South Hams: wards that bucked the trend
South Hams: in 2019, 16 ward results beat the expected swing and 19 trailed it. The biggest gap was Green in Dartington & Staverton (+25.7 pts actual vs -11.7 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Dartington & Staverton | Green | +25.7 pts | -11.7 pts | +37.4 pts |
| 2019 | Marldon & Littlehempston | Conservative | -49.7 pts | -14.9 pts | -34.7 pts |
| 2019 | West Dart | Liberal Democrats | +49.4 pts | +18.1 pts | +31.2 pts |
| 2019 | Woolwell | Conservative | +16.0 pts | -14.9 pts | +30.9 pts |
| 2019 | Marldon & Littlehempston | Liberal Democrats | -5.7 pts | +18.1 pts | -23.9 pts |
| 2019 | Bickleigh & Cornwood | Conservative | +8.0 pts | -14.9 pts | +22.9 pts |
| 2019 | WEMBURY & BRIXTON | Liberal Democrats | -2.9 pts | +18.1 pts | -21.0 pts |
| 2019 | South Brent | Labour | -12.6 pts | +5.8 pts | -18.4 pts |
| 2019 | Kingsbridge | Liberal Democrats | +36.2 pts | +18.1 pts | +18.1 pts |
| 2019 | Ermington & Ugborough | Liberal Democrats | +2.8 pts | +18.1 pts | -15.4 pts |
| 2019 | Kingsbridge | Conservative | -30.2 pts | -14.9 pts | -15.3 pts |
| 2019 | WEMBURY & BRIXTON | Green | +3.1 pts | -11.7 pts | +14.7 pts |
| 2019 | Newton & Yealmpton | Liberal Democrats | +32.0 pts | +18.1 pts | +13.9 pts |
| 2019 | Ermington & Ugborough | Conservative | -1.4 pts | -14.9 pts | +13.5 pts |
| 2019 | Allington & Strete | Conservative | -28.3 pts | -14.9 pts | -13.4 pts |
| 2019 | Dartmouth & East Dart | Conservative | -2.1 pts | -14.9 pts | +12.8 pts |
| 2019 | Dartmouth & East Dart | Independent | -8.9 pts | +3.7 pts | -12.6 pts |
| 2019 | Loddiswell & Aveton Gifford | Conservative | -27.3 pts | -14.9 pts | -12.4 pts |
| 2019 | Ivybridge East | Conservative | -2.8 pts | -14.9 pts | +12.1 pts |
| 2019 | Ivybridge East | Liberal Democrats | +7.2 pts | +18.1 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2019 | South Brent | Green | -1.0 pts | -11.7 pts | +10.7 pts |
| 2019 | WEMBURY & BRIXTON | Labour | -4.2 pts | +5.8 pts | -10.0 pts |
| 2019 | Ivybridge West | Conservative | -24.1 pts | -14.9 pts | -9.2 pts |
| 2019 | Marldon & Littlehempston | Green | -3.1 pts | -11.7 pts | +8.6 pts |
| 2019 | WEMBURY & BRIXTON | Conservative | -6.3 pts | -14.9 pts | +8.6 pts |
| 2019 | Dartmouth & East Dart | Labour | -2.5 pts | +5.8 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2019 | Newton & Yealmpton | Conservative | -21.5 pts | -14.9 pts | -6.5 pts |
| 2019 | South Brent | Conservative | -21.1 pts | -14.9 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2019 | Stokenham | Conservative | -8.7 pts | -14.9 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2019 | Stokenham | Liberal Democrats | +13.9 pts | +18.1 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2019 | Charterlands | Conservative | -12.0 pts | -14.9 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2019 | Dartington & Staverton | Conservative | -12.2 pts | -14.9 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Allington & Strete | Green | -13.9 pts | -11.7 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2019 | West Dart | Conservative | -16.6 pts | -14.9 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2019 | Blackawton & Stoke Fleming | Conservative | -16.2 pts | -14.9 pts | -1.3 pts |