Hounslow: wards that bucked the trend
Hounslow: in 2018, 32 ward results beat the expected swing and 39 trailed it. The biggest gap was Green in Chiswick Riverside (-9.1 pts actual vs +3.5 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Chiswick Riverside | Green | -9.1 pts | +3.5 pts | -12.6 pts |
| 2018 | Turnham Green | Liberal Democrats | +16.1 pts | +4.5 pts | +11.6 pts |
| 2018 | Hanworth | Conservative | +9.8 pts | -1.5 pts | +11.3 pts |
| 2018 | Chiswick Riverside | Labour | +11.8 pts | +1.3 pts | +10.5 pts |
| 2018 | Turnham Green | Conservative | -11.7 pts | -1.5 pts | -10.3 pts |
| 2018 | Chiswick Homefields | Conservative | -11.7 pts | -1.5 pts | -10.2 pts |
| 2018 | Hanworth Park | Liberal Democrats | +14.5 pts | +4.5 pts | +10.0 pts |
| 2018 | Syon | Conservative | +8.2 pts | -1.5 pts | +9.7 pts |
| 2018 | Osterley & Spring Grove | Conservative | -10.8 pts | -1.5 pts | -9.3 pts |
| 2018 | Isleworth | Liberal Democrats | +13.4 pts | +4.5 pts | +8.9 pts |
| 2018 | Isleworth | Conservative | +7.2 pts | -1.5 pts | +8.7 pts |
| 2018 | Bedfont | Liberal Democrats | -3.8 pts | +4.5 pts | -8.3 pts |
| 2018 | Osterley & Spring Grove | Labour | +8.6 pts | +1.3 pts | +7.3 pts |
| 2018 | Brentford | Green | +10.8 pts | +3.5 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2018 | Chiswick Homefields | Liberal Democrats | +11.1 pts | +4.5 pts | +6.6 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow Central | Liberal Democrats | -1.6 pts | +4.5 pts | -6.1 pts |
| 2018 | Chiswick Homefields | Labour | -4.7 pts | +1.3 pts | -6.0 pts |
| 2018 | Isleworth | Labour | +7.1 pts | +1.3 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2018 | Heston Central | Conservative | -7.2 pts | -1.5 pts | -5.7 pts |
| 2018 | Chiswick Riverside | Liberal Democrats | +9.9 pts | +4.5 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2018 | Hanworth | Labour | -3.8 pts | +1.3 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2018 | Cranford | Conservative | -6.5 pts | -1.5 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2018 | Bedfont | Conservative | +3.2 pts | -1.5 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2018 | Feltham West | Labour | -3.3 pts | +1.3 pts | -4.6 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow South | Liberal Democrats | +0.3 pts | +4.5 pts | -4.2 pts |
| 2018 | Brentford | Conservative | +2.7 pts | -1.5 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow Heath | Labour | -2.9 pts | +1.3 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2018 | Syon | Labour | +5.2 pts | +1.3 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2018 | Syon | Green | +7.4 pts | +3.5 pts | +3.8 pts |
| 2018 | Cranford | Labour | +5.1 pts | +1.3 pts | +3.8 pts |
| 2018 | Feltham North | Liberal Democrats | +1.2 pts | +4.5 pts | -3.3 pts |
| 2018 | Heston East | Labour | -1.9 pts | +1.3 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2018 | Bedfont | Green | +0.3 pts | +3.5 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2018 | Osterley & Spring Grove | Green | +0.4 pts | +3.5 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2018 | Syon | Liberal Democrats | +7.6 pts | +4.5 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow South | Labour | +4.3 pts | +1.3 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2018 | Hanworth Park | Conservative | +1.5 pts | -1.5 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2018 | Turnham Green | Labour | +4.1 pts | +1.3 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow Central | Conservative | -4.1 pts | -1.5 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2018 | Osterley & Spring Grove | Liberal Democrats | +1.9 pts | +4.5 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow South | Conservative | -4.1 pts | -1.5 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2018 | Heston West | Liberal Democrats | +2.1 pts | +4.5 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2018 | Heston West | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -1.5 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2018 | Feltham West | Conservative | -3.7 pts | -1.5 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow West | Conservative | +0.7 pts | -1.5 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2018 | Chiswick Riverside | Conservative | -3.4 pts | -1.5 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2018 | Cranford | Liberal Democrats | +2.6 pts | +4.5 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow Heath | Liberal Democrats | +2.6 pts | +4.5 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow Heath | Conservative | -3.3 pts | -1.5 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2018 | Hanworth Park | Labour | +2.9 pts | +1.3 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2018 | Heston East | Conservative | -3.0 pts | -1.5 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow West | Liberal Democrats | +3.0 pts | +4.5 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2018 | Feltham North | Conservative | -0.0 pts | -1.5 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow Central | Labour | -0.1 pts | +1.3 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2018 | Feltham North | Green | +2.2 pts | +3.5 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow Central | Green | +4.9 pts | +3.5 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow South | Green | +4.8 pts | +3.5 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2018 | Hanworth | Green | +2.4 pts | +3.5 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2018 | Bedfont | Labour | +0.2 pts | +1.3 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow West | Labour | +0.4 pts | +1.3 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2018 | Brentford | Labour | +0.5 pts | +1.3 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2018 | Hanworth | Liberal Democrats | +3.8 pts | +4.5 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2018 | Isleworth | Independent | +0.7 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2018 | Feltham North | Labour | +0.8 pts | +1.3 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2018 | Isleworth | Green | +4.0 pts | +3.5 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2018 | Chiswick Homefields | Green | +3.9 pts | +3.5 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2018 | Heston Central | Labour | +1.7 pts | +1.3 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2018 | Heston West | Labour | +1.7 pts | +1.3 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow West | Green | +3.2 pts | +3.5 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2018 | Heston East | Green | +3.2 pts | +3.5 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2018 | Hounslow Heath | Green | +3.6 pts | +3.5 pts | +0.0 pts |