Psephology.AI

    Surrey Heath: what the local elections say

    Adding up the most recent local election votes in Surrey Heath (14 of 15 wards, 2023–2024), Liberal Democrats leads on 48.6%, the same party that won the seat at the 2024 general election.

    Coverage: 93% of the constituency's wards have recent local results.

    Surrey Heath: local election share vs 2024 general election
    PartyLocal election shareLocal votes2024 general election shareChange
    Liberal Democrats48.6%27,43044.8%+3.9 pts
    Conservative38.6%22,67633.0%+5.7 pts
    Independent7.7%4,0070.0%—
    Labour3.4%2,5466.6%-3.2 pts
    Reform UK0.7%37213.1%-12.4 pts
    Residents for Guildford and Villages0.7%5370.0%—
    Green0.3%1452.4%-2.2 pts
    Heritage Party0.0%00.2%—