Swindon: wards that bucked the trend
Swindon: in 2024, 18 ward results beat the expected swing and 38 trailed it. The biggest gap was Conservative in Shaw (+27.3 pts actual vs -0.4 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Shaw | Conservative | +27.3 pts | -0.4 pts | +27.7 pts |
| 2024 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Labour | -9.2 pts | +14.2 pts | -23.3 pts |
| 2024 | Central | Labour | -8.8 pts | +14.2 pts | -22.9 pts |
| 2024 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Labour | -5.0 pts | +14.2 pts | -19.2 pts |
| 2024 | Shaw | Liberal Democrats | +21.8 pts | +4.4 pts | +17.4 pts |
| 2024 | Haydon Wick | Conservative | +16.0 pts | -0.4 pts | +16.4 pts |
| 2024 | Rodbourne Cheney | Labour | -1.5 pts | +14.2 pts | -15.7 pts |
| 2024 | St Andrews | Labour | -1.4 pts | +14.2 pts | -15.6 pts |
| 2024 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Labour | -1.3 pts | +14.2 pts | -15.5 pts |
| 2024 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Labour | -0.6 pts | +14.2 pts | -14.7 pts |
| 2024 | St Andrews | Green | -13.8 pts | +0.1 pts | -14.0 pts |
| 2024 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Conservative | -13.4 pts | -0.4 pts | -13.0 pts |
| 2024 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Conservative | -13.3 pts | -0.4 pts | -12.9 pts |
| 2024 | Old Town | Labour | +1.5 pts | +14.2 pts | -12.7 pts |
| 2024 | Central | Conservative | -12.0 pts | -0.4 pts | -11.6 pts |
| 2024 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Liberal Democrats | +15.2 pts | +4.4 pts | +10.8 pts |
| 2024 | Eastcott | Liberal Democrats | -6.1 pts | +4.4 pts | -10.4 pts |
| 2024 | Covingham and Dorcan | Labour | +4.8 pts | +14.2 pts | -9.4 pts |
| 2024 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Conservative | -9.2 pts | -0.4 pts | -8.8 pts |
| 2024 | St Andrews | Conservative | +8.4 pts | -0.4 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2024 | Walcot and Park North | Conservative | -9.0 pts | -0.4 pts | -8.6 pts |
| 2024 | Rodbourne Cheney | Conservative | +8.2 pts | -0.4 pts | +8.5 pts |
| 2024 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Labour | +5.8 pts | +14.2 pts | -8.4 pts |
| 2024 | Walcot and Park North | Labour | +6.4 pts | +14.2 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2024 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Liberal Democrats | -3.1 pts | +4.4 pts | -7.5 pts |
| 2024 | Covingham and Dorcan | Liberal Democrats | -2.7 pts | +4.4 pts | -7.1 pts |
| 2024 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Green | +7.1 pts | +0.1 pts | +6.9 pts |
| 2024 | Old Town | Liberal Democrats | -0.5 pts | +4.4 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2024 | Mannington & Western | Conservative | -4.7 pts | -0.4 pts | -4.4 pts |
| 2024 | Rodbourne Cheney | Liberal Democrats | +0.3 pts | +4.4 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2024 | Eastcott | Green | +3.7 pts | +0.1 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2024 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Green | +3.7 pts | +0.1 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2024 | Central | Liberal Democrats | +1.2 pts | +4.4 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2024 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Liberal Democrats | +1.6 pts | +4.4 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2024 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Conservative | -3.2 pts | -0.4 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2024 | Covingham and Dorcan | Conservative | +2.3 pts | -0.4 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2024 | St Andrews | Liberal Democrats | +6.9 pts | +4.4 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2024 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Liberal Democrats | +2.0 pts | +4.4 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2024 | Walcot and Park North | Liberal Democrats | +2.3 pts | +4.4 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2024 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Liberal Democrats | +2.5 pts | +4.4 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2024 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Liberal Democrats | +2.6 pts | +4.4 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2024 | Mannington & Western | Liberal Democrats | +2.7 pts | +4.4 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2024 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Green | -1.5 pts | +0.1 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2024 | Old Town | Conservative | -2.0 pts | -0.4 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2024 | Haydon Wick | Liberal Democrats | +5.9 pts | +4.4 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2024 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Conservative | +1.1 pts | -0.4 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2024 | Eastcott | Conservative | +0.8 pts | -0.4 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2024 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Liberal Democrats | +3.2 pts | +4.4 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2024 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Conservative | +0.6 pts | -0.4 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2024 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Conservative | +0.5 pts | -0.4 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2024 | Priory Vale | Liberal Democrats | +3.5 pts | +4.4 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2024 | Old Town | Green | -0.6 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2024 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Green | -0.5 pts | +0.1 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2024 | Priory Vale | Conservative | -0.8 pts | -0.4 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2024 | Haydon Wick | Labour | +14.6 pts | +14.2 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2024 | Priory Vale | Green | +0.5 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2023 | Central | Labour | +16.8 pts | -13.1 pts | +29.9 pts |
| 2023 | Covingham and Dorcan | Labour | +10.6 pts | -13.1 pts | +23.7 pts |
| 2023 | Walcot and Park North | Labour | +7.4 pts | -13.1 pts | +20.5 pts |
| 2023 | St Andrews | Labour | +5.6 pts | -13.1 pts | +18.6 pts |
| 2023 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Labour | +4.2 pts | -13.1 pts | +17.3 pts |
| 2023 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Labour | +4.1 pts | -13.1 pts | +17.1 pts |
| 2023 | Rodbourne Cheney | Labour | +4.1 pts | -13.1 pts | +17.1 pts |
| 2023 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Labour | +3.2 pts | -13.1 pts | +16.3 pts |
| 2023 | Haydon Wick | Conservative | -25.1 pts | -9.2 pts | -15.9 pts |
| 2023 | Old Town | Labour | +1.9 pts | -13.1 pts | +15.0 pts |
| 2023 | Eastcott | Liberal Democrats | -11.8 pts | +1.1 pts | -12.8 pts |
| 2023 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Labour | -1.8 pts | -13.1 pts | +11.2 pts |
| 2023 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Liberal Democrats | -9.6 pts | +1.1 pts | -10.6 pts |
| 2023 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Labour | -4.3 pts | -13.1 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2023 | Central | Conservative | -16.2 pts | -9.2 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2023 | Mannington & Western | Conservative | -2.6 pts | -9.2 pts | +6.5 pts |
| 2023 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Conservative | -3.1 pts | -9.2 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2023 | Covingham and Dorcan | Conservative | -14.9 pts | -9.2 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2023 | Walcot and Park North | Liberal Democrats | -4.2 pts | +1.1 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2023 | Old Town | Conservative | -4.1 pts | -9.2 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2023 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Liberal Democrats | +6.1 pts | +1.1 pts | +5.0 pts |
| 2023 | Eastcott | Conservative | -4.6 pts | -9.2 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2023 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Conservative | -5.9 pts | -9.2 pts | +3.3 pts |
| 2023 | Central | Liberal Democrats | -2.1 pts | +1.1 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2023 | Shaw | Conservative | -6.4 pts | -9.2 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2023 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Green | -1.8 pts | +0.5 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2023 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Conservative | -7.0 pts | -9.2 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2023 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Conservative | -7.0 pts | -9.2 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2023 | Haydon Wick | Labour | -15.1 pts | -13.1 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2023 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Conservative | -10.8 pts | -9.2 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2023 | Mannington & Western | Liberal Democrats | -0.6 pts | +1.1 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2023 | Priory Vale | Conservative | -7.6 pts | -9.2 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2023 | St Andrews | Green | -1.0 pts | +0.5 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2023 | St Andrews | Conservative | -7.6 pts | -9.2 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2023 | Covingham and Dorcan | Liberal Democrats | -0.3 pts | +1.1 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2023 | Covingham and Dorcan | TUSC | -1.1 pts | -0.3 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2023 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Conservative | -8.4 pts | -9.2 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2023 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Liberal Democrats | +1.6 pts | +1.1 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2023 | Rodbourne Cheney | Conservative | -8.6 pts | -9.2 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2023 | Walcot and Park North | Conservative | -9.7 pts | -9.2 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2023 | Rodbourne Cheney | Green | +0.0 pts | +0.5 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2023 | Old Town | Green | +0.9 pts | +0.5 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2023 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Conservative | -9.4 pts | -9.2 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2023 | Old Town | Liberal Democrats | +1.2 pts | +1.1 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2023 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Conservative | -9.3 pts | -9.2 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2023 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Green | +0.7 pts | +0.5 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2022 | Walcot and Park North | Labour | -5.3 pts | +12.6 pts | -17.8 pts |
| 2022 | Haydon Wick | Labour | +29.4 pts | +12.6 pts | +16.8 pts |
| 2022 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Liberal Democrats | +12.9 pts | -1.0 pts | +13.9 pts |
| 2022 | Walcot and Park North | Conservative | +8.5 pts | -5.1 pts | +13.6 pts |
| 2022 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Labour | +0.9 pts | +12.6 pts | -11.7 pts |
| 2022 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Conservative | +6.4 pts | -5.1 pts | +11.5 pts |
| 2022 | St Andrews | Green | +8.1 pts | -2.3 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2022 | Haydon Wick | Conservative | +4.6 pts | -5.1 pts | +9.7 pts |
| 2022 | St Andrews | Conservative | -13.6 pts | -5.1 pts | -8.5 pts |
| 2022 | Shaw | Green | +4.5 pts | -2.3 pts | +6.8 pts |
| 2022 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Conservative | +1.6 pts | -5.1 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2022 | Covingham and Dorcan | Labour | +6.0 pts | +12.6 pts | -6.6 pts |
| 2022 | Shaw | Labour | +6.6 pts | +12.6 pts | -5.9 pts |
| 2022 | Mannington & Western | Liberal Democrats | +4.6 pts | -1.0 pts | +5.6 pts |
| 2022 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Labour | +7.2 pts | +12.6 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2022 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Conservative | -10.4 pts | -5.1 pts | -5.3 pts |
| 2022 | Mannington & Western | Conservative | -10.2 pts | -5.1 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2022 | Central | Labour | +7.5 pts | +12.6 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2022 | Priory Vale | Labour | +17.4 pts | +12.6 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2022 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Labour | +17.0 pts | +12.6 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2022 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Green | +2.2 pts | -2.3 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2022 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Labour | +8.3 pts | +12.6 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Rodbourne Cheney | Conservative | -9.4 pts | -5.1 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Mannington & Western | Labour | +16.4 pts | +12.6 pts | +3.8 pts |
| 2022 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Liberal Democrats | +2.7 pts | -1.0 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2022 | Rodbourne Cheney | Labour | +16.1 pts | +12.6 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2022 | Covingham and Dorcan | Liberal Democrats | +2.4 pts | -1.0 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2022 | Eastcott | Labour | +9.2 pts | +12.6 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2022 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Conservative | -8.4 pts | -5.1 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2022 | Old Town | Green | -5.4 pts | -2.3 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2022 | St Andrews | Labour | +9.7 pts | +12.6 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2022 | Shaw | Conservative | -7.8 pts | -5.1 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2022 | Eastcott | Liberal Democrats | -3.6 pts | -1.0 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2022 | Walcot and Park North | Liberal Democrats | +1.6 pts | -1.0 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2022 | Eastcott | Conservative | -2.6 pts | -5.1 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2022 | Covingham and Dorcan | Conservative | -7.3 pts | -5.1 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2022 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Green | -0.3 pts | -2.3 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2022 | Central | Conservative | -3.1 pts | -5.1 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2022 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Conservative | -3.2 pts | -5.1 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2022 | Rodbourne Cheney | Green | -0.4 pts | -2.3 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2022 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Labour | +14.3 pts | +12.6 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Labour | +10.9 pts | +12.6 pts | -1.7 pts |
| 2022 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Labour | +14.2 pts | +12.6 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Liberal Democrats | +0.6 pts | -1.0 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Conservative | -6.7 pts | -5.1 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Old Town | Labour | +14.0 pts | +12.6 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2022 | Central | Liberal Democrats | +0.2 pts | -1.0 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Conservative | -4.3 pts | -5.1 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Old Town | Conservative | -5.9 pts | -5.1 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2022 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Labour | +13.3 pts | +12.6 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2022 | Priory Vale | Conservative | -4.6 pts | -5.1 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2022 | Old Town | Liberal Democrats | -1.2 pts | -1.0 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2022 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Conservative | -5.0 pts | -5.1 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2021 | Central | Conservative | +37.6 pts | +9.0 pts | +28.5 pts |
| 2021 | Central | Labour | -30.3 pts | -2.7 pts | -27.6 pts |
| 2021 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Conservative | -12.8 pts | +9.0 pts | -21.8 pts |
| 2021 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Independent | -14.2 pts | +3.6 pts | -17.8 pts |
| 2021 | Old Town | Labour | +13.2 pts | -2.7 pts | +15.9 pts |
| 2021 | Priory Vale | Conservative | -5.2 pts | +9.0 pts | -14.2 pts |
| 2021 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Labour | +10.9 pts | -2.7 pts | +13.6 pts |
| 2021 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Green | -14.0 pts | -0.5 pts | -13.5 pts |
| 2021 | Old Town | Conservative | -3.2 pts | +9.0 pts | -12.2 pts |
| 2021 | Eastcott | Labour | -13.0 pts | -2.7 pts | -10.3 pts |
| 2021 | Mannington & Western | Liberal Democrats | -6.3 pts | +1.2 pts | -7.6 pts |
| 2021 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Liberal Democrats | -6.1 pts | +1.2 pts | -7.3 pts |
| 2021 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Conservative | +16.2 pts | +9.0 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2021 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Conservative | +15.6 pts | +9.0 pts | +6.5 pts |
| 2021 | St Andrews | Green | -6.8 pts | -0.5 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2021 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Labour | -8.6 pts | -2.7 pts | -5.9 pts |
| 2021 | Mannington & Western | Conservative | +14.3 pts | +9.0 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2021 | Walcot and Park North | Labour | +2.5 pts | -2.7 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2021 | Central | Liberal Democrats | -4.0 pts | +1.2 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2021 | St Andrews | Conservative | +4.0 pts | +9.0 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Priory Vale | Labour | -7.7 pts | -2.7 pts | -5.0 pts |
| 2021 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Conservative | +4.1 pts | +9.0 pts | -4.9 pts |
| 2021 | Old Town | Green | -5.4 pts | -0.5 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2021 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Conservative | +4.2 pts | +9.0 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2021 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Conservative | +4.8 pts | +9.0 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2021 | Haydon Wick | Conservative | +4.8 pts | +9.0 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2021 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Labour | +0.8 pts | -2.7 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2021 | Rodbourne Cheney | Labour | -5.9 pts | -2.7 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2021 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Conservative | +12.2 pts | +9.0 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2021 | Shaw | Conservative | +12.2 pts | +9.0 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2021 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Conservative | +6.0 pts | +9.0 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2021 | Eastcott | Liberal Democrats | +4.2 pts | +1.2 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2021 | Haydon Wick | Labour | +0.2 pts | -2.7 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2021 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Labour | -5.5 pts | -2.7 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2021 | Mannington & Western | Labour | -5.5 pts | -2.7 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2021 | Eastcott | Conservative | +11.8 pts | +9.0 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2021 | Shaw | Labour | -5.4 pts | -2.7 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2021 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Labour | -0.0 pts | -2.7 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2021 | Old Town | Liberal Democrats | -1.4 pts | +1.2 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2021 | Walcot and Park North | Liberal Democrats | -1.3 pts | +1.2 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2021 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Liberal Democrats | -1.0 pts | +1.2 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2021 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Liberal Democrats | -0.9 pts | +1.2 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2021 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Labour | -0.8 pts | -2.7 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2021 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Green | +1.3 pts | -0.5 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2021 | Walcot and Park North | Conservative | +7.2 pts | +9.0 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2021 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Green | -2.1 pts | -0.5 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2021 | Covingham and Dorcan | Conservative | +7.6 pts | +9.0 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2021 | St Andrews | Labour | -1.3 pts | -2.7 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2021 | Rodbourne Cheney | Conservative | +7.7 pts | +9.0 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2021 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Liberal Democrats | -0.0 pts | +1.2 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2021 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Green | -1.4 pts | -0.5 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2021 | Haydon Wick | Green | -1.4 pts | -0.5 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2021 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Labour | -1.9 pts | -2.7 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2021 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Green | -1.0 pts | -0.5 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2021 | Covingham and Dorcan | Labour | -2.4 pts | -2.7 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2021 | Shaw | Green | -0.3 pts | -0.5 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Priory Vale | Labour | +11.4 pts | -6.1 pts | +17.5 pts |
| 2019 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Green | +17.2 pts | +2.2 pts | +15.0 pts |
| 2019 | St Andrews | Green | +15.3 pts | +2.2 pts | +13.1 pts |
| 2019 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Labour | +6.9 pts | -6.1 pts | +13.0 pts |
| 2019 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Conservative | +10.3 pts | -2.5 pts | +12.8 pts |
| 2019 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Labour | -18.8 pts | -6.1 pts | -12.7 pts |
| 2019 | Eastcott | Labour | +6.1 pts | -6.1 pts | +12.2 pts |
| 2019 | Old Town | Green | +13.2 pts | +2.2 pts | +11.0 pts |
| 2019 | Haydon Wick | Labour | -16.3 pts | -6.1 pts | -10.2 pts |
| 2019 | Old Town | Labour | -15.1 pts | -6.1 pts | -9.0 pts |
| 2019 | Covingham and Dorcan | Labour | +2.3 pts | -6.1 pts | +8.4 pts |
| 2019 | Haydon Wick | Conservative | -10.4 pts | -2.5 pts | -7.9 pts |
| 2019 | Rodbourne Cheney | Conservative | +5.3 pts | -2.5 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2019 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Labour | +1.5 pts | -6.1 pts | +7.6 pts |
| 2019 | Covingham and Dorcan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +10.2 pts | +3.1 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2019 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Liberal Democrats | +5.7 pts | -1.3 pts | +7.0 pts |
| 2019 | Rodbourne Cheney | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +10.0 pts | +3.1 pts | +6.9 pts |
| 2019 | Mannington & Western | Liberal Democrats | +4.8 pts | -1.3 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2019 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Conservative | +3.6 pts | -2.5 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2019 | St. Margaret & South Marston | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +9.1 pts | +3.1 pts | +6.0 pts |
| 2019 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Green | +8.2 pts | +2.2 pts | +6.0 pts |
| 2019 | Central | Liberal Democrats | +4.6 pts | -1.3 pts | +5.9 pts |
| 2019 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Conservative | -8.3 pts | -2.5 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2019 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Conservative | +3.3 pts | -2.5 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2019 | Walcot and Park North | Liberal Democrats | +4.2 pts | -1.3 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2019 | Shaw | Green | +7.7 pts | +2.2 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2019 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Labour | -0.7 pts | -6.1 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2019 | Old Town | Liberal Democrats | +4.0 pts | -1.3 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2019 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Green | -3.1 pts | +2.2 pts | -5.3 pts |
| 2019 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Liberal Democrats | -6.4 pts | -1.3 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2019 | Mannington & Western | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +7.8 pts | +3.1 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2019 | Central | Labour | -1.5 pts | -6.1 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2019 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +7.6 pts | +3.1 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Liden Eldene & Park South | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +7.5 pts | +3.1 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Walcot and Park North | Labour | -1.9 pts | -6.1 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2019 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Conservative | -6.7 pts | -2.5 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2019 | Covingham and Dorcan | Conservative | -6.6 pts | -2.5 pts | -4.0 pts |
| 2019 | Walcot and Park North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +7.1 pts | +3.1 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2019 | Eastcott | Liberal Democrats | -4.6 pts | -1.3 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2019 | Priory Vale | Conservative | +0.7 pts | -2.5 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2019 | St Andrews | Labour | -2.9 pts | -6.1 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2019 | Walcot and Park North | Conservative | -5.7 pts | -2.5 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2019 | Old Town | Conservative | -5.4 pts | -2.5 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Green | +5.0 pts | +2.2 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2019 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Conservative | -5.3 pts | -2.5 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Haydon Wick | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +5.9 pts | +3.1 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Shaw | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +5.7 pts | +3.1 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2019 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Liberal Democrats | +1.3 pts | -1.3 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2019 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Labour | -4.0 pts | -6.1 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2019 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Conservative | -4.5 pts | -2.5 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2019 | Mannington & Western | Conservative | -0.7 pts | -2.5 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2019 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Labour | -4.5 pts | -6.1 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2019 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Green | +3.7 pts | +2.2 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Penhill & Upper Stratton | Liberal Democrats | -0.2 pts | -1.3 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2019 | Rodbourne Cheney | Labour | -7.1 pts | -6.1 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Central | Green | +1.3 pts | +2.2 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2019 | Haydon Wick | Green | +3.0 pts | +2.2 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2019 | Eastcott | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +3.9 pts | +3.1 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2019 | Shaw | Conservative | -1.8 pts | -2.5 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2019 | Central | Conservative | -1.9 pts | -2.5 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Mannington & Western | Labour | -6.7 pts | -6.1 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +3.6 pts | +3.1 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Shaw | Labour | -6.6 pts | -6.1 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2019 | Eastcott | Conservative | -2.0 pts | -2.5 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2019 | St Andrews | Conservative | -3.0 pts | -2.5 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2019 | Chiseldon & Lawn | Conservative | -2.9 pts | -2.5 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Old Town | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +3.2 pts | +3.1 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2019 | Blunsdon & Highworth | Labour | -6.2 pts | -6.1 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2018 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Liberal Democrats | +31.3 pts | +0.6 pts | +30.7 pts |
| 2018 | Liden Eldene & Park South | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -27.1 pts | -6.5 pts | -20.6 pts |
| 2018 | Covingham and Dorcan | Conservative | +25.5 pts | +6.1 pts | +19.4 pts |
| 2018 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | Conservative | -13.1 pts | +6.1 pts | -19.2 pts |
| 2018 | Central | Labour | -16.0 pts | +0.3 pts | -16.4 pts |
| 2018 | Mannington & Western | Conservative | -7.1 pts | +6.1 pts | -13.2 pts |
| 2018 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Conservative | +18.0 pts | +6.1 pts | +11.9 pts |
| 2018 | Wroughton and Wichelstowe | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -18.0 pts | -6.5 pts | -11.5 pts |
| 2018 | St Andrews | Conservative | -5.0 pts | +6.1 pts | -11.1 pts |
| 2018 | Gorse Hill & Pinehurst | Green | -10.9 pts | +0.2 pts | -11.0 pts |
| 2018 | Shaw | Conservative | -4.8 pts | +6.1 pts | -10.9 pts |
| 2018 | Haydon Wick | Labour | +10.7 pts | +0.3 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2018 | St. Margaret & South Marston | Labour | +10.7 pts | +0.3 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2018 | Rodbourne Cheney | Labour | -9.4 pts | +0.3 pts | -9.8 pts |
| 2018 | Eastcott | Labour | +9.3 pts | +0.3 pts | +9.0 pts |
| 2018 | Covingham and Dorcan | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | -15.0 pts | -6.5 pts | -8.5 pts |
| 2018 | Liden Eldene & Park South | Labour | +8.1 pts | +0.3 pts | +7.7 pts |
| 2018 | Lydiard & Freshbrook | Labour | -7.3 pts | +0.3 pts | -7.6 pts |
| 2018 | Eastcott | Liberal Democrats | -6.7 pts | +0.6 pts | -7.3 pts |
| 2018 | Shaw | Labour | +7.0 pts | +0.3 pts | +6.6 pts |
| 2018 | St Andrews | Labour | +6.6 pts | +0.3 pts | +6.2 pts |