Psephology.AI

    Caerphilly: what the local elections say

    Adding up the most recent local election votes in Caerphilly (16 of 17 wards, 2022–2026), Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales leads on 44.4%, ahead of Labour, who won the seat at the 2024 general election.

    Coverage: 94% of the constituency's wards have recent local results.

    Caerphilly: local election share vs 2024 general election
    PartyLocal election shareLocal votes2024 general election shareChange
    Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales44.4%25,35321.2%+23.2 pts
    Labour38.5%24,29638.0%+0.5 pts
    Independent9.8%6,6110.0%+9.8 pts
    Conservative5.6%3,33811.5%-5.9 pts
    Liberal Democrats0.8%6604.7%-3.9 pts
    Green0.4%2144.3%-3.9 pts
    SDP0.4%2100.0%+0.4 pts
    TUSC0.2%1110.0%+0.2 pts
    Reform UK0.0%020.3%-20.3 pts