Windsor & Maidenhead: wards that bucked the trend
Windsor & Maidenhead: in 2023, 31 ward results beat the expected swing and 26 trailed it. The biggest gap was Liberal Democrats in St Mary's (+44.3 pts actual vs +17.7 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | St Mary's | Liberal Democrats | +44.3 pts | +17.7 pts | +26.5 pts |
| 2023 | Riverside | Liberal Democrats | +43.9 pts | +17.7 pts | +26.2 pts |
| 2023 | Cox Green | Liberal Democrats | +43.7 pts | +17.7 pts | +26.0 pts |
| 2023 | Boyn Hill | Liberal Democrats | +41.4 pts | +17.7 pts | +23.7 pts |
| 2023 | Datchet, Horton & Wraysbury | Liberal Democrats | -5.5 pts | +17.7 pts | -23.2 pts |
| 2023 | Bray | the Borough first Independents | +26.3 pts | +3.7 pts | +22.6 pts |
| 2023 | Sunningdale & Cheapside | Liberal Democrats | -2.8 pts | +17.7 pts | -20.5 pts |
| 2023 | Bray | Liberal Democrats | -1.8 pts | +17.7 pts | -19.5 pts |
| 2023 | Clewer East | Liberal Democrats | +35.5 pts | +17.7 pts | +17.7 pts |
| 2023 | Cox Green | Conservative | -31.4 pts | -15.7 pts | -15.7 pts |
| 2023 | Oldfield | Conservative | -0.4 pts | -15.7 pts | +15.3 pts |
| 2023 | Furze Platt | Conservative | -0.4 pts | -15.7 pts | +15.3 pts |
| 2023 | Clewer and Dedworth West | Conservative | -27.9 pts | -15.7 pts | -12.2 pts |
| 2023 | Furze Platt | Independent | -9.6 pts | +2.2 pts | -11.9 pts |
| 2023 | Eton & Castle | Liberal Democrats | +29.6 pts | +17.7 pts | +11.9 pts |
| 2023 | Bisham & Cookham | Liberal Democrats | +29.1 pts | +17.7 pts | +11.4 pts |
| 2023 | Sunningdale & Cheapside | the Borough first Independents | +14.8 pts | +3.7 pts | +11.1 pts |
| 2023 | Belmont | Liberal Democrats | +28.8 pts | +17.7 pts | +11.1 pts |
| 2023 | Old Windsor | Conservative | -5.8 pts | -15.7 pts | +9.9 pts |
| 2023 | Datchet, Horton & Wraysbury | Labour | +7.9 pts | -2.0 pts | +9.9 pts |
| 2023 | Belmont | Conservative | -7.1 pts | -15.7 pts | +8.6 pts |
| 2023 | Clewer and Dedworth West | West Windsor Residents Association | -9.3 pts | -1.6 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2023 | Hurley & Walthams | Liberal Democrats | +25.4 pts | +17.7 pts | +7.6 pts |
| 2023 | Riverside | Conservative | -8.2 pts | -15.7 pts | +7.5 pts |
| 2023 | Bisham & Cookham | Conservative | -22.7 pts | -15.7 pts | -7.1 pts |
| 2023 | Eton & Castle | Labour | -8.7 pts | -2.0 pts | -6.8 pts |
| 2023 | Old Windsor | Old Windsor Residents Association | +6.0 pts | -0.7 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2023 | Oldfield | Labour | +4.5 pts | -2.0 pts | +6.5 pts |
| 2023 | Boyn Hill | Conservative | -21.9 pts | -15.7 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2023 | Ascot & Sunninghill | Conservative | -9.5 pts | -15.7 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2023 | Eton & Castle | Conservative | -21.4 pts | -15.7 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2023 | Clewer East | Conservative | -21.1 pts | -15.7 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2023 | Clewer & Dedworth East | Conservative | -20.8 pts | -15.7 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2023 | Pinkneys Green | Labour | +2.9 pts | -2.0 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2023 | Bray | Conservative | -20.5 pts | -15.7 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2023 | Sunningdale & Cheapside | Labour | +2.6 pts | -2.0 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2023 | Pinkneys Green | Liberal Democrats | +22.2 pts | +17.7 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2023 | Ascot & Sunninghill | Labour | -6.3 pts | -2.0 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2023 | Belmont | Labour | -6.1 pts | -2.0 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2023 | Furze Platt | Labour | +1.4 pts | -2.0 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2023 | Clewer & Dedworth East | Labour | -5.0 pts | -2.0 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2023 | Furze Platt | Liberal Democrats | +20.4 pts | +17.7 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2023 | Riverside | Labour | -4.3 pts | -2.0 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2023 | St Mary's | Labour | -4.3 pts | -2.0 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2023 | Bray | Labour | -4.0 pts | -2.0 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2023 | Hurley & Walthams | Labour | -4.0 pts | -2.0 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2023 | St Mary's | Conservative | -17.5 pts | -15.7 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2023 | Old Windsor | Labour | -0.2 pts | -2.0 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2023 | Datchet, Horton & Wraysbury | Conservative | -14.0 pts | -15.7 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2023 | Bisham & Cookham | Labour | -0.4 pts | -2.0 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2023 | Boyn Hill | Labour | -0.7 pts | -2.0 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2023 | Sunningdale & Cheapside | Conservative | -14.6 pts | -15.7 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2023 | Hurley & Walthams | Conservative | -16.5 pts | -15.7 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2023 | Cox Green | Labour | -2.6 pts | -2.0 pts | -0.6 pts |
| 2023 | Pinkneys Green | Conservative | -15.3 pts | -15.7 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2023 | Clewer and Dedworth West | Labour | -2.2 pts | -2.0 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2023 | Ascot & Sunninghill | Liberal Democrats | +17.5 pts | +17.7 pts | -0.2 pts |