherlandLabour-0.7 pts+3.5 pts-4.3 pts
    2024MolyneuxConservative+1.1 pts-2.9 pts+4.0 pts
    2024HaringtonLabour+7.4 pts+3.5 pts+3.9 pts
    2024VictoriaLabour+7.4 pts+3.5 pts+3.9 pts
    2024FordLabour+0.1 pts+3.5 pts-3.5 pts
    2024LinacreConservative+0.3 pts-2.9 pts+3.2 pts
    2024HaringtonLiberal Democrats-2.8 pts+0.5 pts-3.2 pts
    2024RavenmeolsLiberal Democrats-2.6 pts+0.5 pts-3.0 pts
    2024RavenmeolsConservative+0.1 pts-2.9 pts+3.0 pts
    2024LitherlandIndependent-0.5 pts+2.5 pts-3.0 pts
    2024NorwoodLiberal Democrats-2.5 pts+0.5 pts-3.0 pts
    2024FordConservative+0.0 pts-2.9 pts+2.9 pts
    2024BirkdaleConservative-0.1 pts-2.9 pts+2.8 pts
    2024Duke'sLiberal Democrats-2.1 pts+0.5 pts-2.6 pts
    2024ParkGreen+2.6 pts+0.1 pts+2.4 pts
    2024LitherlandConservative-0.5 pts-2.9 pts+2.4 pts
    2024Duke'sGreen+2.4 pts+0.1 pts+2.3 pts
    2024DerbyTrade Unionist and Socialist Coalition-2.3 pts-0.1 pts-2.2 pts
    2024MolyneuxLabour+1.3 pts+3.5 pts-2.2 pts
    2024HaringtonGreen+2.2 pts+0.1 pts+2.1 pts
    2024BlundellsandsLabour+1.5 pts+3.5 pts-2.1 pts
    2024DerbyGreen-1.6 pts+0.1 pts-1.7 pts
    2024VictoriaConservative-1.3 pts-2.9 pts+1.6 pts
    2024BirkdaleLiberal Democrats-1.1 pts+0.5 pts-1.6 pts
    2024BlundellsandsLiberal Democrats-0.6 pts+0.5 pts-1.1 pts
    2024KewConservative-4.0 pts-2.9 pts-1.1 pts
    2024St OswaldTUSC-0.9 pts+0.1 pts-1.0 pts
    2024BlundellsandsConservative-1.9 pts-2.9 pts+1.0 pts
    2024BirkdaleGreen+1.1 pts+0.1 pts+0.9 pts
    2024AinsdaleGreen-0.7 pts+0.1 pts-0.8 pts
    2024LitherlandGreen-0.6 pts+0.1 pts-0.7 pts
    2024Netherton & OrrellConservative-3.5 pts-2.9 pts-0.7 pts
    2024DerbyConservative-2.3 pts-2.9 pts+0.6 pts
    2024RavenmeolsGreen+0.7 pts+0.1 pts+0.5 pts
    2024ParkLiberal Democrats+0.1 pts+0.5 pts-0.4 pts
    2024BirkdaleLabour+3.3 pts+3.5 pts-0.3 pts
    2024FordLiberal Democrats+0.2 pts+0.5 pts-0.2 pts
    2024St OswaldConservative-2.9 pts-2.9 pts-0.0 pts
    2023MolyneuxLabour+27.6 pts-5.5 pts+33.1 pts
    2023Netherton & OrrellLabour+11.9 pts-5.5 pts+17.4 pts
    2023MeolsLiberal Democrats+15.3 pts+2.6 pts+12.7 pts
    2023HaringtonConservative-14.1 pts-1.5 pts-12.6 pts
    2023BirkdaleLabour+7.1 pts-5.5 pts+12.6 pts
    2023Duke'sConservative+9.0 pts-1.5 pts+10.5 pts
    2023VictoriaLiberal Democrats-6.8 pts+2.6 pts-9.4 pts
    2023CHURCHGreen+11.5 pts+2.3 pts+9.2 pts
    2023NorwoodLabour+3.4 pts-5.5 pts+8.9 pts
    2023AinsdaleLabour+3.3 pts-5.5 pts+8.8 pts
    2023RavenmeolsConservative-9.8 pts-1.5 pts-8.4 pts
    2023KewConservative-8.8 pts-1.5 pts-7.3 pts
    2023AinsdaleConservative-8.2 pts-1.5 pts-6.7 pts
    2023VictoriaLabour+1.0 pts-5.5 pts+6.5 pts
    2023KewLiberal Democrats-3.9 pts+2.6 pts-6.5 pts
    2023FordLabour+1.0 pts-5.5 pts+6.5 pts
    2023BlundellsandsLiberal Democrats-3.9 pts+2.6 pts-6.5 pts
    2023BlundellsandsLabour+0.9 pts-5.5 pts+6.3 pts
    2023ManorLabour+0.8 pts-5.5 pts+6.2 pts
    2023Duke'sLiberal Democrats-3.3 pts+2.6 pts-5.9 pts
    2023ParkGreen-3.4 pts+2.3 pts-5.7 pts
    2023LitherlandIndependent-0.3 pts-6.0 pts+5.7 pts
    2023BirkdaleLiberal Democrats-2.9 pts+2.6 pts-5.5 pts
    2023LinacreLabour-0.2 pts-5.5 pts+5.3 pts
    2023RavenmeolsGreen-2.9 pts+2.3 pts-5.2 pts
    2023MeolsGreen-2.6 pts+2.3 pts-4.9 pts
    2023FordConservative+3.1 pts-1.5 pts+4.6 pts
    2023CHURCHConservative-6.0 pts-1.5 pts-4.6 pts
    2023NorwoodConservative-5.9 pts-1.5 pts-4.5 pts
    2023KewLabour-1.2 pts-5.5 pts+4.2 pts
    2023MeolsLabour-9.7 pts-5.5 pts-4.2 pts
    2023BirkdaleConservative-5.7 pts-1.5 pts-4.2 pts
    2023BirkdaleGreen-1.6 pts+2.3 pts-3.9 pts
    2023NorwoodGreen-1.5 pts+2.3 pts-3.8 pts
    2023Duke'sLabour-9.2 pts-5.5 pts-3.7 pts
    2023DerbyLabour-1.8 pts-5.5 pts+3.7 pts
    2023HaringtonLabour-2.0 pts-5.5 pts+3.5 pts
    2023HaringtonGreen-1.1 pts+2.3 pts-3.4 pts
    2023VictoriaConservative+1.6 pts-1.5 pts+3.1 pts
    2023ManorLiberal Democrats-0.4 pts+2.6 pts-3.0 pts
    2023Netherton & OrrellConservative+1.5 pts-1.5 pts+3.0 pts
    2023MolyneuxConservative+1.5 pts-1.5 pts+3.0 pts
    2023LitherlandLabour-2.5 pts-5.5 pts+3.0 pts
    2023SudellConservative+1.2 pts-1.5 pts+2.7 pts
    2023BlundellsandsConservative-4.1 pts-1.5 pts-2.7 pts
    2023ParkConservative-4.0 pts-1.5 pts-2.6 pts
    2023HaringtonLiberal Democrats+0.1 pts+2.6 pts-2.5 pts
    2023ManorConservative-3.9 pts-1.5 pts-2.4 pts
    2023AinsdaleGreen-0.1 pts+2.3 pts-2.3 pts
    2023AinsdaleLiberal Democrats+4.9 pts+2.6 pts+2.3 pts
    2023LinacreIndependent-8.3 pts-6.0 pts-2.3 pts
    2023CHURCHLabour-7.6 pts-5.5 pts-2.2 pts
    2023VictoriaGreen+4.2 pts+2.3 pts+1.9 pts
    2023MeolsConservative-3.0 pts-1.5 pts-1.5 pts
    2023NorwoodLiberal Democrats+4.1 pts+2.6 pts+1.5 pts
    2023ManorGreen+0.9 pts+2.3 pts-1.4 pts
    2023LitherlandConservative-0.2 pts-1.5 pts+1.3 pts
    2023LinacreConservative-0.6 pts-1.5 pts+0.8 pts
    2023DerbyConservative-1.0 pts-1.5 pts+0.5 pts
    2023RavenmeolsLabour-5.0 pts-5.5 pts+0.5 pts
    2022MolyneuxLabour-20.6 pts+3.3 pts-23.9 pts
    2022SudellConservative-28.3 pts-6.4 pts-21.9 pts
    2022Duke'sLiberal Democrats+18.6 pts+0.5 pts+18.1 pts
    2022SudellLabour-13.5 pts+3.3 pts-16.7 pts
    2022ParkConservative-22.5 pts-6.4 pts-16.1 pts
    2022LinacreLabour-12.7 pts+3.3 pts-15.9 pts
    2022AinsdaleLiberal Democrats-14.3 pts+0.5 pts-14.7 pts
    2022BirkdaleLiberal Democrats+14.1 pts+0.5 pts+13.7 pts
    2022FordLabour+16.4 pts+3.3 pts+13.2 pts
    2022LitherlandIndependent-8.9 pts+3.4 pts-12.2 pts
    2022ParkLabour-8.8 pts+3.3 pts-12.1 pts
    2022MeolsLiberal Democrats-10.9 pts+0.5 pts-11.4 pts
    2022RavenmeolsLabour+13.9 pts+3.3 pts+10.6 pts
    2022KewLabour+13.5 pts+3.3 pts+10.3 pts
    2022LitherlandLabour+13.4 pts+3.3 pts+10.1 pts
    2022CHURCHGreen+7.5 pts-2.6 pts+10.0 pts
    2022AinsdaleLabour+12.8 pts+3.3 pts+9.5 pts
    2022DerbyIndependent-5.7 pts+3.4 pts-9.1 pts
    2022NorwoodLabour+12.2 pts+3.3 pts+8.9 pts
    2022DerbyLabour+12.0 pts+3.3 pts+8.8 pts
    2022BlundellsandsLabour+11.9 pts+3.3 pts+8.7 pts
    2022AinsdaleConservative+2.1 pts-6.4 pts+8.5 pts
    2022MeolsConservative+2.1 pts-6.4 pts+8.5 pts
    2022ManorLabour+11.3 pts+3.3 pts+8.0 pts
    2022MeolsLabour+10.1 pts+3.3 pts+6.9 pts
    2022DerbyConservative+0.3 pts-6.4 pts+6.7 pts
    2022NorwoodLiberal Democrats-6.2 pts+0.5 pts-6.7 pts
    2022Duke'sConservative+0.1 pts-6.4 pts+6.5 pts
    2022CHURCHLabour-2.5 pts+3.3 pts-5.8 pts
    2022RavenmeolsGreen+3.1 pts-2.6 pts+5.7 pts
    2022Netherton & OrrellLabour-2.4 pts+3.3 pts-5.7 pts
    2022MolyneuxConservative-12.1 pts-6.4 pts-5.7 pts
    2022BirkdaleConservative-12.1 pts-6.4 pts-5.7 pts
    2022Duke'sLabour+8.7 pts+3.3 pts+5.5 pts
    2022CHURCHConservative-1.0 pts-6.4 pts+5.4 pts
    2022LitherlandConservative-1.1 pts-6.4 pts+5.3 pts
    2022BirkdaleLabour-1.5 pts+3.3 pts-4.7 pts
    2022BlundellsandsLiberal Democrats+4.7 pts+0.5 pts+4.2 pts
    2022VictoriaLabour+7.3 pts+3.3 pts+4.1 pts
    2022HaringtonLabour+7.3 pts+3.3 pts+4.0 pts
    2022ManorConservative-10.1 pts-6.4 pts-3.7 pts
    2022KewLiberal Democrats-3.1 pts+0.5 pts-3.6 pts
    2022Netherton & OrrellConservative-3.0 pts-6.4 pts+3.4 pts
    2022RavenmeolsConservative-3.5 pts-6.4 pts+2.9 pts
    2022NorwoodGreen+0.3 pts-2.6 pts+2.9 pts
    2022KewConservative-3.7 pts-6.4 pts+2.7 pts
    2022HaringtonConservative-3.9 pts-6.4 pts+2.5 pts
    2022VictoriaConservative-4.0 pts-6.4 pts+2.4 pts
    2022Netherton & OrrellIndependent+5.5 pts+3.4 pts+2.1 pts
    2022HaringtonLiberal Democrats+2.5 pts+0.5 pts+2.0 pts
    2022BirkdaleGreen-0.6 pts-2.6 pts+2.0 pts
    2022AinsdaleGreen-0.7 pts-2.6 pts+1.9 pts
    2022LinacreConservative-4.6 pts-6.4 pts+1.8 pts
    2022VictoriaLiberal Democrats-1.2 pts+0.5 pts-1.6 pts
    2022ParkGreen-4.1 pts-2.6 pts-1.5 pts
    2022FordND+1.8 pts+3.1 pts-1.3 pts
    2022MeolsGreen-1.3 pts-2.6 pts+1.3 pts
    2022FordConservative-5.4 pts-6.4 pts+1.0 pts
    2022HaringtonGreen-1.5 pts-2.6 pts+1.0 pts
    2022ManorLiberal Democrats+1.2 pts+0.5 pts+0.7 pts
    2022BlundellsandsConservative-6.9 pts-6.4 pts-0.5 pts
    2022VictoriaGreen-2.2 pts-2.6 pts+0.4 pts
    2022ManorGreen-2.4 pts-2.6 pts+0.1 pts
    2022NorwoodConservative-6.3 pts-6.4 pts+0.1 pts
    2021AinsdaleLiberal Democrats+20.6 pts-6.7 pts+27.3 pts
    2021Duke'sLiberal Democrats-33.1 pts-6.7 pts-26.4 pts
    2021LitherlandLabour-18.9 pts+3.1 pts-22.0 pts
    2021HaringtonFRAG-21.6 pts-1.8 pts-19.8 pts
    2021DerbyLabour-14.4 pts+3.1 pts-17.5 pts
    2021LinacreLabour+20.3 pts+3.1 pts+17.2 pts
    2021FordLabour-12.2 pts+3.1 pts-15.3 pts
    2021SudellConservative+24.5 pts+10.1 pts+14.4 pts
    2021AinsdaleConservative-2.3 pts+10.1 pts-12.4 pts
    2021BirkdaleLiberal Democrats-18.5 pts-6.7 pts-11.8 pts
    2021BirkdaleConservative+21.6 pts+10.1 pts+11.6 pts
    2021LitherlandConservative-1.1 pts+10.1 pts-11.2 pts
    2021DerbyConservative-0.2 pts+10.1 pts-10.3 pts
    2021ParkConservative+20.1 pts+10.1 pts+10.0 pts
    2021VictoriaConservative+0.7 pts+10.1 pts-9.3 pts
    2021Duke'sConservative+19.2 pts+10.1 pts+9.1 pts
    2021FordConservative+1.4 pts+10.1 pts-8.7 pts
    2021AinsdaleLabour-5.5 pts+3.1 pts-8.6 pts
    2021St OswaldLabour+11.1 pts+3.1 pts+7.9 pts
    2021HaringtonConservative+17.3 pts+10.1 pts+7.2 pts
    2021BlundellsandsConservative+3.4 pts+10.1 pts-6.7 pts
    2021KewLiberal Democrats-0.1 pts-6.7 pts+6.6 pts
    2021CHURCHConservative+3.5 pts+10.1 pts-6.6 pts
    2021MolyneuxLabour+9.3 pts+3.1 pts+6.2 pts
    2021VictoriaLiberal Democrats-0.8 pts-6.7 pts+5.9 pts
    2021KewConservative+15.9 pts+10.1 pts+5.8 pts
    2021RavenmeolsFRAG-7.3 pts-1.8 pts-5.6 pts
    2021Netherton & OrrellConservative+4.7 pts+10.1 pts-5.3 pts
    2021RavenmeolsLiberal Democrats-1.6 pts-6.7 pts+5.1 pts
    2021NorwoodConservative+15.2 pts+10.1 pts+5.1 pts
    2021MeolsLabour-1.7 pts+3.1 pts-4.9 pts
    2021LinacreConservative+5.3 pts+10.1 pts-4.7 pts
    2021ParkLabour+7.8 pts+3.1 pts+4.7 pts
    2021BirkdaleLabour+7.6 pts+3.1 pts+4.5 pts
    2021ManorLabour-1.3 pts+3.1 pts-4.4 pts
    2021MeolsConservative+14.5 pts+10.1 pts+4.4 pts
    2021VictoriaGreen-4.4 pts-0.1 pts-4.3 pts
    2021BlundellsandsLiberal Democrats-2.5 pts-6.7 pts+4.3 pts
    2021MolyneuxLiberal Democrats-2.5 pts-6.7 pts+4.2 pts
    2021FordLiberal Democrats-2.5 pts-6.7 pts+4.2 pts
    2021FordGreen-4.1 pts-0.1 pts-4.0 pts
    2021HaringtonLiberal Democrats-3.0 pts-6.7 pts+3.8 pts
    2021KewLabour-0.6 pts+3.1 pts-3.7 pts
    2021St OswaldConservative+6.5 pts+10.1 pts-3.6 pts
    2021BlundellsandsGreen-3.7 pts-0.1 pts-3.6 pts
    2021MeolsGreen+3.3 pts-0.1 pts+3.4 pts
    2021Duke'sLabour+0.1 pts+3.1 pts-3.0 pts
    2021CHURCHLiberal Democrats-3.9 pts-6.7 pts+2.9 pts
    2021BlundellsandsLabour+5.6 pts+3.1 pts+2.5 pts
    2021SudellGreen+2.3 pts-0.1 pts+2.4 pts
    2021NorwoodGreen+2.0 pts-0.1 pts+2.1 pts
    2021BirkdaleGreen-2.0 pts-0.1 pts-1.9 pts
    2021ParkGreen+1.8 pts-0.1 pts+1.9 pts
    2021CHURCHLabour+1.3 pts+3.1 pts-1.8 pts
    2021RavenmeolsConservative+11.8 pts+10.1 pts+1.7 pts
    2021ManorGreen-1.8 pts-0.1 pts-1.7 pts
    2021RavenmeolsLabour+1.5 pts+3.1 pts-1.6 pts
    2021VictoriaLabour+4.5 pts+3.1 pts+1.4 pts
    2021MolyneuxGreen+1.2 pts-0.1 pts+1.3 pts
    2021AinsdaleGreen-1.3 pts-0.1 pts-1.2 pts
    2021NorwoodLiberal Democrats-7.6 pts-6.7 pts-0.9 pts
    2021HaringtonLabour+4.0 pts+3.1 pts+0.9 pts
    2021CHURCHGreen-0.9 pts-0.1 pts-0.8 pts
    2021RavenmeolsGreen+0.7 pts-0.1 pts+0.8 pts
    2021NorwoodLabour+3.8 pts+3.1 pts+0.7 pts
    2021Netherton & OrrellLabour+2.5 pts+3.1 pts-0.6 pts
    2021ManorLiberal Democrats-7.3 pts-6.7 pts-0.5 pts
    2021Duke'sGreen+0.3 pts-0.1 pts+0.4 pts
    2021ManorConservative+10.4 pts+10.1 pts+0.3 pts
    2021SudellLabour+3.4 pts+3.1 pts+0.2 pts
    2021MolyneuxConservative+9.9 pts+10.1 pts-0.2 pts
    2021KewGreen-0.2 pts-0.1 pts-0.1 pts
    2021MeolsLiberal Democrats-6.7 pts-6.7 pts+0.0 pts
    2019HaringtonFRAG+18.7 pts+1.3 pts+17.3 pts
    2019HaringtonConservative-21.0 pts-6.1 pts-15.0 pts
    2019Duke'sConservative-17.5 pts-6.1 pts-11.4 pts
    2019KewLiberal Democrats-5.2 pts+5.4 pts-10.6 pts
    2019MeolsConservative-15.4 pts-6.1 pts-9.3 pts
    2019MolyneuxUK Independence Party (UKIP)+14.7 pts+5.5 pts+9.1 pts
    2019CHURCHGreen+13.0 pts+4.1 pts+8.9 pts
    2019AinsdaleLabour-1.4 pts-9.9 pts+8.6 pts
    2019MolyneuxLabour-18.3 pts-9.9 pts-8.4 pts
    2019BirkdaleConservative-14.4 pts-6.1 pts-8.3 pts
    2019LitherlandLabour-1.8 pts-9.9 pts+8.2 pts
    2019NorwoodLiberal Democrats-2.7 pts+5.4 pts-8.1 pts
    2019MolyneuxConservative+1.7 pts-6.1 pts+7.8 pts
    2019MeolsLiberal Democrats+13.0 pts+5.4 pts+7.6 pts
    2019Duke'sLiberal Democrats+12.9 pts+5.4 pts+7.5 pts
    2019DerbyLabour-2.7 pts-9.9 pts+7.2 pts
    2019ParkLiberal Democrats-1.7 pts+5.4 pts-7.1 pts
    2019AinsdaleConservative-12.7 pts-6.1 pts-6.6 pts
    2019LinacreConservative+0.2 pts-6.1 pts+6.3 pts
    2019VictoriaLabour-16.2 pts-9.9 pts-6.2 pts
    2019RavenmeolsLabour-4.0 pts-9.9 pts+5.9 pts
    2019DerbyConservative-0.2 pts-6.1 pts+5.9 pts
    2019NorwoodUK Independence Party (UKIP)+11.1 pts+5.5 pts+5.6 pts
    2019KewUK Independence Party (UKIP)+11.0 pts+5.5 pts+5.5 pts
    2019VictoriaLiberal Democrats+10.9 pts+5.4 pts+5.5 pts
    2019RavenmeolsLiberal Democrats+0.0 pts+5.4 pts-5.4 pts
    2019FordConservative-1.0 pts-6.1 pts+5.1 pts
    2019LitherlandConservative-1.0 pts-6.1 pts+5.0 pts
    2019SudellLiberal Democrats+0.4 pts+5.4 pts-5.0 pts
    2019BirkdaleLabour-5.0 pts-9.9 pts+4.9 pts
    2019NorwoodConservative-1.2 pts-6.1 pts+4.8 pts