Psephology.AI

    Ipswich: wards that bucked the trend

    Ipswich: in 2024, 25 ward results beat the expected swing and 30 trailed it. The biggest gap was Green in St Margaret's (+12.9 pts actual vs +1.4 pts expected).

    Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.

    Ipswich: ward results against the expected swing
    YearWardPartyActual swingExpected swingGap
    2024St Margaret'sGreen+12.9 pts+1.4 pts+11.4 pts
    2024WhittonLabour-3.2 pts+8.0 pts-11.2 pts
    2024SpritesConservative+1.8 pts-5.7 pts+7.5 pts
    2024Castle HillConservative+1.6 pts-5.7 pts+7.3 pts
    2024GippingLabour+0.9 pts+8.0 pts-7.1 pts
    2024BridgeGreen-5.4 pts+1.4 pts-6.9 pts
    2024St Margaret'sLabour+1.1 pts+8.0 pts-6.9 pts
    2024St Margaret'sLiberal Democrats-7.8 pts-1.0 pts-6.8 pts
    2024AlexandraConservative-12.4 pts-5.7 pts-6.8 pts
    2024GippingConservative+0.4 pts-5.7 pts+6.1 pts
    2024SpritesLabour+2.2 pts+8.0 pts-5.8 pts
    2024RushmereGreen+7.2 pts+1.4 pts+5.8 pts
    2024Stoke ParkLabour+2.4 pts+8.0 pts-5.7 pts
    2024BixleyLabour+2.5 pts+8.0 pts-5.5 pts
    2024Stoke ParkLiberal Democrats+4.3 pts-1.0 pts+5.3 pts
    2024HolywellsLabour+2.9 pts+8.0 pts-5.1 pts
    2024WhitehouseConservative-10.4 pts-5.7 pts-4.7 pts
    2024WhitehouseLiberal Democrats+3.6 pts-1.0 pts+4.6 pts
    2024Castle HillLiberal Democrats-5.3 pts-1.0 pts-4.3 pts
    2024Priory HeathLiberal Democrats-5.1 pts-1.0 pts-4.1 pts
    2024RushmereConservative-9.5 pts-5.7 pts-3.9 pts
    2024WhittonConservative-9.4 pts-5.7 pts-3.7 pts
    2024GippingGreen-2.1 pts+1.4 pts-3.5 pts
    2024WhitehouseGreen-2.1 pts+1.4 pts-3.5 pts
    2024HolywellsLiberal Democrats+2.4 pts-1.0 pts+3.5 pts
    2024St John'sGreen-2.0 pts+1.4 pts-3.5 pts
    2024WestgateConservative-2.3 pts-5.7 pts+3.4 pts
    2024BixleyConservative-2.5 pts-5.7 pts+3.1 pts
    2024Castle HillLabour+5.1 pts+8.0 pts-3.0 pts
    2024Castle HillGreen-1.3 pts+1.4 pts-2.8 pts
    2024Priory HeathConservative-2.9 pts-5.7 pts+2.7 pts
    2024Priory HeathLabour+5.8 pts+8.0 pts-2.2 pts
    2024WhittonGreen-0.8 pts+1.4 pts-2.2 pts
    2024SpritesLiberal Democrats+1.1 pts-1.0 pts+2.2 pts
    2024AlexandraLiberal Democrats+1.1 pts-1.0 pts+2.1 pts
    2024RushmereLiberal Democrats-2.9 pts-1.0 pts-1.8 pts
    2024GippingLiberal Democrats+0.8 pts-1.0 pts+1.8 pts
    2024St John'sConservative-3.9 pts-5.7 pts+1.8 pts
    2024BridgeConservative-7.4 pts-5.7 pts-1.7 pts
    2024HolywellsConservative-7.4 pts-5.7 pts-1.7 pts
    2024Stoke ParkConservative-7.0 pts-5.7 pts-1.3 pts
    2024WestgateGreen+0.3 pts+1.4 pts-1.2 pts
    2024AlexandraGreen+2.6 pts+1.4 pts+1.2 pts
    2024WestgateLiberal Democrats+0.1 pts-1.0 pts+1.1 pts
    2024BridgeLiberal Democrats-0.1 pts-1.0 pts+0.9 pts
    2024Stoke ParkGreen+2.3 pts+1.4 pts+0.9 pts
    2024Priory HeathGreen+2.2 pts+1.4 pts+0.7 pts
    2024AlexandraLabour+8.7 pts+8.0 pts+0.7 pts
    2024HolywellsGreen+2.0 pts+1.4 pts+0.6 pts
    2024BixleyGreen+0.9 pts+1.4 pts-0.6 pts
    2024SpritesGreen+2.0 pts+1.4 pts+0.6 pts
    2024St Margaret'sConservative-6.2 pts-5.7 pts-0.6 pts
    2024St John'sLiberal Democrats-0.7 pts-1.0 pts+0.3 pts
    2024BixleyLiberal Democrats-0.9 pts-1.0 pts+0.2 pts
    2024WhittonLiberal Democrats-1.2 pts-1.0 pts-0.2 pts
    2023BridgeLabour+17.1 pts-14.6 pts+31.7 pts
    2023WhittonLabour+8.9 pts-14.6 pts+23.5 pts
    2023WhittonConservative-15.8 pts+0.7 pts-16.5 pts
    2023BixleyLabour+0.8 pts-14.6 pts+15.4 pts
    2023Castle HillLabour-1.0 pts-14.6 pts+13.6 pts
    2023HolywellsLabour-1.9 pts-14.6 pts+12.7 pts
    2023SpritesLabour-2.1 pts-14.6 pts+12.6 pts
    2023GippingLabour-3.0 pts-14.6 pts+11.6 pts
    2023Priory HeathLabour-4.4 pts-14.6 pts+10.3 pts
    2023Castle HillConservative-8.8 pts+0.7 pts-9.5 pts
    2023Stoke ParkLabour-6.3 pts-14.6 pts+8.4 pts
    2023WhitehouseLabour-6.3 pts-14.6 pts+8.3 pts
    2023HolywellsGreen-3.8 pts+3.4 pts-7.2 pts
    2023BridgeConservative+7.7 pts+0.7 pts+7.0 pts
    2023SpritesConservative-6.1 pts+0.7 pts-6.7 pts
    2023St John'sLiberal Democrats+8.4 pts+2.5 pts+5.9 pts
    2023AlexandraConservative+5.8 pts+0.7 pts+5.2 pts
    2023St Margaret'sLabour-9.6 pts-14.6 pts+5.0 pts
    2023AlexandraGreen+8.4 pts+3.4 pts+5.0 pts
    2023SpritesGreen-1.4 pts+3.4 pts-4.7 pts
    2023St Margaret'sConservative+5.0 pts+0.7 pts+4.3 pts
    2023AlexandraLiberal Democrats-1.7 pts+2.5 pts-4.2 pts
    2023St John'sConservative+4.5 pts+0.7 pts+3.8 pts
    2023BridgeGreen+6.7 pts+3.4 pts+3.4 pts
    2023BixleyLiberal Democrats-0.4 pts+2.5 pts-2.9 pts
    2023WestgateLiberal Democrats-0.4 pts+2.5 pts-2.9 pts
    2023HolywellsConservative+3.5 pts+0.7 pts+2.9 pts
    2023BixleyGreen+0.9 pts+3.4 pts-2.4 pts
    2023GippingLiberal Democrats+0.1 pts+2.5 pts-2.4 pts
    2023WestgateConservative-1.5 pts+0.7 pts-2.2 pts
    2023AlexandraLabour-12.5 pts-14.6 pts+2.1 pts
    2023BixleyConservative-1.3 pts+0.7 pts-2.0 pts
    2023Stoke ParkLiberal Democrats+0.8 pts+2.5 pts-1.6 pts
    2023WhitehouseConservative-0.9 pts+0.7 pts-1.5 pts
    2023WhitehouseGreen+1.9 pts+3.4 pts-1.5 pts
    2023WhittonLiberal Democrats+3.8 pts+2.5 pts+1.3 pts
    2023Priory HeathGreen+2.1 pts+3.4 pts-1.3 pts
    2023Priory HeathConservative-0.6 pts+0.7 pts-1.3 pts
    2023GippingConservative-0.6 pts+0.7 pts-1.3 pts
    2023Stoke ParkConservative+1.7 pts+0.7 pts+1.0 pts
    2023Castle HillLiberal Democrats+1.6 pts+2.5 pts-0.9 pts
    2023St Margaret'sGreen+2.5 pts+3.4 pts-0.8 pts
    2023BridgeLiberal Democrats+1.8 pts+2.5 pts-0.6 pts
    2023WestgateGreen+2.8 pts+3.4 pts-0.6 pts
    2023St John'sGreen+2.9 pts+3.4 pts-0.5 pts
    2023Priory HeathLiberal Democrats+2.9 pts+2.5 pts+0.4 pts
    2023St Margaret'sLiberal Democrats+2.0 pts+2.5 pts-0.4 pts
    2023RushmereLiberal Democrats+2.1 pts+2.5 pts-0.3 pts
    2023HolywellsLiberal Democrats+2.2 pts+2.5 pts-0.3 pts
    2023GippingGreen+3.5 pts+3.4 pts+0.2 pts
    2023Stoke ParkGreen+3.5 pts+3.4 pts+0.1 pts
    2023WhittonGreen+3.2 pts+3.4 pts-0.1 pts
    2023RushmereConservative+0.6 pts+0.7 pts-0.1 pts
    2023RushmereGreen+3.4 pts+3.4 pts+0.0 pts
    2022BridgeLabour-10.7 pts+8.9 pts-19.6 pts
    2022SpritesConservative-28.5 pts-9.7 pts-18.8 pts
    2022WhittonLabour-6.4 pts+8.9 pts-15.3 pts
    2022SpritesLabour+23.6 pts+8.9 pts+14.7 pts
    2022BixleyConservative-22.1 pts-9.7 pts-12.4 pts
    2022Castle HillLiberal Democrats+10.0 pts-1.4 pts+11.3 pts
    2022St Margaret'sLiberal Democrats+9.3 pts-1.4 pts+10.6 pts
    2022WhittonConservative+0.6 pts-9.7 pts+10.3 pts
    2022BixleyLabour+17.4 pts+8.9 pts+8.5 pts
    2022Stoke ParkLabour+17.2 pts+8.9 pts+8.3 pts
    2022Castle HillLabour+1.8 pts+8.9 pts-7.1 pts
    2022BridgeConservative-16.7 pts-9.7 pts-7.0 pts
    2022GippingGreen-5.9 pts-0.0 pts-5.8 pts
    2022St John'sLabour+13.8 pts+8.9 pts+4.9 pts
    2022BridgeGreen-4.5 pts-0.0 pts-4.5 pts
    2022WestgateLabour+4.6 pts+8.9 pts-4.3 pts
    2022WhitehouseLabour+13.1 pts+8.9 pts+4.2 pts
    2022WestgateConservative-5.6 pts-9.7 pts+4.1 pts
    2022Stoke ParkConservative-13.7 pts-9.7 pts-4.0 pts
    2022St Margaret'sLabour+5.0 pts+8.9 pts-3.9 pts
    2022BixleyGreen+3.4 pts-0.0 pts+3.5 pts
    2022Castle HillConservative-6.4 pts-9.7 pts+3.3 pts
    2022GippingConservative-6.4 pts-9.7 pts+3.2 pts
    2022WhitehouseConservative-12.9 pts-9.7 pts-3.2 pts
    2022St John'sConservative-12.6 pts-9.7 pts-2.9 pts
    2022GippingLiberal Democrats+1.5 pts-1.4 pts+2.8 pts
    2022St Margaret'sConservative-12.4 pts-9.7 pts-2.7 pts
    2022AlexandraLabour+6.2 pts+8.9 pts-2.7 pts
    2022BixleyLiberal Democrats+1.3 pts-1.4 pts+2.7 pts
    2022Stoke ParkGreen-2.6 pts-0.0 pts-2.6 pts
    2022Priory HeathLiberal Democrats+1.1 pts-1.4 pts+2.4 pts
    2022Priory HeathConservative-7.3 pts-9.7 pts+2.4 pts
    2022AlexandraGreen+2.3 pts-0.0 pts+2.3 pts
    2022WestgateGreen+2.3 pts-0.0 pts+2.3 pts
    2022Priory HeathLabour+6.9 pts+8.9 pts-2.0 pts
    2022WestgateLiberal Democrats+0.6 pts-1.4 pts+2.0 pts
    2022GippingLabour+10.8 pts+8.9 pts+1.9 pts
    2022AlexandraLiberal Democrats+0.5 pts-1.4 pts+1.8 pts
    2022RushmereLiberal Democrats+0.3 pts-1.4 pts+1.6 pts
    2022HolywellsLabour+10.5 pts+8.9 pts+1.6 pts
    2022Stoke ParkLiberal Democrats-2.6 pts-1.4 pts-1.2 pts
    2022St John'sLiberal Democrats-0.2 pts-1.4 pts+1.2 pts
    2022St John'sGreen-1.0 pts-0.0 pts-1.0 pts
    2022RushmereGreen-0.8 pts-0.0 pts-0.8 pts
    2022RushmereLabour+9.7 pts+8.9 pts+0.8 pts
    2022AlexandraConservative-9.0 pts-9.7 pts+0.7 pts
    2022St Margaret'sGreen-0.7 pts-0.0 pts-0.6 pts
    2022Priory HeathGreen-0.6 pts-0.0 pts-0.6 pts
    2022HolywellsGreen+0.5 pts-0.0 pts+0.6 pts
    2022RushmereConservative-9.1 pts-9.7 pts+0.6 pts
    2022WhitehouseGreen-0.2 pts-0.0 pts-0.2 pts
    2022BridgeLiberal Democrats-1.4 pts-1.4 pts-0.1 pts
    2022HolywellsConservative-9.7 pts-9.7 pts+0.0 pts
    2022HolywellsLiberal Democrats-1.4 pts-1.4 pts+0.0 pts
    2021SpritesConservative+44.1 pts+10.3 pts+33.7 pts
    2021HolywellsConservative-15.2 pts+10.3 pts-25.6 pts
    2021SpritesLabour-23.5 pts-1.3 pts-22.2 pts
    2021WhitehouseConservative+27.3 pts+10.3 pts+17.0 pts
    2021St John'sLabour-17.6 pts-1.3 pts-16.4 pts
    2021St John'sConservative+24.8 pts+10.3 pts+14.4 pts
    2021HolywellsLabour+13.0 pts-1.3 pts+14.3 pts
    2021WhitehouseLabour+12.4 pts-1.3 pts+13.7 pts
    2021BixleyConservative+23.4 pts+10.3 pts+13.1 pts
    2021WhittonConservative+23.2 pts+10.3 pts+12.8 pts
    2021St Margaret'sLiberal Democrats-11.5 pts-0.1 pts-11.4 pts
    2021BixleyLabour-10.6 pts-1.3 pts-9.3 pts
    2021Stoke ParkConservative+1.3 pts+10.3 pts-9.0 pts
    2021BixleyGreen-10.4 pts-1.4 pts-8.9 pts
    2021Castle HillConservative+2.0 pts+10.3 pts-8.3 pts
    2021Castle HillLiberal Democrats-7.8 pts-0.1 pts-7.8 pts
    2021GippingGreen+6.2 pts-1.4 pts+7.7 pts
    2021BridgeConservative+17.9 pts+10.3 pts+7.6 pts
    2021St Margaret'sLabour+5.9 pts-1.3 pts+7.2 pts
    2021RushmereConservative+5.1 pts+10.3 pts-5.2 pts
    2021Stoke ParkLabour+3.8 pts-1.3 pts+5.1 pts
    2021AlexandraLabour-6.1 pts-1.3 pts-4.8 pts
    2021GippingLiberal Democrats-3.6 pts-0.1 pts-3.5 pts
    2021St Margaret'sConservative+6.9 pts+10.3 pts-3.5 pts
    2021AlexandraConservative+13.8 pts+10.3 pts+3.4 pts
    2021Stoke ParkGreen+1.8 pts-1.4 pts+3.3 pts
    2021AlexandraLiberal Democrats-3.3 pts-0.1 pts-3.3 pts
    2021HolywellsGreen+1.7 pts-1.4 pts+3.2 pts
    2021Stoke ParkLiberal Democrats+3.0 pts-0.1 pts+3.0 pts
    2021AlexandraGreen-4.4 pts-1.4 pts-2.9 pts
    2021RushmereGreen-4.4 pts-1.4 pts-2.9 pts
    2021Priory HeathConservative+13.0 pts+10.3 pts+2.7 pts
    2021BixleyLiberal Democrats-2.5 pts-0.1 pts-2.4 pts
    2021Priory HeathGreen+0.9 pts-1.4 pts+2.4 pts
    2021RushmereLabour+0.9 pts-1.3 pts+2.2 pts
    2021WestgateConservative+12.5 pts+10.3 pts+2.2 pts
    2021GippingConservative+12.3 pts+10.3 pts+1.9 pts
    2021WhittonLabour+0.5 pts-1.3 pts+1.7 pts
    2021SpritesLiberal Democrats-1.7 pts-0.1 pts-1.7 pts
    2021Castle HillLabour+0.4 pts-1.3 pts+1.6 pts
    2021RushmereLiberal Democrats-1.7 pts-0.1 pts-1.6 pts
    2021St John'sGreen+0.1 pts-1.4 pts+1.5 pts
    2021Priory HeathLabour-0.1 pts-1.3 pts+1.2 pts
    2021St Margaret'sGreen-2.5 pts-1.4 pts-1.1 pts
    2021Priory HeathLiberal Democrats-1.1 pts-0.1 pts-1.0 pts
    2021St John'sLiberal Democrats+0.8 pts-0.1 pts+0.8 pts
    2021WhitehouseGreen-0.7 pts-1.4 pts+0.7 pts
    2021WestgateGreen-2.1 pts-1.4 pts-0.6 pts
    2021HolywellsLiberal Democrats+0.5 pts-0.1 pts+0.5 pts
    2021WestgateLabour-0.8 pts-1.3 pts+0.5 pts
    2021BridgeLabour-0.8 pts-1.3 pts+0.5 pts
    2021BridgeGreen-1.8 pts-1.4 pts-0.3 pts
    2021GippingLabour-1.1 pts-1.3 pts+0.2 pts
    2021WestgateLiberal Democrats+0.1 pts-0.1 pts+0.2 pts
    2021BridgeLiberal Democrats-0.1 pts-0.1 pts-0.1 pts
    2019WhitehouseLabour-19.1 pts-5.8 pts-13.3 pts
    2019BridgeLabour-14.8 pts-5.8 pts-9.0 pts
    2019WhitehouseUK Independence Party (UKIP)+14.4 pts+5.8 pts+8.6 pts
    2019RushmereLabour-14.0 pts-5.8 pts-8.2 pts
    2019Stoke ParkConservative+3.4 pts-4.6 pts+8.0 pts
    2019Stoke ParkLabour-13.6 pts-5.8 pts-7.8 pts
    2019WhittonConservative-10.8 pts-4.6 pts-6.2 pts
    2019RushmereConservative+1.4 pts-4.6 pts+6.0 pts
    2019Castle HillLiberal Democrats+7.2 pts+1.4 pts+5.8 pts
    2019Stoke ParkGreen-0.1 pts+5.5 pts-5.6 pts
    2019HolywellsConservative+0.6 pts-4.6 pts+5.2 pts
    2019WhitehouseConservative-9.3 pts-4.6 pts-4.7 pts
    2019GippingConservative-9.1 pts-4.6 pts-4.5 pts
    2019BixleyConservative-9.0 pts-4.6 pts-4.4 pts
    2019St John'sGreen+1.1 pts+5.5 pts-4.4 pts
    2019SpritesConservative-8.4 pts-4.6 pts-3.8 pts
    2019WestgateConservative-8.2 pts-4.6 pts-3.6 pts
    2019Priory HeathConservative-8.1 pts-4.6 pts-3.6 pts
    2019Castle HillConservative-1.4 pts-4.6 pts+3.2 pts
    2019BridgeConservative-7.7 pts-4.6 pts-3.1 pts
    2019Priory HeathGreen+2.4 pts+5.5 pts-3.1 pts
    2019AlexandraGreen+8.6 pts+5.5 pts+3.1 pts
    2019WhittonLiberal Democrats+3.9 pts+1.4 pts+2.5 pts
    2019St John'sLabour-3.3 pts-5.8 pts+2.5 pts
    2019GippingLiberal Democrats-1.0 pts+1.4 pts-2.4 pts
    2019WhittonLabour-8.0 pts-5.8 pts-2.2 pts
    2019SpritesUK Independence Party (UKIP)+7.7 pts+5.8 pts+1.9 pts
    2019WestgateGreen+3.7 pts+5.5 pts-1.9 pts
    2019WestgateLiberal Democrats-0.4 pts+1.4 pts-1.8 pts
    2019St Margaret'sLiberal Democrats+3.1 pts+1.4 pts+1.7 pts
    2019St John'sLiberal Democrats-0.4 pts+1.4 pts-1.7 pts
    2019St Margaret'sConservative-2.9 pts-4.6 pts+1.7 pts
    2019Priory HeathLabour-7.4 pts-5.8 pts-1.6 pts
    2019HolywellsLabour-7.3 pts-5.8 pts-1.5 pts
    2019BixleyLiberal Democrats-0.1 pts+1.4 pts-1.5 pts
    2019WhitehouseLiberal Democrats+2.4 pts+1.4 pts+1.0 pts
    2019Priory HeathLiberal Democrats+0.3 pts+1.4 pts-1.0 pts
    2019Stoke ParkLiberal Democrats+0.3 pts+1.4 pts-1.0 pts
    2019BixleyLabour-6.8 pts-5.8 pts-1.0 pts
    2019WestgateLabour-6.7 pts-5.8 pts-0.9 pts
    2019St John'sConservative-5.4 pts-4.6 pts-0.8 pts
    2019RushmereLiberal Democrats+0.8 pts+1.4 pts-0.6 pts
    2019HolywellsGreen+5.0 pts+5.5 pts-0.5 pts
    2019AlexandraLiberal Democrats+1.9 pts+1.4 pts+0.5 pts
    2019BridgeGreen+6.0 pts+5.5 pts+0.5 pts
    2019St Margaret'sGreen+5.9 pts+5.5 pts+0.4 pts
    2019St Margaret'sLabour-5.4 pts-5.8 pts+0.4 pts
    2019SpritesLiberal Democrats+1.7 pts+1.4 pts+0.4 pts
    2019AlexandraLabour-6.1 pts-5.8 pts-0.3 pts
    2019HolywellsLiberal Democrats+1.7 pts+1.4 pts+0.3 pts
    2019AlexandraConservative-4.3 pts-4.6 pts+0.3 pts
    2019SpritesLabour-5.6 pts-5.8 pts+0.2 pts
    2019Castle HillLabour-5.8 pts-5.8 pts+0.1 pts
    2019BridgeLiberal Democrats+1.3 pts+1.4 pts-0.0 pts
    2016HolywellsConservative+15.1 pts-8.6 pts+23.7 pts
    2016AlexandraConservative+7.0 pts-8.6 pts+15.6 pts
    2016RushmereLabour+19.8 pts+5.1 pts+14.7 pts
    2016WhittonConservative-22.0 pts-8.6 pts-13.4 pts
    2016WhittonLabour-7.1 pts+5.1 pts-12.2 pts
    2016Priory HeathLabour+17.1 pts+5.1 pts+12.0 pts
    2016BridgeLabour+15.9 pts+5.1 pts+10.8 pts
    2016St John'sGreen+8.0 pts-0.8 pts+8.8 pts
    2016WhitehouseLabour+13.7 pts+5.1 pts+8.7 pts
    2016GippingLabour+13.6 pts+5.1 pts+8.5 pts
    2016SpritesUK Independence Party (UKIP)+5.2 pts-3.2 pts+8.5 pts
    2016AlexandraLabour-2.4 pts+5.1 pts-7.5 pts
    2016BridgeGreen+6.1 pts-0.8 pts+6.9 pts
    2016GippingConservative-1.8 pts-8.6 pts+6.8 pts
    2016Castle HillGreen+5.8 pts-0.8 pts+6.6 pts
    2016WestgateLiberal Democrats+7.5 pts+1.1 pts+6.4 pts
    2016Priory HeathConservative-2.2 pts-8.6 pts+6.4 pts
    2016St Margaret'sLabour-1.0 pts+5.1 pts-6.1 pts
    2016WhitehouseUK Independence Party (UKIP)+2.5 pts-3.2 pts+5.8 pts
    2016BixleyConservative-2.9 pts-8.6 pts+5.7 pts
    2016HolywellsLabour-0.4 pts+5.1 pts-5.5 pts
    2016WhitehouseConservative-13.5 pts-8.6 pts-4.8 pts
    2016WhittonLiberal Democrats-3.6 pts+1.1 pts-4.7 pts
    2016BixleyUK Independence Party (UKIP)+0.9 pts-3.2 pts+4.1 pts
    2016Stoke ParkConservative-4.6 pts-8.6 pts+4.0 pts
    2016Castle HillConservative-4.6 pts-8.6 pts+4.0 pts
    2016St Margaret'sLiberal Democrats+4.5 pts+1.1 pts+3.4 pts
    2016AlexandraGreen-4.2 pts-0.8 pts-3.4 pts