Psephology.AI

    Contestation rate

    How widely a party put up candidates.

    How it's calculated

    Wards where the party stood at least one candidate ÷ wards with a contest.

    Worked example

    Reform UK stood in Heworth in 2026 but not in 2023; the Greens, Labour, Liberal Democrats and Conservatives stood in both.

    Source: Heworth ward, City of York — by-election of 15 January 2026 and May 2023.

    Caveats

    • Needs complete candidate lists; gaps in older data lower the rate.

    Where it's used

    Other definitions

    Vote shareChange in shareSwing (two-party, Butler)MajoritySwing needed to gainUncontested seatCandidates per seat / per wardWinner's shareEffective number of partiesWinner's bonus (seats vs votes)Incumbency and re-election rateWomen candidates and councillorsTurnout (three methods)Council control and No Overall Control (NOC)Majority at riskPsephology National Share EstimateBy-election vote trackerNotional resultIndex of changeSplit-ticket indicatorNational Equivalent Vote