Psephology.AI

    Hornchurch and Upminster: what the local elections say

    Adding up the most recent local election votes in Hornchurch and Upminster (10 of 16 wards, 2026), Reform UK leads on 39.3%, ahead of Conservative, who won the seat at the 2024 general election.

    Coverage: 63% of the constituency's wards have recent local results.

    Hornchurch and Upminster: local election share vs 2024 general election
    PartyLocal election shareLocal votes2024 general election shareChange
    Reform UK39.3%46,35528.4%+10.9 pts
    Upminster and Cranham Residents Association13.6%15,3790.0%—
    Conservative9.7%11,69332.5%-22.9 pts
    Green8.7%10,1385.6%+3.1 pts
    Labour8.1%9,52727.6%-19.4 pts
    Hornchurch Residents Association6.9%8,8790.0%—
    Harold Wood Hill Park Residents Association6.6%7,4770.0%—
    Havering Residents Association6.0%7,5550.0%—
    Liberal Democrats0.9%1,0605.1%-4.2 pts
    Independent0.2%2340.8%-0.6 pts