Majority at risk
Whether a controlling party could lose its majority at this election.
How it's calculated
Compare the seats the party is defending with its seats to lose control. At risk when losing the seats it defends on majorities under 10pp would remove its overall majority.
Worked example
A worked example will appear once council composition data is loaded.
Where it's used
Other definitions
Vote shareChange in shareSwing (two-party, Butler)MajoritySwing needed to gainUncontested seatCandidates per seat / per wardContestation rateWinner's shareEffective number of partiesWinner's bonus (seats vs votes)Incumbency and re-election rateWomen candidates and councillorsTurnout (three methods)Council control and No Overall Control (NOC)Psephology National Share EstimateBy-election vote trackerNotional resultIndex of changeSplit-ticket indicatorNational Equivalent Vote