Salford: wards that bucked the trend
Salford: in 2024, 37 ward results beat the expected swing and 38 trailed it. The biggest gap was Liberal Democrats in Ordsall (-27.4 pts actual vs -1.9 pts expected).
Expected swing is how much a party's share moved across comparable councils in the same year. A positive gap means the party did better locally than that trend; negative means worse.
| Year | Ward | Party | Actual swing | Expected swing | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Ordsall | Liberal Democrats | -27.4 pts | -1.9 pts | -25.5 pts |
| 2024 | Walkden South | Labour | +26.1 pts | +3.1 pts | +23.0 pts |
| 2024 | Walkden North | Labour | -18.1 pts | +3.1 pts | -21.2 pts |
| 2024 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Labour | -15.3 pts | +3.1 pts | -18.3 pts |
| 2024 | Walkden North | Conservative | +16.4 pts | -0.7 pts | +17.1 pts |
| 2024 | Eccles | Labour | -10.8 pts | +3.1 pts | -13.9 pts |
| 2024 | Little Hulton | Labour | -8.9 pts | +3.1 pts | -11.9 pts |
| 2024 | Worsley and Westwood Park | Conservative | -12.5 pts | -0.7 pts | -11.8 pts |
| 2024 | Ordsall | Labour | +14.6 pts | +3.1 pts | +11.6 pts |
| 2024 | Quays | Labour | -7.8 pts | +3.1 pts | -10.9 pts |
| 2024 | Little Hulton | Conservative | +9.1 pts | -0.7 pts | +9.8 pts |
| 2024 | Barton and Winton | Labour | -6.2 pts | +3.1 pts | -9.3 pts |
| 2024 | Weaste and Seedley | Labour | -5.4 pts | +3.1 pts | -8.5 pts |
| 2024 | Eccles | Green | +12.7 pts | +4.7 pts | +8.0 pts |
| 2024 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Labour | -4.8 pts | +3.1 pts | -7.9 pts |
| 2024 | Cadishead and Lower Irlam | Conservative | -8.5 pts | -0.7 pts | -7.8 pts |
| 2024 | Worsley and Westwood Park | Liberal Democrats | +5.9 pts | -1.9 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2024 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Conservative | +6.8 pts | -0.7 pts | +7.5 pts |
| 2024 | Blackfriars and Trinity | Green | -1.6 pts | +4.7 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2024 | Swinton Park | Labour | -3.2 pts | +3.1 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2024 | Claremont | Conservative | -7.0 pts | -0.7 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2024 | Walkden South | Green | -0.7 pts | +4.7 pts | -5.5 pts |
| 2024 | Walkden North | Reform UK | +5.9 pts | +0.4 pts | +5.4 pts |
| 2024 | Cadishead and Lower Irlam | Labour | +7.9 pts | +3.1 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2024 | Ordsall | Green | +9.4 pts | +4.7 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2024 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Liberal Democrats | +2.8 pts | -1.9 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2024 | Barton and Winton | Liberal Democrats | +2.8 pts | -1.9 pts | +4.7 pts |
| 2024 | Walkden South | Conservative | +3.6 pts | -0.7 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2024 | Blackfriars and Trinity | Liberal Democrats | +2.3 pts | -1.9 pts | +4.2 pts |
| 2024 | Worsley and Westwood Park | Green | +0.6 pts | +4.7 pts | -4.1 pts |
| 2024 | Ordsall | Conservative | +3.3 pts | -0.7 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2024 | Weaste and Seedley | Women`s Equality Party | +4.1 pts | +0.2 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2024 | Quays | Liberal Democrats | +1.8 pts | -1.9 pts | +3.7 pts |
| 2024 | Pendlebury and Clifton | Labour | -0.6 pts | +3.1 pts | -3.6 pts |
| 2024 | Broughton | Conservative | -4.1 pts | -0.7 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2024 | Kersal and Broughton Park | Conservative | -4.1 pts | -0.7 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2024 | Broughton | Liberal Democrats | +1.5 pts | -1.9 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2024 | Kersal and Broughton Park | Liberal Democrats | +1.2 pts | -1.9 pts | +3.1 pts |
| 2024 | Swinton and Wardley | Green | +1.8 pts | +4.7 pts | -3.0 pts |
| 2024 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Green | +7.6 pts | +4.7 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2024 | Worsley and Westwood Park | Labour | +6.0 pts | +3.1 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2024 | Walkden North | Liberal Democrats | +0.9 pts | -1.9 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2024 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Liberal Democrats | -4.6 pts | -1.9 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2024 | Kersal and Broughton Park | Labour | +5.7 pts | +3.1 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2024 | Claremont | Labour | +5.7 pts | +3.1 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2024 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Conservative | +1.8 pts | -0.7 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2024 | Swinton Park | Conservative | +1.8 pts | -0.7 pts | +2.5 pts |
| 2024 | Swinton Park | Green | +2.6 pts | +4.7 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2024 | Pendlebury and Clifton | Conservative | +1.3 pts | -0.7 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2024 | Blackfriars and Trinity | Labour | +1.1 pts | +3.1 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2024 | Kersal and Broughton Park | Green | +2.8 pts | +4.7 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2024 | Broughton | Green | +2.9 pts | +4.7 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2024 | Weaste and Seedley | Liberal Democrats | -3.5 pts | -1.9 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2024 | Quays | Green | +6.3 pts | +4.7 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2024 | Barton and Winton | Green | +3.2 pts | +4.7 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2024 | Swinton and Wardley | Labour | +1.6 pts | +3.1 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2024 | Claremont | Green | +3.4 pts | +4.7 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2024 | Blackfriars and Trinity | Conservative | -1.8 pts | -0.7 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2024 | Higher Irlam and Peel Green | Conservative | -1.8 pts | -0.7 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2024 | Pendlebury and Clifton | Green | +3.7 pts | +4.7 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2024 | Swinton and Wardley | Independent | +1.9 pts | +0.9 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2024 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Green | +5.7 pts | +4.7 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2024 | Barton and Winton | Conservative | +0.3 pts | -0.7 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2024 | Swinton Park | Liberal Democrats | -1.1 pts | -1.9 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2024 | Higher Irlam and Peel Green | Labour | +2.3 pts | +3.1 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2024 | Higher Irlam and Peel Green | Green | +5.4 pts | +4.7 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2024 | Quays | Conservative | -0.3 pts | -0.7 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2024 | Walkden South | Liberal Democrats | -1.5 pts | -1.9 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2024 | Eccles | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -0.7 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2024 | Little Hulton | Green | +5.0 pts | +4.7 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2024 | Walkden North | Green | +4.5 pts | +4.7 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2024 | Weaste and Seedley | Conservative | -0.9 pts | -0.7 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2024 | Claremont | Liberal Democrats | -2.1 pts | -1.9 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2024 | Swinton and Wardley | Conservative | -0.5 pts | -0.7 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2024 | Weaste and Seedley | Green | +4.6 pts | +4.7 pts | -0.1 pts |
| 2023 | Kersal and Broughton Park | Conservative | +28.5 pts | +1.9 pts | +26.6 pts |
| 2023 | Ordsall | Labour | +20.2 pts | -0.8 pts | +21.0 pts |
| 2023 | Ordsall | Liberal Democrats | -27.0 pts | -6.3 pts | -20.8 pts |
| 2023 | Walkden South | Labour | -20.8 pts | -0.8 pts | -20.1 pts |
| 2023 | Cadishead and Lower Irlam | Labour | +13.5 pts | -0.8 pts | +14.3 pts |
| 2023 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Labour | +12.4 pts | -0.8 pts | +13.1 pts |
| 2023 | Walkden South | Green | -9.3 pts | +2.7 pts | -12.0 pts |
| 2023 | Claremont | Liberal Democrats | +4.0 pts | -6.3 pts | +10.3 pts |
| 2023 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Conservative | -6.8 pts | +1.9 pts | -8.7 pts |
| 2023 | Eccles | Conservative | -6.7 pts | +1.9 pts | -8.6 pts |
| 2023 | Barton and Winton | Conservative | -5.9 pts | +1.9 pts | -7.9 pts |
| 2023 | Swinton Park | Liberal Democrats | +1.5 pts | -6.3 pts | +7.8 pts |
| 2023 | Weaste and Seedley | Liberal Democrats | -14.0 pts | -6.3 pts | -7.7 pts |
| 2023 | Swinton and Wardley | Liberal Democrats | +0.6 pts | -6.3 pts | +6.9 pts |
| 2023 | Swinton Park | Labour | +6.0 pts | -0.8 pts | +6.8 pts |
| 2023 | Cadishead and Lower Irlam | Liberal Democrats | -13.0 pts | -6.3 pts | -6.7 pts |
| 2023 | Eccles | Labour | +5.9 pts | -0.8 pts | +6.6 pts |
| 2023 | Little Hulton | Liberal Democrats | -0.1 pts | -6.3 pts | +6.1 pts |
| 2023 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Green | -3.4 pts | +2.7 pts | -6.1 pts |
| 2023 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Green | -3.3 pts | +2.7 pts | -5.9 pts |
| 2023 | Little Hulton | Conservative | -3.9 pts | +1.9 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2023 | Pendlebury and Clifton | Conservative | -3.9 pts | +1.9 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2023 | Walkden South | Conservative | -3.8 pts | +1.9 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2023 | Higher Irlam and Peel Green | Liberal Democrats | -11.7 pts | -6.3 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2023 | Walkden North | Liberal Democrats | -1.0 pts | -6.3 pts | +5.2 pts |
| 2023 | Blackfriars and Trinity | Labour | -5.9 pts | -0.8 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2023 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Conservative | +7.0 pts | +1.9 pts | +5.1 pts |
| 2023 | Little Hulton | Labour | +4.3 pts | -0.8 pts | +5.1 pts |
| 2023 | Walkden North | Labour | +4.1 pts | -0.8 pts | +4.9 pts |
| 2023 | Kersal and Broughton Park | Liberal Democrats | -1.4 pts | -6.3 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2023 | Claremont | Labour | +3.9 pts | -0.8 pts | +4.6 pts |
| 2023 | Walkden North | Green | -1.9 pts | +2.7 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2023 | Barton and Winton | Liberal Democrats | -1.8 pts | -6.3 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2023 | Blackfriars and Trinity | Green | +7.0 pts | +2.7 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2023 | Swinton and Wardley | Conservative | -2.0 pts | +1.9 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2023 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Liberal Democrats | -2.3 pts | -6.3 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2023 | Blackfriars and Trinity | Liberal Democrats | -9.9 pts | -6.3 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2023 | Swinton and Wardley | Labour | +2.5 pts | -0.8 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2023 | Barton and Winton | Labour | -3.8 pts | -0.8 pts | -3.1 pts |
| 2023 | Eccles | Liberal Democrats | -3.3 pts | -6.3 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2023 | Little Hulton | Green | -0.3 pts | +2.7 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2023 | Walkden North | Conservative | -0.8 pts | +1.9 pts | -2.7 pts |
| 2023 | Higher Irlam and Peel Green | Labour | +1.9 pts | -0.8 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2023 | Walkden South | Liberal Democrats | -3.8 pts | -6.3 pts | +2.4 pts |
| 2023 | Quays | Liberal Democrats | -8.7 pts | -6.3 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2023 | Cadishead and Lower Irlam | Conservative | -0.5 pts | +1.9 pts | -2.4 pts |
| 2023 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Liberal Democrats | -3.9 pts | -6.3 pts | +2.3 pts |
| 2023 | Swinton Park | Conservative | -0.3 pts | +1.9 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2023 | Worsley and Westwood Park | Liberal Democrats | -4.1 pts | -6.3 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2023 | Higher Irlam and Peel Green | Conservative | -0.1 pts | +1.9 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2023 | Weaste and Seedley | Labour | +1.3 pts | -0.8 pts | +2.0 pts |
| 2023 | Worsley and Westwood Park | Labour | -2.7 pts | -0.8 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2023 | Worsley and Westwood Park | Conservative | +0.1 pts | +1.9 pts | -1.9 pts |
| 2023 | Quays | Labour | -2.3 pts | -0.8 pts | -1.6 pts |
| 2023 | Swinton and Wardley | Green | +1.1 pts | +2.7 pts | -1.5 pts |
| 2023 | Kersal and Broughton Park | Labour | +0.7 pts | -0.8 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2023 | Broughton | Liberal Democrats | -4.9 pts | -6.3 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2023 | Eccles | Green | +4.1 pts | +2.7 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2023 | Ordsall | Green | +1.3 pts | +2.7 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2023 | Swinton and Wardley | Independent | -2.2 pts | -1.0 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2023 | Broughton | Conservative | +3.1 pts | +1.9 pts | +1.2 pts |
| 2023 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Labour | +0.3 pts | -0.8 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2023 | Broughton | Green | +1.7 pts | +2.7 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2023 | Swinton Park | Green | +1.7 pts | +2.7 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2023 | Claremont | Conservative | +1.1 pts | +1.9 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2023 | Pendlebury and Clifton | Liberal Democrats | -6.9 pts | -6.3 pts | -0.7 pts |
| 2023 | Claremont | Green | +2.4 pts | +2.7 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2023 | Pendlebury and Clifton | Labour | -0.6 pts | -0.8 pts | +0.2 pts |
| 2023 | Quays | Green | +2.8 pts | +2.7 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2022 | Ordsall | Liberal Democrats | +56.4 pts | +7.5 pts | +48.8 pts |
| 2022 | Ordsall | Labour | -44.6 pts | -3.8 pts | -40.8 pts |
| 2022 | Claremont | Liberal Democrats | -14.5 pts | +7.5 pts | -22.0 pts |
| 2022 | Kersal and Broughton Park | Conservative | -26.3 pts | -4.9 pts | -21.4 pts |
| 2022 | Quays | Liberal Democrats | +24.7 pts | +7.5 pts | +17.1 pts |
| 2022 | Kersal and Broughton Park | Liberal Democrats | -6.9 pts | +7.5 pts | -14.4 pts |
| 2022 | Walkden North | Labour | -16.7 pts | -3.8 pts | -12.9 pts |
| 2022 | Walkden South | Green | +11.8 pts | -0.3 pts | +12.2 pts |
| 2022 | Higher Irlam and Peel Green | Conservative | +6.3 pts | -4.9 pts | +11.2 pts |
| 2022 | Quays | Green | -11.2 pts | -0.3 pts | -10.9 pts |
| 2022 | Little Hulton | Conservative | +5.7 pts | -4.9 pts | +10.5 pts |
| 2022 | Claremont | Labour | +5.5 pts | -3.8 pts | +9.3 pts |
| 2022 | Weaste and Seedley | Labour | -12.7 pts | -3.8 pts | -8.9 pts |
| 2022 | Walkden South | Conservative | -13.7 pts | -4.9 pts | -8.8 pts |
| 2022 | Cadishead and Lower Irlam | Conservative | +3.4 pts | -4.9 pts | +8.3 pts |
| 2022 | Swinton and Wardley | Liberal Democrats | -0.7 pts | +7.5 pts | -8.2 pts |
| 2022 | Worsley and Westwood Park | Labour | +4.3 pts | -3.8 pts | +8.0 pts |
| 2022 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Conservative | +2.8 pts | -4.9 pts | +7.7 pts |
| 2022 | Weaste and Seedley | Liberal Democrats | +14.9 pts | +7.5 pts | +7.3 pts |
| 2022 | Swinton and Wardley | Independent | +7.4 pts | +0.1 pts | +7.3 pts |
| 2022 | Barton and Winton | Labour | +3.5 pts | -3.8 pts | +7.2 pts |
| 2022 | Eccles | Labour | +3.3 pts | -3.8 pts | +7.1 pts |
| 2022 | Blackfriars and Trinity | Labour | +3.2 pts | -3.8 pts | +7.0 pts |
| 2022 | Worsley and Westwood Park | Liberal Democrats | +0.6 pts | +7.5 pts | -7.0 pts |
| 2022 | Pendlebury and Clifton | Labour | +2.9 pts | -3.8 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2022 | Walkden North | Liberal Democrats | +1.2 pts | +7.5 pts | -6.4 pts |
| 2022 | Claremont | Independent | +6.3 pts | +0.1 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2022 | Higher Irlam and Peel Green | Labour | +2.2 pts | -3.8 pts | +6.0 pts |
| 2022 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Liberal Democrats | +1.6 pts | +7.5 pts | -6.0 pts |
| 2022 | Worsley and Westwood Park | Conservative | +0.9 pts | -4.9 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2022 | Eccles | Conservative | +0.6 pts | -4.9 pts | +5.5 pts |
| 2022 | Little Hulton | Labour | -9.2 pts | -3.8 pts | -5.4 pts |
| 2022 | Eccles | Liberal Democrats | +2.3 pts | +7.5 pts | -5.2 pts |
| 2022 | Swinton and Wardley | Labour | -8.5 pts | -3.8 pts | -4.8 pts |
| 2022 | Broughton | Conservative | -9.2 pts | -4.9 pts | -4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Claremont | Green | +3.9 pts | -0.3 pts | +4.3 pts |
| 2022 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Green | +3.7 pts | -0.3 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2022 | Barton and Winton | Conservative | -1.0 pts | -4.9 pts | +3.9 pts |
| 2022 | Claremont | Conservative | -1.3 pts | -4.9 pts | +3.6 pts |
| 2022 | Kersal and Broughton Park | Labour | -0.3 pts | -3.8 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2022 | Barton and Winton | Liberal Democrats | +4.1 pts | +7.5 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2022 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Liberal Democrats | +4.1 pts | +7.5 pts | -3.4 pts |
| 2022 | Swinton Park | Labour | -0.6 pts | -3.8 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2022 | Pendlebury and Clifton | Conservative | -1.9 pts | -4.9 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2022 | Swinton Park | Independent | -2.8 pts | +0.1 pts | -2.9 pts |
| 2022 | Blackfriars and Trinity | Green | -3.1 pts | -0.3 pts | -2.8 pts |
| 2022 | Swinton Park | Liberal Democrats | +5.0 pts | +7.5 pts | -2.6 pts |
| 2022 | Swinton Park | Conservative | -2.7 pts | -4.9 pts | +2.2 pts |
| 2022 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Labour | -1.7 pts | -3.8 pts | +2.1 pts |
| 2022 | Walkden North | Conservative | -6.9 pts | -4.9 pts | -2.0 pts |
| 2022 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Labour | -1.9 pts | -3.8 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2022 | Pendleton and Charlestown | Green | +1.5 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Ordsall | Green | -2.1 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.8 pts |
| 2022 | Broughton | Green | +1.2 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.6 pts |
| 2022 | Cadishead and Lower Irlam | Labour | -5.2 pts | -3.8 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2022 | Swinton Park | Green | +1.1 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.4 pts |
| 2022 | Little Hulton | Green | -1.7 pts | -0.3 pts | -1.4 pts |
| 2022 | Broughton | Liberal Democrats | +6.2 pts | +7.5 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2022 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Conservative | -6.2 pts | -4.9 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2022 | Eccles | TUSC | +1.2 pts | +0.1 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Walkden North | Green | +0.8 pts | -0.3 pts | +1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Walkden South | Labour | -4.8 pts | -3.8 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2022 | Broughton | Labour | -4.8 pts | -3.8 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2022 | Quays | Labour | -4.7 pts | -3.8 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2022 | Walkden South | Liberal Democrats | +6.7 pts | +7.5 pts | -0.8 pts |
| 2022 | Swinton and Wardley | Conservative | -4.2 pts | -4.9 pts | +0.7 pts |
| 2022 | Blackfriars and Trinity | Liberal Democrats | +8.0 pts | +7.5 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2022 | Pendlebury and Clifton | Liberal Democrats | +7.9 pts | +7.5 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2022 | Eccles | Green | -0.3 pts | -0.3 pts | +0.1 pts |
| 2019 | Langworthy | Liberal Democrats | -12.7 pts | -0.7 pts | -12.0 pts |
| 2019 | Winton | Conservative | -19.3 pts | -8.4 pts | -10.9 pts |
| 2019 | Cadishead | Labour | -1.1 pts | -11.3 pts | +10.2 pts |
| 2019 | Winton | Labour | -2.9 pts | -11.3 pts | +8.5 pts |
| 2019 | Swinton South | Labour | -18.9 pts | -11.3 pts | -7.6 pts |
| 2019 | Claremont | Labour | -18.8 pts | -11.3 pts | -7.5 pts |
| 2019 | Langworthy | Labour | -4.0 pts | -11.3 pts | +7.3 pts |
| 2019 | Broughton | Conservative | -1.1 pts | -8.4 pts | +7.3 pts |
| 2019 | Winton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +17.9 pts | +11.2 pts | +6.7 pts |
| 2019 | Cadishead | Green | -0.6 pts | +5.7 pts | -6.3 pts |
| 2019 | Claremont | Liberal Democrats | +5.6 pts | -0.7 pts | +6.2 pts |
| 2019 | Kersal | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +5.0 pts | +11.2 pts | -6.2 pts |
| 2019 | Ordsall | Labour | -17.3 pts | -11.3 pts | -5.9 pts |
| 2019 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +5.4 pts | +11.2 pts | -5.8 pts |
| 2019 | Kersal | Conservative | -2.6 pts | -8.4 pts | +5.8 pts |
| 2019 | Irwell Riverside | Labour | -17.0 pts | -11.3 pts | -5.6 pts |
| 2019 | Langworthy | Conservative | -3.1 pts | -8.4 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2019 | Walkden South | Liberal Democrats | +4.6 pts | -0.7 pts | +5.3 pts |
| 2019 | Little Hulton | Labour | -16.5 pts | -11.3 pts | -5.1 pts |
| 2019 | Walkden North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +16.0 pts | +11.2 pts | +4.8 pts |
| 2019 | Eccles | Labour | -15.9 pts | -11.3 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Conservative | -3.9 pts | -8.4 pts | +4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Little Hulton | Conservative | -12.9 pts | -8.4 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Weaste and Seedley | Labour | -15.8 pts | -11.3 pts | -4.5 pts |
| 2019 | Irwell Riverside | Conservative | -4.0 pts | -8.4 pts | +4.4 pts |
| 2019 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Labour | -7.2 pts | -11.3 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2019 | Ordsall | Conservative | -4.3 pts | -8.4 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2019 | Kersal | Labour | -7.3 pts | -11.3 pts | +4.1 pts |
| 2019 | Irwell Riverside | Green | +9.7 pts | +5.7 pts | +4.0 pts |
| 2019 | Swinton South | Green | +1.8 pts | +5.7 pts | -3.9 pts |
| 2019 | Cadishead | Conservative | -12.3 pts | -8.4 pts | -3.8 pts |
| 2019 | Claremont | Independent | -0.1 pts | +3.6 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2019 | Pendlebury | Labour | -15.0 pts | -11.3 pts | -3.7 pts |
| 2019 | Worsley | Liberal Democrats | +2.8 pts | -0.7 pts | +3.5 pts |
| 2019 | Boothstown and Ellenbrook | Green | +9.1 pts | +5.7 pts | +3.4 pts |
| 2019 | Eccles | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +8.0 pts | +11.2 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2019 | Langworthy | Green | +2.5 pts | +5.7 pts | -3.2 pts |
| 2019 | Ordsall | Liberal Democrats | +2.5 pts | -0.7 pts | +3.2 pts |
| 2019 | Irwell Riverside | Liberal Democrats | +2.4 pts | -0.7 pts | +3.0 pts |
| 2019 | Swinton North | Liberal Democrats | +2.2 pts | -0.7 pts | +2.9 pts |
| 2019 | Claremont | Green | +8.5 pts | +5.7 pts | +2.8 pts |
| 2019 | Barton | Green | +8.3 pts | +5.7 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2019 | Worsley | Labour | -8.7 pts | -11.3 pts | +2.7 pts |
| 2019 | Winton | Green | +8.3 pts | +5.7 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2019 | Eccles | Conservative | -5.8 pts | -8.4 pts | +2.6 pts |
| 2019 | Irwell Riverside | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +8.9 pts | +11.2 pts | -2.3 pts |
| 2019 | Swinton North | Green | +3.4 pts | +5.7 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2019 | Weaste and Seedley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +9.0 pts | +11.2 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2019 | Pendlebury | Conservative | -10.6 pts | -8.4 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2019 | Weaste and Seedley | Green | +3.5 pts | +5.7 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2019 | Kersal | Green | +3.5 pts | +5.7 pts | -2.2 pts |
| 2019 | Broughton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +9.1 pts | +11.2 pts | -2.1 pts |
| 2019 | Barton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +13.1 pts | +11.2 pts | +1.9 pts |
| 2019 | Cadishead | Independent | +5.3 pts | +3.6 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2019 | Eccles | Liberal Democrats | +1.1 pts | -0.7 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2019 | Walkden North | Conservative | -6.7 pts | -8.4 pts | +1.7 pts |
| 2019 | Swinton South | Liberal Democrats | +0.9 pts | -0.7 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Swinton North | Labour | -9.9 pts | -11.3 pts | +1.5 pts |
| 2019 | Walkden South | Green | +7.0 pts | +5.7 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2019 | Barton | Labour | -10.0 pts | -11.3 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2019 | Pendlebury | Green | +4.4 pts | +5.7 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2019 | Claremont | Conservative | -9.7 pts | -8.4 pts | -1.3 pts |
| 2019 | Worsley | Conservative | -7.1 pts | -8.4 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2019 | Walkden North | Green | +6.9 pts | +5.7 pts | +1.3 pts |
| 2019 | Walkden North | Labour | -12.5 pts | -11.3 pts | -1.2 pts |
| 2019 | Weaste and Seedley | Conservative | -9.6 pts | -8.4 pts | -1.1 pts |
| 2019 | Ordsall | Green | +4.6 pts | +5.7 pts | -1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Broughton | Labour | -10.3 pts | -11.3 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Irlam | Labour | -10.3 pts | -11.3 pts | +1.0 pts |
| 2019 | Swinton North | Conservative | -7.5 pts | -8.4 pts | +0.9 pts |
| 2019 | Swinton South | Conservative | -9.3 pts | -8.4 pts | -0.9 pts |
| 2019 | Broughton | Green | +6.4 pts | +5.7 pts | +0.8 pts |
| 2019 | Barton | Conservative | -7.8 pts | -8.4 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Pendlebury | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +11.8 pts | +11.2 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Walkden South | Conservative | -7.8 pts | -8.4 pts | +0.6 pts |
| 2019 | Langworthy | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +11.8 pts | +11.2 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2019 | Swinton North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | +11.7 pts | +11.2 pts | +0.5 pts |
| 2019 | Irlam | Conservative | -8.9 pts | -8.4 pts | -0.5 pts |
| 2019 | Worsley | Green | +5.2 pts | +5.7 pts | -0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Eccles | Green | +6.1 pts | +5.7 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Weaste and Seedley | Liberal Democrats | -0.3 pts | -0.7 pts | +0.4 pts |
| 2019 | Pendlebury | Liberal Democrats | -1.0 pts | -0.7 pts | -0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Walkden South | Labour | -11.0 pts | -11.3 pts | +0.3 pts |
| 2019 | Irlam | Independent | +3.4 pts | +3.6 pts | -0.2 pts |
| 2018 | Kersal | Labour | -14.7 pts | +2.6 pts | -17.4 pts |
| 2018 | Cadishead | Labour | -14.5 pts | +2.6 pts | -17.1 pts |
| 2018 | Irlam | Labour | -14.4 pts | +2.6 pts | -17.0 pts |